Handicappers' Racing Form
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Ellis Park
Saturday - June 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-2   Win (5/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-3   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-4   Win (7/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-5   Win (7/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-6   Win (8/4/5/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-7   Win (1/11/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-8   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-9   Win (6/9/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-10   Win (6/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   06/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAVENSWORTH May05 Nov24       (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00    
2  CREPE YARNS Jun01 Nov26 Oct30 Sep29   (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.50    
3  ROYAL AIR FORCE May29 May05 Apr08 Apr02 Jan30 (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CAPTIVATED DRAMA May06         (wong jonathan)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00 58% 0.70    
5  DARYL'S BOLT Apr30 Apr16 Mar04 Jan22 Dec26 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 2.00 12% 7.50    
6  CHARLIE WHISKEY May21 Apr29 Apr08 Mar09 May27 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 4.00    
 
ELP-2   06/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 2 F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOTSY'S MERLOT Apr26 Apr12       (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00    
2  CASSOULET         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  LITTLE SASS         (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
4  SLAINTE MHATH May04         (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 114 3.50 15% 5.90    
5  GROVE ST. May15         (hancock a)NAVAS YOEL 112 4.00 52% 0.90    
6  SAPPHIRE NIGHTS May19 Apr19       (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 2.00 8% 11.70    
SCR  WRECK IT RUBY May27 May12       (holsapple h)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
8  MISS SAIPAN         (gutierrez fa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
SCR  OUR KEEPSAKE         (lukas wayn)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 15.00    
10  STRANGE JOY         (bright derri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 20.00    
 
ELP-3   06/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INVISIBLE WAR May13 Apr19 Mar26 Mar09 Feb11 (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 123 2.50    
2  BIG BEEMSTER May18 Mar12 Feb20 Jan28 Jan06 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00    
3  HOYA PARANOYA Mar19 Mar03 Feb11 Jan28 Apr25 (puhich mike)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 18% 4.60    
4  COURTHOUSE COVE Apr15 Mar09 Feb26 Feb12 Jan15 (wong jonat)RODRIGUEZ A 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
5  ASPEN CLUB May26 Apr15 Mar23 Feb11 Jan21 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 123 10.00    
6  SANTA CRUISER May14 Mar05 Feb17 Jan22 Jun08 (cano munoz)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 6.00 12% 7.10    
 
ELP-4   06/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 3:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKIN LOOSE         (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
2  WOODCOURT Apr20         (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00    
SCR  NORTHERN FLAME         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 6.00    
4  JUST STEEL         (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00    
SCR  NORMANDY HERO         (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
6  STEEL LINK         (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  BALTA         (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
8  RACCOON RODEO         (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  CAPER'S HOOLEY         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00    
SCR  EPIC BATTLE         (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00    
 
ELP-5   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEREMY'S JET May29 Mar23 Oct29 Oct08 Aug19 (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 118 30.00    
2  DR. PERRY Apr01 Nov25 Sep30 Aug20   (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.00 10% 9.20    
3  ICEATUDE May18 Apr14 Dec31 Dec11 Nov13 (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 10.00    
4  KENTUCKY BOURBON May20 Apr15 Mar23 Mar04 Feb03 (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KBCYA LATER Oct09 Sep08 Aug14 Jul21 Jun22 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
6  HOCUS (GB) May21 Apr16       (thompson michae)CANNON DECLAN 123 6.00    
7  OVERBORE Apr28 Aug24 Aug13 Apr13   (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 118 1.60 35% 1.90    
8  SPARTAN ARMY May03 Feb21 Dec29 Nov25 Nov04 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.50 30% 2.30    
 
ELP-6   06/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROJA REDEMPTION Apr21 Mar25 Feb10     (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
2  POINT PROVEN Mar25 Mar02 Jan13 Nov26 Sep18 (cohn alice )LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
SCR  DOG RED May28 Apr26 Feb03 Dec28 Nov23 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 15.00    
4  MIRANDA RIGHTS Mar04 Feb11 Jan05 Dec02 Oct15 (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 23% 3.30    
5  DEMOLITION DUKE Apr15 Mar19 Feb05     (davis christ)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 6% 15.40    
6  GO BALI GO Apr29 Mar30 Mar10 Feb11 Dec28 (nance jonathan)BEJARANO R 124 20.00    
7  THREE ON THE TREE Apr15 Mar19 Jan28 Jan21 Nov03 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
8  MORE THAN LOOKS Apr28 Mar31 Feb19     (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 4.00 41% 1.40    
9  ANGLOPHILE May06 Apr01 Jul30 Jul10 Jun19 (lynch brian )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
10  FEARLESS SOLDIER Mar12 Feb16       (pletcher t)SANTANA JR 118 4.50 5% 18.10    
11  OCEAN POINTE May17 Apr21 Mar25 Mar16 Feb03 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DUNEDIN May17 Apr28 Apr01 Oct09 Sep08 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
SCR  EL AHIJADO May20 Apr19 Mar30 Mar04 Dec30 (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 117 20.00    
SCR  MOONSTRIKE (GB) May20 Apr28 Mar25 Feb24   (engler jeff)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
 
ELP-7   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZEITLOS Apr15 Sep16 Aug13     (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 1.60 48% 1.10    
SCR  SUPER CHRISTIE Jun11 May06 Apr15 Mar09   (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 30.00    
3  PHAT CHANCE FANCY         (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RITA'S ONTHE BEACH         (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
SCR  PETTICOAT         (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
SCR  SPELTERINI Apr15 Mar17 Feb17 Jan07 Nov05 (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 4.00    
SCR  A LOTTA WILD         (catalano wayne )GILLIGAN JACK 118 15.00    
8  UNCORKED (AUS) May28 May27       (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 12.00    
9  IT'S MAGIC         (winebaugh ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
10  SAUCY SECRET May20         (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
11  DRIANA May20         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  CORRI FELICE May05 Apr21       (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
SCR  WITH THIS RING May20 Oct16       (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00    
 
ELP-8   06/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Monomoy Girl Overnight Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 5:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WET PAINT May05 Apr01 Feb25 Jan28 Dec14 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.20 35% 1.80    
2  FLAMAND Apr28 Apr02 Feb25 Jan28 Dec26 (lopez elias)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NEVER TELL PATTI May18 Apr01 Mar02     (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
4  HOOSIER PHILLY May19 Mar25 Feb18 Nov26 Oct30 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 1.40 40% 1.50    
5  CHAMPAGNE CALLING May05 Feb11 Jan07 Jun17   (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 8.00    
6  SABRA TUFF May05 Nov04 Oct07 Sep04 Aug07 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00    
 
ELP-9   06/17/2023 6600ft TURF RC11 FIRM Chorleywood Overnight Purse ($175K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIDDEN STASH May19 Apr13 Feb12 Jun18 Jun03 (oliver victoria)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 9% 10.20    
2  THERAPIST May20 Apr01 Feb11 Jan20 Dec30 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00    
SCR  FENWICK STATION May11 Apr20 Mar24 Apr22 Mar19 (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
4  VIVAR May11 Apr15 Feb22 Jan21 Oct21 (medina robe)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
5  PUNCH HARD May19 Apr15       (beckman whitwort)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  FOREIGN RELATIONS May20 Apr19 Mar10 Feb16 Jan25 (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 123 2.00 42% 1.40    
7  BAY STREET MONEY May20 Apr01 Feb18 Jan13 Nov18 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00    
8  MEDIA BLITZ May29 Mar05 Jan29     (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
9  TIZ THE BOMB May20 Apr22 Apr07 Mar25 Feb18 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 22% 3.60    
 
ELP-10   06/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONDIMENT GIRL May04 Mar09 Nov18 Oct21 Sep08 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00    
SCR  DE' ANS EIGHTY May20 Mar23 Feb25     (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
3  LA CUMPARSITA May11 Apr13 Mar23 Mar11 Feb22 (hester haley)BECKMAN ALICE 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  LUCY'S CAKES FLY Apr23 Feb15 Jan18 Oct01 Jul24 (claire alex)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 19% 4.10    
5  SONADOR May20 May02 Apr13 Sep25 Sep16 (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 117 10.00    
6  T MAX May13 Feb11 Nov26 Oct30 Sep15 (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 118 3.00 46% 1.20    
7  BEL ARIA Apr16 Mar31 Mar09 Feb16 Feb02 (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 4.50 10% 9.30    
SCR  ACACIAHELPME May02 Mar08 Jan20 Dec30 Aug14 (shirer matt )HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00    
9  LAMASCO Mar26 Mar08 Feb01 Jan18 Dec23 (gutierrez f)TORRES A 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.