Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Friday - June 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (6/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $11.56 $11.56 3.56
ELP-2   Win (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $12.78  
ELP-3   Win (3/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $10.46 $10.46 2.46
ELP-4   Win (10/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 1 $2.44 $2.44  
ELP-5   Win (2/5/1/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $33.86  
ELP-6   Win (8/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $7.78 $7.78  
ELP-7   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.58 $3.58  
ELP-8   Win (8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $8.42 $8.42 4.42
ELP-9   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $12.54  
ELP-10   Win (10/1/16) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $10.40  
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   06/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT-11:30
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SAINT ROCCO 2 1 32 2nk   1½ 14 (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 14% 6.20 4.78 W
1  HALLELUJAH HARRIS 1 5 22 32½   34½ 24 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 10% 9.00 3.77 P
6  TAP VALLEY 6 2 12 1nk   2½ 34¼ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 119 3.00 44% 1.30 1.75 S
4  INNOCENT MAN 4 3 55 43   46½ 46½ (navarrete anna)CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00 5.21  
5  KINGDOM FORCE 5 7 79½ 78   56½ 56½ (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 10% 9.00 17.81  
3  THE RUSH IS ON 3 4 65½ 55½   68 68¾ (vosler eug)STRANDBERG MALLORY 119 15.00 17.90  
7  EXPRESS CRUISER 7 6 43½ 66   726 739 (gutierrez fau)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50 3.98  
SCR  DUNPHY               (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 4.50    
 
ELP-2   06/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT-11:57
See original race card.
:214 :441 1:084     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NON VIOLENCE 1 3 1½ 1nk   12 16 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 4.50 5.39  
3  JOKE SISI (CHI) 3 6 3½ 2nk   22 26 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 5.00 3.24  
2  SOMEBODY'S PROBLEM 2 5 2½ 3.2   32½ 36 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 116 5.00 8% 12.10 8.42 S
5  YOUR SO SILLEA 5 4 51¼ 52¼   45½ 49 (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 121 2.50 46% 1.20 1.25  
4  MERCY WARREN 4 1 4¾ 42¼   55½ 510 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 7.74  
6  PORTILLA 6 2 61¾ 64¼   68½ 617½ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 21% 3.70 5.40  
 
ELP-3   06/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT-12:24
See original race card.
:22 :442 1:083     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WIND OF CHANGE (BRZ) 4 6 42½ 31   1½ 12¼ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 26% 2.80 4.23 W
7  MAILMAN MONEY 7 1 21 2nk   2½ 22¼ (calhoun will)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 11% 8.40 1.96 P
5  SPEIGHT AND MALICE 5 2 31½ 42   33½ 33¾ (caramori ca)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 19.78 S
3  EMERALD EXPRESS 3 5 74¾ 65   68½ 47½ (morse l)LANERIE J 118 4.00 34% 1.90 5.21  
1  UPSTRIKER 1 7 64½ 75½   78½ 58 (navarrete anna)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 8.79  
2  VULCAN 2 3 52½ 54   46 68 (contreras cipriano)EMIGH A 118 3.50 2.78  
6  KOUFAX 6 4 11 1nk   57½ 718¼ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 8.25  
 
ELP-4   06/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT-12:51
See original race card.
:233 :46 1:102 1:232   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  OPENING NIGHT 5 5 21½ 21 2nk 13 16½ (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 124 1.60 46% 1.20 0.22 W
9  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN 4 2 59 59½ 58½ 37½ 26½ (faircloth aveo)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 30.00 20.57  
6  CLOUDY BAY 3 1 11½ 11 1nk 23 311¾ (davis chris)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 5.28  
2  MILLION DOLLAR CAT 1 4 33 33 36½ 48½ 411¾ (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 118 10.00 27% 2.70 6.15  
3  BEL ARIA 2 3 43½ 43½ 48 511½ 515¾ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 124 30.00 6% 15.40 17.93  
SCR  BLING               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 2.50    
SCR  BOLIVIE (IRE)               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
SCR  CLEVER JOKE               (catalano wayne)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50    
SCR  HAY STACK               (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00    
SCR  MALAWNIA               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 12.00    
 
ELP-5   06/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:222 :444       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  COPPER EM 10 2 11 1nk   12 14¼ (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 15.93  
3  BELLA HAZE 3 1 31 2nk   22 24¼ (santamaria car)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 5% 19.00 63.37 P
1  LOVE TO EAT 1 6 54 45   35½ 36½ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 7% 13.90 6.84 S
12  GRACE GIVEN 12 12 1112¾ 1115¼   611 412 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 8.14  
4  PHAROAH'S WINE 4 5 96¾ 88¾   59½ 512 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00 19.16  
7  PINK WHITNEY 7 10 1213¼ 1215½   811¼ 613½ (o'neill doug)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 30.32  
11  CANDY OAK 11 11 21 32½   48 715 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 10.00 32.11  
5  PLAYBACK 5 3 64½ 68   711 817½ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50 28% 2.50 4.88  
6  CREDITOR 6 9 107¼ 57½   911¾ 917¾ (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00 2.55  
9  SHE'S ARODEOQUEEN 9 7 43 98¾   1013¾ 1019¼ (tomlinson mi)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 28.05  
2  TOO FAST FOR YOU 2 8 85¼ 78¼   1114¾ 1121¾ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 44% 1.30 2.99  
8  UNMATCHED 8 4 74¾ 109¾   1217¾ 1223¼ (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 112 6.00 17.65  
SCR  DESERT RHAPSODY               (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
 
ELP-6   06/30/2023 5940ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:132 1:384   1:521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HAMMERDONHAPPINESS 7 6 63½ 63½ 21 1nk 1¼ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 3.00 43% 1.30 2.89 W
2  SALSALITA VERDE 2 4 32 42 63½ 33½ 2¼ (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 4.19  
1  ABBREVIATION 1 1 1½ 11½ 11 2nk 31¾ (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.50 21% 3.80 1.26 S
7  DEE DEE B 6 3 42½ 53 32 55 46 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 113 6.00 8% 11.30 8.79  
3  KEEN CONTENDER 3 7 74½ 73¾ 42 44½ 57½ (van thomas)NAVAS YOEL 118 12.00 7% 13.10 25.22  
4  EMBRACEABLE 4 5 53 31½ 73¾ 66½ 69¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 7.73  
6  CEE MINUS 5 2 2½ 21½ 52½ 78½ 719¼ (stuart shea)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 13.96  
SCR  LA VILLAGE LUMIERE               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00    
 
ELP-7   06/30/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:111 1:353   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TAPIT'S CONQUEST 2 1 21 2nk 2nk 1½ 1nk (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.00 29% 2.40 0.79 W
3  MAGIC TAP 3 2 11 1nk 1nk 2½ 2nk (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.40 37% 1.70 1.44 P
1  MOREAU 1 3 41¼ 32 32 34½ 35 (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 12% 7.40 10.16 S
6  SINGLE RULER 6 5 62¾ 64¼ 56 48½ 413 (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 15.00 28.24  
5  NIGHT EFFECT 5 6 52¾ 52¼ 43½ 58½ 514¼ (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00 18.94  
4  HURRY HURRY 4 4 31 42¼ 66½ 611½ 625½ (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 12.92  
 
ELP-8   06/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:39
See original race card.
:24 :463 1:103 1:23   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DASH ATTACK 2 1 21½ 21 2nk 1½ 11¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00 16% 5.10 3.21 W
8  BIG BLUE LINE 4 4 31½ 31½ 1nk 2½ 21¼ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00 38% 1.70 1.12 P
6  SANTOS DUMONT 3 2 11½ 11 3½ 32 35¼ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00 2.93  
2  FOUNDER 1 3 43½ 43½ 46½ 417 4100 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 3.00  
SCR  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE)               (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 117 8.00    
SCR  MCLOVIN               (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50    
SCR  STARTING OVER               (maker micha)TORRES A 122 8.00    
SCR  VINTAGE PRINT               (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00    
SCR  GRAY'S FABLE               (lynch brian )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00    
SCR  WAR CAMPAIGN               (sims a)LANERIE J 122 10.00    
SCR  CELLIST               (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.00    
SCR  BRITAIN'S KITTEN               (williamson )LEPAROUX R 122 30.00    
SCR  GOOD GOVERNANCE (GB)               (meah m)BEJARANO R 122 5.00    
 
ELP-9   06/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
See original race card.
:214 :434 1:081     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CHASING TIME 3 4 53 31   12½ 13 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00 5.27  
6  BEST ACTOR 5 1 2½ 2nk   22½ 23 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 121 1.80 49% 1.00 3.57 P
5  DROPPIN G'S 4 6 64½ 53¼   43 34¾ (antonuik jerry)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00 22.77  
1  KUPUNA 1 5 1½ 1nk   33 48 (calhoun will)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 21% 3.90 0.88  
2  GREAT ESCAPE (ARG) 2 2 3½ 64¼   55½ 58¾ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 121 5.00 6% 14.80 12.69  
7  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER 6 3 41½ 41¼   67 616½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 5.00 4.32  
SCR  BIG DREAMING               (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
 
ELP-10   06/30/2023 6600ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:12 1:37   2:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ROUTE RUNNER 3 31 41½ 43 11 1½ 12 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 12.00 4.20  
1  SURFACE TO AIR 1 1½ 1½ 31½ 41½ 2½ 22 (miller darr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 20% 4.10 3.49 P
16  ILLEGAL 5 42 31 2½ 21 31½ 35 (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 125 5.00 9% 9.70 4.72 S
10  SOYBEAN MAN 4 2½ 2½ 1½ 31 42 49½ (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 51% 1.00 0.90  
4  OSCARGOT 2 52 51½ 56 57½ 59 522 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 9.29  
SCR  PEEK               (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00    
SCR  QUALIFIED               (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00    
SCR  REAL NAUGHTY               (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
SCR  SELF RULE               (preston randy)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 10.00    
SCR  STAND PROUD               (baker james)HERNANDEZ J 125 20.00    
SCR  NOW AND LATER               (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
SCR  MY BOY TONY               (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 5.00    
SCR  TIMO               (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 125 6.00    
SCR  DECANTED               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
SCR  AMERICAN ONLY               (medina robe)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
SCR  FIREBALL FUN               (stall m)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.