Handicappers' Race Results

"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Horse Racing Tips and Longshots"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (7/5/6/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $10.88  
CD-2   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $5.90 $5.90 1.90
CD-3   Win (2/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $11.84  
CD-4   Win (12/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 0 $11.46  
CD-5   Win (3/8/4/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $12.86  
CD-6   Win (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $5.42  
CD-7   Win (10/7/3/13/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 0 $18.30  
CD-8   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $16.88  

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:223 :453       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILSON Q 3 2 1nk 1½   1nk 1¼ (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 4.44  
GOLD SWEEP 5 5 4 44   3 2¼ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 25% 3.10 4.28 P
WORKS FOR ME 1 3 2nk 2½   2nk 3¾ (leitch dan)RODRIGUEZ A 114 15.00 5% 19.00 24.64 S
STORMQUIST 7 4 31 33   44 4 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 32% 2.10 1.84  
TRAILING MONSTER 4 7 6 57   5 5 (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 16.48  
RHYME SCHEMES 8 6 5 69   6 69 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 6.65  
TOP OF THE STREET 6 8 7 7   7 79 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.41  
THE RUSH IS ON 9 9 9 914   913¼ 817 (vosler s)HUGHES CARLY 119 20.00 52.57  
EARLY MUNNY 2 1 8 812   811¾ 917¼ (hancock a)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 8.26  
 
CD-2   05/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:12     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A LITTLE BIT CRAZY 5 5 5 2   1½ 1 (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 2.00 48% 1.10 1.95 W
PUGLIA 1 6 3 45   33 2 (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.50 22% 3.60 1.84 P
BEACH KITTEN 3 1 1 1   2½ 3 (miller f)MORALES EDGAR 123 15.00 10.03  
TRIBAL SPIRIT 4 3 6 66   5 4 (asmussen s)RODRIGUEZ A 113 4.00 3.43  
FAST GAL 2 4 4 33   43 55 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 8.05  
FLORIS 6 2 2 55   6 621½ (duvall willi)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 6.00 9.57  
SCR  MONOCACY               (king l)CASTANON L 123 4.50    
 
CD-3   05/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3 ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:111     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ODDSONTONY 6 2 6 43   42 1¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 4.92  
ATKINS 4 1 5 53   32 2¼ (mott riley)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 5.00 8.90 P
COWBOY VALUES 3 3 1½ 11   11 3 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 7.44  
FROG TOWN 2 6 7 74   53 4 (claire alexis)LANERIE J 118 3.50 39% 1.60 4.04  
DEVIL'S CAY 8 8 3½ 21   21 54 (ramirez m)SAEZ LUIS 111 4.00 22% 3.50 1.31  
BIG BEEMSTER 5 4 8 85   6 6 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 16.71  
CHAMBERS BAY 7 7 2½ 32   7 717¼ (glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 44.62  
MISTER SHARPIE 1 5 4 6   8 819¼ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 12.00 13% 6.60 7.73  
SCR  HUMOR ME NOW               (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
 
CD-4   05/18/2023 7260ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:144 1:392 2:04 2:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  FRIVOLE (FR) 9 8 85 8 8 4 1 (motion gr)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 10.00 4.73  
ELLE EST FORTE 4 5 5 53 53 1nk 2 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 24% 3.10 3.68 P
12  JOYFUL APPLAUSE 10 21 21 2½ 21 2nk 3 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.50 40% 1.50 6.34 S
LOVED REIKO 6 7 7 74 9 6 4 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 124 15.00 15.98  
HAY STACK 1 9 96 10 10 7 5 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 8% 11.70 3.19  
SWEETS MAKER 5 11 11 1½ 11 3.2 68 (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 117 15.00 6% 15.40 32.68  
SUCH SOUNDS 2 3 4 4 43 5 711 (bauer a)LANDEROS CHRIS 126 6.00 8.16  
13  LA TOURISTA 11 104 10 9 7 9 815 (cano juan )RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 60.47  
CHATON ROUGE 3 114 11 11 11 10 915¼ (glover tracey)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 30.00 47.35  
10  QUEEN JUDITH 8 4 3 32 32 8 1017 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 124 8.00 4.15  
DIVINELY BOLT 7 6 64 6 6 11 1118½ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 45.85  
SCR  COLONEL ABY B               (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 30.00    
SCR  I FEEL THE NEED               (mcbride d)LANERIE J 124 20.00    
SCR  IMPLOSION               (margolis st)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 20.00    
 
CD-5   05/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:22 :451 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICEATUDE 1 10 11 9   4 1 (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.00 5.43  
KUPP 8 3 3 32   12 2 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 23% 3.30 2.55 P
WICKED SECRET 6 11 98 10   7 34 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 8.19  
RUN FOR REAGAN 4 7 5 4   3 44 (wohlers laura)RAMOS D 118 10.00 5% 19.00 9.15  
10  SIPPICAN SHOP 10 12 1216¼ 1215   88 5 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 22.33  
12  BOUDIN 12 2 6 5   65 6 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 5.00  
MO MOVES 3 4 1nk 1½   53 710 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 45% 1.20 5.25  
MOONOVERMONTGOMERY 7 6 7 8   10 811½ (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 15.00 29.42  
ALL JOKES ASIDE 9 1 2nk 2½   22 912 (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 18.78  
SERGEANT COUNTZLER 2 8 8 78   9 1012½ (hiles rick)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 19.57  
11  STAYINYOURLANE 11 9 10 1111   1211¼ 1114 (medina tomas)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 32.57  
TIME TO MEDDLE 5 5 4 6   1110¼ 1220¼ (forster t)GRAHAM J 124 20.00 5% 19.00 25.95  
 
CD-6   05/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:131 1:373   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING'S OVATION 5 4 1 1 1nk 1 1 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 1.71  
INTREPID HEART 4 3 33 33 31 3 2 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 61% 0.60 1.35 P
OUTLIER 3 1 2 2 2nk 2 3 (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 6.00 7.79  
ZOOMER 2 2 4 43 4 4 44 (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.07  
ROMAN CENTURIAN 1 5 5 5 54 5 57 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 7% 12.60 6.15  
SCR  DISC JOCKEY               (diodoro rob)TORRES A 118 2.00    
SCR  KOUFAX               (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  ORDER AND LAW               (hess b)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
 
CD-7   05/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:131 1:364   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  FANCY MARTINI 9 7 6 5 3½ 1nk 11 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 8.15  
13  ONE TIME MO 10 8 8 9 9 4 21 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 6% 16.80 5.44 P
BLISSFUL 5 4 31 42 41 3 31 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 11.68  
UNDER ONE SKY 3 6 9 8 7 6 42 (cano juan )RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00 16% 5.40 14.94  
SHE'S GONE 6 5 4 32 2nk 2nk 5 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 5.00 5% 19.00 3.89  
TAP DANCING LADY 7 9 5 63 6 53 63 (kahles ronald)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 20.00 47.61  
11  MANUCA (BRZ) 8 11 10 10 8 8 7 (lobo paulo )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 10.00 3.57  
LADY PUCHI 1 1 7 76 10 9 8 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 10.79  
14  FOREVER DREAMING 11 10 11 11 116 10 96 (lukas way)TORRES A 122 10.00 19.78  
PHAROAH'S SONG 2 2 1nk 1 1nk 7 108 (motion graham)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 6.89  
BHOMA 4 3 2nk 2 52 11 1113 (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00 8.65  
SCR  KATHAAN               (goldfine mic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00    
SCR  MISE EN SCENE (GB)               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  TALBEYAH (IRE)               (casse mark)TORRES A 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  WILLOW BEND               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 116 20.00    
 
CD-8   05/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:121 1:241   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEVER TELL PATTI 6 7 42 5 2 1nk 13 (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 7.44  
FANCY 8 8 2nk 2½ 1 2nk 23 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 2.25  
FREEDOM FOR ALL 3 3 6 63 4 43 36 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 61% 0.60 4.77 S
NURSEKRINGLEDANCES 7 6 1nk 1½ 32 3 48 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 11.57  
TAKE SHAPE 4 4 53 31 54 54 5 (arnold george )LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00 7.96  
PENUMBRAS MAKER 1 2 87 7 7 6 611¾ (gutierrez faus)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 12% 7.10 5.22  
INVENTING ANNA 5 5 3 4 64 7 713¼ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 4.03  
CHURCH SERVICE 2 1 76 8 8 8 817½ (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 10.00 14.89  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL BOLT               (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00    
SCR  STUNNINGLY               (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.