Handicappers' Racing Form

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (7/5/1/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-2   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-3   Win (2/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-4   Win (12/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-5   Win (3/8/4/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-6   Win (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-7   Win (3/13/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-8   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   05/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 5:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORKS FOR ME         (leitch dan)RODRIGUEZ A 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
EARLY MUNNY Apr27 Apr07       (hancock a)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
WILSON Q         (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00    
TRAILING MONSTER         (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
GOLD SWEEP         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 25% 3.10    
TOP OF THE STREET         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
STORMQUIST         (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
RHYME SCHEMES         (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
THE RUSH IS ON Apr27 Apr13       (vosler s)HUGHES CARLY 119 20.00    
 
CD-2   05/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUGLIA Apr27 Feb25 Feb01 Jan06 Dec15 (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.50 22% 3.60    
FAST GAL May02 Jan25 Jan05 Jul17   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00    
BEACH KITTEN May02 Feb25 Feb01 Nov11 Oct19 (miller f)MORALES EDGAR 123 15.00    
TRIBAL SPIRIT May05 Mar19 Feb26 Feb19 Feb05 (asmussen s)RODRIGUEZ A 113 4.00    
SCR  MONOCACY Jan05 Dec16 Nov25 Nov18 Nov03 (king l)CASTANON L 123 4.50    
A LITTLE BIT CRAZY Mar26 Jan22 Jan14 Dec03 Oct28 (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 2.00 48% 1.10    
FLORIS May26 May03 Apr10     (duvall willi)MICHEL MICKAELLE 123 6.00    
 
CD-3   05/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3 ALL PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER SHARPIE Mar09 Feb10 Jul10     (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 12.00 13% 6.60    
FROG TOWN Apr08 Feb20 Jan28 Jan07 Dec09 (claire alexis)LANERIE J 118 3.50 39% 1.60    
COWBOY VALUES Feb11 Dec10       (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
ATKINS Mar19 Feb24 Feb03 Dec31 Dec11 (mott riley)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 5.00    
SCR  HUMOR ME NOW Apr30 Mar23       (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
BIG BEEMSTER Mar12 Feb20 Jan28 Jan06 Dec19 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
ODDSONTONY Apr28 Apr12 Mar23 Feb25 Jan21 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
CHAMBERS BAY Apr12 Mar17       (glyshaw tim)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
DEVIL'S CAY Mar24 Mar02 Dec22 Nov19   (ramirez m)NAVAS YOEL 111 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
CD-4   05/18/2023 7260ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAY STACK Apr07 Jan22 Nov19 Sep23 Aug21 (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 8% 11.70    
SUCH SOUNDS Apr28 Mar23 Feb25 Dec15 Oct21 (bauer a)LANDEROS CHRIS 126 6.00    
CHATON ROUGE Apr28 Mar15 Feb20 Jan13 Dec10 (glover tracey)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 30.00    
ELLE EST FORTE Apr16 Mar05 Jan05 Oct27 Sep25 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
SWEETS MAKER Mar23 Feb25 Feb11 Dec15 Nov18 (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 117 15.00 6% 15.40    
LOVED REIKO Oct27 Oct07 Jul29 Jul07   (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 124 15.00    
SCR  IMPLOSION Apr13 Mar11 Jan28 Nov25 Oct27 (margolis st)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 20.00    
SCR  I FEEL THE NEED Apr28 Apr15 Mar30 Mar04 Feb17 (mcbride d)LANERIE J 124 20.00    
DIVINELY BOLT Apr22 Mar05 Feb03 Jan21 Nov25 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
10  QUEEN JUDITH Apr13 Nov03 Oct14 Jun25 Apr14 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 124 8.00    
11  FRIVOLE (FR)         (motion gr)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 10.00    
12  JOYFUL APPLAUSE May02 Dec21 Nov25 Nov03 Oct10 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
13  LA TOURISTA Apr22 Apr13 Mar17 Feb16 Feb01 (cano juan )RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00    
SCR  COLONEL ABY B Apr13 Mar31 Nov08 Oct13 Aug29 (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 30.00    
 
CD-5   05/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICEATUDE Apr14 Dec31 Dec11 Nov13 Oct29 (navarrete anna)CANNON DECLAN 124 3.00    
SERGEANT COUNTZLER Feb04 Nov03 May12 Apr20   (hiles rick)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
MO MOVES Mar23 Feb25 Jan20 Nov18 Jul12 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 45% 1.20    
RUN FOR REAGAN Apr28 Apr13 Apr01     (wohlers laura)RAMOS D 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
TIME TO MEDDLE Mar26 Jun04 May03 Apr08 Mar16 (forster t)GRAHAM J 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
WICKED SECRET Nov03 Sep28 Aug31     (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00    
MOONOVERMONTGOMERY May03         (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 15.00    
KUPP Mar12 Feb18 Jan28 Nov13 Sep17 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 23% 3.30    
ALL JOKES ASIDE Apr27 Apr14       (meah m)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
10  SIPPICAN SHOP         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  STAYINYOURLANE Apr29 Mar24       (medina tomas)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
12  BOUDIN Jan27 Nov17 Oct28 Sep30   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
 
CD-6   05/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMAN CENTURIAN Mar11 Feb18 May15     (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 7% 12.60    
ZOOMER Apr22 Mar26 Mar04 Jan27 Jan08 (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ORDER AND LAW Apr23 Mar03 Dec31 Nov25 Oct16 (hess b)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
OUTLIER Apr29 Apr16 Apr01 Mar22 Mar03 (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 6.00    
SCR  DISC JOCKEY Apr22 Feb20 Jan29 Dec17 Nov08 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 118 2.00    
SCR  KOUFAX Mar16 Jan28 Dec21 Oct02 Aug22 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
INTREPID HEART Feb20 Jan21 Dec26 Nov12 Sep28 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 61% 0.60    
KING'S OVATION Apr23 Feb02 Nov23 Apr20 Mar05 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 8.00    
 
CD-7   05/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY PUCHI Apr12 Nov25 Oct28 Oct14 Sep06 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00    
PHAROAH'S SONG Dec03 Oct30 Oct01 Sep06 Aug06 (motion graham)GRAHAM J 122 12.00    
UNDER ONE SKY Apr12 Mar31 Mar02 Jan20 Dec07 (cano juan )RODRIGUEZ A 117 6.00 16% 5.40    
BHOMA Apr12 Mar10 Mar05     (catalano wayne)GEROUX FLORENT 122 20.00    
SCR  WILLOW BEND May17 Apr01 Mar10 Feb03 Nov27 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 116 20.00    
BLISSFUL Apr12 Feb16 Dec31 Oct13 Jul30 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
SCR  TALBEYAH (IRE) Jan26 Aug13 Jul01 May21   (casse mark)TORRES A 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
SHE'S GONE Apr22 Feb04 Nov25 Oct15 Sep10 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
TAP DANCING LADY Apr01 Feb25 Jan28 Jan05 Dec22 (kahles ronald)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 20.00    
SCR  MISE EN SCENE (GB) Apr22 Dec26 Nov05     (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
11  MANUCA (BRZ)         (lobo paulo )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 10.00    
12  FANCY MARTINI Mar02 Jan21 Nov25 Oct20 Sep05 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00    
13  ONE TIME MO Apr12 Dec22 Nov06 Oct01 Apr28 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 6% 16.80    
14  FOREVER DREAMING Apr07 Feb12 Jan07 Sep04 Aug14 (lukas way)TORRES A 122 10.00    
SCR  KATHAAN Apr22 Jan19 Nov25 Oct30 Oct09 (goldfine mic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00    
 
CD-8   05/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENUMBRAS MAKER Apr28 Apr07 Feb16 Jan29 Dec26 (gutierrez faus)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 12% 7.10    
CHURCH SERVICE Mar26 Mar03 Jan14 May01 Apr15 (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 10.00    
FREEDOM FOR ALL Apr22 Mar25       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 61% 0.60    
SCR  STUNNINGLY Apr07 Sep04 Jul04     (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
TAKE SHAPE Sep30         (arnold george )LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00    
INVENTING ANNA Oct30 Oct08 Sep06 Aug10   (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 10.00    
NEVER TELL PATTI Apr01 Mar02       (reed r)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
NURSEKRINGLEDANCES Apr15 Nov10 Sep22 Aug28   (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
FANCY Mar16 Jan29       (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL BOLT Apr22 Apr01 Feb25     (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.