Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-7-2 $5.76 $2.76 92%
CD-8   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $12.58 $6.58 110%
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-7 $24.94 $6.94 39%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:132     1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GUANA CAY 2 4 32½ 32½ 31½ 1½ 11½ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 35% 1.90 1.52 W
7  SHEZZ KOLDAZICE 5 5 55 54½ 41¾ 31½ 21½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 20% 4.10 0.86 P
2  MUSIC AMORE 1 3 11½ 11½ 11½ 2½ 31½ (vasquez sr)COURT K 118 10.00 19% 4.30 6.49 S
6  HASHTAG WINNER 4 1 43 44 52¾ 46½ 413¾ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 8.30  
5  KIMBERLEY DREAM 3 2 21½ 21½ 21½ 5100 5100 (winston d)CASTANON L 118 15.00 24.73  
SCR  GOOD PENNY               (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00    
SCR  WATERS OF MEROM               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00    
 
CD-2   05/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:22 :453 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALI DREAMIN 1 5 2nk 12½   13 11 (wong jonathan)NAVAS YOEL 116 4.00 31% 2.20 2.42 W
5  MAGNA MASSA 5 2 1nk 22½   23 21 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 15.00 23.93  
8  BALL GOWN 8 1 54 55½   57 33¾ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 123 2.50 2.05  
4  SOCIAL MANDATE 4 6 42½ 43   46½ 45 (hancock john )CANNON DECLAN 123 4.50 15.25  
3  SHIP IT 3 3 32 33   35½ 55½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.50 12% 7.20 5.80  
6  MONOCACY 6 7 75½ 67½   610 68½ (king l)CASTANON L 123 15.00 31.98  
2  PUGLIA 2 8 89½ 710   713 712¾ (howard d)MORALES EDGAR 123 12.00 5% 19.00 30.17  
7  COEXIST 7 4 65 811   820 843½ (farrior anthony)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 32% 2.10 2.54  
 
CD-3   05/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:231 :473       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  EASY RED 7 9 68 65½   54½ 1nk (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 ★ 1.56  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of BLESSINGS COUNT by PULPIT)
2  LUXURIATE 2 1 21 22   1nk 2nk (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 32% 2.20 8.44 P
  (by OUTWORK out of PLATINUM PREFERRED by VINDICATION)
3  LIAM'S MESSAGE 3 6 55½ 44   33 31¼ (gutierrez )GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 29% 2.50 2.63 S
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of LEFT A MESSAGE by MR. GREELEY)
6  LOU ANNA 6 5 88¼ 99¾   44 41½ (mccutchen )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 35.22  
  (by FAST ANNA out of LATEST THINKING by TALE OF THE CAT)
5  LUCKY LESSON 5 7 78 78½   85 52¾ (corrigan jim)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 13% 7.00 17.50  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of BANJO LESSON by LANGFUHR)
8  ANORIA 8 4 43½ 54½   74¾ 67½ (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 15.00 26.73  
  (by COLLECTED out of EXTRAVAGANTLY by LEA)
9  WRECK IT RUBY 9 3 32½ 34   64¾ 77¾ (holsapple)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 23.64  
  (by MASTERY out of TARE GREEN by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
1  PRINCESS MITOLE 1 2 11 12   2nk 87¾ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 5% 19.00 2.94  
  (by MITOLE out of PRINCESS MAKENA by STREET BOSS)
4  NOSHUGFORPOP 4 8 910¼ 89½   96½ 98 (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 112 12.00 33.58  
  (by HARD SPUN out of ENCHANTED EMMA by BODEMEISTER)
 
CD-4   05/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:133 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FIFTY CENT DOLLARS 1 2 12 11½ 1½ 2nk 13¼ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00 34% 1.90 0.85 W
6  JUST CALL RAY 3 1 22 21½ 3½ 1nk 23¼ (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 5.00 1.93  
5  BEAR OAK 2 3 33½ 31½ 2½ 34½ 314 (bahena ismael)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 45% 1.20 2.00 S
SCR  DON'T FORGET               (shorter a)TORRES A 120 2.50    
SCR  ON A SPREE               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
SCR  TAPAGE               (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
 
CD-5   05/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:221 :45 :56     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  QUARIA COMET 8 8 63½ 52   2nk 13 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 10.00 9.64  
5  HAPPY SOUL 5 4 31 3½   3½ 23 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 116 1.40 25% 2.90 2.92 P
4  BOUT TIME 4 6 41½ 41½   41½ 33½ (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 9% 10.70 1.96 S
6  NOTA BENE 6 3 73½ 63   62¼ 43½ (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 5% 19.00 4.95  
2  LOVE AND MONEY 2 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 53¾ (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 38% 1.60 3.62  
1  SOUPER MUNNINGS 1 5 52½ 73¼   73¼ 64¾ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00 55.51  
3  SHARP HERO 3 7 84½ 83¾   83¼ 74¾ (ross bradl)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00 16.28  
7  GET THE CANDY 7 1 1½ 1nk   51¾ 87 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 123 10.00 14.01  
 
CD-6   05/27/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:133 1:382   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ROYAL TAKE CHARGE 2 4 32½ 31½ 2nk 12½ 16¾ (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.00 43% 1.30 1.71 W
6  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) 5 2 22 21 1nk 22½ 26¾ (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 7.27  
7  MUSIC STREET 6 3 66½ 65½ 66¾ 45½ 37 (beckman d)LEPAROUX R 122 5.00 5% 19.00 1.83 S
4  MAMBO KITTEN 4 6 56 43 44¼ 57½ 411½ (andrade )RODRIGUEZ A 117 30.00 22.25  
1  JUMP INTO THE FIRE 1 1 12 11 3.2 34 511½ (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 117 2.50 32% 2.10 3.04  
3  LISETTE 3 5 44 53 54¾ 610 612 (lukas wa)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 12.00 11.48  
SCR  ACADEMIC HONOR               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
 
CD-7   05/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:144 1:394   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HER LADYSHIP 2 2 1½ 1nk 31 11½ 1¾ (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 9.14  
  (by BERNARDINI out of MISS SQUEAL by SMART STRIKE)
6  FOREVER AFTER ALL 6 5 73¾ 51¾ 72¾ 32½ 2¾ (stall m)LANERIE J 125 1.40 43% 1.30 1.85 P
  (by CONNECT out of JULIA TUTTLE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  INSENSITIVE 4 1 2½ 2nk 1½ 21½ 31¼ (anderson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 27.91  
  (by KARUN out of HY BELLE CHAMP by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  LADY SAMARITAN 3 7 52¼ 41½ 52 44½ 47¾ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 9% 9.90 9.31  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of KYLBRYLIE by PULPIT)
8  CORSINI 8 8 63¼ 72¾ 42 56 511½ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 27% 2.70 1.21  
  (by HARD SPUN out of MARIETTA by MACHIAVELLIAN)
1  DOMINA 1 3 42 61¾ 62¼ 66 611¾ (devaux ch)TORRES A 118 8.00 7.46  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of INTERNAL AFFAIR by ORIENTATE)
5  TOFFEE 5 4 32 31 2½ 710 719¾ (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 125 20.00 5% 19.00 23.33  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of IZARRA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  LUCKY ANA 7 6 83¾ 85¼ 85¾ 812½ 822¾ (douaihy mich)ROMERO GREGORY 118 30.00 47.77  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of GREAT INTENTIONS by CAT THIEF)
 
CD-8   05/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:114 1:233   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  THREE TECHNIQUE 2 2 54¼ 54½ 21 2nk 1nk (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 2.50 14% 6.00 5.29 W
7  KUPUNA 7 7 1nk 21 11 1nk 2nk (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.60 55% 0.80 0.60 P
3  BRITAIN'S KITTEN 3 3 64¾ 66½ 54½ 45½ 37¾ (williamso)LEPAROUX R 122 5.00 5.31  
4  MAJOR FED 4 1 32½ 32 41½ 32½ 48¼ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 22.44  
6  SANTOS DUMONT 6 5 2nk 11 31½ 57½ 518½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 6% 16.10 6.77  
5  NATIVE THUNDER 5 6 42¾ 42½ 64¾ 711½ 620¼ (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 25.41  
1  PERFECT FLIGHT 1 4 76¾ 78 75¾ 610 720½ (miller p)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 ★ 15.20  
 
CD-9   05/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:214 :45 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  JERSEY PEARL 7 1 31½ 21   21½ 1¼ (miller darrin)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 ★ 5.02  
2  ALVA STARR 2 2 11 11   11½ 2¼ (brinkman b)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 31% 2.20 1.96 P
3  ERVADEAN 3 4 53 32½   34½ 36¼ (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00 11.85  
1  CHARRIERE 1 5 42 43½   45½ 49¼ (mckeever and)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00 10.01  
4  ZAPPLE 4 8 74 65½   58 59¼ (leitch dan)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 6.82  
9  TAMMY TAP TAP TAP 8 7 63 55   69½ 614 (bauer phi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 20% 3.90 5.02  
6  FOGO ISLAND 6 6 86½ 88   712 716¾ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 27% 2.70 3.65  
5  BOBBIE SOX 5 3 21 77½   815 825¾ (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 30.42  
SCR  MARGOINABUBBLEBATH               (habeeb j)LANERIE J 122 6.00    
 
CD-10   05/27/2023 7920ft TURF RC11 FIRM Keertana Purse ($225K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:133 1:39 2:04 2:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MISS YEARWOOD 5 1113¼ 1112 119¼ 61¾ 2nk 11 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 ★ 1.99  
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of SATISFACTION by AWESOME AGAIN)
7  LOVELY PRINCESS 7 35 34½ 33 2½ 1nk 21 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 ★ 6.16 P
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PRINCESS MARIAH by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
10  SPARKLE BLUE 10 99¼ 98½ 97¼ 82¾ 74¾ 33½ (motion h )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.50 26% 2.90 3.76 S
  (by HARD SPUN out of SILK N' SAPPHIRE by SMART STRIKE)
9  TALBEYAH (IRE) 9 1011¼ 109½ 108¼ 103 96¼ 45¾ (casse mar)TORRES A 118 12.00 14.40  
  (by UNKNOWN out of THAI HAKU by OASIS DREAM (GB))
3  UNDER ONE SKY 3 56½ 56 54½ 51¼ 43 55¾ (cano juan )CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 41.82  
  (by UNIFIED out of WEEKEND SKY by FUJI KISEKI (JPN))
12  VIBURNUM 12 46 45½ 44 4¾ 32½ 65¾ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 25.11  
  (by INCLUDE out of QUITE A RAPPER by DIXIELAND BAND)
2  QUALITY STAR 2 79 88 86¾ 93 64½ 76 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 22% 3.50 10.76  
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of ESSTADISTA by ESSAYONS)
1  LADY ARSINOE 1 1215¾ 1214 1212¼ 115 107¾ 88½ (mott will)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 33.01  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of KOODORI DAWN by TALE OF THE CAT)
8  I'M SO SORRY 8 67½ 67 65 71¾ 86¼ 98¾ (lynch bria)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 43.58  
  (by UNCLE MO out of DON'T LEAVE ME by LEMON DROP KID)
6  EXIT SOUL 6 12 13 2nk 1½ 53½ 1010¼ (mccarthy mic)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 10.14  
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of MAHEE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
11  IMPLOSION 11 89 77½ 76½ 127 1213¾ 1119¾ (margolis st)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00 76.84  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of QUITE EXPLOSIVE by EL CORREDOR)
4  SINFILTRE 4 22 23 1nk 3½ 1110¾ 1222¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 26% 2.90 5.14  
  (by UNCLE MO out of SHARED HEART by FORESTRY)
 
CD-11   05/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:102     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MULLIKIN 1 3 1½ 12   16 110¼ (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.40 51% 1.00 0.73 W
  (by VIOLENCE out of TULIRA'S STAR by CONGRATS)
4  CUSP 3 4 31½ 22   36 210¼ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 10.71  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SWINGIT by VICTORY GALLOP)
3  SPACE 2 5 2½ 42½   26 312¾ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 12.64 S
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of WIDTH by BLAME)
7  PILOTE COMETE 5 7 64½ 85   48½ 416¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 24.23  
  (by MUNNINGS out of ABUNDANCE OF CLASS by MINESHAFT)
11  PADDINGTON 9 6 75 32½   58¾ 518¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 19% 4.20 2.42  
  (by CURLIN out of SEA ISLAND by COACH'S CALL)
9  TESTIMONY TIME 7 1 43 53   610¼ 619½ (brumley willia)ELLIOTT JANE 124 20.00 5% 19.00 59.20  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SILVEREST by CONGRATS)
8  MAFIA 6 8 86½ 63½   710¼ 721½ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 56.79  
  (by MINESHAFT out of CELEBRITY STAR by DEHERE)
10  DE LA CALLES 8 9 98 98½   912¾ 822¼ (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 7% 14.00 11.88  
  (by STREET SENSE out of TEQUILITA by UNION RAGS)
5  BAYOU SPIRIT 4 2 53 74½   811¾ 925½ (lynch bri)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 28.00  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of BEAUTIFUL DANIELE by A.P. INDY)
SCR  FIRST PLAYER               (howard j)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
  (by THE PLAYER out of BODACIOUS BETS by AFTER MARKET)
SCR  VIGANO               (zito p)BEJARANO R 124 20.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of STOMPING by DIXIELAND BAND)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.