Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Ellis Park
Friday - June 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   WIN (6/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5)-(6/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/1/5)-(5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/5)-(5/6/2)-(3/4/7/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ELP-2   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(3/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(3/4/7/5)-(10/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ELP-3   WIN (3/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/7/5)-(10/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/5)-(10/2/3)-(2/5/1/3/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
ELP-4   WIN (10/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/2/3)-(10/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/2/3)-(10/2/3)-(10/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (10/2/3)-(2/5/1/3/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/2/3)-(2/5/1/3/9)-(8/1/7/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
ELP-5   WIN (2/5/1/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/3/9)-(2/5/1/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/3/9)-(2/5/1/3/9)-(2/5/1/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/1/3/9)-(8/1/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/3/9)-(8/1/7/3)-(3/2/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
ELP-6   WIN (8/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/7/3)-(3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/3)-(3/2/1)-(8/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
ELP-7   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(8/5)-(6/1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
ELP-8   WIN (8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/5)-(8/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (8/5)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/5)-(6/1/2)-(10/1/16) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
ELP-9   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(10/1/16) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ELP-10   WIN (10/1/16) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/1/16)-(10/1/16) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/1/16)-(10/1/16)-(10/1/16) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELP-1   06/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT-11:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALLELUJAH HARRIS         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 10% 9.00    
2  SAINT ROCCO Jun10 Apr27       (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 14% 6.20    
3  THE RUSH IS ON Jun16 May18 Apr27 Apr13   (vosler eugene )HUGHES CARLY 119 15.00    
4  INNOCENT MAN May11 Apr20       (navarrete )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 5.00    
5  KINGDOM FORCE         (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 10% 9.00    
6  TAP VALLEY         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
7  EXPRESS CRUISER Jun16 Apr26       (gutierrez f)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 3.50    
SCR  DUNPHY Jun04 May11 Apr26     (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 4.50    
 
ELP-2   06/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT-11:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NON VIOLENCE May25 Apr27 Feb12 Jan16 Dec22 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 4.50    
2  SOMEBODY'S PROBLEM May13 Apr01 Oct28 Aug26 Aug07 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 116 5.00 8% 12.10    
3  JOKE SISI (CHI) Jun03         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 5.00    
4  MERCY WARREN Feb25 Jan01 Nov27 Oct29 Jun26 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50    
5  YOUR SO SILLEA May13 Apr15 Mar16 Feb23 Jan26 (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
6  PORTILLA May13 Jan14 Dec03 Nov06 Sep23 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
ELP-3   06/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT-12:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPSTRIKER May25 Apr15 Apr02 Feb26 Feb04 (navarrete ann)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00    
2  VULCAN May05 Mar17 Feb25 Jan28 Jan06 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 3.50    
3  EMERALD EXPRESS May26 May04 Feb10 Jan08 Dec18 (morse l)LANERIE J 118 4.00 34% 1.90    
4  WIND OF CHANGE (BRZ) May14 Dec31 Nov12 Sep04 Jul24 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 26% 2.80    
5  SPEIGHT AND MALICE Jun04 May21 Aug21 Jul03 May14 (caramori )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  KOUFAX Jun02 Mar16 Jan28 Dec21 Oct02 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50    
7  MAILMAN MONEY Jun04 May05 Mar24 Mar02 Jan26 (calhoun wi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00 11% 8.40    
 
ELP-4   06/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT-12:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOLIVIE (IRE) May12 Mar25       (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
2  MILLION DOLLAR CAT May24         (arnold ge)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 27% 2.70    
3  BEL ARIA Jun17 Apr16 Mar31 Mar09 Feb16 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 124 30.00 6% 15.40    
SCR  HAY STACK May18 Apr07 Jan22 Nov19 Sep23 (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00    
SCR  BLING May17 Nov04 Oct07 Aug20 Jul22 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 2.50    
6  CLOUDY BAY May29 Apr27 Mar12 Feb12 Dec28 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  MALAWNIA May12 Jan12 Dec03 Sep17 Aug13 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 12.00    
SCR  CLEVER JOKE May12 Mar09 Dec03 Aug28   (catalano way)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50    
9  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Jun08 Mar23 Feb23 Feb10 Jan04 (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 30.00    
10  OPENING NIGHT May12 Mar26 May04 Feb11   (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 124 1.60 46% 1.20    
 
ELP-5   06/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE TO EAT         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 7% 13.90    
  (by MITOLE out of AWESOME FIGURE by PAYNTER)
2  TOO FAST FOR YOU May11         (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of GIOVANNA BLUES by GIO PONTI)
3  BELLA HAZE         (santamaria c)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of CAPE HAZE by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  PHAROAH'S WINE         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SWEEPING PADDY by PADDY O'PRADO)
5  PLAYBACK         (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50 28% 2.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  CREDITOR         (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of DEBIT by TAPIT)
7  PINK WHITNEY         (o'neill doug)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MADAME MAYRA by SCAT DADDY)
8  UNMATCHED May19 Apr26       (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 112 6.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of YAHILWA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9  SHE'S ARODEOQUEEN         (tomlinson )HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of QUEENAMEINA by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
10  COPPER EM         (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of LOVELY EM by SCAT DADDY)
11  CANDY OAK         (diodoro r)TORRES A 119 10.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of AIN'T SHE SWEET by STORM CAT)
12  GRACE GIVEN         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of LONG LEAF by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  DESERT RHAPSODY         (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SHADY REFLECTION by SULTRY SONG)
 
ELP-6   06/30/2023 5940ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABBREVIATION May29 Apr29 Apr07 Feb24 Jan13 (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.50 21% 3.80    
2  SALSALITA VERDE Jun08 Mar24 Mar02 Feb09 Jan20 (leonard i)BEJARANO R 118 4.00    
3  KEEN CONTENDER May19 Apr15 Mar16 Feb19 Feb10 (van thomas)NAVAS YOEL 118 12.00 7% 13.10    
4  EMBRACEABLE May29 May02       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
SCR  LA VILLAGE LUMIERE Jun27 May13 Apr20 Mar25 Feb23 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00    
6  CEE MINUS Jun18 Apr28 Mar26 Feb17 Jan27 (stuart sh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00    
7  DEE DEE B May24 Apr28 Mar09     (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 113 6.00 8% 11.30    
8  HAMMERDONHAPPINESS Jun11 May19 Mar05     (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
ELP-7   06/30/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOREAU May14 Apr22       (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 12% 7.40    
2  TAPIT'S CONQUEST May20 Mar25 Feb18 Jan21 Oct01 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.00 29% 2.40    
3  MAGIC TAP Jun02 Apr16       (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.40 37% 1.70    
4  HURRY HURRY Jun11 Mar16 Feb17     (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
5  NIGHT EFFECT Jun02 May06 Apr01     (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00    
6  SINGLE RULER Jun11 May29 Mar25 Feb18 Jan21 (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 118 15.00    
 
ELP-8   06/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MCLOVIN Sep10 Jun03 Apr24 Feb13   (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50    
2  FOUNDER May11 Mar25 Jan27 Dec28 Nov06 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
SCR  BRITAIN'S KITTEN May27 Apr28 Mar11 Feb11 Dec31 (williamso)LEPAROUX R 122 30.00    
SCR  CELLIST Dec17 Oct14 Aug13 Jul27 May21 (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.00    
5  DASH ATTACK Jun11 May11 Apr28 Apr08 May14 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00 16% 5.10    
6  SANTOS DUMONT May27 Jul04 Jun04 May01 Apr02 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00    
SCR  GRAY'S FABLE Jun01 May04 Apr01 Feb10 Oct08 (lynch bria)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00    
8  BIG BLUE LINE Mar24 Feb18 Jan14 Nov27 Oct20 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  VINTAGE PRINT May11 Oct23 Sep28 Aug26 Jul15 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00    
SCR  GOOD GOVERNANCE (GB) Jun04 Mar04 Jan28 Dec31 Sep29 (meah m)BEJARANO R 122 5.00    
SCR  STARTING OVER Jun04 Mar10 Feb04 Nov13 Sep29 (maker mic)TORRES A 122 8.00    
SCR  WAR CAMPAIGN May25 Apr20 Mar16 Nov19 Oct22 (sims a)LANERIE J 122 10.00    
SCR  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) May27 May12 Apr21 Mar17 Feb18 (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 117 8.00    
 
ELP-9   06/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KUPUNA May27 May06 Apr20 Mar18 Jan29 (calhoun wi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 21% 3.90    
2  GREAT ESCAPE (ARG) May05 Apr07 Feb18 Jan07 Nov22 (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 5.00 6% 14.80    
3  CHASING TIME Jun01 May04 Apr08 Feb25 Feb05 (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00    
SCR  BIG DREAMING Nov20 Jun11 Feb19     (catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
5  DROPPIN G'S Jan01 Dec21 Nov17 Nov04 Jun25 (antonuik jerry)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00    
6  BEST ACTOR Sep25 Aug23 Jul09 Jun12 Apr16 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 121 1.80 49% 1.00    
7  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER May14 Mar18 Feb11 Jan06 Nov23 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 5.00    
 
ELP-10   06/30/2023 6600ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURFACE TO AIR May28 Apr28 Jan20 Nov19 Oct21 (miller da)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 20% 4.10    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SHEMAZON by CONGRATS)
SCR  FIREBALL FUN May28 May14       (stall m)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of BARBECCA by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
SCR  DECANTED May28 Apr08 Feb10 Nov18 Oct16 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of KAHRUMANA by SHAMARDAL)
4  OSCARGOT May28         (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of WINE AND DYNE by DYNAFORMER)
5  ROUTE RUNNER May02 Apr01 Feb18 Sep10 Aug20 (asmussen )TORRES A 118 12.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of PURE CLAN by PURE PRIZE)
SCR  AMERICAN ONLY May28 Apr20       (medina ro)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of ONLY BY THE NIGHT by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  QUALIFIED May28 May04 Feb25 Sep13   (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LIL INDY by BUCKLEY BOY)
SCR  STAND PROUD Jun02 Apr22 Mar23 Mar12 Jan27 (baker jame)HERNANDEZ J 125 20.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of LIL INDY by BUCKLEY BOY)
SCR  REAL NAUGHTY May06 Apr13       (hiles je)SANTANA JR 118 20.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of NAUGHTY SISTER by ARCHARCHARCH)
10  SOYBEAN MAN May28 May06 Apr15 Mar18 Dec31 (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 51% 1.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of MARTZ by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  TIMO Jan04 Nov30 Oct22 Sep06 Aug19 (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 125 6.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of PONYTAIL by LONHRO (AUS))
SCR  PEEK May14 Feb10 Dec29     (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of WE USE TO SING by MINESHAFT)
SCR  MY BOY TONY Apr08 Mar10       (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 118 5.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of BOLD CONTENDER by STRONG CONTENDER)
SCR  NOW AND LATER Jun16 May04 Jan28 Dec03 Oct18 (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of VAGABOND by ARCH)
SCR  SELF RULE May28 May11 Feb16 Jan25 Dec31 (preston rand)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 10.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of TEMPERENCE GIFT by KINGMAMBO)
16  ILLEGAL Jun13 May21       (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 5.00 9% 9.70    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ISLAND SCHOOL by A.P. INDY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.