Handicappers' Racing Form
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Hawthorne
Sunday - April 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
HAW-1   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
HAW-2   Win (7/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
HAW-3   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
HAW-4   Win (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
HAW-5   Win (5/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
HAW-6   Win (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
HAW-7   Win (5/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
HAW-8   Win (9/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
HAW-1   04/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK VAN BERG Apr09 Apr02 Mar12 Dec31 Dec11 (poulos dee)MOJICA O 122 1.80 16% 5.40    
2  OVERBEARING Apr16 Mar16 Feb09 Jan05 Nov17 (sullivan ellio)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  CHOCOLATE BUNNY Apr13 Mar26 Mar05 Dec10 Nov11 (rodriguez j)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 12.00    
4  NOT VERY GENTLE Apr16 Mar26 Dec16 Nov20 Nov12 (haran john)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 5.00 15% 5.50    
5  RENEGADE BOB Apr09 Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 Jul08 (watkins james)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 6.00    
6  IRISH TUFF Apr16 Mar30 Mar16 Dec17 Dec03 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 122 6.00    
 
HAW-2   04/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRADA'S MIRACLE Apr02 Nov27 Oct30 Oct09 Aug23 (block chris)FELIX E 124 4.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  TEXAS PRINCESS Mar30 Mar15       (cristel j)LEZCANO ABEL 117 6.00    
3  EVIE JEAN Apr20 Apr06 Mar19 Mar05 Dec16 (ryan a)LOPEZ A 124 12.00 5% 18.50    
4  PRETTY IN PRADO Apr02 Mar12 Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 (boyce michele)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.50 12% 7.20    
5  HURRYUPANDBYE Apr06         (witthauer k)MOJICA O 117 20.00    
6  HIP HOP EMMY Apr02         (robertson hugh)EMIGH A 117 3.00    
7  LOTTA ROSES Apr02 Mar18 Feb25 Feb09 Jan12 (meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
 
HAW-3   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($27.5K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHITE LIES Dec02 Nov11 Oct22 Oct08 Aug04 (miller r)MOJICA O 122 4.50 16% 5.50    
SCR  IGGY BIGS Dec18 Nov27 Oct22 Sep06 Aug09 (hernandez arma)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
3  STOPSHOPPINGAMY Apr09 Mar23 Dec18 Nov25 Oct30 (hernandez armand)LEZCANO ABEL 122 1.80 23% 3.30    
4  ISABELLACANNETELLA Mar23 Dec10 Nov25 Oct30   (jones s)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
5  LIPLINER Mar23 Dec10 Oct08 Jun24 Jun17 (childers vance)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00    
6  RONAN Apr13 Dec31 Nov25 Sep30 Sep13 (quinonez ma)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
 
HAW-4   04/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL AMERICAN JEWEL Mar20 Feb22 Jan28 Jan03 Dec12 (sullivan elliott)MOJICA O 122 3.50    
2  AUNT STELLA Apr09 Mar16 Mar07 Feb09 Jan28 (meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 12% 7.60    
3  SNOOTY Apr16 Apr02 Dec17 Nov23 Oct30 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 2.50    
4  FROST WARRIOR Apr16 Mar30 Mar16 Mar09 Dec18 (castro isid)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
SCR  GHAALEB'S MAGIC Apr22 Nov27 Nov12 Oct28 Sep03 (witthauer joh)ORTEGA O 122 5.00 11% 8.10    
6  FOGGY KITTEN Apr09 Mar26 Mar09 Dec31 Nov26 (reavis l)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
HAW-5   04/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK RUSSIAN         (perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 117 8.00 15% 5.90    
2  HIGHLY UNLIKELY Apr09 Feb11 Jan13 Oct07 Aug22 (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 117 15.00    
SCR  ICE VORTEX Sep25 Aug26       (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 124 3.00    
4  MARCHING ORDERS         (wainwright john)SANCHEZ DIEGO 117 10.00 15% 5.90    
5  ELECTRIC CHARGE Apr02 Mar16 Dec31 Dec16   (quinonez ma)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
6  SLAVA UKRAINI Apr18 Dec30 Dec09 Nov11   (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 117 15.00    
7  CALICO JOE Apr16 Jul16 Jun02 May07 Apr17 (berndt joel)ULLOA JOAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  FABRICATOR Mar11 Feb15 Jan19 Dec31 Dec11 (watkins m)FELIX E 124 4.50    
 
HAW-6   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY Apr15 Mar28 Feb20 Dec10 Nov18 (reavis l)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00    
2  DEMAND RANSOM Apr18 Mar19 Dec30 Dec17 Dec02 (hughes w)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00    
3  WEST WARPATH Mar16 Feb02 Jan07 Dec14 Nov17 (clay pat)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 ★    
4  TWIRLING ROSES Mar22 Mar05 Feb21 Jan26 Dec29 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 122 5.00 ★    
5  COMISKEY PARK Apr06 Mar16 Dec30 Nov25 Nov13 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 1.80 59% 0.70    
6  ON K P Apr06 Mar18 Feb11 Dec30 Nov25 (rednour joh)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
7  LAKE MILLS Apr13 Mar16 Dec30 Dec04 Nov25 (kirby j)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 9% 10.70    
 
HAW-7   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN MAN DO Apr06 Mar09 Jan12 Dec31 Aug16 (kirby j)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 8.00    
SCR  LUCKY SHOT Mar19 Dec31 Dec10 Oct30 Jul17 (poulos dee)MOJICA O 122 15.00    
3  HELA Apr06 Dec30 Dec02 Nov06 Sep24 (quinonez ma)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
4  MIDNIGHT ESCAPE Mar16 Feb22 Feb04 Jan26 Dec28 (hernandez javi)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.50 10% 8.50    
5  MALPAIS Mar12 Dec31 Nov26 Jun22 Jun04 (villa francisco)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
6  W W CANDY Mar30 Dec31 Dec11 Nov27 Nov06 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
7  WILDWOOD SICILIAN Apr06 Nov13 Sep06 Jul23 Jun24 (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 2.50 11% 7.80    
 
HAW-8   04/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEA AFTER BALLET Apr06 Mar23 Mar05 Dec30 Dec18 (zawitz joel)LEZCANO ABEL 124 15.00    
2  DEORA STORE Apr13 Mar30 Mar12 Dec30 Dec16 (hughes w)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
3  ZARMAE Apr13 Mar26 Nov12 Oct21 Oct07 (bahena fernando)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 15.00    
4  SON OF GRACE Apr13 Mar26 Jan06 Dec10 Dec02 (hughes w)ORTEGA O 122 20.00 5% 18.90    
5  BLOOMING GARDEN Apr02 Dec30 Dec04 Nov20 Oct16 (rodriguez g)MOJICA O 122 10.00    
6  POWERFUL MAN Apr13 Mar26 Dec10 Nov20 Jun25 (bahena fernando)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 12.00    
7  FLASHY RICHIE Apr13 Apr02 Dec31 Dec17 Nov27 (quinonez ma)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 ★    
8  WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR Apr23 Apr06 Jan27 Jan15 Dec17 (meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 3.00    
9  FEEDING FRENZY Oct22 Oct07 Sep15 Aug27 Aug18 (berndt joel)ULLOA JOAN 122 5.00 44% 1.30    
10  SPEEDY G Apr09 Mar03 Feb09 Jan19 Dec29 (lopez elias)REYES ANGEL 122 10.00 ★    
SCR  PIRATE BIRD Apr20 Mar26 Mar05 Nov11 Oct15 (cook brian)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.