Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Hawthorne
Sunday - April 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $12.00 $6.00 100%
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-6 $11.30 $5.30 88%
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  5-6-2 $7.30 $4.30 143%
HAW-5   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $9.80 $3.80 63%
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-7 $11.20 $2.20 24%
HAW-6   DD (7/5/1)-(7/5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-7 $13.60 $1.60 13%
HAW-8   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $7.20 $3.20 80%
HAW-9   DD (5/2)-(6/8/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-6 $11.20 $5.20 87%

Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   04/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:261 :502 1:15 1:413   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE 5 3 1nk 1nk 1nk 1nk 1½ (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 1.60 7% 13.80 5.00 W
COSMIC TREASURE 6 4 2nk 2nk 2nk 2nk 2½ (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 122 3.00 64% 0.60 1.00 P
NOT VERY GENTLE 2 2 4 54 45 5 32 (haran john)GILES EMMANUEL 115 3.50 6% 14.60 2.30 S
FORT RIDGE 4 5 3 32 32 33 4 (bahena fe)ULLOA JOAN 122 8.00 27.80  
IRISH MAJOR 1 1 5 4 5 4 5 (perez manny)ORTEGA O 122 6.00 6.20  
HONEST TO GOODNESS 3 6 6 614 614¼ 6 69 (ramirez carlos)LOPEZ A 122 12.00 47.40  
 
HAW-2   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:22 :462 1:004     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIEF MYSTIQUE 3 2 67 7   54 1¾ (hernandez ja)GILES EMMANUEL 117 8.00 9.10  
DURANGO CHROME 4 8 5 4   2½ 2¾ (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 6.00 9% 9.90 6.50 P
STAN THE CAMERAMAN 7 4 2nk 1½   1½ 3¾ (clay pat)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 3.00 29% 2.50 1.80 S
CALICO JOE 5 6 810 6   44 4 (berndt jo)ULLOA JOAN 124 5.00 3.90  
C F V NOBODYCARES 1 7 79 810¼   67 5 (gonzalez lili)SANCHEZ DIEGO 124 8.00 18.10  
SUPER CITRO 6 5 31 3½   32 69 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 124 4.00 32% 2.10 5.10  
LOOKING SALTY 2 1 44 5   713 725½ (cook brian)REYES ANGEL 124 20.00 76.30  
HOUR CAT 8 3 1nk 2½   818 841 (robertson)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 3.50 6.90  
 
HAW-3   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:214 :45 :573     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEE BURNS 2 2 1½ 11   13 1½ (watkins m)FELIX E 122 3.00 51% 1.00 1.00 W
RACARINO 5 5 4 3   23 2½ (gonzalez lilia)COLON H 122 2.50 3.10 P
ROCKET HOTSHOT 4 3 611½ 612½   39 33 (spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 5.20  
TALKTOEACHOTHER 6 4 3 4   49 48 (candelas )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 12.00 9% 10.00 9.40  
T J MUNNINGS 1 6 5 510½   510½ 5 (hernandez)ULLOA JOAN 122 6.00 9% 9.80 11.00  
SNOWMOBILE 3 1 2½ 21   611 619¾ (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 111 6.00 16.80  
SCR  LUCKY SHOT               (poulos dee)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50    
 
HAW-4   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:22 :46 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M YOUR CAPTAIN 2 3 11 11   1 1 (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 124 6.00 2.90  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LOVABLE LYSS by BIG BROWN)
DASH TO THE CASH 6 5 5 6   2 2 (lindsay rick)EMIGH A 124 1.60 37% 1.70 1.90 P
  (by RACE DAY out of SUE'S CREEK by STORM CREEK)
A P BLAZING GREEN 4 1 3 3   45 3 (witthauer j)ORTEGA O 124 10.00 11.20 S
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SHE'S INTOXICATED by BRING THE HEAT)
MAN ON ATTACK 3 4 21 21   34 4 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 10.00 15.90  
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of SOUTHERN WONDER by CHICAGO SIX)
J J'S SOLUTION 1 6 710½ 7   6 57 (rednour jr)ORM CORY 124 3.50 13% 6.60 6.50  
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of LITTLE RED WITCH by KITALPHA)
MEDAL KING 5 7 4 44   5 613 (bahena fe)ULLOA JOAN 124 8.00 24.80  
  (by FLASHBACK out of TALLYMOOR by DEHERE)
SILVER CHILLER 7 2 6 54   7 713¼ (spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 118 5.00 30% 2.40 3.30  
  (by PROTONICO out of KEL'S SILVER CHARM by SILVER CHARM)
 
HAW-5   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER 1 6 6 5   1½ 12 (haran john)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.00 8% 11.00 3.90 W
OVERBEARING 6 1 1nk 1½   2½ 22 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 122 4.00 56% 0.80 1.10 P
HATCHET CREEK 2 5 4 3   3½ 34 (dizeo dino)MOJICA O 122 4.50 3.00 S
IRISH TUFF 3 4 2nk 2½   4 4 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 115 12.00 5.70  
MITZRAYIM 4 3 31 6   56 511 (clay pat)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00 30.30  
BOOM FIVE THOUSAND 5 2 5 4   6 611¼ (hughes ea)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00 18.40  
SCR  HEAVENLY TRIP               (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 6.00    
SCR  PO BOY               (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 3.50 11% 8.50    
 
HAW-6   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:221 :461 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APOLLO U ANYWHERE 7 1 12 11   11 12 (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 28% 2.60 2.90 W
SNOOTY 5 2 22 21   21 22 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 3.50 27% 2.70 2.10 P
COUGER 1 5 56 56   4 3 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 115 5.00 6.10  
FANCY EMPRESS 6 7 6 45   3 4 (campbell joel)MOJICA O 122 10.00 8.90  
WATCHIN THE WHEELS 2 8 88 67   67 56 (quinonez max)COLON H 122 15.00 5% 19.00 13.80  
NO NANNETTE NO 8 6 4 3   55 6 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 122 2.50 13% 6.90 5.70  
TAP N TWINE 3 4 7 89   79 7 (ryan chri)ULLOA JOAN 122 10.00 22.50  
RANK AND FILE 4 3 34 77   8 814¼ (hughes ea)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00 15.00  
 
HAW-7   04/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:22 :454 :582     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSSIAN ALPHABET 7 4 3½ 3.2   1½ 1 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 115 8.00 4.50  
PRIZE FIGHTER 8 5 4 4   2½ 2 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 5.00 8.10 P
VERRAZANOINTHESKY 4 8 8 7   76 3 (banks chris)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 5.70  
U S HONOUR NAP 3 3 5 5   5 46 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00 29.40  
ALL OVER OLIVER 5 6 63 6   6 5 (tracy tanner)FELIX E 122 15.00 14.20  
MODAZZLE 1 7 7 8   87 6 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 3.50 62% 0.60 5.50  
VALIANTLY DISCREET 2 2 2nk 2nk   31 7 (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 3.00 2.40  
HURTS SO BAD 6 1 1nk 1nk   42 810¾ (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50 12% 7.10 5.30  
 
HAW-8   04/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:122 1:383   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM KEEPER 2 1 1½ 1½ 1 11 1¼ (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 2.50 35% 1.80 2.60 W
PROTONIC POWER 4 4 54 52 2 21 2¼ (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 3.50 2.30  
BANDIT SWANSON 5 5 4 3 44 4 3 (hernandez arma)LEZCANO ABEL 122 1.60 39% 1.50 2.40 S
SILVER QUARTERS 1 6 69 66 5 3 45 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 6.10  
EDITOR IN CHIEF 6 3 3½ 4 6 5 513 (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 12.00 8.00  
LAVENDER EARL 3 2 2½ 2½ 3 6 618¾ (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 12.00 38.20  
 
HAW-9   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:06
See original race card.
:22 :46 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN IN THE NORTH 5 4 4 44   1½ 13 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 2.00 44% 1.30 1.40 W
BELLS OF JOY 7 6 8 7   5 23 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50 28% 2.60 6.10 P
JAMAICAN TRAFFIC 3 5 54 55   4 33 (wells duane)ORM CORY 122 15.00 11.70  
10  SEQUAYA 9 8 7 6   64 4 (cook brian)REYES ANGEL 122 20.00 22.60  
HEY MA 1 1 1nk 1   2½ 56 (reyes marti)ORTEGA O 122 15.00 12.50  
EVIE 2 9 6 8   86 6 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00 20.30  
ROARINGLIKETHUNDER 4 7 9 910   9 79 (castro isidr)GILES EMMANUEL 109 20.00 30.60  
FROST WARRIOR 8 3 31 2   3 8 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.00 5% 19.00 4.00  
OCEAN HONEY 6 2 2nk 33   75 914 (ramos franc)ARRIETA REYNIER 116 8.00 7.00  
SCR  MAIDEN ROCK               (candelas )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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