Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - April 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(6/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(6/7/4)-(2/1/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/4)-(2/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4)-(2/1/7)-(6/7/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/7/6)-(2/1/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(6/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(6/7/1)-(7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-4   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/4)-(6/7/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/1)-(7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1)-(7/1)-(7/5/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-5   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/1)-(7/5/8/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(7/5/8/2)-(1/6) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
HAW-6   WIN (7/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/8/2)-(7/5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/8/2)-(7/5/8/2)-(7/5/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/8/2)-(1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/5/8/2)-(1/6)-(5/2) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
HAW-7   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/2/8)-(1/6/2/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/6)-(5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(5/2)-(6/8/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
HAW-8   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/2)-(6/8/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HAW-9   WIN (6/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/9)-(6/8/9/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/8/9)-(6/8/9/7)-(6/8/9/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   04/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH MAJOR Mar30 Mar12 Dec16 Dec02 Nov12 (perez manny)ORTEGA O 122 6.00    
2  NOT VERY GENTLE Mar26 Dec16 Nov20 Nov12 Sep30 (haran john)GILES EMMANUEL 115 3.50 6% 14.60    
3  HONEST TO GOODNESS Nov20 Nov06 Oct28 Sep23 Jun24 (ramirez carlos)LOPEZ A 122 12.00    
4  FORT RIDGE Apr06 Dec09 Nov20 Sep27 Sep17 (bahena fe)ULLOA JOAN 122 8.00    
5  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Mar15 Feb03 Dec14 Nov20 Nov13 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 1.60 7% 13.80    
6  COSMIC TREASURE Jan17 Dec29 Dec03 Nov08 Oct14 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 122 3.00 64% 0.60    
 
HAW-2   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C F V NOBODYCARES Mar23 Mar09 Mar09 Feb25 Feb12 (gonzalez lili)SANCHEZ DIEGO 124 8.00    
2  LOOKING SALTY Mar23 Mar09 Dec31 Dec03 Nov16 (cook brian)REYES ANGEL 124 20.00    
3  CHIEF MYSTIQUE Mar23 Mar09 Feb14 Jan20 Dec31 (hernandez ja)GILES EMMANUEL 117 8.00    
4  DURANGO CHROME         (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 6.00 9% 9.90    
5  CALICO JOE Jul16 Jun02 May07 Apr17 Mar05 (berndt jo)ULLOA JOAN 124 5.00 ★    
6  SUPER CITRO Mar23         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 124 4.00 32% 2.10    
7  STAN THE CAMERAMAN Mar23 Mar03 Feb12 Jan11 Nov11 (clay pat)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 3.00 29% 2.50    
8  HOUR CAT Aug20 Jul30 Jul08     (robertson)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 3.50    
 
HAW-3   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  T J MUNNINGS Mar31 Mar15 Feb25 Jan19 Jan06 (hernandez)ULLOA JOAN 122 6.00 9% 9.80    
2  TEE BURNS Mar19 Jan26 Dec10 Oct30 May14 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
3  SNOWMOBILE Mar26 Mar05 Dec09 Nov25 Nov11 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 111 6.00    
SCR  LUCKY SHOT Mar19 Dec31 Dec10 Oct30 Jul17 (poulos dee)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50    
5  ROCKET HOTSHOT Mar16 Dec30 Dec17 Dec10 Nov13 (spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00    
6  RACARINO Mar05 Apr20 Apr03 Jan16   (gonzalez lilia)COLON H 122 2.50 ★    
7  TALKTOEACHOTHER Mar19 Mar09 Feb21 Jan23 Dec31 (candelas )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 12.00 9% 10.00    
 
HAW-4   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J J'S SOLUTION Dec30 Dec10 Nov19 Oct29 Oct09 (rednour jr)ORM CORY 124 3.50 13% 6.60    
  (by REAL SOLUTION out of LITTLE RED WITCH by KITALPHA)
2  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Feb20 Feb02 Jan22     (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 124 6.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LOVABLE LYSS by BIG BROWN)
3  MAN ON ATTACK Mar26 Mar09 Dec17 Nov25 Sep17 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 10.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of SOUTHERN WONDER by CHICAGO SIX)
4  A P BLAZING GREEN Mar26 Sep09 Jul08 Jun24   (witthauer j)ORTEGA O 124 10.00 ★    
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SHE'S INTOXICATED by BRING THE HEAT)
5  MEDAL KING Mar26         (bahena fe)ULLOA JOAN 124 8.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of TALLYMOOR by DEHERE)
6  DASH TO THE CASH Mar26 Mar09 Dec30 Dec10 Nov19 (lindsay rick)EMIGH A 124 1.60 37% 1.70    
  (by RACE DAY out of SUE'S CREEK by STORM CREEK)
7  SILVER CHILLER Mar26         (spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 118 5.00 30% 2.40    
  (by PROTONICO out of KEL'S SILVER CHARM by SILVER CHARM)
 
HAW-5   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER Mar26 Dec11 Dec02 Oct27 Jul21 (haran john)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.00 8% 11.00    
2  HATCHET CREEK Mar30 Mar16 Dec30 Dec16 Dec03 (dizeo dino)MOJICA O 122 4.50 ★    
3  IRISH TUFF Mar30 Mar16 Dec17 Dec03 Nov13 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 115 12.00    
4  MITZRAYIM May13 Mar26 Jan16 Jan02   (clay pat)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00    
SCR  PO BOY Mar30 Mar12 Dec16 Nov18 Oct30 (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 3.50 11% 8.50    
6  BOOM FIVE THOUSAND Apr06 Mar19 Mar02 Feb22 Dec18 (hughes ea)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
7  OVERBEARING Mar16 Feb09 Jan05 Nov17 Oct04 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 122 4.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  HEAVENLY TRIP Mar16 Dec17 Oct11 Sep21 Aug19 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 6.00    
 
HAW-6   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUGER Mar16 Dec18 Nov25 Nov13 Oct29 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 115 5.00    
2  WATCHIN THE WHEELS Mar16 Dec18 Dec04 Nov12 Sep17 (quinonez max)COLON H 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  TAP N TWINE Mar09 Dec31 Dec09 Nov25 Nov11 (ryan chri)ULLOA JOAN 122 10.00    
4  RANK AND FILE Apr06 Mar30 Mar12 Dec31 Nov20 (hughes w)EMIGH A 122 12.00    
5  SNOOTY Apr02 Dec17 Nov23 Oct30 Oct14 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
6  FANCY EMPRESS Mar16 Feb06 Jan19 Dec28 Dec16 (campbell joel)MOJICA O 122 10.00    
7  APOLLO U ANYWHERE Mar26 Mar05 Nov26 Nov11 Oct29 (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
8  NO NANNETTE NO Dec01 Nov04 Oct07 Sep10 Aug14 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 122 2.50 13% 6.90    
 
HAW-7   04/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MODAZZLE Mar10 Feb22 Feb05 Jan15 Dec18 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 3.50 62% 0.60    
2  VALIANTLY DISCREET Mar26 Mar05 Dec30 Dec03 Nov19 (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 3.00 ★    
3  U S HONOUR NAP Mar05 Aug30 Aug16 Jul29 Jul15 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00    
4  VERRAZANOINTHESKY Mar26 Dec24 Nov23 Oct09 Sep16 (banks chris)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00    
5  ALL OVER OLIVER Oct01 Sep18 Aug01 Jul23 Jun19 (tracy tanner)FELIX E 122 15.00    
6  HURTS SO BAD Mar26 Mar05 Jan16 Dec30 Dec16 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50 12% 7.10    
7  RUSSIAN ALPHABET Mar23 Sep17 Aug19 Mar04   (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 115 8.00    
8  PRIZE FIGHTER Sep15 Aug25 Aug10 Jul28 Jun18 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 5.00 ★    
 
HAW-8   04/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER QUARTERS Dec11 Nov20 Oct29     (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00    
2  DREAM KEEPER Mar23 Dec30 Nov04 Jun29 May18 (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
3  LAVENDER EARL Mar23 Dec04 Nov26 Nov19 Oct08 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 12.00 ★    
4  PROTONIC POWER Mar10 Feb04 Jan07 Oct21 Oct01 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 3.50    
5  BANDIT SWANSON Mar23 Feb04 Jan04 Nov24 Nov13 (hernandez arma)LEZCANO ABEL 122 1.60 39% 1.50    
6  EDITOR IN CHIEF Mar19 May30 May06 Mar10 Feb03 (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 12.00    
 
HAW-9   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY MA Mar16 Dec09 Oct23 Oct08 Sep24 (reyes marti)ORTEGA O 122 15.00    
2  EVIE Mar30 Mar16 Feb08 Jan25 Jan06 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00    
3  JAMAICAN TRAFFIC Mar18 Feb09 Jan13 Nov25 Sep09 (wells duane)EMIGH A 122 15.00    
4  ROARINGLIKETHUNDER Mar30 Mar16 Sep03 Aug27 Aug07 (castro isidr)GILES EMMANUEL 109 20.00    
SCR  MAIDEN ROCK Mar30 Feb20 Dec30 Dec18 Nov11 (candelas )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00 ★    
6  QUEEN IN THE NORTH Mar02 Feb11 Feb03 Jan06 Sep26 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
7  OCEAN HONEY Mar30 Mar09 Feb09 Nov22 Nov02 (ramos franc)ARRIETA REYNIER 116 8.00 ★    
8  BELLS OF JOY Mar30 Mar16 Dec30 Nov25 Nov11 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
9  FROST WARRIOR Mar30 Mar16 Mar09 Dec18 Dec09 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
10  SEQUAYA Mar16 Dec18 Dec04 Nov11 Oct06 (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.