The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Ellis Park
Friday - June 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (1/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $11.56 $11.56 3.56
    Exacta (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-1 2 1 $26.79 $26.79 14.79
    Trifecta (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 2-1-6 3 1 $37.71 $37.71 25.71
ELP-2   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $12.78 -6.00
    Exacta (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-3 2 0 $32.58 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-3-2 3 0 $86.91 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-1 2 0 $81.46 -24.00
ELP-3   Win (3/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $10.46 $10.46 2.46
    Exacta (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-7 2 1 $36.12 $36.12 12.12
    Trifecta (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 4-7-5 3 1 $91.57 $91.57 79.57
    Daily Double (2/5/6)-(3/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-4 2 0 $50.47 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(3/4/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 2-1-4 3 0 $79.82 -24.00
ELP-4   Win (2/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 1 $2.44 $2.44 -3.56
    Exacta (2/3/10)-(2/3/10) 6 $2.00 $12.00 10-9 2 0 $14.48 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/3/10)-(2/3/10)-(2/3/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 10-9-6 3 0 $10.66 -3.00
    Daily Double (3/4/5/7)-(2/3/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-10 2 1 $6.42 $6.42 -5.58
    Pick Three (2/5/6)-(3/4/5/7)-(2/3/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 1-4-10 3 0 $23.17 -18.00
ELP-5   Win (1/2/3/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $33.86 -10.00
    Exacta (1/2/3/5/9)-(1/2/3/5/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 10-3 2 0 $1520.50 -40.00
    Trifecta (1/2/3/5/9)-(1/2/3/5/9)-(1/2/3/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 10-3-1 3 0 $3668.49 -30.00
    Daily Double (2/3/10)-(1/2/3/5/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 10-10 2 0 $17.03 -15.00
    Pick Three (3/4/5/7)-(2/3/10)-(1/2/3/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 4-10-10 3 0 $36.68 -30.00
ELP-6   Win (1/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $7.78 $7.78 -0.22
    Exacta (1/3/7/8)-(1/3/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 8-2 2 0 $34.64 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/3/7/8)-(1/3/7/8)-(1/3/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 8-2-1 3 0 $21.36 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3/5/9)-(1/3/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 10-8 2 0 $70.51 -20.00
    Pick Three (2/3/10)-(1/2/3/5/9)-(1/3/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 10-10-8 3 0 $44.15 -30.00
ELP-7   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.58 $3.58 -2.42
    Exacta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-3 2 1 $7.66 $7.66 -4.34
    Trifecta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-3-1 3 1 $4.92 $4.92 1.92
    Daily Double (1/3/7/8)-(1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 8-2 2 1 $8.98 $8.98 -3.02
    Pick Three (1/2/3/5/9)-(1/3/7/8)-(1/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 10-8-2 3 0 $53.04 -30.00
ELP-8   Win (5/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $8.42 $8.42 4.42
    Exacta (5/8)-(5/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5-8 2 1 $17.92 $17.92 13.92
    Daily Double (1/2/3)-(5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-5 2 1 $12.20 $12.20 6.20
    Pick Three (1/3/7/8)-(1/2/3)-(5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 8-2-5 3 1 $15.24 $15.24 3.24
ELP-9   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $12.54 -6.00
    Exacta (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-6 2 0 $58.78 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-6-5 3 0 $69.86 -3.00
    Daily Double (5/8)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-3 2 0 $28.20 -6.00
    Pick Three (1/2/3)-(5/8)-(1/2/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 2-5-3 3 0 $26.08 -9.00
ELP-10   Win (1/10/16) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $10.40 -6.00
    Exacta (1/10/16)-(1/10/16) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-1 2 0 $25.24 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/10/16)-(1/10/16)-(1/10/16) 6 $0.50 $3.00 5-1-16 3 0 $26.29 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/2/6)-(1/10/16) 9 $1.00 $9.00 3-5 2 0 $36.05 -9.00
    Pick Three (5/8)-(1/2/6)-(1/10/16) 18 $0.50 $9.00 5-3-5 3 0 $63.19 -9.00

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   06/30/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT-11:30
:223 :461 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAINT ROCCO 2 1 32 2nk   1½ 14 (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 14% 6.20 4.78 W
HALLELUJAH HARRIS 1 5 22 3   324 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 10% 9.00 3.77 P
TAP VALLEY 6 2 12 1nk   2½ 3(vanden brittan)EMIGH A 119 3.00 44% 1.30 1.75 S
INNOCENT MAN 4 3 55 43   44(navarrete anna)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 5.21  
KINGDOM FORCE 5 7 7 78   55(cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 10% 9.00 17.81  
THE RUSH IS ON 3 4 6 5   68 6(vosler eug)STRANDBERG MALLORY 119 15.00 17.90  
EXPRESS CRUISER 7 6 4 66   726 739 (gutierrez fau)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50 3.98  
SCR  DUNPHY               (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 4.50    
 
ELP-2   06/30/2023 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT-11:57
:214 :441 1:084     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NON VIOLENCE 1 3 1½ 1nk   12 16 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 4.50 5.39  
JOKE SISI (CHI) 3 6 3½ 2nk   22 26 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 5.00 3.24  
SOMEBODY'S PROBLEM 2 5 2½ 3.2   336 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 116 5.00 8% 12.10 8.42 S
YOUR SO SILLEA 5 4 5 5   449 (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 121 2.50 46% 1.20 1.25  
MERCY WARREN 4 1 4¾ 4   5510 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 7.74  
PORTILLA 6 2 6 6   6617½ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 21% 3.70 5.40  
 
ELP-3   06/30/2023 4620ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT-12:24
:22 :442 1:083     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIND OF CHANGE (BRZ) 4 6 4 31   1½ 1(lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 26% 2.80 4.23 W
MAILMAN MONEY 7 1 21 2nk   2½ 2(calhoun will)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 11% 8.40 1.96 P
SPEIGHT AND MALICE 5 2 3 42   33(caramori ca)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 19.78 S
EMERALD EXPRESS 3 5 7 65   64(morse l)LANERIE J 118 4.00 34% 1.90 5.21  
UPSTRIKER 1 7 6 7   758 (navarrete anna)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 8.79  
VULCAN 2 3 5 54   46 68 (contreras cipriano)EMIGH A 118 3.50 2.78  
KOUFAX 6 4 11 1nk   5718¼ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 8.25  
 
ELP-4   06/30/2023 5610ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT-12:51
:233 :46 1:102 1:232   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  OPENING NIGHT 5 5 2 21 2nk 13 1(cox h)SAEZ LUIS 124 1.60 46% 1.20 0.22 W
MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN 4 2 59 5 5 32(faircloth aveo)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 30.00 20.57  
CLOUDY BAY 3 1 1 11 1nk 23 311¾ (davis chris)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 5.28  
MILLION DOLLAR CAT 1 4 33 33 3 4411¾ (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 118 10.00 27% 2.70 6.15  
BEL ARIA 2 3 4 4 48 511½ 515¾ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 124 30.00 6% 15.40 17.93  
SCR  BLING               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 2.50    
SCR  BOLIVIE (IRE)               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
SCR  CLEVER JOKE               (catalano wayne)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50    
SCR  HAY STACK               (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00    
SCR  MALAWNIA               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 12.00    
 
ELP-5   06/30/2023 3300ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:18
:222 :444       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  COPPER EM 10 2 11 1nk   12 1(asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 15.93  
BELLA HAZE 3 1 31 2nk   22 2(santamaria car)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 5% 19.00 63.37 P
LOVE TO EAT 1 6 54 45   33(maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 7% 13.90 6.84 S
12  GRACE GIVEN 12 12 1112¾ 1115¼   611 412 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 8.14  
PHAROAH'S WINE 4 5 9 8   5512 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00 19.16  
PINK WHITNEY 7 10 1213¼ 1215½   811¼ 613½ (o'neill doug)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 30.32  
11  CANDY OAK 11 11 21 3   48 715 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 10.00 32.11  
PLAYBACK 5 3 6 68   711 817½ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50 28% 2.50 4.88  
CREDITOR 6 9 10 5   911¾ 917¾ (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 2.55  
SHE'S ARODEOQUEEN 9 7 43 9   1013¾ 1019¼ (tomlinson mi)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 28.05  
TOO FAST FOR YOU 2 8 8 7   1114¾ 1121¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 44% 1.30 2.99  
UNMATCHED 8 4 7 10   1217¾ 1223¼ (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 112 6.00 17.65  
SCR  DESERT RHAPSODY               (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
 
ELP-6   06/30/2023 5940ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
:242 :491 1:132 1:384   1:521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAMMERDONHAPPINESS 7 6 6 6 21 1nk 1¼ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 3.00 43% 1.30 2.89 W
SALSALITA VERDE 2 4 32 42 6 32¼ (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 4.19  
ABBREVIATION 1 1 1½ 1 11 2nk 3(mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.50 21% 3.80 1.26 S
DEE DEE B 6 3 4 53 32 55 46 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 113 6.00 8% 11.30 8.79  
KEEN CONTENDER 3 7 7 7 42 45(van thomas)NAVAS YOEL 118 12.00 7% 13.10 25.22  
EMBRACEABLE 4 5 53 3 7 66(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 7.73  
CEE MINUS 5 2 2½ 2 5 7719¼ (stuart shea)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 13.96  
SCR  LA VILLAGE LUMIERE               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00    
 
ELP-7   06/30/2023 5940ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 2:12
:242 :474 1:111 1:353   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAPIT'S CONQUEST 2 1 21 2nk 2nk 1½ 1nk (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.00 29% 2.40 0.79 W
MAGIC TAP 3 2 11 1nk 1nk 2½ 2nk (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.40 37% 1.70 1.44 P
MOREAU 1 3 4 32 32 335 (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 12% 7.40 10.16 S
SINGLE RULER 6 5 6 6 56 4413 (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 15.00 28.24  
NIGHT EFFECT 5 6 5 5 4 5514¼ (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00 18.94  
HURRY HURRY 4 4 31 4 6 611½ 625½ (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 12.92  
 
ELP-8   06/30/2023 5610ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:39
:24 :463 1:103 1:23   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DASH ATTACK 2 1 2 21 2nk 1½ 1(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00 16% 5.10 3.21 W
BIG BLUE LINE 4 4 3 3 1nk 2½ 2(mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00 38% 1.70 1.12 P
SANTOS DUMONT 3 2 1 11 3½ 32 3(hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00 2.93  
FOUNDER 1 3 4 4 4 417 4100 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 3.00  
SCR  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE)               (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 117 8.00    
SCR  MCLOVIN               (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50    
SCR  STARTING OVER               (maker micha)TORRES A 122 8.00    
SCR  VINTAGE PRINT               (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00    
SCR  GRAY'S FABLE               (lynch brian )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00    
SCR  WAR CAMPAIGN               (sims a)LANERIE J 122 10.00    
SCR  CELLIST               (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.00    
SCR  BRITAIN'S KITTEN               (williamson )LEPAROUX R 122 30.00    
SCR  GOOD GOVERNANCE (GB)               (meah m)BEJARANO R 122 5.00    
 
ELP-9   06/30/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
:214 :434 1:081     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASING TIME 3 4 53 31   113 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 5.27  
BEST ACTOR 5 1 2½ 2nk   223 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 121 1.80 49% 1.00 3.57 P
DROPPIN G'S 4 6 6 5   43 3(antonuik jerry)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00 22.77  
KUPUNA 1 5 1½ 1nk   33 48 (calhoun will)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 21% 3.90 0.88  
GREAT ESCAPE 2 2 3½ 6   55(diodoro rob)TORRES A 121 5.00 6% 14.80 12.69  
HE'SMYHONEYBADGER 6 3 4 4   67 616½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 5.00 4.32  
SCR  BIG DREAMING               (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
 
ELP-10   06/30/2023 6600ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:233 :474 1:12 1:37   2:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUTE RUNNER 3 31 4 43 11 1½ 12 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 12.00 4.20  
SURFACE TO AIR 1 1½ 1½ 3 4 2½ 22 (miller darr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 20% 4.10 3.49 P
16  ILLEGAL 5 42 31 2½ 21 335 (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 125 5.00 9% 9.70 4.72 S
10  SOYBEAN MAN 4 2½ 2½ 1½ 31 42 4(moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 51% 1.00 0.90  
OSCARGOT 2 52 5 56 5 59 522 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 9.29  
SCR  PEEK               (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00    
SCR  QUALIFIED               (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00    
SCR  REAL NAUGHTY               (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
SCR  SELF RULE               (preston randy)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 10.00    
SCR  STAND PROUD               (baker james)HERNANDEZ J 125 20.00    
SCR  NOW AND LATER               (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
SCR  MY BOY TONY               (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 5.00    
SCR  TIMO               (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 125 6.00    
SCR  DECANTED               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
SCR  AMERICAN ONLY               (medina robe)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
SCR  FIREBALL FUN               (stall m)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.