Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Saturday - June 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.36 $6.36 0.36
ELP-2   Win (5/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $18.60  
ELP-3   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.42 $5.42  
ELP-4   Win (5/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $40.66  
ELP-5   Win (7/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $33.84  
ELP-6   Win (8/4/5/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $6.76 $6.76  
ELP-7   Win (1/11/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.70 $2.70  
ELP-8   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.50 $4.50  
ELP-9   Win (6/9/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $18.20  
ELP-10   Win (6/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $7.38  
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   06/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:102     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DARYL'S BOLT 5 3 43 43   33 1¼ (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.00 12% 7.50 2.18 W
4  CAPTIVATED DRAMA 4 1 11½ 11   12 2¼ (wong jonathan)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00 58% 0.70 3.01 P
6  CHARLIE WHISKEY 6 2 21½ 21   22 35¼ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 4.00 3.06  
2  CREPE YARNS 2 6 65½ 65   56½ 46¼ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 3.11  
1  CRAVENSWORTH 1 4 32½ 33   45½ 59¾ (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 8.40  
3  ROYAL AIR FORCE 3 5 54½ 54½   68½ 614¾ (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 17.40  
 
ELP-2   06/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 2 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :461       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MISS SAIPAN 7 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 11¾ (gutierrez fa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 8.30  
6  SAPPHIRE NIGHTS 6 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 21¾ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 2.00 8% 11.70 1.32 P
1  BOOTSY'S MERLOT 1 5 54¼ 33½   34 35 (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 11.60  
5  GROVE ST. 5 6 34 43¾   44¼ 45¾ (hancock a)NAVAS YOEL 112 4.00 52% 0.90 7.66  
2  CASSOULET 2 2 44¼ 55¾   59¾ 514½ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 2.59  
3  LITTLE SASS 3 4 89¼ 711¾   611¾ 615¼ (demeritte larr)ROMERO GREGORY 119 20.00 36.29  
4  SLAINTE MHATH 4 7 67¾ 611¾   714¼ 720 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 114 3.50 15% 5.90 6.32  
10  STRANGE JOY 8 8 78¾ 814¾   818¾ 829¼ (bright derri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 20.00 24.52  
SCR  OUR KEEPSAKE               (lukas wayn)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 15.00    
SCR  WRECK IT RUBY               (holsapple h)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
 
ELP-3   06/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:221 :443 1:092     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HOYA PARANOYA 3 5 11 11½   13 12½ (puhich mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 18% 4.60 1.71 W
4  COURTHOUSE COVE 4 1 32 31½   23 22½ (wong jonat)RODRIGUEZ A 118 2.00 37% 1.70 1.18 P
2  BIG BEEMSTER 2 4 57 58   510 311¼ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 24.43  
5  ASPEN CLUB 5 3 43½ 45   48 411¾ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 123 10.00 11.70  
6  SANTA CRUISER 6 2 21 21½   37 513½ (cano munoz)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 6.00 12% 7.10 13.07  
1  INVISIBLE WAR 1 6 68 610½   613 615¾ (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 123 2.50 4.02  
 
ELP-4   06/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:221 :45 :58     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WOODCOURT 2 1 22½ 22½   22 11¼ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00 19.33  
7  BALTA 5 2 12½ 12½   12 21¼ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50 26% 2.90 0.69 P
1  SHAKIN LOOSE 1 3 45½ 46½   35½ 32½ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 3.98  
8  RACCOON RODEO 6 6 57 510½   512 414¾ (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00 5% 19.00 14.76  
4  JUST STEEL 3 7 34 34½   48½ 516½ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 6.07  
6  STEEL LINK 4 4 78½ 711½   614 623¼ (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 13.69  
9  CAPER'S HOOLEY 7 5 67½ 610½   717 729 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 8.87  
SCR  EPIC BATTLE               (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00    
SCR  NORMANDY HERO               (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  NORTHERN FLAME               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00    
 
ELP-5   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:46
See original race card.
:224 :453 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HOCUS (GB) 5 2 2nk 12   13 11½ (thompson michae)CANNON DECLAN 123 6.00 15.92  
3  ICEATUDE 3 5 42½ 32   23 21½ (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 10.00 14.10  
2  DR. PERRY 2 4 32 22   33 33 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.00 10% 9.20 4.13 S
7  OVERBORE 6 6 63¼ 42¼   45 45½ (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 118 1.60 35% 1.90 1.23  
4  KENTUCKY BOURBON 4 7 75¼ 75¾   67¾ 58¼ (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 6.24  
8  SPARTAN ARMY 7 1 52¾ 64¼   57½ 68½ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.50 30% 2.30 2.68  
1  JEREMY'S JET 1 3 1nk 52¼   78¼ 714¼ (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 118 30.00 27.45  
SCR  KBCYA LATER               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
 
ELP-6   06/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:142 1:382   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MORE THAN LOOKS 7 8 75 75¼ 74¾ 53½ 1¼ (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 4.00 41% 1.40 2.38 W
10  FEARLESS SOLDIER 9 6 11½ 11 1nk 1½ 2¼ (pletcher t)SANTANA JR 118 4.50 5% 18.10 7.43 P
4  MIRANDA RIGHTS 3 1 53½ 53 63¾ 32 3¾ (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 23% 3.30 5.22 DQ↓4
5  DEMOLITION DUKE 4 2 32 41½ 42¼ 42½ 41½ (davis christ)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 6% 15.40 7.70 S
11  OCEAN POINTE 10 7 42½ 31½ 2nk 2½ 51½ (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 118 5.00 5% 19.00 6.74  
9  ANGLOPHILE 8 5 63½ 63¼ 53¼ 63½ 63½ (lynch brian )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 3.22  
7  THREE ON THE TREE 6 10 87 85¾ 95¾ 74 73¾ (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 41.72  
6  GO BALI GO 5 3 21½ 21 32 86 85¼ (nance jonathan)BEJARANO R 124 20.00 17.41  
1  ROJA REDEMPTION 1 9 109¼ 107¾ 85¾ 97½ 96 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 18.20  
2  POINT PROVEN 2 4 99 97¼ 108¼ 1014½ 1020 (cohn alice )LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 36.11  
SCR  DOG RED               (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 15.00    
SCR  DUNEDIN               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
SCR  EL AHIJADO               (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 117 20.00    
SCR  MOONSTRIKE (GB)               (engler jeff)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
 
ELP-7   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:22 :444 :564     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZEITLOS 1 4 21 1½   12 13¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 1.60 48% 1.10 0.35 W
8  UNCORKED (AUS) 3 1 11 2½   22 23¾ (wong jonathan)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 12.00 14.06  
9  IT'S MAGIC 4 5 58 48½   47½ 36¼ (winebaugh ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 27.50  
11  DRIANA 6 3 33 33½   36 48½ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 30% 2.30 3.24  
3  PHAT CHANCE FANCY 2 6 611 612½   612 512 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 14.34  
10  SAUCY SECRET 5 2 45 58½   510 617½ (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 12.05  
SCR  SUPER CHRISTIE               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 30.00    
SCR  SPELTERINI               (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 4.00    
SCR  RITA'S ONTHE BEACH               (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
SCR  PETTICOAT               (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
SCR  CORRI FELICE               (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
SCR  WITH THIS RING               (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00    
SCR  A LOTTA WILD               (catalano wayne )GILLIGAN JACK 118 15.00    
 
ELP-8   06/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Monomoy Girl Overnight Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 5:11
See original race card.
:251 :484 1:131 1:243   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HOOSIER PHILLY 3 1 11½ 12 12 14½ 13½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 1.40 40% 1.50 1.25 W
1  WET PAINT 1 3 54 54 54¼ 34½ 23½ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20 35% 1.80 0.65 P
2  FLAMAND 2 2 32 32½ 22 24½ 38¾ (lopez elias)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 5% 19.00 28.22 S
5  CHAMPAGNE CALLING 4 4 43 43½ 42¼ 45½ 49¼ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 9.64  
6  SABRA TUFF 5 5 21½ 22 32 57½ 512½ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 25.35  
SCR  NEVER TELL PATTI               (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
 
ELP-9   06/17/2023 6600ft TURF RC11 FIRM Chorleywood Overnight Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:252 :511 1:153 1:394   2:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  VIVAR 3 32 31½ 32 2½ 1nk 1nk (medina robe)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 8.10  
2  THERAPIST 2 54½ 54¾ 55 33 31½ 2nk (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 4.76  
1  HIDDEN STASH 1 12 11½ 12 1½ 2nk 3¼ (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 9% 10.20 10.33 S
9  TIZ THE BOMB 8 75½ 77¾ 77½ 75¼ 42 4¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 22% 3.60 5.12  
8  MEDIA BLITZ 7 44 44½ 44 53¼ 52½ 51 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 13.66  
6  FOREIGN RELATIONS 5 65 66¼ 66 64¼ 64½ 63¾ (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 123 2.00 42% 1.40 1.00  
7  BAY STREET MONEY 6 87½ 88¾ 87¾ 86¼ 76 76 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 9.68  
5  PUNCH HARD 4 22 21½ 22 43 86½ 88¾ (beckman whitwort)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 5% 19.00 56.41  
SCR  FENWICK STATION               (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
 
ELP-10   06/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:093     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONDIMENT GIRL 1 5 11 11   13½ 18¾ (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00 2.69  
3  LA CUMPARSITA 2 4 31½ 41½   23½ 28¾ (hester haley)BECKMAN ALICE 117 15.00 5% 19.00 18.67 P
9  LAMASCO 7 3 63½ 62¾   47½ 310 (gutierrez f)TORRES A 124 10.00 9.91  
5  SONADOR 4 1 21 21   35 411¼ (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 117 10.00 11.65  
6  T MAX 5 2 42 31½   57½ 516¼ (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 118 3.00 46% 1.20 1.44  
4  LUCY'S CAKES FLY 3 7 52½ 52½   67¾ 616¾ (claire alex)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 19% 4.10 3.94  
7  BEL ARIA 6 6 74½ 76¾   710¾ 719¾ (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 4.50 10% 9.30 8.11  
SCR  ACACIAHELPME               (shirer matt )HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00    
SCR  DE' ANS EIGHTY               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.