Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-2   Win (7/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-3   Win (2/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-5   Win (2/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-7   Win (6/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-9   Win (2/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-10   Win (10/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-11   Win (1/11/10/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   05/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WATERS OF MEROM May02 Mar17 Feb03 Jan25 Dec14 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00    
MUSIC AMORE May14 May02 Mar02 Dec31 Dec10 (vasquez sr)COURT K 118 10.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  GOOD PENNY Apr07 Mar25 Mar05 Jan13 Dec16 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00    
GUANA CAY May05 Mar24 Feb25 Jan19 Dec09 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00 35% 1.90    
KIMBERLEY DREAM May14 Mar24 Feb16 Nov27 Oct31 (winston d)CASTANON L 118 15.00    
HASHTAG WINNER Apr22 Apr13 Mar25 Feb16 Jan04 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
SHEZZ KOLDAZICE Apr28 Mar17 Feb26 Jan13 Dec16 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 20% 4.10    
 
CD-2   05/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALI DREAMIN May20 Feb19 Feb05 Jul16 May28 (wong jonathan)NAVAS YOEL 116 4.00 31% 2.20    
PUGLIA May18 Apr27 Feb25 Feb01 Jan06 (howard d)MORALES EDGAR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHIP IT Apr21 Feb12 Jan01 Nov25 Nov11 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.50 12% 7.20    
SOCIAL MANDATE Apr27 Apr08 Feb22 Jan18 Dec29 (hancock a)CANNON DECLAN 123 4.50    
MAGNA MASSA May03 Apr02 Mar09 Sep30 Aug09 (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 15.00    
MONOCACY Jan05 Dec16 Nov25 Nov18 Nov03 (king l)CASTANON L 123 15.00    
COEXIST May12 Apr19 Aug14     (farrior anthony)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
BALL GOWN May03 Mar29 Feb01 Jan18 Nov23 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 123 2.50    
 
CD-3   05/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS MITOLE         (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
LUXURIATE         (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 32% 2.20    
LIAM'S MESSAGE May12 Apr28       (gutierrez fa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
NOSHUGFORPOP         (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 112 12.00    
LUCKY LESSON May10         (corrigan jim)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 13% 7.00    
LOU ANNA         (mccutchen ja)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00    
EASY RED         (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00    
ANORIA Apr28         (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 15.00    
WRECK IT RUBY May12         (holsapple h)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
 
CD-4   05/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TAPAGE May13 Mar04 Jan25 Dec27 Dec03 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
SCR  ON A SPREE Apr29 Mar24 Mar11 Feb09 Jan01 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
SCR  DON'T FORGET May04 Apr07 Mar03 Jan28 Jan06 (shorter aar)TORRES A 120 2.50    
FIFTY CENT DOLLARS Apr29 Apr01 Feb20 Feb05 Jan08 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00 34% 1.90    
BEAR OAK Apr23 Mar30 Mar10 Feb09 Jan18 (bahena ismael)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 45% 1.20    
JUST CALL RAY May12 Mar10 Feb01 Jan20 Dec24 (hiles a)LANERIE J 120 5.00    
 
CD-5   05/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUPER MUNNINGS Mar17 Feb25 Jun04     (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 121 20.00    
LOVE AND MONEY Mar02 Jan18 Dec01     (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 38% 1.60    
SHARP HERO May06 Apr09 Dec18 Nov25 Nov13 (ross bradley)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 10.00    
BOUT TIME Oct16 Jul23 Jun25 May15 Mar24 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 9% 10.70    
HAPPY SOUL Apr15 Oct08 Sep13 Jul09 May20 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 116 1.40 25% 2.90    
NOTA BENE Apr29 Apr07 Mar02 Sep13 Jul24 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
GET THE CANDY Apr22 Oct15 Sep15 Aug18 Jul22 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 123 10.00    
QUARIA COMET Mar17 Feb23 Jan26 Dec29 Oct19 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 10.00    
 
CD-6   05/27/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMP INTO THE FIRE May05 Apr21 Jun29 Jun05 May13 (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 117 2.50 32% 2.10    
ROYAL TAKE CHARGE Apr21 Jan16 Nov25     (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
LISETTE Mar12 Jan21 Jan14 Dec10 Sep05 (lukas wayn)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 12.00    
MAMBO KITTEN May06 Apr11 Mar23 Mar04 Feb08 (andrade hu)RODRIGUEZ A 117 30.00    
SCR  ACADEMIC HONOR May04 Apr14 Feb13     (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) May12 Apr21 Mar17 Feb18 Jan28 (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
MUSIC STREET May05 Nov20 Oct23 Sep25 Jun23 (beckman w)LEPAROUX R 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-7   05/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMINA Apr07         (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 8.00    
HER LADYSHIP Apr21 Feb26 Jan08 Nov12 Oct12 (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
LADY SAMARITAN May05 Apr07       (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00 9% 9.90    
INSENSITIVE Apr22 Apr02 Feb10 Jan21   (anderson do)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
TOFFEE May13 Apr13 Feb25 Jan26 Apr23 (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
FOREVER AFTER ALL May05 Apr21 Oct15 Sep25 Jul28 (stall m)LANERIE J 125 1.40 43% 1.30    
LUCKY ANA May10 Apr01 Mar09 Jan25 Jul19 (douaihy michel)ROMERO GREGORY 118 30.00    
CORSINI Apr29 Mar25 Feb18     (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 27% 2.70    
 
CD-8   05/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT FLIGHT Feb25 Jan28 Dec26 Nov22 Oct29 (miller pet)SANTANA JR 122 5.00    
THREE TECHNIQUE May06 Apr08 Nov05 Oct01 Jul04 (cook b)BEJARANO R 122 2.50 14% 6.00    
BRITAIN'S KITTEN Apr28 Mar11 Feb11 Dec31 Dec11 (williamson )LEPAROUX R 122 5.00    
MAJOR FED Nov13 Oct20 Sep15 May13 Apr15 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
NATIVE THUNDER May04 Mar25 Mar09 Dec26 Nov06 (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00    
SANTOS DUMONT Jul04 Jun04 May01 Apr02 Feb26 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 6% 16.10    
KUPUNA May06 Apr20 Mar18 Jan29 Dec31 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 1.60 55% 0.80    
 
CD-9   05/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARRIERE Feb17 Jan14 Dec19     (mckeever andre)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
ALVA STARR May05 Sep07       (brinkman bre)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 31% 2.20    
ERVADEAN May05 Mar25       (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
ZAPPLE Mar10 Aug14 Jul17     (leitch danie)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
BOBBIE SOX Apr07 Mar10 Jan26 Jan05   (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
FOGO ISLAND Mar31         (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  MARGOINABUBBLEBATH May05 Apr14 Mar24 Feb23 Jan14 (habeeb j)LANERIE J 122 6.00    
JERSEY PEARL Jan26 Dec31 Oct08 Aug28   (miller darrin)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
TAMMY TAP TAP TAP Apr27 Feb11 Jan21     (bauer phili)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 20% 3.90    
 
CD-10   05/27/2023 7920ft TURF RC11 FIRM Keertana Purse ($225K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY ARSINOE Apr26 Apr01 Feb25 Sep14 Aug06 (mott willia)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
QUALITY STAR Apr13 Jan04 Nov25 Oct21 Sep08 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 22% 3.50    
UNDER ONE SKY May18 Apr12 Mar31 Mar02 Jan20 (cano mu)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
SINFILTRE Apr16 Mar03 Jan14 Dec15 Sep17 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 26% 2.90    
MISS YEARWOOD Apr26 Apr01 Mar04 Sep17 Aug07 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00    
EXIT SOUL Apr30 Mar18 Jan29 Apr08 Jan29 (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00    
LOVELY PRINCESS Apr22 Nov25 Oct27 Oct02 Sep03 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
I'M SO SORRY Apr16 Feb26 Dec31 Dec04 Mar17 (lynch brian )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
TALBEYAH (IRE) Jan26 Aug13 Jul01 May21   (casse mark)TORRES A 118 12.00    
10  SPARKLE BLUE May05 Dec26 Oct28 Sep06 Jul02 (motion gr)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.50 26% 2.90    
11  IMPLOSION Apr13 Mar11 Jan28 Nov25 Oct27 (margolis step)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 30.00    
12  VIBURNUM Apr01 Dec17 Sep13 Sep01 Aug13 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
 
CD-11   05/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MULLIKIN Apr08 Feb18       (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.40 51% 1.00    
SCR  VIGANO Apr08 Mar03 Apr16 Mar13 Jan28 (zito p)BEJARANO R 124 20.00    
SPACE Sep16 Jul30       (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
CUSP         (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00    
BAYOU SPIRIT         (lynch brian)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  FIRST PLAYER         (howard j)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
PILOTE COMETE Apr28         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
MAFIA         (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
TESTIMONY TIME Apr29         (brumley william )ELLIOTT JANE 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  DE LA CALLES Apr22         (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 7% 14.00    
11  PADDINGTON         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.