Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-3   EXA (7/6/8/3)-(7/6/8/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-7 $52.56 $28.56 119%
CD-6   SFT (11/12/2/4/5)-(11/12/2/4/5)-(11/12/2/4/5)-(11/12/2/4/5) 120 $0.10 $12.00  11-2-12-5 $50.64 $38.64 322%
CD-7   TRI (5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-1-4 $23.45 $11.45 95%
    SFT (5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4) 24 $0.10 $2.40  5-1-4-2 $11.15 $8.75 365%
CD-8   EXA (6/9/1/3)-(6/9/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-6 $28.78 $4.78 20%
    TRI (6/9/1/3)-(6/9/1/3)-(6/9/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-6-9 $23.41 $11.41 95%
CD-9   EXA (8/2/5/11/6)-(8/2/5/11/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00  2-11 $41.80 $1.80 5%
    TRI (8/2/5/11/6)-(8/2/5/11/6)-(8/2/5/11/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  2-11-6 $63.92 $33.92 113%
    SFT (8/2/5/11/6)-(8/2/5/11/6)-(8/2/5/11/6)-(8/2/5/11/6) 120 $0.10 $12.00  2-11-6-5 $46.08 $34.08 284%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:12     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LA TOURISTA 3 2 52½ 64½   4¼ 11½ (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50 6.91  
7  OWEN'S PLEASURE 6 1 41½ 31½   2nk 21½ (martinez r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 16% 5.20 2.16 P
2  STOPSHOPPINGAMY 2 6 2½ 1nk   3.2 32¾ (hernandez a)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 35% 1.90 3.35 S
1  STANLEY MARKET 1 4 1½ 2nk   1nk 43¼ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.50 21% 3.80 2.11  
6  MISS MOON PIE 5 5 63½ 53½   52¾ 59¼ (beck row)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00 15.40  
4  DUPLICITOUS 4 3 31½ 43   63¾ 611¼ (ortiz a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 5.34  
SCR  GIANNA'S GIFT               (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 4.00    
 
CD-2   05/28/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:251 :512 1:163 1:402   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DOG RED 6 5 21 2½ 2½ 1½ 11¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 3.38  
4  APOLLO RISING 4 1 11 1½ 1½ 2½ 21¼ (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 124 10.00 9% 10.40 8.93 P
5  CONSTITUTIONAL LAW 5 4 32 31½ 31½ 43 33¾ (casse norm)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 40% 1.50 1.61 S
1  PRINCELY 1 7 64 63 73 65 44¼ (mcpeek ke)TORRES A 118 8.00 11.72  
7  CHILENO 7 6 74 74 52 33 54¾ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 124 3.00 23% 3.30 4.12  
3  O P FIRECRACKER 3 2 53½ 53 62½ 75¼ 66½ (medina rober)GEROUX FLORENT 124 6.00 6.41  
8  NEIGHBOR 8 3 42½ 42½ 41½ 54 76½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 14.00  
2  AMERICAN ICON 2 8 86½ 86 86½ 88¼ 813½ (vasquez sr)COURT K 124 15.00 5% 19.00 37.75  
 
CD-3   05/28/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:11 1:353   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LINCOLN HIGHWAY 6 5 32½ 36½ 33½ 1nk 1nk (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 15% 5.80 2.17 W
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of FRIVOLOUS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
7  SOYBEAN MAN 5 3 21 24 23 2nk 2nk (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 30% 2.30 7.72 P
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of MARTZ by SCAT DADDY)
4  SURFACE TO AIR 2 6 66½ 610 78½ 43½ 31¼ (miller da)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 17.00  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SHEMAZON by CONGRATS)
5  BERRETTINI 3 1 44½ 47½ 45½ 32 41½ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 4.24  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  ARCHIE THE GIZA 8 4 55½ 59 67 54 53½ (medina rober)GEROUX FLORENT 125 8.00 4.33  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLORIA S by TAPIT)
6  CURLINS INCHARGE 4 2 11 14 13 64½ 65 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 17% 5.00 2.86  
  (by CURLIN out of SWEEPING PADDY by PADDY O'PRADO)
9  QAADER 7 7 79 710½ 56½ 75½ 75¼ (trujillo elvis)SAEZ GABRIEL 125 20.00 36.32  
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of REDINHA by DANSILI (GB))
3  ACCIDENT 1 8 813 816 813 88½ 86¾ (short th)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00 10% 9.20 14.72  
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of NOT JAVA by NOT BOURBON)
SCR  GAME WARDEN               (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
  (by TAPIT out of GLORY AND POWER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  GETTLEMAN               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ESTELLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  MILLERS RITE               (vance thom)MICHEL MICKAELLE 118 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of ROMANTIC FROLIC by VINDICATION)
SCR  MY BOY TONY               (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of BOLD CONTENDER by STRONG CONTENDER)
SCR  PITAGORE               (engler je)TORRES A 125 12.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of PITAMAKAN by DANZIG)
 
CD-4   05/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:111     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  EDDIE M 5 1 21 2½   14 18½ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 3.92  
2  GOLD LUCK 1 2 32 31½   24 28½ (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.00 24% 3.20 2.31 P
3  IDRATHERBEBLESSED 2 3 42½ 43   36½ 310¾ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.00 44% 1.30 3.24 S
6  MAMA'S GOLD 4 4 11 1½   48½ 416¼ (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 8% 11.60 2.87  
5  HUMOR ME NOW 3 5 52½ 53½   510½ 519½ (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 3.67  
SCR  LAZARUS               (cundiff waylon)BEJARANO R 120 12.00    
SCR  MISSIN CURFEW               (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 3.50    
 
CD-5   05/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO TOWN MAYHEM 1 6 68 86½   75¾ 12¼ (casse mar)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 14.31  
  (by UNCLE MO out of TOWN TOUR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  PUMPKIN SCONE 8 4 31½ 31   1nk 22¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 40% 1.50 1.04 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of EMBELLISH THE LACE by SUPER SAVER)
7  ABSINTHE 7 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 32¼ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 8.85  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SHINING STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
4  FAST N HAPPY 4 7 810 75   54¾ 43½ (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 5.00 27% 2.70 11.20  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ONE FAST FROG by FIRST SAMURAI)
5  HAPPY AM I 5 1 1½ 2nk   32 54 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 13.98  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CAT DANCE by TOM CAT)
2  UNDER ADVISEMENT 2 5 56 64½   44½ 66 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 11% 7.80 2.96  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of WALTZINGINTHERAIN by TIZWAY)
3  CALL AGAIN 3 8 78 54   65¼ 77¼ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 11.37  
  (by ARROGATE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  UNCORKED (AUS) 6 2 42½ 43   86¾ 88 (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
  (by PIERRO out of PIAF by PROUD BIRDIE)
 
CD-6   05/28/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:213 :442 :56     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  KAUFYMAKER 11 2 21 21   1½ 1¾ (ward a)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 32% 2.10 1.87 W
2  LINGUISTIC 2 11 105¾ 87   54 2¾ (foster eri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 10% 9.30 4.15 P
12  DARING DO 12 3 42½ 42½   2½ 31 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.50 29% 2.40 5.15 S
5  FROZEN SOLID 5 5 32 32   31 42½ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00 5% 19.00 16.51  
7  BOUDOIR BURLESQUE 7 1 84¾ 97¼   76 53¼ (decker anna)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 30.00 51.60  
1  LAURA'S CHARM 1 12 128¾ 1210¾   107¼ 64½ (kerrick lacy)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 30.00 50.10  
4  ATLANTIC STRIKE 4 7 64 65   64 74¾ (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 8% 11.80 16.64  
8  MADRILENA (ARG) 8 9 116¾ 107¾   97¼ 87 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 121 5.00 4.80  
3  QUICK MUNNY 3 6 11 11   42 97¼ (hartman chr)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00 10.25  
9  MARGIE'S KITCHEN 9 8 54 55   86¼ 108 (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00 13.93  
10  AWESOME LAWSON 10 10 74¼ 75½   1110¾ 1115¾ (vesty clark)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 30.00 92.01  
6  SUNDAY GRACE 6 4 95¾ 1110¾   1212¾ 1220 (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 121 30.00 60.90  
SCR  ALARM CLOCK               (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
SCR  ROCK STAR PARKING               (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 4.00    
 
CD-7   05/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:212 :444 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DEER DISTRICT 5 3 64 51½   12½ 19½ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.50 32% 2.20 1.54 W
1  ZAMBEZI 1 7 43 41½   22½ 29½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 14% 6.30 1.67 P
4  MIDNIGHT TAXES 4 6 74½ 75   56½ 311 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 21.21 S
2  BOHEMIAN BO 2 4 1½ 1½   32½ 411½ (vance tho)TORRES A 122 3.50 30% 2.40 7.10  
7  STUD LOVIN 7 1 32 2½   44½ 515 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 4.05  
3  LARK'S MISCHIEF 3 5 2½ 31   67 617½ (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 6.00 15.52  
6  STORM DADDY 6 2 53 63½   78½ 720¼ (gonza)ULLOA PATRICIO 118 15.00 53.18  
 
CD-8   05/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:104 1:231   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FLOKI'S FLIGHT 7 5 3½ 3½ 11½ 11½ 1¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 4.00 14% 6.20 1.88 W
6  GRAPHIC DETAIL 5 4 41 51¾ 32 21½ 2¼ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.50 28% 2.60 7.32 P
9  BAD TO THE BONES 8 6 61¾ 62¾ 21½ 32 3¼ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 25% 2.90 2.28 S
2  HIGHWAY ROBBER 1 3 51½ 41½ 63¼ 44 43¼ (lynch bri)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 18.09  
4  YORK TAVERN 3 2 2nk 2nk 42 65½ 57¾ (devaux c)SANTANA JR 124 12.00 21.46  
7  DEBATE 6 8 83¾ 84¼ 75¼ 78 68 (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00 4.30  
5  COUSIN LARRY 4 7 73¾ 73¼ 85¾ 89 712¾ (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 20.97  
3  MIACOMET 2 1 1nk 1nk 52¼ 55½ 813 (shirer mat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 6.00 11% 8.10 8.08  
SCR  BEN DIESEL               (lukas w)TORRES A 124 6.00    
SCR  MOBSTER GUN               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 4.00    
 
CD-9   05/28/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:12 1:362   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KING CURLIN 2 1 52¾ 53½ 63 1nk 1½ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 125 3.50 32% 2.10 3.96 W
  (by CURLIN out of BLINGISMYTHING by ARCH)
11  TRULY QUALITY 10 7 73¾ 97¾ 52½ 4¼ 2½ (thomas jonat)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 18.20 2.95 P
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of TRULY TOGETHER by SMART STRIKE)
6  QUALIFIED 6 8 84¼ 64 74½ 73¾ 32 (mott riley)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 12.00 5% 19.00 11.81 S
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LIL INDY by BUCKLEY BOY)
5  QUALITY CHIC 5 4 2nk 21 2½ 2nk 43¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 8% 11.60 6.86  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CHICA BOOM CHIC by TAPIT)
9  SELF RULE 8 9 95¼ 76 106¼ 84¼ 54 (preston rand)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 20.00 68.13  
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of TEMPERENCE GIFT by KINGMAMBO)
3  AMERICAN ONLY 3 6 1nk 11 1½ 3.2 64¾ (medina ro)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 22.95  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of ONLY BY THE NIGHT by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  OSCARGOT 4 5 63¼ 86¼ 95¼ 96¼ 74¾ (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 12.00 18.01  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of WINE AND DYNE by DYNAFORMER)
8  DECANTED 7 2 31½ 32 31½ 5¾ 85¼ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 34% 1.90 2.23  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of KAHRUMANA by SHAMARDAL)
1  FIREBALL FUN 1 3 41¾ 42 42½ 62¾ 95¾ (stall m)LANERIE J 118 8.00 7.77  
  (by HARD SPUN out of BARBECCA by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
10  RUNNINGFORJOY 9 10 106¾ 109¼ 85 108¼ 1011½ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 20.00 48.57  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of JOY FILLED by PULPIT)
SCR  ANDY CANT               (mott willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of WHISKED AWAY by VICTORY GALLOP)
SCR  HARBOUR BRIDGE               (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of TIGER MOTH by STREET SENSE)
SCR  MIRACLE ON ICE               (hughes g)BEJARANO R 125 12.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of MAGICAL VICTORY by VICTORY GALLOP)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.