Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Hawthorne
Sunday - April 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  7 $7.40 $3.40 85%
HAW-2   WIN (2/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $15.80 $7.80 98%
    EXA (2/6/7/3)-(2/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-6 $43.00 $31.00 258%
    DD (7/2)-(2/6/7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00  7-7 $34.90 $26.90 336%
HAW-3   DD (2/6/7/3)-(2/3/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-4 $28.30 $12.30 77%
    PK3 (7/2)-(2/6/7/3)-(2/3/1/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00  7-7-4/8 $40.55 $24.55 153%
HAW-4   EXA (8/7/4)-(8/7/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-4 $14.60 $5.60 62%
    TRI (8/7/4)-(8/7/4/2)-(8/7/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00  7-4-8 $23.35 $14.35 159%
    SFT (8/7/4)-(8/7/4/2)-(8/7/4/2)-(8/7/4/2) 18 $0.20 $3.60  7-4-8-2 $23.00 $19.40 539%
    PK3 (2/6/7/3)-(2/3/1/4)-(8/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-4/8-5/7 $32.25 $8.25 34%
HAW-5   PK4 (2/6/7/3)-(2/3/1/4)-(8/7/4)-(1/4/3/2) 192 $0.50 $96.00  7-4/8-5/7-1 $101.20 $5.20 5%
    PK5 (7/2)-(2/6/7/3)-(2/3/1/4)-(8/7/4)-(1/4/3/2) 384 $0.50 $192  7-7-4/8-5/7-1 $263.60 $71.60 37%
HAW-8   WIN (6/1/4/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $22.60 $12.60 126%
    EXA (6/1/4/5/7)-(6/1/4/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-1 $33.90 $13.90 70%
    TRI (6/1/4/5/7)-(6/1/4/5/7)-(6/1/4/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00  7-1-4 $81.50 $51.50 172%
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   04/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:222 :463 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SLEEPY CAT 7 6 21 1nk   11½ 11¼ (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 118 1.80 61% 0.60 2.70 W
3  MISS MIA 3 4 43 43   31½ 21¼ (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 4.50 5.30  
2  TENSE 2 7 57 55½   42 32¼ (wainwright john)FELIX E 124 3.50 13% 6.80 1.20 S
6  JEMEZ FALLS 6 2 31 31½   52¼ 44 (kirby j)EMIGH A 124 4.00 ★ 6.40  
4  LUTION 4 3 67¼ 610   65¼ 55 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 118 6.00 16.40  
5  MISS HIGH N MIGHTY 5 1 11 2nk   21½ 66¾ (ramirez carlos)LOPEZ A 124 12.00 ★ 13.50  
1  TIS SYRIAN KITTY 1 5 712¾ 718   725¼ 742¼ (hughes earl)ORTEGA O 124 20.00 57.10  
 
HAW-2   04/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:142 1:403   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HER GOLD MINE 7 1 11 11 1½ 13½ 15¼ (meraz ant)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 8.00 10% 8.90 6.90 W
6  KITTEN ROCKS 6 2 42½ 42 2½ 33½ 25¼ (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 4.00 11% 7.80 5.40 P
5  TWELVE RED ROSES 5 3 64½ 53 33 23½ 35½ (banks chris)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.50 2.50  
3  WEEKEND PASS 3 7 712½ 710 710 68½ 47¾ (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 4.50 9% 10.60 7.60  
2  QUEEN EKATI 2 5 53½ 66 46½ 46½ 59¼ (nesbitt amy)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50 34% 1.90 2.70  
1  AH LEAH 1 6 31½ 31½ 57½ 57½ 614¼ (schlenk k)HUGHES CARLY 122 6.00 15.30  
4  ZANDREA'S 4 4 21 21 67½ 713½ 723¼ (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 8.00 6.40  
 
HAW-3   04/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PRINCESS STELLA (IRE) 4 1 11 11   13½ 19 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 3.00 5% 19.00 1.50 W
3  FOGGY KITTEN 3 2 21 21   23½ 29 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 2.50 25% 3.00 4.40 P
5  SILVERA 5 4 43½ 45   59 39½ (candelas )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 12.00 17.30  
1  AUNT STELLA 1 3 32 34½   38 410½ (sullivan ellio)COLON H 122 4.50 15% 5.80 5.90  
2  ARCH FLYER 2 7 711½ 712½   69¼ 511½ (quinonez max)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 31% 2.20 2.30  
6  IRISH HALO 6 6 64½ 67½   48 613½ (perez manny)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 20.00 34.80  
7  PRINCESS CONSUELA 7 5 53½ 56½   711¼ 714½ (witthauer)ULLOA JOAN 122 10.00 35.60  
SCR  SINGING ALLI               (dizeo dino)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
 
HAW-4   04/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:222 :452 :572     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TIME HEIST 6 3 2nk 2nk   11½ 14¾ (young terry )CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 9% 10.20 1.30 W
4  RESTORING HOPE 4 7 53¾ 34½   34½ 24¾ (haran john)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 5% 19.00 12.50 P
8  ACT OF BOB 7 6 1nk 1nk   21½ 35¼ (sullivan elli)HERNANDEZ K 122 1.20 64% 0.60 1.50 S
2  EASTER MUSIC 2 4 64¾ 76¼   46 46 (hernandez arma)COLON H 122 5.00 ★ 5.90  
1  DEVIL'S RULE 1 1 75¾ 66¼   67½ 56½ (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 12.00 36.50  
3  WILLOW RIDGE 3 2 33 44¾   56½ 69½ (thurman rhonda)ORM CORY 122 20.00 66.10  
6  SPEEDY G 5 5 43¼ 55¾   710½ 714 (lopez elias)REYES ANGEL 122 8.00 18.70  
SCR  MIND YOUR OWN BIZ               (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 15.00    
 
HAW-5   04/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($31.5K) 3 ALL PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:122 1:38   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACT A FOOL 1 1 12 1½ 1nk 13½ 15¼ (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 1.40 27% 2.70 1.30 W
6  WESLAN 6 5 44 31½ 32½ 34 25¼ (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 120 20.00 62.00  
5  GEM COLLECTION 5 2 22 2½ 2nk 23½ 37¼ (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 120 8.00 8.50  
4  SIVAKO 4 6 55 54 54¾ 48 49½ (block chris)FELIX E 120 4.50 26% 2.80 1.40  
3  MONGOLIAN BEE 3 3 77 77¾ 78¼ 611 514¾ (scherer g)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 6.00 16% 5.10 13.10  
7  EL RAYO (ARG) 7 4 33½ 41½ 42¾ 510 616¾ (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 12.00 23.20  
2  FAITHFUL KING 2 7 66 64¼ 66¾ 715 725¾ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 3.50 8% 11.10 13.40  
 
HAW-6   04/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:22 :45 :572     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WINGING WAYS 2 1 11½ 1½   12½ 11¾ (quinonez max)COLON H 122 5.00 ★ 10.70  
8  CHICKS FOR FREE 8 8 86¼ 56½   54½ 21¾ (manley steve)EMIGH A 122 4.00 36% 1.70 2.30 P
9  PUBLIC SAFETY 9 9 44 34   34 33 (rosin w)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 11% 8.30 5.40 S
1  CHRISTMAS PRESENT 1 3 75¼ 68   65 44 (cook brian)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00 39.10  
5  SOUPER FORTUNE 5 7 33½ 44½   44 54 (butler gerald)MOJICA O 122 6.00 ★ 6.40  
3  JACK VAN BERG 3 2 21½ 2½   22½ 64¾ (poulos dee)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50 24% 3.20 3.10  
4  KING TITO 4 6 98¾ 89½   79 78½ (quinonez )ULLOA JOAN 122 12.00 13.10  
6  RENEGADE BOB 6 5 65 910½   812 813¾ (watkins j)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 15.00 47.80  
7  C C'S KITTEN 7 4 55 79   912¼ 914 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 3.50 8.20  
 
HAW-7   04/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:22 :45 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SHARP HERO 2 2 2nk 1nk   14 13¾ (ross s)MOJICA O 122 2.50 1.40  
7  STOPSHOPPINGAMY 6 6 66½ 56   44½ 23¾ (hernandez arma)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.50 ★ 7.70 P
5  RACETOTHEFINISH 5 4 41½ 31   34 37¼ (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 16% 5.30 5.10 S
8  WAY TOO SMARTE 7 5 56 66½   67 47¾ (pompell robert)ORM CORY 122 20.00 60.00  
4  DOCS SEVEN 4 3 31 42   56½ 58 (manley steve)FELIX E 122 5.00 28% 2.60 5.00  
3  INDICIA 3 7 79 711½   710 610½ (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 8.00 16.00  
1  JUST A WONDER 1 1 1nk 2nk   24 711¼ (manley steve)EMIGH A 124 4.50 23% 3.40 3.50  
SCR  MY MORNING GAL               (coontz arthur )COLON H 122 10.00    
 
HAW-8   04/09/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:132 1:403   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MODIFIER 6 7 35½ 23½ 11½ 14 14¾ (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 124 5.00 5% 19.00 10.30 W
1  GOLD SMOKE 1 5 711 511½ 58 24 24¾ (bentler don)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 3.50 20% 4.00 1.70 P
4  KITTEN'S CLOWN 4 4 47 611¾ 69 47½ 313¾ (thurman rhonda)ORM CORY 124 6.00 12% 7.00 16.00 S
8  HIGHLY UNLIKELY 7 8 812 714¾ 713 69½ 415¾ (irion heather)COLON H 117 20.00 18.90  
6  WICKED SUPRISE 5 3 23½ 33½ 33½ 36½ 517 (cook brian)EMIGH A 124 6.00 36% 1.80 11.40  
9  SUMMER COUNTRY 8 6 57 48 47 59½ 621¾ (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 8.00 4.30  
2  FITZEA 2 2 68 815¼ 815 812½ 724¾ (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 117 10.00 6.10  
3  LIMA ZULU 3 1 13½ 13½ 21½ 710½ 830 (hernandez a)SANTIAGO VICTOR 117 8.00 5.00  
SCR  LOCOMOTE               (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 117 4.00 8% 11.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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