Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Sunday - February 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/5/1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    DD (4/3)-(5/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FON-2   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FON-3   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FON-4   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/3/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/3/1/6)-(5/4/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(1/2/3/6)-(3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-5   WIN (1/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6/4)-(1/2/3/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/3/6)-(3/8/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FON-6   WIN (3/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/5)-(3/8/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/5)-(3/8/5/6/1)-(3/8/5/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   02/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARACTER COUNTS Jan26 Jan01 Dec07 Oct05 Sep07 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 121 3.50 ★    
  (by UNIFIED out of KITTY'S GIANT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  MOONSHINE LILY Nov22 Aug14 Jun18 Apr07 Mar24 (dunlap m)ROMAN KEVIN 125 10.00 ★    
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of GO GO OKIE by HERE WE COME)
3  SURE WASN'T ME Nov18 Aug20 Jul30 Jun25 Jun12 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 29% 2.50    
  (by ORB out of SOLE MISS by COLONEL JOHN)
4  WOW WOW ITS MAGIC Dec09 Nov07 Oct12 Sep21 Jul05 (dunlap shon)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by BANK HEIST out of DUSTIN'S MAGIC by GRAND SLAM)
5  HAPPY QUEST Dec30 Dec02       (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 121 3.00 ★    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CONQUEST DYNASTY by COURT VISION)
 
FON-2   02/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASHWINS ORB Nov27 Nov15 Oct26 Oct10 Sep15 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 ★    
2  MOONSHINE MAX Jan13 Dec30 Dec08 Nov23 Nov10 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 14% 6.10    
3  WAR REPORTER Jan21 Dec20 Dec08 Nov10 Oct27 (gonzalez is)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 26% 2.80    
4  INSPEIGHTOFTHEDOG Jul24 Jul16 Jul02 Jun18   (ecoffey gilbert)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 ★    
5  GENOMIC Dec10 Nov19 Nov02 Oct12 Sep16 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00 27% 2.80    
 
FON-3   02/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NASTY EXAGGERATOR Jan06 Dec14 Nov16 Oct21 Oct02 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 8% 11.60    
2  GIMME SPACE Oct01 Sep19 Aug08     (childs russell)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 15.00 ★    
3  SUEZ Dec10 Nov05 Oct12 Sep12 Jul30 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 ★    
SCR  SPEED EFFECT Dec09 May22 Mar31 Mar17 Jan07 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 50% 1.00    
5  BARSTOW Jan14 Jan05 Dec07 Nov16 Nov03 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 1.80 19% 4.30    
 
FON-4   02/12/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY MCCOY Dec08 Nov19 Nov05 Oct27 Oct14 (thompson grady)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 6.00 ★    
  (by I SPENT IT out of THE REAL MCCOY by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
2  SUPER SIZER Dec07 Oct15 Sep24     (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 121 6.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of DECANT (GB) by ROUSILLON)
3  SOUTHERN SMOKE Sep27 Sep16 Sep03 Aug12   (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.50 ★    
  (by STROLL out of JUDGE THIS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
4  STAN THE CAMERAMAN Jan11 Nov11 Aug06     (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 2.00 11% 8.40    
  (by STANFORD (IRE) out of MS WAKAYA by FLOWER ALLEY)
5  MONTEREY PENINSULA Dec08 Sep09 Aug25     (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 1.80 66% 0.50    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MOSTAQELEH by RAHY)
6  STREET RINGER Oct02 Sep03 Aug01 Jun26   (condon)FLETCHER D 120 12.00 ★    
  (by STREET SENSE out of FREEDOM RINGS by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
FON-5   02/12/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY EVERY DAY Dec30 Oct27 Sep02 Aug15 Jul25 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.00 29% 2.50    
2  GIGGLES AND SMOKE Sep26 Sep20 Sep06 Jun18   (bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 125 4.00 23% 3.30    
3  STERN Dec03 Nov13 Oct15 Sep19 Sep02 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00 17% 4.90    
4  SOYBEAN Aug29 Jul10 Jun12 Apr29 Apr15 (condon)FLETCHER D 125 4.50 ★    
5  READY TO GET LOUD Sep29 Sep16 Sep09 Aug29 Jul31 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00    
6  BIND ME UP Nov21 Nov01 Oct04 Sep27 Sep20 (ibanez alb)GONZALEZ V 125 8.00 7% 13.20    
 
FON-6   02/12/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIBBY TOO Jun11 May21 May07 Apr23 Apr08 (anderson c)RAMOS B 125 4.00 ★    
2  LOVESAFLYIN Sep19 Sep05 May20 Apr23 Apr09 (fackler howar)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
3  JUDGE ON THE RUN Jun11 May21 Mar19 Feb20   (compton jesse)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50 33% 2.10    
4  INEWAGALLIKETHAT Jun11 Jun03 May21 May14 Apr22 (musquiz j)CARDOSO DAVID 125 15.00    
5  MAYZEE Jun19 May07 Apr22 Mar04 Feb03 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 3.00 8% 11.20    
6  P R ODDS SETTER May21 Mar19 Feb20     (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 ★    
7  JOY FOREVER Jun11 May21 May07 Apr23 Apr02 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 10.00    
8  QUEENSCABALLO Jul17 Jun18 May13 Apr24 Mar25 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 32% 2.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.