Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $5.90 $1.90 48%
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6-1 $18.16 $10.16 127%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:223 :453       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WILSON Q 3 2 1nk 1½   1nk 1¼ (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 4.44  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MARGATE GARDENS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  GOLD SWEEP 5 5 42½ 44   32½ 2¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 25% 3.10 4.28 P
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of WONDER BREW by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
1  WORKS FOR ME 1 3 2nk 2½   2nk 3¾ (leitch d)RODRIGUEZ A 114 15.00 5% 19.00 24.64 S
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of BELLA'S GAME by SOLDAT)
7  STORMQUIST 7 4 31 33   44 45½ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 32% 2.10 1.84  
  (by NYQUIST out of CAJUN DAWN by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  TRAILING MONSTER 4 7 64½ 57   55½ 56½ (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00 16.48  
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of RUN WRIGHTAWAY by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
8  RHYME SCHEMES 8 6 53½ 69   68½ 69 (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 6.65  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of KATHERINE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  TOP OF THE STREET 6 8 74¾ 79½   78¾ 79 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.41  
  (by STREET BOSS out of CHATI'S ON TOP by OLD TOPPER)
9  THE RUSH IS ON 9 9 98¼ 914   913¼ 817 (vosler eugene )HUGHES CARLY 119 20.00 52.57  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CARRIE by GONE ASTRAY)
2  EARLY MUNNY 2 1 85¼ 812   811¾ 917¼ (hancock a)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00 8.26  
  (by MUNNINGS out of PI BELLA by PIONEERING)
 
CD-2   05/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:12     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  A LITTLE BIT CRAZY 5 5 52¼ 22½   1½ 11½ (wong jonath)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 2.00 48% 1.10 1.95 W
1  PUGLIA 1 6 31½ 45   33 21½ (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.50 22% 3.60 1.84 P
3  BEACH KITTEN 3 1 11½ 12½   2½ 31¾ (miller jerome)MORALES EDGAR 123 15.00 10.03  
4  TRIBAL SPIRIT 4 3 64¾ 66   53¼ 43½ (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 113 4.00 3.43  
2  FAST GAL 2 4 41¾ 33   43 55 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 8.05  
7  FLORIS 6 2 21½ 55   69¾ 621½ (duvall wil)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 6.00 ★ 9.57  
SCR  MONOCACY               (king l)CASTANON L 123 4.50    
 
CD-3   05/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3 ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:111     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ODDSONTONY 6 2 62¾ 43   42 1¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 4.92  
4  ATKINS 4 1 51¾ 53   32 2¼ (mott riley)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 5.00 ★ 8.90 P
3  COWBOY VALUES 3 3 1½ 11   11 32½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 7.44  
2  FROG TOWN 2 6 72¾ 74   53 43½ (claire alexis)LANERIE J 118 3.50 39% 1.60 4.04  
9  DEVIL'S CAY 8 8 3½ 21   21 54 (ramirez m)SAEZ LUIS 111 4.00 22% 3.50 1.31  
6  BIG BEEMSTER 5 4 84¼ 85   65½ 68¼ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 16.71  
8  CHAMBERS BAY 7 7 2½ 32   78½ 717¼ (glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 44.62  
1  MISTER SHARPIE 1 5 41½ 63½   89½ 819¼ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 12.00 13% 6.60 7.73  
SCR  HUMOR ME NOW               (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
 
CD-4   05/18/2023 7260ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:144 1:392 2:04 2:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  FRIVOLE (FR) 9 83¼ 85 84½ 84¾ 41¼ 12½ (motion h )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 10.00 4.73  
4  ELLE EST FORTE 4 51¾ 53½ 53 53 1nk 22½ (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 24% 3.10 3.68 P
12  JOYFUL APPLAUSE 10 21 21 2½ 21 2nk 35½ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.50 40% 1.50 6.34 S
6  LOVED REIKO 6 72¾ 74½ 74 94¾ 62¾ 47¼ (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 124 15.00 15.98  
1  HAY STACK 1 93¾ 96 106½ 105¼ 72¾ 57¼ (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 8% 11.70 3.19  
5  SWEETS MAKER 5 11 11 1½ 11 3.2 68 (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 117 15.00 6% 15.40 32.68  
2  SUCH SOUNDS 2 31½ 42½ 42½ 43 51¾ 711 (bauer philip)LANDEROS CHRIS 126 6.00 ★ 8.16  
13  LA TOURISTA 11 104 106¼ 95½ 73¾ 96¼ 815 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 60.47  
3  CHATON ROUGE 3 114 117¼ 117½ 116¼ 106¾ 915¼ (glover tracey)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 30.00 47.35  
10  QUEEN JUDITH 8 41½ 32½ 32 32 84¾ 1017 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 124 8.00 4.15  
9  DIVINELY BOLT 7 62¾ 64 63½ 63½ 117¼ 1118½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 45.85  
SCR  COLONEL ABY B               (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 30.00    
SCR  I FEEL THE NEED               (mcbride d)LANERIE J 124 20.00    
SCR  IMPLOSION               (margolis )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 20.00    
 
CD-5   05/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:22 :451 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICEATUDE 1 10 118¾ 98¼   42½ 13½ (navarrete )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.00 5.43  
8  KUPP 8 3 31½ 32   12 23½ (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 23% 3.30 2.55 P
6  WICKED SECRET 6 11 98 108½   75½ 34 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 8.19  
4  RUN FOR REAGAN 4 7 54½ 42½   32½ 44 (wohlers laur)RAMOS D 118 10.00 5% 19.00 9.15  
10  SIPPICAN SHOP 10 12 1216¼ 1215   88 56½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 22.33  
12  BOUDIN 12 2 65½ 53½   65 68¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 5.00  
3  MO MOVES 3 4 1nk 1½   53 710 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 45% 1.20 5.25  
7  MOONOVERMONTGOMERY 7 6 76½ 88¼   108¾ 811½ (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 118 15.00 29.42  
9  ALL JOKES ASIDE 9 1 2nk 2½   22 912 (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 18.78  
2  SERGEANT COUNTZLER 2 8 87½ 78   98¼ 1012½ (hiles ric)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 19.57  
11  STAYINYOURLANE 11 9 108½ 1111   1211¼ 1114 (medina tomas)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 32.57  
5  TIME TO MEDDLE 5 5 42½ 63½   1110¼ 1220¼ (forster t)GRAHAM J 124 20.00 5% 19.00 25.95  
 
CD-6   05/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:131 1:373   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  KING'S OVATION 5 4 11½ 11½ 1nk 11½ 12¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00 1.71  
7  INTREPID HEART 4 3 33 33 31 31½ 22¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 61% 0.60 1.35 P
4  OUTLIER 3 1 21½ 21½ 2nk 21½ 32¾ (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 6.00 7.79  
2  ZOOMER 2 2 44½ 43 41½ 43½ 44 (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.07  
1  ROMAN CENTURIAN 1 5 56½ 58½ 54 55½ 57 (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 7% 12.60 6.15  
SCR  DISC JOCKEY               (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 2.00    
SCR  KOUFAX               (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  ORDER AND LAW               (hess b)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
 
CD-7   05/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:131 1:364   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  FANCY MARTINI 9 7 62¾ 52½ 3½ 1nk 11 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 8.15  
13  ONE TIME MO 10 8 85¼ 97¼ 94¼ 42½ 21 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 6% 16.80 5.44 P
6  BLISSFUL 5 4 31 42 41 31½ 31 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 11.68  
3  UNDER ONE SKY 3 6 96¼ 86¼ 73¾ 63½ 42 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00 16% 5.40 14.94  
8  SHE'S GONE 6 5 41½ 32 2nk 2nk 52½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 5.00 5% 19.00 3.89  
9  TAP DANCING LADY 7 9 52½ 63 62¼ 53 63 (kahles ronald)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 20.00 47.61  
11  MANUCA (BRZ) 8 11 106¾ 107¼ 83¾ 84¼ 73¾ (lobo paul)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 10.00 3.57  
1  LADY PUCHI 1 1 74¼ 76 105¾ 94¾ 85½ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 10.79  
14  FOREVER DREAMING 11 10 118¼ 118¾ 116 105¼ 96 (lukas w)TORRES A 122 10.00 19.78  
2  PHAROAH'S SONG 2 2 1nk 11½ 1nk 73¾ 108 (motion graham)GRAHAM J 122 12.00 6.89  
4  BHOMA 4 3 2nk 21½ 52 117¾ 1113 (catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00 8.65  
SCR  KATHAAN               (goldfine m)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00    
SCR  MISE EN SCENE (GB)               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  TALBEYAH (IRE)               (casse mar)TORRES A 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  WILLOW BEND               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 116 20.00    
 
CD-8   05/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:121 1:241   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NEVER TELL PATTI 6 7 42 51½ 21½ 1nk 13 (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 7.44  
  (by UNCLE MO out of PRINCESSOF THE NYL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
9  FANCY 8 8 2nk 2½ 11½ 2nk 23 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 2.25  
  (by JUSTIFY out of LACADENA by FASLIYEV)
3  FREEDOM FOR ALL 3 3 64½ 63 43½ 43 36 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 61% 0.60 4.77 S
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MARVELOUS SPOT by ARCHARCHARCH)
8  NURSEKRINGLEDANCES 7 6 1nk 1½ 32 32½ 48 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 11.57  
  (by KLIMT out of BOOT SCOOT N RUN by STORM BOOT)
5  TAKE SHAPE 4 4 53 31 54 54 59½ (arnold georg)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00 7.96  
  (by STREET SENSE out of LOOM by HARD SPUN)
1  PENUMBRAS MAKER 1 2 87 73¼ 75½ 65½ 611¾ (gutierrez fa)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 12% 7.10 5.22  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of BALAYAGE by WAR FRONT)
6  INVENTING ANNA 5 5 31½ 41½ 64 75¾ 713¼ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 ★ 4.03  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of YES LIZ by YES IT'S TRUE)
2  CHURCH SERVICE 2 1 76 84¼ 87½ 88¼ 817½ (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 10.00 ★ 14.89  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of ROBI JO by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  BEAUTIFUL BOLT               (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BEAUTIFUL BECCA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  STUNNINGLY               (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 ★    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of HAPPY MESA by SKY MESA)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.