Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fonner Park
Sunday - February 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FON-1   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FON-2   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FON-3   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FON-4   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FON-5   Win (1/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FON-6   Win (3/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FON-1   02/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARACTER COUNTS Jan26 Jan01 Dec07 Oct05 Sep07 (anderson da)MEDINA ANGEL 121 3.50    
MOONSHINE LILY Nov22 Aug14 Jun18 Apr07 Mar24 (dunlap m)ROMAN KEVIN 125 10.00    
SURE WASN'T ME Nov18 Aug20 Jul30 Jun25 Jun12 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 29% 2.50    
WOW WOW ITS MAGIC Dec09 Nov07 Oct12 Sep21 Jul05 (dunlap m)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 40% 1.50    
HAPPY QUEST Dec30 Dec02       (anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.00    
 
FON-2   02/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASHWINS ORB Nov27 Nov15 Oct26 Oct10 Sep15 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00    
MOONSHINE MAX Jan13 Dec30 Dec08 Nov23 Nov10 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 14% 6.10    
WAR REPORTER Jan21 Dec20 Dec08 Nov10 Oct27 (gonzalez isai)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 26% 2.80    
INSPEIGHTOFTHEDOG Jul24 Jul16 Jul02 Jun18   (ecoffey w)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00    
GENOMIC Dec10 Nov19 Nov02 Oct12 Sep16 (ecoffey gilbert )MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00 27% 2.80    
 
FON-3   02/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NASTY EXAGGERATOR Jan06 Dec14 Nov16 Oct21 Oct02 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 8% 11.60    
GIMME SPACE Oct01 Sep19 Aug08     (childs g)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 15.00    
SUEZ Dec10 Nov05 Oct12 Sep12 Jul30 (black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00    
SCR  SPEED EFFECT Dec09 May22 Mar31 Mar17 Jan07 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 50% 1.00    
BARSTOW Jan14 Jan05 Dec07 Nov16 Nov03 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 1.80 19% 4.30    
 
FON-4   02/12/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY MCCOY Dec08 Nov19 Nov05 Oct27 Oct14 (thompson grady)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 6.00    
SUPER SIZER Dec07 Oct15 Sep24     (black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 121 6.00    
SOUTHERN SMOKE Sep27 Sep16 Sep03 Aug12   (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.50    
STAN THE CAMERAMAN Jan11 Nov11 Aug06     (ecoffey gilbert )MCNEIL BRYAN 121 2.00 11% 8.40    
MONTEREY PENINSULA Dec08 Sep09 Aug25     (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 1.80 66% 0.50    
STREET RINGER Oct02 Sep03 Aug01 Jun26   (condon s)FLETCHER D 120 12.00    
 
FON-5   02/12/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY EVERY DAY Dec30 Oct27 Sep02 Aug15 Jul25 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.00 29% 2.50    
GIGGLES AND SMOKE Sep26 Sep20 Sep06 Jun18   (bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 125 4.00 23% 3.30    
STERN Dec03 Nov13 Oct15 Sep19 Sep02 (ecoffey gilbert )MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00 17% 4.90    
SOYBEAN Aug29 Jul10 Jun12 Apr29 Apr15 (condon s)FLETCHER D 125 4.50    
READY TO GET LOUD Sep29 Sep16 Sep09 Aug29 Jul31 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00    
BIND ME UP Nov21 Nov01 Oct04 Sep27 Sep20 (ibanez alber)GONZALEZ V 125 8.00 7% 13.20    
 
FON-6   02/12/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIBBY TOO Jun11 May21 May07 Apr23 Apr08 (anderson c)RAMOS B 125 4.00    
LOVESAFLYIN Sep19 Sep05 May20 Apr23 Apr09 (fackler howard )FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
JUDGE ON THE RUN Jun11 May21 Mar19 Feb20   (compton jesse)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50 33% 2.10    
INEWAGALLIKETHAT Jun11 Jun03 May21 May14 Apr22 (musquiz j)CARDOSO DAVID 125 15.00    
MAYZEE Jun19 May07 Apr22 Mar04 Feb03 (bethke a)BETHKE A 125 3.00 8% 11.20    
P R ODDS SETTER May21 Mar19 Feb20     (wise jason)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50    
JOY FOREVER Jun11 May21 May07 Apr23 Apr02 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 10.00    
QUEENSCABALLO Jul17 Jun18 May13 Apr24 Mar25 (anderson c)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 32% 2.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.