Handicappers' Race Results

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Hawthorne
Sunday - April 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

HAW-1   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
HAW-2   Win (7/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $7.00  
HAW-3   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 4.20
HAW-4   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $6.80  
HAW-5   Win (5/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $8.60  
HAW-6   Win (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 0.60
HAW-7   Win (5/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $16.20  
HAW-8   Win (9/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $15.00 $15.00 9.00

Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   04/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:232 :454 1:104     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERBEARING 2 2 2 2   2 1½ (sullivan ellio)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.00 46% 1.20 2.20 W
JACK VAN BERG 1 1 1 1   1 2½ (poulos dee)MOJICA O 122 1.80 16% 5.40 0.80 P
NOT VERY GENTLE 3 4 56 59   4 37 (haran john)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 5.00 15% 5.50 5.10 S
RENEGADE BOB 4 3 33 46   3 49 (watkins james)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 6.00 18.70  
IRISH TUFF 5 5 44 36   5 515¾ (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 122 6.00 9.60  
SCR  CHOCOLATE BUNNY               (rodriguez j)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 12.00    
 
HAW-2   04/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:252 :49 1:15 1:451   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIP HOP EMMY 5 1 1nk 2nk 2nk 11 1 (robertson hugh)EMIGH A 117 3.00 2.50  
LOTTA ROSES 6 5 2nk 1nk 1nk 21 2 (meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 2.50 45% 1.20 2.80 P
EVIE JEAN 2 4 5 5 3 36 3 (ryan a)LOPEZ A 124 12.00 5% 18.50 23.10 S
PRETTY IN PRADO 3 2 4 4 45 59 412¾ (boyce michele)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.50 12% 7.20 2.70  
PRADA'S MIRACLE 1 3 34 33 56 4 513½ (block chris)FELIX E 124 4.00 13% 6.50 2.80  
HURRYUPANDBYE 4 6 6 613¼ 626 644 677¼ (witthauer k)MOJICA O 117 20.00 31.50  
SCR  TEXAS PRINCESS               (cristel j)LEZCANO ABEL 117 6.00    
 
HAW-3   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($27.5K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:213 :45 :572     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISABELLACANNETELLA 3 1 1 1nk   13 1 (jones s)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 2.50 40% 1.50 4.10 W
RONAN 5 5 57 5   44 2 (quinonez ma)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 22.10  
WHITE LIES 1 3 3 32   23 3 (miller r)MOJICA O 122 4.50 16% 5.50 2.30 S
STOPSHOPPINGAMY 2 4 45 4   5 4 (hernandez armand)LEZCANO ABEL 122 1.80 23% 3.30 0.80  
LIPLINER 4 2 2 2nk   34 5 (childers vance)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00 14.50  
SCR  IGGY BIGS               (hernandez arma)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
 
HAW-4   04/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:221 :461 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNOOTY 3 1 1 12   13 1 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 2.50 2.40  
FOGGY KITTEN 5 2 3 32   23 2 (reavis l)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00 33% 2.00 2.20 P
ALL AMERICAN JEWEL 1 4 4 4   34 37 (sullivan elliott)MOJICA O 122 3.50 5.50  
AUNT STELLA 2 5 5 5   46 4 (meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 12% 7.60 1.80  
FROST WARRIOR 4 3 2 22   57 518¾ (castro isid)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00 29.40  
SCR  GHAALEB'S MAGIC               (witthauer joh)ORTEGA O 122 5.00 11% 8.10    
 
HAW-5   04/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:13 1:402   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLAVA UKRAINI 5 1 12 1 13 15 1 (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 117 15.00 3.30  
ELECTRIC CHARGE 4 6 32 2 23 25 2 (quinonez ma)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.50 43% 1.30 1.70 P
CALICO JOE 6 4 4 44 38 38 3 (berndt joel)ULLOA JOAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00 6.90 S
FABRICATOR 7 5 64 66 4 410½ 410½ (watkins m)FELIX E 124 4.50 3.60  
HIGHLY UNLIKELY 2 2 22 3 510½ 511 512¾ (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 117 15.00 54.00  
BLACK RUSSIAN 1 7 53 5 615½ 619 626¼ (perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 117 8.00 15% 5.90 7.90  
MARCHING ORDERS 3 3 7 714 721½ 724 735¾ (wainwright john)SANCHEZ DIEGO 117 10.00 15% 5.90 13.90  
SCR  ICE VORTEX               (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 124 3.00    
 
HAW-6   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:213 :45 :571     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMISKEY PARK 5 5 1½ 2nk   12 1 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 1.80 59% 0.70 1.30 W
ON K P 6 4 31 1nk   22 2 (rednour joh)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 22.60  
SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY 1 6 74 6   5 3 (reavis l)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00 9.30  
WEST WARPATH 3 2 42 4   4 45 (clay pat)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 6.10  
LAKE MILLS 7 7 2½ 3½   3 5 (kirby j)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 9% 10.70 6.70  
TWIRLING ROSES 4 3 5 5   7 6 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 122 5.00 2.50  
DEMAND RANSOM 2 1 6 7   67 713½ (hughes w)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00 51.60  
 
HAW-7   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:213 :444 :57     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN MAN DO 1 1 1 11   1 1¼ (kirby j)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 8.00 7.10  
W W CANDY 5 6 6 6   4 2¼ (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00 19% 4.30 3.50 P
MIDNIGHT ESCAPE 3 5 2 21   2 3 (hernandez javi)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.50 10% 8.50 3.70 S
WILDWOOD SICILIAN 6 2 3 31   33 4 (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 2.50 11% 7.80 1.40  
MALPAIS 4 3 5 4   5 5 (villa francisco)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 3.50 37% 1.70 6.10  
HELA 2 4 4 5   64 6 (quinonez ma)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00 28.10  
SCR  LUCKY SHOT               (poulos dee)MOJICA O 122 15.00    
 
HAW-8   04/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:132 1:41   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEEDING FRENZY 9 5 911¾ 9 910 4 1 (berndt joel)ULLOA JOAN 122 5.00 44% 1.30 6.50 W
BLOOMING GARDEN 5 1 21 21 2 12 2 (rodriguez g)MOJICA O 122 10.00 10.40  
FLASHY RICHIE 7 10 8 7 5 5 36 (quinonez ma)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 7.20 S
DEORA STORE 2 4 44 43 4 32 47 (hughes w)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.50 21% 3.70 9.60  
10  SPEEDY G 10 3 11 11 1 22 510¼ (lopez elias)REYES ANGEL 122 10.00 16.40  
ZARMAE 3 8 7 6 79 6 610¾ (bahena fernan)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 15.00 33.40  
SON OF GRACE 4 6 6 86 6 8 715 (hughes w)ORTEGA O 122 20.00 5% 18.90 35.20  
WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR 8 9 1017¾ 1015½ 1015 1010½ 816¾ (meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 3.00 1.00  
POWERFUL MAN 6 2 33 3 3 7 921 (bahena fernando)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 12.00 22.40  
TEA AFTER BALLET 1 7 54 5 89 910¼ 1021½ (zawitz joel)LEZCANO ABEL 124 15.00 18.80  
SCR  PIRATE BIRD               (cook brian)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.