Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Friday - June 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   WIN (6/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $11.56 $3.56 45%
    EXA (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-1 $26.79 $14.79 123%
    TRI (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-1-6 $37.71 $25.71 214%
ELP-3   WIN (3/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $10.46 $2.46 31%
    EXA (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-7 $36.12 $12.12 51%
    TRI (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-7-5 $91.57 $79.57 663%
    SFT (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 24 $0.10 $2.40  4-7-5-3 $74.35 $71.95 2998%
ELP-7   TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-3-1 $4.92 $1.92 64%
ELP-8   WIN (8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $8.42 $4.42 111%
    EXA (8/5)-(8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5-8 $17.92 $13.92 348%
    DD (3/2/1)-(8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-5 $12.20 $6.20 103%
    PK3 (8/1/7/3)-(3/2/1)-(8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-2-5 $15.24 $3.24 27%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   06/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT-11:30
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SAINT ROCCO 2 1 32 2nk   1½ 14 (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 14% 6.20 4.78 W
1  HALLELUJAH HARRIS 1 5 22 32½   34½ 24 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 10% 9.00 3.77 P
6  TAP VALLEY 6 2 12 1nk   2½ 34¼ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 3.00 44% 1.30 1.75 S
4  INNOCENT MAN 4 3 55 43   46½ 46½ (navarrete ann)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 5.21  
5  KINGDOM FORCE 5 7 79½ 78   56½ 56½ (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 10% 9.00 17.81  
3  THE RUSH IS ON 3 4 65½ 55½   68 68¾ (vosler e)STRANDBERG MALLORY 119 15.00 17.90  
7  EXPRESS CRUISER 7 6 43½ 66   726 739 (gutierrez f)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50 3.98  
SCR  DUNPHY               (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 4.50    
 
ELP-2   06/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT-11:57
See original race card.
:214 :441 1:084     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NON VIOLENCE 1 3 1½ 1nk   12 16 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 4.50 5.39  
3  JOKE SISI (CHI) 3 6 3½ 2nk   22 26 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 5.00 3.24  
2  SOMEBODY'S PROBLEM 2 5 2½ 3.2   32½ 36 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 116 5.00 8% 12.10 8.42 S
5  YOUR SO SILLEA 5 4 51¼ 52¼   45½ 49 (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 121 2.50 46% 1.20 1.25  
4  MERCY WARREN 4 1 4¾ 42¼   55½ 510 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 7.74  
6  PORTILLA 6 2 61¾ 64¼   68½ 617½ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 21% 3.70 5.40  
 
ELP-3   06/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT-12:24
See original race card.
:22 :442 1:083     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WIND OF CHANGE (BRZ) 4 6 42½ 31   1½ 12¼ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 26% 2.80 4.23 W
7  MAILMAN MONEY 7 1 21 2nk   2½ 22¼ (calhoun wi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 11% 8.40 1.96 P
5  SPEIGHT AND MALICE 5 2 31½ 42   33½ 33¾ (caramori )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 19.78 S
3  EMERALD EXPRESS 3 5 74¾ 65   68½ 47½ (morse l)LANERIE J 118 4.00 34% 1.90 5.21  
1  UPSTRIKER 1 7 64½ 75½   78½ 58 (navarrete ann)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 8.79  
2  VULCAN 2 3 52½ 54   46 68 (contreras ciprian)EMIGH A 118 3.50 2.78  
6  KOUFAX 6 4 11 1nk   57½ 718¼ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 8.25  
 
ELP-4   06/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT-12:51
See original race card.
:233 :46 1:102 1:232   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  OPENING NIGHT 5 5 21½ 21 2nk 13 16½ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 124 1.60 46% 1.20 0.22 W
9  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN 4 2 59 59½ 58½ 37½ 26½ (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 30.00 20.57  
6  CLOUDY BAY 3 1 11½ 11 1nk 23 311¾ (davis chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 5.28  
2  MILLION DOLLAR CAT 1 4 33 33 36½ 48½ 411¾ (arnold george )CHUAN MARTIN 118 10.00 27% 2.70 6.15  
3  BEL ARIA 2 3 43½ 43½ 48 511½ 515¾ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 124 30.00 6% 15.40 17.93  
SCR  BLING               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 2.50    
SCR  BOLIVIE (IRE)               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
SCR  CLEVER JOKE               (catalano way)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50    
SCR  HAY STACK               (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00    
SCR  MALAWNIA               (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 12.00    
 
ELP-5   06/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:222 :444       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  COPPER EM 10 2 11 1nk   12 14¼ (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 15.93  
  (by COPPER BULLET out of LOVELY EM by SCAT DADDY)
3  BELLA HAZE 3 1 31 2nk   22 24¼ (santamaria c)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 5% 19.00 63.37 P
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of CAPE HAZE by GHOSTZAPPER)
1  LOVE TO EAT 1 6 54 45   35½ 36½ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 7% 13.90 6.84 S
  (by MITOLE out of AWESOME FIGURE by PAYNTER)
12  GRACE GIVEN 12 12 1112¾ 1115¼   611 412 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 8.14  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of LONG LEAF by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  PHAROAH'S WINE 4 5 96¾ 88¾   59½ 512 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00 19.16  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SWEEPING PADDY by PADDY O'PRADO)
7  PINK WHITNEY 7 10 1213¼ 1215½   811¼ 613½ (o'neill doug)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 30.32  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MADAME MAYRA by SCAT DADDY)
11  CANDY OAK 11 11 21 32½   48 715 (diodoro r)TORRES A 119 10.00 32.11  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of AIN'T SHE SWEET by STORM CAT)
5  PLAYBACK 5 3 64½ 68   711 817½ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50 28% 2.50 4.88  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  CREDITOR 6 9 107¼ 57½   911¾ 917¾ (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 2.55  
  (by COLLECTED out of DEBIT by TAPIT)
9  SHE'S ARODEOQUEEN 9 7 43 98¾   1013¾ 1019¼ (tomlinson )HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 28.05  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of QUEENAMEINA by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
2  TOO FAST FOR YOU 2 8 85¼ 78¼   1114¾ 1121¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 44% 1.30 2.99  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of GIOVANNA BLUES by GIO PONTI)
8  UNMATCHED 8 4 74¾ 109¾   1217¾ 1223¼ (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 112 6.00 17.65  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of YAHILWA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  DESERT RHAPSODY               (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SHADY REFLECTION by SULTRY SONG)
 
ELP-6   06/30/2023 5940ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:132 1:384   1:521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HAMMERDONHAPPINESS 7 6 63½ 63½ 21 1nk 1¼ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 3.00 43% 1.30 2.89 W
2  SALSALITA VERDE 2 4 32 42 63½ 33½ 2¼ (leonard i)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 4.19  
1  ABBREVIATION 1 1 1½ 11½ 11 2nk 31¾ (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.50 21% 3.80 1.26 S
7  DEE DEE B 6 3 42½ 53 32 55 46 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 113 6.00 8% 11.30 8.79  
3  KEEN CONTENDER 3 7 74½ 73¾ 42 44½ 57½ (van thomas)NAVAS YOEL 118 12.00 7% 13.10 25.22  
4  EMBRACEABLE 4 5 53 31½ 73¾ 66½ 69¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 7.73  
6  CEE MINUS 5 2 2½ 21½ 52½ 78½ 719¼ (stuart sh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 13.96  
SCR  LA VILLAGE LUMIERE               (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00    
 
ELP-7   06/30/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:111 1:353   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TAPIT'S CONQUEST 2 1 21 2nk 2nk 1½ 1nk (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.00 29% 2.40 0.79 W
3  MAGIC TAP 3 2 11 1nk 1nk 2½ 2nk (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.40 37% 1.70 1.44 P
1  MOREAU 1 3 41¼ 32 32 34½ 35 (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 12% 7.40 10.16 S
6  SINGLE RULER 6 5 62¾ 64¼ 56 48½ 413 (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 118 15.00 28.24  
5  NIGHT EFFECT 5 6 52¾ 52¼ 43½ 58½ 514¼ (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00 18.94  
4  HURRY HURRY 4 4 31 42¼ 66½ 611½ 625½ (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 12.92  
 
ELP-8   06/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:39
See original race card.
:24 :463 1:103 1:23   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DASH ATTACK 2 1 21½ 21 2nk 1½ 11¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00 16% 5.10 3.21 W
8  BIG BLUE LINE 4 4 31½ 31½ 1nk 2½ 21¼ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00 38% 1.70 1.12 P
6  SANTOS DUMONT 3 2 11½ 11 3½ 32 35¼ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00 2.93  
2  FOUNDER 1 3 43½ 43½ 46½ 417 4100 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 3.00  
SCR  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE)               (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 117 8.00    
SCR  MCLOVIN               (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50    
SCR  STARTING OVER               (maker mic)TORRES A 122 8.00    
SCR  VINTAGE PRINT               (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00    
SCR  GRAY'S FABLE               (lynch bria)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00    
SCR  WAR CAMPAIGN               (sims a)LANERIE J 122 10.00    
SCR  CELLIST               (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.00    
SCR  BRITAIN'S KITTEN               (williamso)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00    
SCR  GOOD GOVERNANCE (GB)               (meah m)BEJARANO R 122 5.00    
 
ELP-9   06/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
See original race card.
:214 :434 1:081     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CHASING TIME 3 4 53 31   12½ 13 (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 5.27  
6  BEST ACTOR 5 1 2½ 2nk   22½ 23 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 121 1.80 49% 1.00 3.57 P
5  DROPPIN G'S 4 6 64½ 53¼   43 34¾ (antonuik jerry)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00 22.77  
1  KUPUNA 1 5 1½ 1nk   33 48 (calhoun wi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 21% 3.90 0.88  
2  GREAT ESCAPE (ARG) 2 2 3½ 64¼   55½ 58¾ (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 5.00 6% 14.80 12.69  
7  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER 6 3 41½ 41¼   67 616½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 5.00 4.32  
SCR  BIG DREAMING               (catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
 
ELP-10   06/30/2023 6600ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:12 1:37   2:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ROUTE RUNNER 3 31 41½ 43 11 1½ 12 (asmussen )TORRES A 118 12.00 4.20  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of PURE CLAN by PURE PRIZE)
1  SURFACE TO AIR 1 1½ 1½ 31½ 41½ 2½ 22 (miller da)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 20% 4.10 3.49 P
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SHEMAZON by CONGRATS)
16  ILLEGAL 5 42 31 2½ 21 31½ 35 (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 125 5.00 9% 9.70 4.72 S
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ISLAND SCHOOL by A.P. INDY)
10  SOYBEAN MAN 4 2½ 2½ 1½ 31 42 49½ (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 51% 1.00 0.90  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of MARTZ by SCAT DADDY)
4  OSCARGOT 2 52 51½ 56 57½ 59 522 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 9.29  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of WINE AND DYNE by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  PEEK               (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of WE USE TO SING by MINESHAFT)
SCR  QUALIFIED               (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LIL INDY by BUCKLEY BOY)
SCR  REAL NAUGHTY               (hiles je)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of NAUGHTY SISTER by ARCHARCHARCH)
SCR  SELF RULE               (preston rand)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 10.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of TEMPERENCE GIFT by KINGMAMBO)
SCR  STAND PROUD               (baker jame)HERNANDEZ J 125 20.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of LIL INDY by BUCKLEY BOY)
SCR  NOW AND LATER               (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of VAGABOND by ARCH)
SCR  MY BOY TONY               (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 118 5.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of BOLD CONTENDER by STRONG CONTENDER)
SCR  TIMO               (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 125 6.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of PONYTAIL by LONHRO (AUS))
SCR  DECANTED               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of KAHRUMANA by SHAMARDAL)
SCR  AMERICAN ONLY               (medina ro)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of ONLY BY THE NIGHT by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  FIREBALL FUN               (stall m)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of BARBECCA by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.