The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Hawthorne
Thursday - April 20, 2023

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HAW-1   04/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
:22 :444 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE LAST FACT 1 1 12 1½   11(kirby j)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.00 13% 6.90 2.00 W
IRONMAN RICHIE 4 2 22 2½   22(rodriguez eduar)HERNANDEZ K 124 5.00 10.90  
BOURBON TEDDY 6 3 44 35   33(reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 122 3.50 20% 4.00 3.10 S
TAPIT SAM 5 4 55 5   58 4(reavis l)FELIX E 122 4.00 5.30  
PIRATE BIRD 3 5 34 4   48 512¼ (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 12.00 24.60  
TRIPLE CHROME 2 6 625 622½   620 618¾ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 2.50 38% 1.60 2.40  
 
HAW-2   04/20/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:57
:242 :48 1:123 1:39   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON DELIGHT 6 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 22 12 (castro isidro)GILES EMMANUEL 115 6.00 4.50  
TROY OUNCE 5 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 12 22 (clay pat)FELIX E 124 2.00 43% 1.30 2.00 P
BEHAVIN MYSELF 2 4 4 3 3 33 3(meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00 2.80  
DEVIL'S RULE 1 1 3 43 43 448 (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 8.00 11.50  
KRAMDEN 4 5 5 55 58 5510½ (castro isid)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50 28% 2.60 10.50  
GAGOOTS 3 6 66 67 611 615½ 629 (watkins james )CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 3.80  
 
HAW-3   04/20/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
:25 :483 1:132 1:401   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNBRIDLED ANNSLEY 5 1 1½ 2 2½ 2nk 1hd (scherer gar)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 1.80 22% 3.50 0.70 W
SUMMER BELLE 4 2 2½ 1 1½ 1nk 2hd (mitchell an)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 2.50 7% 14.20 3.80 P
MAIDEN ROCK 6 4 34 3 3 37 3(candelas blanc)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 16.60  
THIS MASQUERADE 2 3 4 510½ 514 410½ 413¼ (minnock g)FELIX E 122 4.50 7.90  
NOT TO BE DENIED 1 6 613½ 614 615 621½ 519 (thurman rhonda)LOPEZ A 122 10.00 33.70  
QUEEN EKATI 3 5 5 48 412½ 513½ 6100 (cook brian)GILES EMMANUEL 115 3.50 48% 1.10 5.00  
 
HAW-4   04/20/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:51
:241 :473 1:123 1:382   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEPAL UP 1 5 4 5 5 2nk 1(van thomas)MOJICA O 122 3.50 22% 3.50 4.10 W
DANVILLE 6 2 3 45 1nk 3.2 2(winebaugh cheryl)COLON H 122 3.00 26% 2.90 0.60 P
JEFF THE LION 2 1 2nk 1nk 2nk 1nk 3(boyce miche)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.50 12% 7.60 21.50 S
DIAMOND DAVE 4 6 68 6 6 54(childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 6.00 13.70  
BAKENEKO 3 3 1nk 2nk 3.2 4511½ (rodriguez hugo)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 12.90  
PERFECT WAGER 5 4 55 33 4 6617½ (becker scott)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 18% 4.70 6.30  
SCR  PISTOL BOX               (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 8.00    
 
HAW-5   04/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
:214 :45 :574     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYSTAL SNOW 2 1 1½ 1   11(cristel j)GILES EMMANUEL 117 2.00 13% 6.60 1.10 W
LADA KALINA 1 8 6 6   52(hernandez javier)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 8.00 15.70 P
SONG OF AMERICA 4 6 2½ 2   2312½ (campbell michael)FELIX E 118 4.50 7% 12.50 2.70 S
EVIE JEAN 3 5 78 712   612½ 414 (ryan a)LOPEZ A 124 15.00 28.30  
LUNARCHY 5 4 53 4   3514¾ (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 118 3.50 52% 0.90 3.20  
TWICK OR TWEAT 8 7 811 815   816 616¾ (matthews doug)ORTEGA O 118 30.00 82.30  
GYURZA 6 3 32 3   49 717½ (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 124 20.00 55.10  
BELLEFIRE 7 2 43 58   715 823¾ (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 15.00 19.70  
SCR  THE SCORE IS EVEN               (becker scott)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 5.00    
 
HAW-6   04/20/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
:242 :482 1:132 1:394   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C F V RED NOVA 1 3 4 42 21 14 12 (dizeo dino)MOJICA O 122 4.50 13% 6.70 2.70 W
DREAM ISLAND 3 6 7 75 8 46 22 (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 124 8.00 4.90  
CINDY'S STORM 5 5 53 52 43 36 3(ramos francisco)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 8.00 10.70  
PINBALLER 2 2 1nk 1½ 11 24 4(poulos dee)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00 6.20  
GATE CREW 4 7 8 8 6 5513¾ (boyce miche)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.00 33% 2.10 3.60  
COMMAND CENTRAL 8 8 6 64 7 713 616½ (meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 21% 3.80 6.00  
UNCLE NICK 7 4 3 3 33 612 723¼ (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 6.00 9.00  
SUPRISE CAT 6 1 2nk 2½ 5 825 847 (young r)GILES EMMANUEL 115 10.00 9% 9.60 42.10  
 
HAW-7   04/20/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
:214 :45 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCASHED 1 1 1½ 11   12 1(rivelli larry)MOJICA O 116 3.50 22% 3.70 0.70 W
ELI'S PROMISE 2 6 3 42   22 2(divito p)HERNANDEZ K 116 6.00 5.90  
FEVER NATION 6 3 42 32   33(block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 116 3.00 28% 2.60 4.20 S
MIDNIGHT ROYAL 4 4 58 5   54(berndt joel)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00 8% 12.30 15.60  
SWISS GUARD 3 2 2½ 21   46 515¼ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 116 5.00 5.90  
MAGIC MONDAY 5 5 68 69   610½ 616¾ (robertson hugh)FELIX E 122 8.00 17% 4.80 28.60  
SCR  FIT TO FLY               (rivelli larry)CENTENO ALEXIS 116 4.00    
 
HAW-8   04/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
:222 :46       1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I DON'T KNOW MARGO 8 1 1 1nk   11¾ (pompell robert)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00 26.30  
BEG BORROW N STEAL 2 6 54 6   22¾ (block chris)COLON H 122 4.00 7.00  
TIME BREAK 3 2 3 5   435 (jansen kenn)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00 8% 10.90 13.20 S
GHAALEB'S RANGER 5 8 9 7   65 45 (becker scott)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00 12% 7.30 8.20  
WILDWOOD DREAMER 7 4 2 2nk   32 5(becker scott)EMIGH A 122 4.00 42% 1.40 3.90  
QUILTING PARTY 9 5 75 9   87 67 (kirby j)MOJICA O 122 3.50 1.80  
MUD HUT 1 7 8 8   76 77 (kirby j)GILES EMMANUEL 115 8.00 12.50  
CAT ROYALE 4 3 43 3   588 (boyce miche)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 116 6.00 13% 6.60 7.00  
FROSTED ECLAIR 6 9 64 42   99 912¾ (watkins m)FELIX E 122 15.00 21.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.