The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Churchill Downs
Friday - May 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (1/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.10 $6.10 -1.90
    Exacta (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-5 2 0 $64.42 $0.00 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 1-5-3 3 0 $52.27 $0.00 -12.00
CD-2   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $3.92 $3.92 -0.08
    Exacta (1/6)-(1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1-6 2 1 $7.68 $7.68 -0.32
    Trifecta (1/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 1-6-4 3 0 $5.07 $0.00 -2.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3/6)-(1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 1-1 2 1 $5.97 $5.97 -2.03
CD-3   Win (1/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $4.76 $0.00 -8.00
    Exacta (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-3 2 0 $18.80 $0.00 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 4-3-2 3 0 $35.72 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/6)-(1/2/3/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 1-4 2 0 $4.93 $0.00 -8.00
    Pick Three (1/2/3/6)-(1/6)-(1/2/3/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 1-1-4 3 0 $8.87 $0.00 -16.00
CD-4   Win (1/2/6/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -4.80
    Exacta (1/2/6/13)-(1/2/6/11/13) 16 $2.00 $32.00 1-2 2 1 $10.02 $10.02 -21.98
    Trifecta (1/2/6/13)-(1/2/6/11/13)-(1/2/6/11/13) 48 $0.50 $24.00 1-2-13 3 1 $35.20 $35.20 11.20
    Daily Double (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/6/13) 16 $1.00 $16.00 4-1 2 0 $4.09 $0.00 -16.00
    Pick Three (1/6)-(1/2/3/6)-(1/2/6/13) 32 $0.50 $16.00 1-4-1 3 0 $4.80 $0.00 -16.00
CD-5   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
    Exacta (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-2 2 0 $10.48 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 5-2-3 3 0 $8.26 $0.00 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/2/6/13)-(1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-5 2 1 $3.75 $3.75 -8.25
    Pick Three (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/6/13)-(1/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 4-1-5 3 0 $6.70 $0.00 -24.00
CD-6   Win (1/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $37.38 $0.00 -8.00
    Exacta (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 6-5 2 0 $245.18 $0.00 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 6-5-4 3 0 $240.19 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/5/6)-(1/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-6 2 0 $39.30 $0.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/2/6/13)-(1/5/6)-(1/2/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 1-5-6 3 0 $54.93 $0.00 -24.00
CD-7   Win (1/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $26.56 $26.56 20.56
    Exacta (1/5/8)-(1/3/5/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 8-5 2 1 $91.88 $91.88 73.88
    Trifecta (1/5/8)-(1/3/5/8)-(1/3/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 8-5-1 3 1 $78.75 $78.75 69.75
    Daily Double (1/2/4/7)-(1/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-8 2 0 $317.83 $0.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/5/6)-(1/2/4/7)-(1/5/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 5-6-8 3 0 $407.87 $0.00 -18.00
CD-8   Win (4/5/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 13 1 0 $17.60 $0.00 -6.00
    Exacta (4/5/11)-(1/4/5/11/13) 12 $2.00 $24.00 13-11 2 0 $53.06 $0.00 -24.00
    Trifecta (4/5/11)-(1/4/5/11/13)-(1/4/5/11/13) 36 $0.50 $18.00 13-11-4 3 0 $56.66 $0.00 -18.00
    Daily Double (1/5/8)-(4/5/11) 9 $1.00 $9.00 8-13 2 0 $133.30 $0.00 -9.00
    Pick Three (1/2/4/7)-(1/5/8)-(4/5/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 6-8-13 3 0 $2083.84 $0.00 -18.00
CD-9   Win (2/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $30.36 $0.00 -8.00
    Exacta (2/3/6/7)-(2/3/5/6/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 4-2 2 0 $155.32 $0.00 -32.00
    Trifecta (2/3/6/7)-(2/3/5/6/7)-(2/3/5/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 4-2-7 3 0 $353.35 $0.00 -24.00
    Daily Double (4/5/11)-(2/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 13-4 2 0 $175.56 $0.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/5/8)-(4/5/11)-(2/3/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 8-13-4 3 0 $1527.88 $0.00 -18.00
CD-10   Win (1/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -3.20
    Exacta (1/3/7/8)-(1/3/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 8-1 2 1 $14.00 $14.00 -10.00
    Trifecta (1/3/7/8)-(1/3/7/8)-(1/3/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 8-1-6 3 0 $10.90 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (2/3/6/7)-(1/3/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 4-5 2 0 $16.59 $0.00 -16.00
    Pick Three (4/5/11)-(2/3/6/7)-(1/3/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 13-4-5 3 0 $73.66 $0.00 -24.00

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/19/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:00
:224 :463       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEORGE'S HONEY 1 3 2½ 3½   1nk 12 (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 7% 13.50 2.05 W
UNMATCHED 5 4 5 43   43 22 (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 112 8.00 22.73  
DEBOISBLANC 3 6 31 2½   31 3(cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 2.00 45% 1.20 1.31 S
SAPPHIRE NIGHTS 4 2 1½ 1½   2nk 43 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 7.47  
HONOR CAT 2 1 42 5   55(diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 8.00 8% 11.90 7.89  
AIM HIGHER 6 5 64 6   67 6(elliott l)GRAHAM J 119 4.00 13% 6.50 5.39  
GREEN CHILE 7 7 74 7   7711 (hancock john)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 38.70  
SCR  YOU'RE FOREVER               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
 
CD-2   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 F PT- 6:28
:212 :45 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAZZLING BLUE 1 5 11 11   14 1(cox h)SANTANA JR 118 1.60 32% 2.10 0.96 W
SUNDAY SHOES 5 2 4 21   24 2(ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.00 44% 1.30 1.29 P
PROMISE OF HOPE 4 4 53 4   43(amoss m)LANERIE J 118 8.00 7.32  
B G WARRIOR 3 3 3 3   3411¼ (kahles ronald)RAMOS D 118 10.00 8.04  
HOLIDAY DECISION 2 1 21 55   513½ 533¼ (delacruz meji)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 24.97  
SCR  BACK TO OHIO               (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50    
 
CD-3   05/19/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:56
:22 :453       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
V V'S DREAM 4 7 7 46   22 1(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 1.38  
CHEETAH MISS 3 2 1 12   12 2(rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 31% 2.20 3.38 P
HI'IAKA 2 4 66 7   53(arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 6% 17.00 18.84 S
GLORIETTE 5 3 44 22   34(colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 112 6.00 17.76  
ARGAN 6 6 55 58   66 5(gutierrez f)TORRES A 119 8.00 7% 13.50 10.68  
VIBE CHECK 7 8 8 810½   76(casse w)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 9.01  
TX WOMEN FOR ARTS 1 1 3 34   4710¾ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 3.50 25% 3.10 2.92  
LITTLE MUSIC 8 5 2 6   810 825 (holsapple hutch)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 47.41  
SCR  TITANIA'S DREAM               (mccutchen jas)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 8.00    
 
CD-4   05/19/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
:22 :444 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH FRONT 1 3 21 2½   12 1hd (thomas jonath)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 1.60 46% 1.20 0.60 W
B D VALESKI 2 2 7 6   32 2hd (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 123 5.00 27% 2.80 5.23 P
13  COUNTERSTRIKE 12 6 4 42   22 3.15 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 123 15.00 5% 19.00 40.33 S
10  ARABIAN PRINCE 9 10 9 10   842 (barnett bob)LEPAROUX R 123 15.00 28.55  
GILDED RULER 6 9 63 5   45(sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 10.00 5% 19.00 9.96  
LAVER 8 4 87 8   763 (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 31.72  
11  TRUST DADDY 10 5 3 3½   57(o'dwyer jeremi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00 8.35  
GROUP EIGHTEEN 7 11 1211¼ 1111¼   910¼ 8(williamson brian)MILLER CHASE 123 20.00 61.43  
12  BRAZEN BOY 11 12 10 9   1012¼ 9(blair jordan)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00 36.26  
KING OF SONG 4 1 11 1½   610(brinkman bre)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 12.00 29.60  
ROMAN GIANT 3 7 1111 1213¾   1114¼ 11(asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 20.91  
FINGERS 5 8 53 7   1217¼ 1221 (miller darrin)CASTANON L 118 20.00 41.96  
SCR  ANGKOR               (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 3.00    
SCR  BADGEBALL               (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 123 20.00    
SCR  LARK'S MISCHIEF               (asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.50    
SCR  NULLARBOR               (ramirez m)NAVAS YOEL 111 5.00    
SCR  TRUE JEDI               (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 123 10.00    
 
CD-5   05/19/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3 F PT- 7:57
:224 :453 1:103     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST LIKE MAGIC 5 3 4 4   12 1(amoss m)LANERIE J 118 2.00 30% 2.30 0.90 W
GRAY FROST 2 1 1½ 1½   22 2(garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00 2.86  
OATH OF ALLEGIANCE 3 4 2½ 2½   35 310¾ (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 2.50 6.11  
ROJA LIGERA 4 2 3 33   45 411¾ (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00 11.63  
BIZZY GIRL 6 5 6 68   510 515¾ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 14% 6.30 6.72  
LILY'S CREED 1 6 57 5   612 619¾ (scherer mariann)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 12% 7.60 10.43  
 
CD-6   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:30
:221 :453 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOISE 6 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 1¼ (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00 17.69  
CRIME SPREE 5 4 6 31   2nk 2¼ (leonard geor)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 5.55  
RACE DRIVER 4 1 42 42   42 3(delacruz meji)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.50 26% 2.90 2.02 S
BEST OF GREELEY 1 5 1½ 1nk   3½ 4(asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.50 9% 10.60 5.16  
HURRICANE HIGHWAY 7 3 32 5   54 5(wong jonat)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 28% 2.60 2.30  
HIGH TONE 3 7 7 6   66 69 (shirer a)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 6.10  
GAME BOY BENNY 2 6 5 7   7710¼ (winebaugh ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 14% 6.10 13.38  
 
CD-7   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
:212 :45 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAITHFUL RULER 8 2 32 2nk   1nk 1hd (watkins jame)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00 19% 4.10 12.28 W
MAC DADDY TOO 5 3 2nk 1nk   2nk 2hd (diodoro rob)TORRES A 123 2.50 49% 1.00 1.03 P
STONEVICIOUS 1 5 4 4   332 (foster eric)RAMOS D 123 5.00 6% 17.00 6.15 S
MIDASWELLRUN 2 8 8 8   44(blair jordan)GRAHAM J 123 4.50 3.74  
BODOCK 6 7 6 7   57 5(simms jr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.50 6.59  
PICO D'ORO 7 1 7 6   68 611½ (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 12.00 17.23  
ON K P 3 4 54 5   7716½ (rednour jr)COURT K 123 10.00 16.05  
I'M WIDE AWAKE 4 6 1nk 3   811½ 820¾ (garcia gena)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 19.03  
 
CD-8   05/19/2023 5940ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:39
:243 :492 1:132 1:37   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  RISK MANAGER 11 9 8 8 7 41½ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 7.80  
11  PRICE TALK 9 4 31 42 3 1½ 2½ (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 2.50 61% 0.60 2.36 P
HIDDEN STASH 4 2 1nk 1½ 1½ 3½ 3(oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.00 11% 7.70 4.41 S
MAHAAMEL 5 3 2nk 2½ 2½ 2½ 4(sharp joe)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 6% 15.40 4.36  
12  MICROPHONE (IRE) 10 6 5 5 5 52 52 (west w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 13.56  
HENLEY'S JOY 2 1 42 32 4 663 (casse mark)TORRES A 122 12.00 12.14  
STOLEN BASE 7 7 7 7 6 77(maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 7.53  
10  PUNCH HARD 8 5 6 6 8 884 (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00 29.46  
ALTAZOR (ARG) 1 8 9 9 9 995 (correas iv)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 14.97  
FEBRUARY SON 6 11 10 10 10 1010(granitz anthon)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 30.00 28.16  
RUPP N READY 3 10 11 11 118 1110¼ 11(pitts helen)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00 24.64  
SCR  BEAR OAK               (bahena ismael)GILLIGAN JACK 122 20.00    
SCR  COMMANDPERFORMANCE               (sharp joe)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.00    
SCR  JOHNY'S FIREBALL               (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 122 3.50    
SCR  RARIFIED FLAIR               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 116 15.00    
SCR  SEARCH ENGINE               (amoss m)LANERIE J 122 4.00    
SCR  SHORTLIST               (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00    
 
CD-9   05/19/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-10:11
:223 :46 1:111     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLORATURA 4 2 22 2½   11(caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 10.00 14.18  
HAMMERDONHAPPINESS 2 9 45 34   22(lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 16% 5.30 3.48 P
GET BY 7 4 66 56   43(hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 10.00 10% 8.80 8.57 S
10  PADDY GAL 8 8 912 912½   610 4(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00 13.97  
11  TERRANOVA 9 1 12 1½   3510¾ (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 30.00 8.66  
WITCH OF NOVEMBER 3 7 33 4   5611 (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 21% 3.80 7.60  
KEEN CONTENDER 1 10 1015 1014   813½ 712¼ (van th)TORRES A 124 15.00 29.97  
12  CALLIE'S PASSION 10 5 88 6   712½ 813¾ (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 5.00 3.17  
FASHION IDOL 6 3 55 7   1018½ 925¾ (cox h)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 29% 2.40 5.88  
MARKSWOMAN 5 6 77 810½   917 1031½ (foley greg)LANERIE J 124 6.00 7.67  
SCR  DIAL TONI               (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 124 6.00    
SCR  DOODLE DOO               (obert danielle)STEVENS C 114 20.00    
SCR  VALIANT PRAISE               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
SCR  XTRAORDINARYMOTION               (minnock g)NAVAS YOEL 111 20.00    
 
CD-10   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT-10:42
:222 :453 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RETAINED 7 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 1nk (morey wil)DE CRUZ 118 2.50 44% 1.30 1.40 W
CIRCLE BACK JACK 1 5 1½ 1nk   2½ 2nk (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00 8% 12.20 3.99 P
SUPREMELY 5 2 3 31   32 3(foley greg)LANERIE J 123 5.00 3.27  
AERONAUT 3 6 4 4   43 4(danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 20.00 5% 19.00 25.29  
PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE 6 4 5 53   554 (asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 4.00 22% 3.60 3.86  
SCHMOOZIN 4 7 7 7   666 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 6.00 9.72  
KEEN ON YOU 2 3 64 66   7712 (cundiff waylo)PETERSON FERRIN 123 20.00 31.82  
SCR  BACKSIDE BUZZ               (vance thoma)TORRES A 118 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.