Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Friday - May 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-4   TRI (1/2/6/13)-(1/2/6/13/11)-(1/2/6/13/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00  1-2-13 $35.20 $11.20 47%
CD-7   WIN (5/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $26.56 $20.56 343%
    EXA (5/8/1)-(5/8/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00  8-5 $91.88 $73.88 410%
    TRI (5/8/1)-(5/8/1/3)-(5/8/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00  8-5-1 $78.75 $69.75 775%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:224 :463       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEORGE'S HONEY 1 3 2½ 3½   1nk 12 (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 7% 13.50 2.05 W
  (by JIMMY CREED out of QUE CHULO by RACING RHINOCEROUS)
5  UNMATCHED 5 4 52½ 43   43 22 (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 112 8.00 22.73  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of YAHILWA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  DEBOISBLANC 3 6 31 2½   31 32¾ (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 2.00 45% 1.20 1.31 S
  (by MUNNINGS out of TENSAS COWGIRL by COWBOY CAL)
4  SAPPHIRE NIGHTS 4 2 1½ 1½   2nk 43 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 7.47  
  (by MITOLE out of MISCHIEF GALORE by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  HONOR CAT 2 1 42 54½   54½ 53¾ (diodoro r)TORRES A 119 8.00 8% 11.90 7.89  
  (by HONOR CODE out of SENSE OF WAR by STREET SENSE)
6  AIM HIGHER 6 5 64 66½   67 69½ (elliott l)GRAHAM J 119 4.00 13% 6.50 5.39  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of SPECIAL YOU by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  GREEN CHILE 7 7 74 77½   78½ 711 (hancock jo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 38.70  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of PERSEVERANTE by STUKA)
SCR  YOU'RE FOREVER               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of APRIL'S PROMISE by BROKEN VOW)
 
CD-2   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 F PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:212 :45 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAZZLING BLUE 1 5 11 11   14 18¾ (cox brad)SANTANA JR 118 1.60 32% 2.10 0.96 W
6  SUNDAY SHOES 5 2 41½ 21   24 28¾ (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.00 44% 1.30 1.29 P
4  PROMISE OF HOPE 4 4 53 44½   46½ 39¼ (amoss m)LANERIE J 118 8.00 7.32  
3  B G WARRIOR 3 3 31½ 32½   36½ 411¼ (kahles ronal)RAMOS D 118 10.00 ★ 8.04  
2  HOLIDAY DECISION 2 1 21 55   513½ 533¼ (delacruz me)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 24.97  
SCR  BACK TO OHIO               (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50    
 
CD-3   05/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:22 :453       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  V V'S DREAM 4 7 76¼ 46   22 16¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 1.38  
  (by MITOLE out of QUAY by TAPIT)
3  CHEETAH MISS 3 2 13½ 12   12 26¼ (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 31% 2.20 3.38 P
  (by MITOLE out of OLIVE BRANCH by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  HI'IAKA 2 4 66 78½   55½ 37½ (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 6% 17.00 18.84 S
  (by MUNNINGS out of HUA MULAN by MALIBU MOON)
5  GLORIETTE 5 3 44 22   32½ 47½ (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 112 6.00 17.76  
  (by MUNNINGS out of JULERETTE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
6  ARGAN 6 6 55 58   66 58½ (gutierrez)TORRES A 119 8.00 7% 13.50 10.68  
  (by NYQUIST out of AUDREY'S DOUBLE by PULPIT)
7  VIBE CHECK 7 8 88¾ 810½   76½ 68¾ (casse w)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 9.01  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of DAILY CAST by CURLIN)
1  TX WOMEN FOR ARTS 1 1 33½ 34   43½ 710¾ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 119 3.50 25% 3.10 2.92  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of PROXIMITY BIAS by FLATTER)
8  LITTLE MUSIC 8 5 23½ 68½   810 825 (holsapple hutc)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 47.41  
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of FROZEN MUSIC by LANGFUHR)
SCR  TITANIA'S DREAM               (mccutchen j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 8.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of PEACE PROCESS by SUGGEST)
 
CD-4   05/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
See original race card.
:22 :444 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH FRONT 1 3 21 2½   12 1hd (thomas jona)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 1.60 46% 1.20 0.60 W
2  B D VALESKI 2 2 74½ 64¼   32 2hd (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 123 5.00 27% 2.80 5.23 P
13  COUNTERSTRIKE 12 6 42½ 42   22 3.15 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 123 15.00 5% 19.00 40.33 S
10  ARABIAN PRINCE 9 10 97½ 109¼   87¾ 42 (barnett b)LEPAROUX R 123 15.00 28.55  
6  GILDED RULER 6 9 63 52¼   42¼ 52½ (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 10.00 5% 19.00 9.96  
8  LAVER 8 4 87 88¼   77¾ 63 (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 31.72  
11  TRUST DADDY 10 5 31½ 3½   53¼ 74¼ (o'dwyer jere)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00 ★ 8.35  
7  GROUP EIGHTEEN 7 11 1211¼ 1111¼   910¼ 86¾ (williamson bri)MILLER CHASE 123 20.00 61.43  
12  BRAZEN BOY 11 12 108½ 98¾   1012¼ 97¼ (blair jordan)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00 36.26  
4  KING OF SONG 4 1 11 1½   65¾ 109¼ (brinkman b)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 12.00 29.60  
3  ROMAN GIANT 3 7 1111 1213¾   1114¼ 119½ (asmussen)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 20.91  
5  FINGERS 5 8 53 74¾   1217¼ 1221 (miller darrin)CASTANON L 118 20.00 41.96  
SCR  ANGKOR               (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 3.00    
SCR  BADGEBALL               (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 123 20.00    
SCR  LARK'S MISCHIEF               (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.50    
SCR  NULLARBOR               (ramirez m)NAVAS YOEL 111 5.00    
SCR  TRUE JEDI               (davis chri)CORRALES GERARDO 123 10.00    
 
CD-5   05/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3 F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:103     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JUST LIKE MAGIC 5 3 44½ 44½   12 19¾ (amoss m)LANERIE J 118 2.00 30% 2.30 0.90 W
2  GRAY FROST 2 1 1½ 1½   22 29¾ (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00 2.86  
3  OATH OF ALLEGIANCE 3 4 2½ 2½   35 310¾ (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 2.50 6.11  
4  ROJA LIGERA 4 2 32½ 33   45 411¾ (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00 11.63  
6  BIZZY GIRL 6 5 68½ 68   510 515¾ (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 14% 6.30 6.72  
1  LILY'S CREED 1 6 57 57½   612 619¾ (scherer maria)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 12% 7.60 10.43  
 
CD-6   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:221 :453 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BOISE 6 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 1¼ (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00 17.69  
5  CRIME SPREE 5 4 62¾ 31   2nk 2¼ (leonard ge)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 5.55  
4  RACE DRIVER 4 1 42 42   42 33½ (delacruz me)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.50 26% 2.90 2.02 S
1  BEST OF GREELEY 1 5 1½ 1nk   3½ 43½ (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.50 9% 10.60 5.16  
7  HURRICANE HIGHWAY 7 3 32 52¼   54 56½ (wong jon)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 28% 2.60 2.30  
3  HIGH TONE 3 7 73¾ 64¾   66 69 (shirer a)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 6.10  
2  GAME BOY BENNY 2 6 52¼ 75¾   76½ 710¼ (winebaugh )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 14% 6.10 13.38  
 
CD-7   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:212 :45 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FAITHFUL RULER 8 2 32 2nk   1nk 1hd (watkins ja)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00 19% 4.10 12.28 W
5  MAC DADDY TOO 5 3 2nk 1nk   2nk 2hd (diodoro r)TORRES A 123 2.50 49% 1.00 1.03 P
1  STONEVICIOUS 1 5 43½ 42½   32½ 32 (foster eric)RAMOS D 123 5.00 6% 17.00 6.15 S
2  MIDASWELLRUN 2 8 89¾ 87¼   45½ 43½ (blair jordan)GRAHAM J 123 4.50 3.74  
6  BODOCK 6 7 66½ 76¼   57 58¾ (simms j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.50 6.59  
7  PICO D'ORO 7 1 76¾ 65¼   68 611½ (caramori ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 12.00 17.23  
3  ON K P 3 4 54 52¾   79½ 716½ (rednour jr)COURT K 123 10.00 ★ 16.05  
4  I'M WIDE AWAKE 4 6 1nk 31½   811½ 820¾ (garcia ge)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 19.03  
 
CD-8   05/19/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:39
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:132 1:37   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  RISK MANAGER 11 9 84¾ 85¼ 74¼ 41½ 1½ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 ★ 7.80  
11  PRICE TALK 9 4 31 42 31½ 1½ 2½ (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 2.50 61% 0.60 2.36 P
4  HIDDEN STASH 4 2 1nk 1½ 1½ 3½ 31¾ (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.00 11% 7.70 4.41 S
5  MAHAAMEL (IRE) 5 3 2nk 2½ 2½ 2½ 41¾ (sharp jo)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 6% 15.40 4.36  
12  MICROPHONE (IRE) 10 6 52¼ 53½ 52½ 52 52 (west w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 13.56  
2  HENLEY'S JOY 2 1 42 32 41½ 62½ 63 (casse mar)TORRES A 122 12.00 12.14  
7  STOLEN BASE 7 7 73¾ 74¼ 62¾ 72¾ 73½ (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 7.53  
10  PUNCH HARD 8 5 62¼ 63¾ 84¼ 84¾ 84 (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00 29.46  
1  ALTAZOR (ARG) 1 8 95¼ 96¾ 95¼ 97¼ 95 (correas iv)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 ★ 14.97  
6  FEBRUARY SON 6 11 106¼ 109¼ 107¾ 108¾ 106¼ (granitz anth)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 30.00 28.16  
3  RUPP N READY 3 10 116¾ 119¼ 118 1110¼ 119¾ (pitts hel)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00 24.64  
SCR  BEAR OAK               (bahena ismael)GILLIGAN JACK 122 20.00    
SCR  COMMANDPERFORMANCE               (sharp joe)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.00    
SCR  JOHNY'S FIREBALL               (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 122 3.50    
SCR  RARIFIED FLAIR               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 116 15.00    
SCR  SEARCH ENGINE               (amoss m)LANERIE J 122 4.00    
SCR  SHORTLIST               (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00    
 
CD-9   05/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-10:11
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:111     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  COLORATURA 4 2 22 2½   13½ 11½ (caramori ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 10.00 14.18  
2  HAMMERDONHAPPINESS 2 9 45 34   23½ 21½ (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 16% 5.30 3.48 P
7  GET BY 7 4 66 56   44½ 33¾ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 10.00 10% 8.80 8.57 S
10  PADDY GAL 8 8 912 912½   610 47¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00 13.97  
11  TERRANOVA 9 1 12 1½   33½ 510¾ (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 30.00 8.66  
3  WITCH OF NOVEMBER 3 7 33 44½   57½ 611 (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 21% 3.80 7.60  
1  KEEN CONTENDER 1 10 1015 1014   813½ 712¼ (van berg )TORRES A 124 15.00 29.97  
12  CALLIE'S PASSION 10 5 88 69½   712½ 813¾ (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 5.00 3.17  
6  FASHION IDOL 6 3 55 79½   1018½ 925¾ (cox brad)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 29% 2.40 5.88  
5  MARKSWOMAN 5 6 77 810½   917 1031½ (foley greg)LANERIE J 124 6.00 ★ 7.67  
SCR  DIAL TONI               (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 124 6.00    
SCR  DOODLE DOO               (obert danielle)STEVENS C 114 20.00    
SCR  VALIANT PRAISE               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
SCR  XTRAORDINARYMOTION               (minnock g)NAVAS YOEL 111 20.00    
 
CD-10   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT-10:42
See original race card.
:222 :453 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RETAINED 7 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 1nk (morey w)DE CRUZ 118 2.50 44% 1.30 1.40 W
1  CIRCLE BACK JACK 1 5 1½ 1nk   2½ 2nk (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00 8% 12.20 3.99 P
6  SUPREMELY 5 2 32½ 31   32 32¼ (foley greg)LANERIE J 123 5.00 3.27  
3  AERONAUT 3 6 42½ 42½   43 43½ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 20.00 5% 19.00 25.29  
7  PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE 6 4 53½ 53   54½ 54 (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 4.00 22% 3.60 3.86  
4  SCHMOOZIN 4 7 77½ 76¼   66½ 66 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 6.00 9.72  
2  KEEN ON YOU 2 3 64 66   79½ 712 (cundiff way)PETERSON FERRIN 123 20.00 31.82  
SCR  BACKSIDE BUZZ               (vance tho)TORRES A 118 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.