Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fonner Park
Sunday - February 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $9.80 $5.80 145%
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/5/1/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00  4-2 $91.40 $75.40 471%
FON-2   EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-5 $41.60 $17.60 73%
    DD (4/3)-(5/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-2 $25.60 $13.60 113%
FON-6   WIN (3/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $14.20 $8.20 137%
    EXA (3/8/5)-(3/8/5/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-6 $55.60 $31.60 132%
    TRI (3/8/5)-(3/8/5/6/1)-(3/8/5/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00  5-6-3 $59.00 $23.00 64%
Simulator Race results
 
FON-1   02/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:251 :501 1:04     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WOW WOW ITS MAGIC 4 2 21 11   13 11 (dunlap shon)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 40% 1.50 3.90 W
  (by BANK HEIST out of DUSTIN'S MAGIC by GRAND SLAM)
2  MOONSHINE LILY 2 1 11 21   23 21 (dunlap m)ROMAN KEVIN 125 10.00 ★ 10.00 P
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of GO GO OKIE by HERE WE COME)
1  CHARACTER COUNTS 1 4 32½ 32½   35 37¼ (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 121 3.50 ★ 3.00 S
  (by UNIFIED out of KITTY'S GIANT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  HAPPY QUEST 5 3 57 414½   413 413 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 121 3.00 ★ 3.90  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CONQUEST DYNASTY by COURT VISION)
3  SURE WASN'T ME 3 5 45½ 534½   5100 5100 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 29% 2.50 1.00  
  (by ORB out of SOLE MISS by COLONEL JOHN)
 
FON-2   02/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:251 :50 1:033     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MOONSHINE MAX 2 1 13 12   13 1¼ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 14% 6.10 1.50 W
5  GENOMIC 5 5 57 45   23 2¼ (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00 27% 2.80 6.50 P
3  WAR REPORTER 3 2 33½ 35   46 35¼ (gonzalez is)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 26% 2.80 3.60 S
1  ASHWINS ORB 1 3 23 22   35 48¼ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 ★ 1.40  
4  INSPEIGHTOFTHEDOG 4 4 46½ 59   518 528¾ (ecoffey gilbert)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 ★ 14.00  
 
FON-3   02/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:024     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SUEZ 3 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 1¼ (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 ★ 2.60  
5  BARSTOW 4 3 31½ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 1.80 19% 4.30 1.20 P
1  NASTY EXAGGERATOR 1 2 1½ 3½   33 31½ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 8% 11.60 1.50 S
2  GIMME SPACE 2 4 43½ 47½   413 419¼ (childs russell)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 15.00 ★ 8.90  
SCR  SPEED EFFECT               (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 50% 1.00    
 
FON-4   02/12/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:232 :354       :473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SOUTHERN SMOKE 3 3 1nk     11½ 1½ (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.50 ★ 6.10  
  (by STROLL out of JUDGE THIS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
5  MONTEREY PENINSULA 5 4 32     21½ 2½ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 1.80 66% 0.50 0.70 P
  (by THE FACTOR out of MOSTAQELEH by RAHY)
1  LUCKY MCCOY 1 5 55     57½ 36¼ (thompson grady)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 6.00 ★ 13.10 S
  (by I SPENT IT out of THE REAL MCCOY by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
4  STAN THE CAMERAMAN 4 2 2nk     32½ 48 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 2.00 11% 8.40 4.70  
  (by STANFORD (IRE) out of MS WAKAYA by FLOWER ALLEY)
6  STREET RINGER 6 1 43½     47½ 58½ (condon)FLETCHER D 120 12.00 ★ 22.60  
  (by STREET SENSE out of FREEDOM RINGS by PROUD CITIZEN)
2  SUPER SIZER 2 6 66     611½ 614 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 121 6.00 3.60  
  (by SUPER SAVER out of DECANT (GB) by ROUSILLON)
 
FON-5   02/12/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:232 :353       :464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY EVERY DAY 1 1 11     13 14½ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.00 29% 2.50 0.70 W
5  READY TO GET LOUD 5 4 21     23 24½ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 3.90  
2  GIGGLES AND SMOKE 2 3 58     57½ 38¾ (bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 125 4.00 23% 3.30 6.70 S
3  STERN 3 6 47     46½ 410 (ecoffey g)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 17% 4.90 8.50  
4  SOYBEAN 4 2 35     36 510½ (condon)FLETCHER D 125 4.50 ★ 6.60  
6  BIND ME UP 6 5 610     611½ 615¼ (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 125 8.00 7% 13.20 9.30  
 
FON-6   02/12/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:233 :362       :474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MAYZEE 5 3 11½     14 12½ (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 3.00 8% 11.20 6.10 W
6  P R ODDS SETTER 6 4 21½     24 22½ (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 ★ 2.10 P
3  JUDGE ON THE RUN 3 6 44½     46½ 33 (compton jesse)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50 33% 2.10 2.40 S
4  INEWAGALLIKETHAT 4 2 33½     35 43¾ (musquiz j)CARDOSO DAVID 125 15.00 13.10  
8  QUEENSCABALLO 8 1 55½     58½ 57¼ (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 32% 2.20 2.60  
1  ZIBBY TOO 1 8 811½     711½ 69½ (anderson c)RAMOS B 125 4.00 ★ 12.80  
2  LOVESAFLYIN 2 7 65½     68½ 711¾ (fackler howar)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00 20.50  
7  JOY FOREVER 7 5 78½     812½ 813 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 10.00 22.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.