Handicappers' Racing Form
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Churchill Downs
Friday - May 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (3/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-2   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-3   Win (3/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-4   Win (1/2/6/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-5   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-6   Win (7/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-7   Win (5/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-8   Win (11/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-9   Win (6/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-10   Win (8/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   05/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEORGE'S HONEY         (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 5.00 7% 13.50    
2  HONOR CAT         (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 8.00 8% 11.90    
3  DEBOISBLANC         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
4  SAPPHIRE NIGHTS Apr19         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 4.50    
5  UNMATCHED Apr26         (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 112 8.00    
6  AIM HIGHER Apr19         (elliott l)GRAHAM J 119 4.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  YOU'RE FOREVER         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
8  GREEN CHILE Apr13         (hancock john)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00    
 
CD-2   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 F PT- 6:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAZZLING BLUE Dec26 Nov16       (cox h)SANTANA JR 118 1.60 32% 2.10    
2  HOLIDAY DECISION Apr26 Mar29 Mar13 Jan26 Jan13 (delacruz meji)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
3  B G WARRIOR May03 Apr01 Mar04 Feb11 Jan26 (kahles ronald)RAMOS D 118 10.00 ★    
4  PROMISE OF HOPE Dec26 Dec04 Oct30 Oct07 Sep08 (amoss m)LANERIE J 118 8.00    
SCR  BACK TO OHIO Oct29 Oct03 Aug13 Jul08 Jun23 (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50    
6  SUNDAY SHOES Apr01 Feb15       (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
 
CD-3   05/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 6:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TX WOMEN FOR ARTS         (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 3.50 25% 3.10    
2  HI'IAKA         (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 6% 17.00    
3  CHEETAH MISS         (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
4  V V'S DREAM         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50    
5  GLORIETTE Apr19         (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 112 6.00    
6  ARGAN Apr26         (gutierrez f)TORRES A 119 8.00 7% 13.50    
7  VIBE CHECK         (casse w)GRAHAM J 119 8.00    
8  LITTLE MUSIC Apr26         (holsapple hutch)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00    
SCR  TITANIA'S DREAM Apr26         (mccutchen jas)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 8.00    
 
CD-4   05/19/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH FRONT Apr21 May29 May05 Apr07 Jan28 (thomas jonath)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 1.60 46% 1.20    
2  B D VALESKI Apr21 Mar30 Mar10 Feb10 Dec31 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 123 5.00 27% 2.80    
3  ROMAN GIANT Oct28 Sep25 Sep08 Aug14 Jul16 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
4  KING OF SONG Feb10 Dec17 Aug31 Aug18   (brinkman bre)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 12.00    
5  FINGERS Feb22         (miller darrin)CASTANON L 118 20.00    
6  GILDED RULER Mar10 Dec31 Feb05     (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  GROUP EIGHTEEN Apr19 Mar18 Feb24 Jan28 Jan06 (williamson brian)MILLER CHASE 123 20.00    
8  LAVER Apr28 Feb11 Jan01 Nov13 Oct20 (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
SCR  TRUE JEDI Sep27 Aug29 Aug07 Jul22 May22 (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 123 10.00    
10  ARABIAN PRINCE Apr26 Feb03 Jan15 Dec08 Nov16 (barnett bob)LEPAROUX R 123 15.00    
11  TRUST DADDY Apr21 Dec02 Nov20 Sep14 Jul03 (o'dwyer jeremi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00 ★    
12  BRAZEN BOY Mar25 Mar09 Feb03 Dec29 Nov24 (blair jordan)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00    
13  COUNTERSTRIKE Mar10 Feb24 Jan28 Jun23 Apr21 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BADGEBALL Nov02 Oct16 Sep22 Jun25   (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 123 20.00    
SCR  LARK'S MISCHIEF Apr08 Mar03 Jan21 Dec10 Nov19 (asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.50    
SCR  ANGKOR May03 Mar25 Feb24 Dec18 Nov25 (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 3.00    
SCR  NULLARBOR Apr09 Feb11 Jan06 Oct10 Aug20 (ramirez m)NAVAS YOEL 111 5.00    
 
CD-5   05/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3 F PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LILY'S CREED Apr27 Mar24 Feb28 Feb09 Jan25 (scherer mariann)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 12% 7.60    
2  GRAY FROST Apr19 Mar23 Feb02 Dec03 Nov02 (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 120 5.00    
3  OATH OF ALLEGIANCE Feb17 Jan20 Dec31 Nov19 Sep22 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 2.50    
4  ROJA LIGERA Mar24 Jul31 Jul01     (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00    
5  JUST LIKE MAGIC Apr07 Feb25 Dec26 Nov27 Jul04 (amoss m)LANERIE J 118 2.00 30% 2.30    
6  BIZZY GIRL Apr12 Nov01 Sep02 Aug10   (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 14% 6.30    
 
CD-6   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEST OF GREELEY Apr22 Mar17 Feb04 May03 Apr13 (asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.50 9% 10.60    
2  GAME BOY BENNY Apr13 Feb10 Jan13 Dec04 Nov12 (winebaugh ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 14% 6.10    
3  HIGH TONE May04 Apr19 Feb21 Jan20 Dec29 (shirer a)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00    
4  RACE DRIVER May04 Apr22 Mar23 Feb25 Jan27 (delacruz meji)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 2.50 26% 2.90    
5  CRIME SPREE May04 Feb23 Jan12 Dec18 Sep15 (leonard geor)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
6  BOISE May04 Feb24 Jan28 Jan01 Dec21 (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00    
7  HURRICANE HIGHWAY Mar31         (wong jonat)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
CD-7   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONEVICIOUS May11 Apr08 Mar18 Feb25 Jan28 (foster eric)RAMOS D 123 5.00 6% 17.00    
2  MIDASWELLRUN Nov19 Oct19 Sep01 Apr28 Apr10 (blair jordan)GRAHAM J 123 4.50    
3  ON K P Apr30 Apr06 Mar18 Feb11 Dec30 (rednour jr)COURT K 123 10.00 ★    
4  I'M WIDE AWAKE Apr18 Dec28 Nov20 Nov02 Sep16 (garcia gena)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
5  MAC DADDY TOO Apr16 Feb18 Jan08 Oct22 Sep09 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 123 2.50 49% 1.00    
6  BODOCK Apr18 Mar18 Feb25 May21 Apr02 (simms jr)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 3.50    
7  PICO D'ORO Feb18 Jan22 Nov21 Nov08 Oct15 (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 12.00    
8  FAITHFUL RULER Apr25 Mar18 Feb18 Jul29 May31 (watkins jame)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00 19% 4.10    
 
CD-8   05/19/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALTAZOR (ARG) Apr15         (correas iv)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 ★    
2  HENLEY'S JOY Apr07 Mar04 Jan28 Jan04 Dec04 (casse mark)TORRES A 122 12.00    
3  RUPP N READY Jan21 Dec28 Nov13 Oct19 Oct03 (pitts helen)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00    
4  HIDDEN STASH Apr13 Feb12 Jun18 Jun03 May05 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 122 4.00 11% 7.70    
5  MAHAAMEL (IRE) Feb24 Feb11 Jan08 Nov27 Oct28 (sharp joe)SANTANA JR 122 5.00 6% 15.40    
6  FEBRUARY SON Apr13 Oct19 Sep07 Aug16 Jul13 (granitz anthon)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 30.00    
7  STOLEN BASE Dec26 Nov27 Oct29 Aug05 Jul09 (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00    
SCR  RARIFIED FLAIR Apr07 Mar25 Oct29 Oct09 Sep06 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 116 15.00    
SCR  BEAR OAK Apr23 Mar30 Mar10 Feb09 Jan18 (bahena ismael)GILLIGAN JACK 122 20.00    
10  PUNCH HARD Apr15         (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00    
11  PRICE TALK Feb18 Jan21 Dec17 Sep25 Aug06 (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 2.50 61% 0.60    
12  MICROPHONE (IRE) Apr27 Mar02 Feb03 Oct21 Aug28 (west w)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00    
13  RISK MANAGER Mar25 Mar05 Jan28 Dec26 Nov18 (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  SEARCH ENGINE Feb28 Feb11 Dec11 Nov04 Sep30 (amoss m)LANERIE J 122 4.00    
SCR  JOHNY'S FIREBALL May11 Feb22 Jan14 Feb25   (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 122 3.50    
SCR  SHORTLIST Apr16 Mar16 Dec15 Oct03 Sep12 (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00    
SCR  COMMANDPERFORMANCE Apr06 Aug07 Jul10 Jun10 Apr09 (sharp joe)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.00    
 
CD-9   05/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-10:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEN CONTENDER Apr15 Mar16 Feb19 Feb10 Jan13 (van th)TORRES A 124 15.00    
2  HAMMERDONHAPPINESS Mar05         (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 16% 5.30    
3  WITCH OF NOVEMBER Apr01 Mar15       (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 21% 3.80    
4  COLORATURA Oct01 Sep14 Aug26 Jun17 May27 (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 10.00    
5  MARKSWOMAN Mar05 Nov24 Nov06 Oct01   (foley greg)LANERIE J 124 6.00 ★    
6  FASHION IDOL Aug19 Jul22       (cox h)SANTANA JR 118 4.00 29% 2.40    
7  GET BY Apr19 Mar31 Oct01 Aug27 Jul16 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 10.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  DIAL TONI Mar16 Jan22 Dec30     (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 124 6.00    
SCR  VALIANT PRAISE May04 Apr21 Apr02 Mar05 Feb08 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
10  PADDY GAL Apr23 Sep05 Jul29     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00    
11  TERRANOVA Jan16 Dec22 Nov18 Jan07   (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 30.00    
12  CALLIE'S PASSION Sep16 Jul20       (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 5.00    
SCR  DOODLE DOO May04         (obert danielle)STEVENS C 114 20.00    
SCR  XTRAORDINARYMOTION May02 Aug30 Jul22 Jul04   (minnock g)NAVAS YOEL 111 20.00    
 
CD-10   05/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT-10:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CIRCLE BACK JACK May04 Mar10 Feb10 Jan06 Dec16 (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00 8% 12.20    
2  KEEN ON YOU Apr29 Apr21 Mar04 Feb17 Feb03 (cundiff waylo)PETERSON FERRIN 123 20.00    
3  AERONAUT Apr07 Mar15 Feb18 Jan21 Dec17 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  SCHMOOZIN Apr21 Feb21 Jan15 Dec23 Nov16 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 6.00    
SCR  BACKSIDE BUZZ May06 Mar23 Feb24 Feb03 Jan15 (vance thoma)TORRES A 118 3.00    
6  SUPREMELY Apr21 Mar22 Feb11 Dec19 Nov25 (foley greg)LANERIE J 123 5.00    
7  PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE Mar31 Mar10 Jan15 Nov16 Nov09 (asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 4.00 22% 3.60    
8  RETAINED Apr18 Feb11 Jan07 Dec09 Oct14 (morey wil)DE CRUZ 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.