The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $15.82 $0.00 -6.00
    Exacta (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-7 2 0 $54.20 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-7-2 3 0 $31.22 $0.00 -3.00
CD-2   Win (2/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $8.76 $0.00 -8.00
    Exacta (2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 6-4 2 0 $85.06 $0.00 -24.00
    Trifecta (2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 6-4-5 3 0 $59.38 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/2/7)-(2/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-6 2 0 $41.32 $0.00 -12.00
CD-3   Win (3/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $6.34 $6.34 -1.66
    Exacta (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 8-7 2 1 $52.56 $52.56 28.56
    Trifecta (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 8-7-4 3 0 $115.66 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5/7)-(3/6/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 6-8 2 0 $16.19 $0.00 -16.00
    Pick Three (1/2/7)-(2/4/5/7)-(3/6/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 3-6-8 3 0 $88.91 $0.00 -24.00
CD-4   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $9.84 $0.00 -6.00
    Exacta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-2 2 0 $31.40 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 7-2-3 3 0 $17.91 $0.00 -3.00
    Daily Double (3/6/7/8)-(2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 8-7 2 0 $21.08 $0.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (2/4/5/7)-(3/6/7/8)-(2/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 6-8-7 3 0 $57.95 $0.00 -24.00
CD-5   Win (2/4/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $30.62 $0.00 -8.00
    Exacta (2/4/6/8)-(2/4/6/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-8 2 0 $80.92 $0.00 -24.00
    Trifecta (2/4/6/8)-(2/4/6/8)-(2/4/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 1-8-7 3 0 $144.79 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (2/3/6)-(2/4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-1 2 0 $61.26 $0.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (3/6/7/8)-(2/3/6)-(2/4/6/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 8-7-1 3 0 $126.78 $0.00 -24.00
CD-6   Win (2/4/5/11/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $5.74 $5.74 -4.26
    Exacta (2/4/5/11/12)-(2/4/5/11/12) 20 $2.00 $40.00 11-2 2 1 $29.56 $29.56 -10.44
    Trifecta (2/4/5/11/12)-(2/4/5/11/12)-(2/4/5/11/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 11-2-12 3 1 $28.83 $28.83 -1.17
    Daily Double (2/4/6/8)-(2/4/5/11/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 1-11 2 0 $45.53 $0.00 -20.00
    Pick Three (2/3/6)-(2/4/6/8)-(2/4/5/11/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 7-1-11 3 0 $129.30 $0.00 -30.00
CD-7   Win (1/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.08 $5.08 -2.92
    Exacta (1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-1 2 1 $13.02 $13.02 -10.98
    Trifecta (1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 5-1-4 3 1 $23.45 $23.45 11.45
    Daily Double (2/4/5/11/12)-(1/2/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 11-5 2 1 $8.52 $8.52 -11.48
    Pick Three (2/4/6/8)-(2/4/5/11/12)-(1/2/4/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 1-11-5 3 0 $64.45 $0.00 -40.00
CD-8   Win (1/3/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.76 $5.76 -2.24
    Exacta (1/3/6/9)-(1/3/6/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-6 2 1 $28.78 $28.78 4.78
    Trifecta (1/3/6/9)-(1/3/6/9)-(1/3/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 1-6-9 3 1 $23.41 $23.41 11.41
    Daily Double (1/2/4/5)-(1/3/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 5-1 2 1 $7.90 $7.90 -8.10
    Pick Three (2/4/5/11/12)-(1/2/4/5)-(1/3/6/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 11-5-1 3 1 $14.36 $14.36 -25.64
CD-9   Win (2/5/6/8/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $9.92 $9.92 -0.08
    Exacta (2/5/6/8/11)-(2/5/6/8/11) 20 $2.00 $40.00 2-11 2 1 $41.80 $41.80 1.80
    Trifecta (2/5/6/8/11)-(2/5/6/8/11)-(2/5/6/8/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 2-11-6 3 1 $63.92 $63.92 33.92
    Daily Double (1/3/6/9)-(2/5/6/8/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 1-2 2 1 $16.77 $16.77 -3.23
    Pick Three (1/2/4/5)-(1/3/6/9)-(2/5/6/8/11) 80 $0.50 $40.00 5-1-2 3 1 $20.33 $20.33 -19.67

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/28/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
:23 :462 1:12     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA TOURISTA 3 2 5 6   4¼ 1(cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50 6.91  
OWEN'S PLEASURE 6 1 4 3   2nk 2(martinez ral)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 16% 5.20 2.16 P
STOPSHOPPINGAMY 2 6 2½ 1nk   3.2 3(hernandez arm)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 35% 1.90 3.35 S
STANLEY MARKET 1 4 1½ 2nk   1nk 4(morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.50 21% 3.80 2.11  
MISS MOON PIE 5 5 6 5   55(beck rowen)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00 15.40  
DUPLICITOUS 4 3 3 43   6611¼ (ortiz ale)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 5.34  
SCR  GIANNA'S GIFT               (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 4.00    
 
CD-2   05/28/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
:251 :512 1:163 1:402   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOG RED 6 5 21 2½ 2½ 1½ 1(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 3.38  
APOLLO RISING 4 1 11 1½ 1½ 2½ 2(mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 124 10.00 9% 10.40 8.93 P
CONSTITUTIONAL LAW 5 4 32 3 3 43 3(casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 40% 1.50 1.61 S
PRINCELY 1 7 64 63 73 65 4(mcpeek kenn)TORRES A 118 8.00 11.72  
CHILENO 7 6 74 74 52 33 5(asmussen s)SANTANA JR 124 3.00 23% 3.30 4.12  
O P FIRECRACKER 3 2 5 53 6 76(medina robert)GEROUX FLORENT 124 6.00 6.41  
NEIGHBOR 8 3 4 4 4 54 7(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 14.00  
AMERICAN ICON 2 8 8 86 8 8813½ (vasquez sr)COURT K 124 15.00 5% 19.00 37.75  
 
CD-3   05/28/2023 5940ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
:224 :462 1:11 1:353   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINCOLN HIGHWAY 6 5 3 3 3 1nk 1nk (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 15% 5.80 2.17 W
SOYBEAN MAN 5 3 21 24 23 2nk 2nk (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 30% 2.30 7.72 P
SURFACE TO AIR 2 6 6 610 7 43(miller darr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 17.00  
BERRETTINI 3 1 4 4 4 32 4(mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 4.24  
11  ARCHIE THE GIZA 8 4 5 59 67 54 5(medina robert)GEROUX FLORENT 125 8.00 4.33  
CURLINS INCHARGE 4 2 11 14 13 665 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 17% 5.00 2.86  
QAADER 7 7 79 710½ 5 77(trujillo elvis)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 20.00 36.32  
ACCIDENT 1 8 813 816 813 88(short thom)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00 10% 9.20 14.72  
SCR  GAME WARDEN               (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
SCR  GETTLEMAN               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
SCR  MILLERS RITE               (vance thomas)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 15.00    
SCR  MY BOY TONY               (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.00    
SCR  PITAGORE               (engler jeff)TORRES A 125 12.00    
 
CD-4   05/28/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 2:13
:23 :461 1:111     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EDDIE M 5 1 21 2½   14 1(walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 3.92  
GOLD LUCK 1 2 32 3   24 2(garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.00 24% 3.20 2.31 P
IDRATHERBEBLESSED 2 3 4 43   3310¾ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 44% 1.30 3.24 S
MAMA'S GOLD 4 4 11 1½   4416¼ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 8% 11.60 2.87  
HUMOR ME NOW 3 5 5 5   510½ 519½ (asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 3.67  
SCR  LAZARUS               (cundiff waylon)BEJARANO R 120 12.00    
SCR  MISSIN CURFEW               (diodoro rob)TORRES A 120 3.50    
 
CD-5   05/28/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
:222 :453 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO TOWN MAYHEM 1 6 68 8   71(casse mark)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 14.31  
PUMPKIN SCONE 8 4 3 31   1nk 2(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 40% 1.50 1.04 P
ABSINTHE 7 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 3(asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 8.85  
FAST N HAPPY 4 7 810 75   54(drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00 27% 2.70 11.20  
HAPPY AM I 5 1 1½ 2nk   32 54 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 13.98  
UNDER ADVISEMENT 2 5 56 6   466 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 11% 7.80 2.96  
CALL AGAIN 3 8 78 54   67(mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 11.37  
UNCORKED 6 2 4 43   888 (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
 
CD-6   05/28/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
:213 :442 :56     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  KAUFYMAKER 11 2 21 21   1½ 1¾ (ward a)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 32% 2.10 1.87 W
LINGUISTIC 2 11 10 87   54 2¾ (foster eric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 10% 9.30 4.15 P
12  DARING DO 12 3 4 4   2½ 31 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.50 29% 2.40 5.15 S
FROZEN SOLID 5 5 32 32   31 4(lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 16.51  
BOUDOIR BURLESQUE 7 1 8 9   76 5(decker anna)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 30.00 51.60  
LAURA'S CHARM 1 12 12 1210¾   106(kerrick lacy)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 30.00 50.10  
ATLANTIC STRIKE 4 7 64 65   64 7(simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 8% 11.80 16.64  
MADRILENA (ARG) 8 9 11 10   987 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 121 5.00 4.80  
QUICK MUNNY 3 6 11 11   42 9(hartman chris)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00 10.25  
MARGIE'S KITCHEN 9 8 54 55   8108 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 13.93  
10  AWESOME LAWSON 10 10 7 7   1110¾ 1115¾ (vesty clarke)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 30.00 92.01  
SUNDAY GRACE 6 4 9 1110¾   1212¾ 1220 (hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 121 30.00 60.90  
SCR  ALARM CLOCK               (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
SCR  ROCK STAR PARKING               (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 4.00    
 
CD-7   05/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
:212 :444 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEER DISTRICT 5 3 64 5   11(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.50 32% 2.20 1.54 W
ZAMBEZI 1 7 43 4   22(asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 14% 6.30 1.67 P
MIDNIGHT TAXES 4 6 7 75   5311 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 21.21 S
BOHEMIAN BO 2 4 1½ 1½   3411½ (vance thoma)TORRES A 122 3.50 30% 2.40 7.10  
STUD LOVIN 7 1 32 2½   4515 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 4.05  
LARK'S MISCHIEF 3 5 2½ 31   67 617½ (asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 6.00 15.52  
STORM DADDY 6 2 53 6   7720¼ (gonzale)ULLOA PATRICIO 118 15.00 53.18  
 
CD-8   05/28/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
:23 :46 1:104 1:231   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FLOKI'S FLIGHT 7 5 3½ 3½ 1 11¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 4.00 14% 6.20 1.88 W
GRAPHIC DETAIL 5 4 41 5 32 22¼ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.50 28% 2.60 7.32 P
BAD TO THE BONES 8 6 6 6 2 32 3¼ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 25% 2.90 2.28 S
HIGHWAY ROBBER 1 3 5 4 6 44 4(lynch brian)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 18.09  
YORK TAVERN 3 2 2nk 2nk 42 65(devaux che)SANTANA JR 124 12.00 21.46  
DEBATE 6 8 8 8 7 78 68 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00 4.30  
COUSIN LARRY 4 7 7 7 8 89 712¾ (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 20.97  
MIACOMET 2 1 1nk 1nk 5 5813 (shirer matt )GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 6.00 11% 8.10 8.08  
SCR  BEN DIESEL               (lukas way)TORRES A 124 6.00    
SCR  MOBSTER GUN               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 4.00    
 
CD-9   05/28/2023 5940ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
:224 :471 1:12 1:362   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING CURLIN 2 1 5 5 63 1nk 1½ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 125 3.50 32% 2.10 3.96 W
11  TRULY QUALITY 10 7 7 9 5 4¼ 2½ (thomas jonatha)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 18.20 2.95 P
QUALIFIED 6 8 8 64 7 732 (mott riley)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 12.00 5% 19.00 11.81 S
QUALITY CHIC 5 4 2nk 21 2½ 2nk 4(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 8% 11.60 6.86  
SELF RULE 8 9 9 76 10 854 (preston randy)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 20.00 68.13  
AMERICAN ONLY 3 6 1nk 11 1½ 3.2 6(medina robe)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 22.95  
OSCARGOT 4 5 6 8 9 97(murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 18.01  
DECANTED 7 2 3 32 3 5¾ 8(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 34% 1.90 2.23  
FIREBALL FUN 1 3 4 42 4 69(stall m)LANERIE J 118 8.00 7.77  
10  RUNNINGFORJOY 9 10 10 10 85 101011½ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 20.00 48.57  
SCR  ANDY CANT               (mott william)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00    
SCR  HARBOUR BRIDGE               (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50    
SCR  MIRACLE ON ICE               (hughes g)BEJARANO R 125 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.