Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Saturday - June 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-4 $22.52 $10.52 88%
ELP-6   EXA (8/4/5/10/11)-(8/4/5/10/11) 20 $2.00 $40.00  8-10 $46.96 $6.96 17%
    TRI (8/4/5/10/11)-(8/4/5/10/11)-(8/4/5/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00  8-10-5 $81.30 $51.30 171%
    SFT (8/4/5/10/11)-(8/4/5/10/11)-(8/4/5/10/11)-(8/4/5/10/11) 120 $0.10 $12.00  8-10-5-4 $69.16 $57.16 476%
ELP-8   TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-1-2 $15.54 $12.54 418%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   06/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:102     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DARYL'S BOLT 5 3 43 43   33 1¼ (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.00 12% 7.50 2.18 W
4  CAPTIVATED DRAMA 4 1 11½ 11   12 2¼ (wong jonathan)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00 58% 0.70 3.01 P
6  CHARLIE WHISKEY 6 2 21½ 21   22 35¼ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 4.00 3.06  
2  CREPE YARNS 2 6 65½ 65   56½ 46¼ (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50 3.11  
1  CRAVENSWORTH 1 4 32½ 33   45½ 59¾ (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 8.40  
3  ROYAL AIR FORCE 3 5 54½ 54½   68½ 614¾ (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 17.40  
 
ELP-2   06/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 2 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :461       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MISS SAIPAN 7 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 11¾ (gutierrez )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 8.30  
6  SAPPHIRE NIGHTS 6 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 21¾ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 2.00 8% 11.70 1.32 P
1  BOOTSY'S MERLOT 1 5 54¼ 33½   34 35 (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00 11.60  
5  GROVE ST. 5 6 34 43¾   44¼ 45¾ (hancock a)NAVAS YOEL 112 4.00 52% 0.90 7.66  
2  CASSOULET 2 2 44¼ 55¾   59¾ 514½ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 2.59  
3  LITTLE SASS 3 4 89¼ 711¾   611¾ 615¼ (demeritte la)ROMERO GREGORY 119 20.00 36.29  
4  SLAINTE MHATH 4 7 67¾ 611¾   714¼ 720 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 114 3.50 15% 5.90 6.32  
10  STRANGE JOY 8 8 78¾ 814¾   818¾ 829¼ (bright der)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 20.00 24.52  
SCR  OUR KEEPSAKE               (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 15.00    
SCR  WRECK IT RUBY               (holsapple)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
 
ELP-3   06/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:221 :443 1:092     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HOYA PARANOYA 3 5 11 11½   13 12½ (puhich mik)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 18% 4.60 1.71 W
4  COURTHOUSE COVE 4 1 32 31½   23 22½ (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 118 2.00 37% 1.70 1.18 P
2  BIG BEEMSTER 2 4 57 58   510 311¼ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 24.43  
5  ASPEN CLUB 5 3 43½ 45   48 411¾ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 123 10.00 11.70  
6  SANTA CRUISER 6 2 21 21½   37 513½ (cano muno)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 6.00 12% 7.10 13.07  
1  INVISIBLE WAR 1 6 68 610½   613 615¾ (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 123 2.50 4.02  
 
ELP-4   06/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:221 :45 :58     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WOODCOURT 2 1 22½ 22½   22 11¼ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00 19.33  
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of WARRIORESS by POWERFUL VENUE)
7  BALTA 5 2 12½ 12½   12 21¼ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50 26% 2.90 0.69 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of LAQUESTA by LEMON DROP KID)
1  SHAKIN LOOSE 1 3 45½ 46½   35½ 32½ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 3.98  
  (by MUNNINGS out of NEW SHAKER by BERNSTEIN)
8  RACCOON RODEO 6 6 57 510½   512 414¾ (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00 5% 19.00 14.76  
  (by BERNARDINI out of CORONADO ROSE by CORONADO'S QUEST)
4  JUST STEEL 3 7 34 34½   48½ 516½ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 6.07  
  (by JUSTIFY out of IRISH LIGHTS by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
6  STEEL LINK 4 4 78½ 711½   614 623¼ (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 13.69  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BANSHEE BIRDIE by BIRDSTONE)
9  CAPER'S HOOLEY 7 5 67½ 610½   717 729 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 8.87  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of BEAR IT by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
SCR  EPIC BATTLE               (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SPEEDY WAR by WAR FRONT)
SCR  NORMANDY HERO               (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SWAN OF THE NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  NORTHERN FLAME               (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DARLING'S DARLING by BERNARDINI)
 
ELP-5   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:46
See original race card.
:224 :453 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HOCUS (GB) 5 2 2nk 12   13 11½ (thompson mich)CANNON DECLAN 123 6.00 15.92  
3  ICEATUDE 3 5 42½ 32   23 21½ (navarrete )LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 10.00 14.10  
2  DR. PERRY 2 4 32 22   33 33 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.00 10% 9.20 4.13 S
7  OVERBORE 6 6 63¼ 42¼   45 45½ (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 1.60 35% 1.90 1.23  
4  KENTUCKY BOURBON 4 7 75¼ 75¾   67¾ 58¼ (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 6.24  
8  SPARTAN ARMY 7 1 52¾ 64¼   57½ 68½ (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.50 30% 2.30 2.68  
1  JEREMY'S JET 1 3 1nk 52¼   78¼ 714¼ (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 118 30.00 27.45  
SCR  KBCYA LATER               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
 
ELP-6   06/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:142 1:382   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MORE THAN LOOKS 7 8 75 75¼ 74¾ 53½ 1¼ (devaux ch)TORRES A 118 4.00 41% 1.40 2.38 W
10  FEARLESS SOLDIER 9 6 11½ 11 1nk 1½ 2¼ (pletcher)SANTANA JR 118 4.50 5% 18.10 7.43 P
4  MIRANDA RIGHTS 3 1 53½ 53 63¾ 32 3¾ (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 23% 3.30 5.22 DQ↓4
5  DEMOLITION DUKE 4 2 32 41½ 42¼ 42½ 41½ (davis chri)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 6% 15.40 7.70 S
11  OCEAN POINTE 10 7 42½ 31½ 2nk 2½ 51½ (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 118 5.00 5% 19.00 6.74  
9  ANGLOPHILE 8 5 63½ 63¼ 53¼ 63½ 63½ (lynch bria)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 3.22  
7  THREE ON THE TREE 6 10 87 85¾ 95¾ 74 73¾ (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 41.72  
6  GO BALI GO 5 3 21½ 21 32 86 85¼ (nance jonathan)BEJARANO R 124 20.00 17.41  
1  ROJA REDEMPTION 1 9 109¼ 107¾ 85¾ 97½ 96 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00 18.20  
2  POINT PROVEN 2 4 99 97¼ 108¼ 1014½ 1020 (cohn alic)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 36.11  
SCR  DOG RED               (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 15.00    
SCR  DUNEDIN               (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
SCR  EL AHIJADO               (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 117 20.00    
SCR  MOONSTRIKE (GB)               (engler jeff)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
 
ELP-7   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:22 :444 :564     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZEITLOS 1 4 21 1½   12 13¾ (asmussen )TORRES A 118 1.60 48% 1.10 0.35 W
  (by CURLIN out of THYME FOR ROSES by REDOUTE'S CHOICE)
8  UNCORKED (AUS) 3 1 11 2½   22 23¾ (wong jonathan)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 12.00 14.06  
  (by PIERRO out of PIAF by PROUD BIRDIE)
9  IT'S MAGIC 4 5 58 48½   47½ 36¼ (winebaugh )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 27.50  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of HONOUR ISABEL by HONOUR AND GLORY)
11  DRIANA 6 3 33 33½   36 48½ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 30% 2.30 3.24  
  (by KANTHAROS out of MARCELLINA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  PHAT CHANCE FANCY 2 6 611 612½   612 512 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 14.34  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SPARKLING CITY by CAPE TOWN)
10  SAUCY SECRET 5 2 45 58½   510 617½ (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 12.05  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TIZ MIZ SUE by TIZNOW)
SCR  SUPER CHRISTIE               (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 30.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of CHRISTIE VILLAGE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
SCR  SPELTERINI               (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 4.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of KEEPSHERCOOL by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  RITA'S ONTHE BEACH               (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of LAC DU PRINTEMPS by MEADOWLAKE)
SCR  PETTICOAT               (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SPINSTRESS by HARD SPUN)
SCR  CORRI FELICE               (puhich mi)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ONE SHOW ONLY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  WITH THIS RING               (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of TRIPLE O' FIVE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  A LOTTA WILD               (catalano wayn)GILLIGAN JACK 118 15.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SHE BE WILD by OFFLEE WILD)
 
ELP-8   06/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Monomoy Girl Overnight Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 5:11
See original race card.
:251 :484 1:131 1:243   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HOOSIER PHILLY 3 1 11½ 12 12 14½ 13½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 1.40 40% 1.50 1.25 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TAPELLA by TAPIT)
1  WET PAINT 1 3 54 54 54¼ 34½ 23½ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20 35% 1.80 0.65 P
  (by BLAME out of SKY PAINTER by STREET CRY (IRE))
2  FLAMAND 2 2 32 32½ 22 24½ 38¾ (lopez elia)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 5% 19.00 28.22 S
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of COVEY TRACE by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
5  CHAMPAGNE CALLING 4 4 43 43½ 42¼ 45½ 49¼ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 9.64  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of ESCULTURA by PULPIT)
6  SABRA TUFF 5 5 21½ 22 32 57½ 512½ (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 25.35  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CACTUS CADILLAC by CACTUS RIDGE)
SCR  NEVER TELL PATTI               (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of PRINCESSOF THE NYL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
ELP-9   06/17/2023 6600ft TURF RC11 FIRM Chorleywood Overnight Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:252 :511 1:153 1:394   2:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  VIVAR 3 32 31½ 32 2½ 1nk 1nk (medina ro)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00 8.10  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of DEBIT by TAPIT)
2  THERAPIST 2 54½ 54¾ 55 33 31½ 2nk (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 4.76  
  (by FREUD out of LADY RENAISSANCE by SMART STRIKE)
1  HIDDEN STASH 1 12 11½ 12 1½ 2nk 3¼ (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 9% 10.20 10.33 S
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MAKING MARK MONEY by SMART STRIKE)
9  TIZ THE BOMB 8 75½ 77¾ 77½ 75¼ 42 4¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 22% 3.60 5.12  
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of TIZ THE KEY by TIZNOW)
8  MEDIA BLITZ 7 44 44½ 44 53¼ 52½ 51 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 13.66  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of COMMUNIQUE by SMART STRIKE)
6  FOREIGN RELATIONS 5 65 66¼ 66 64¼ 64½ 63¾ (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 123 2.00 42% 1.40 1.00  
  (by KARAKONTIE out of QUEST by MR. SIDNEY)
7  BAY STREET MONEY 6 87½ 88¾ 87¾ 86¼ 76 76 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 9.68  
  (by STREET SENSE out of COLLECT THE CASH by DYNAFORMER)
5  PUNCH HARD 4 22 21½ 22 43 86½ 88¾ (beckman whitwo)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 5% 19.00 56.41  
  (by HARD SPUN out of INDY PUNCH by PULLING PUNCHES)
SCR  FENWICK STATION               (kenneally edd)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
  (by MAGICIAN (IRE) out of WICKAPECKO by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
 
ELP-10   06/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:093     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONDIMENT GIRL 1 5 11 11   13½ 18¾ (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00 2.69  
3  LA CUMPARSITA 2 4 31½ 41½   23½ 28¾ (hester haley)BECKMAN ALICE 117 15.00 5% 19.00 18.67 P
9  LAMASCO 7 3 63½ 62¾   47½ 310 (gutierrez)TORRES A 124 10.00 9.91  
5  SONADOR 4 1 21 21   35 411¼ (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 117 10.00 11.65  
6  T MAX 5 2 42 31½   57½ 516¼ (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 118 3.00 46% 1.20 1.44  
4  LUCY'S CAKES FLY 3 7 52½ 52½   67¾ 616¾ (claire al)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 19% 4.10 3.94  
7  BEL ARIA 6 6 74½ 76¾   710¾ 719¾ (wong jonath)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 4.50 10% 9.30 8.11  
SCR  ACACIAHELPME               (shirer mat)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00    
SCR  DE' ANS EIGHTY               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.