Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - April 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(5/4)-(3/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-2   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(3/5/4)-(7/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-3   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(7/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(7/2/6/3)-(6/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (7/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3)-(7/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/6/3)-(6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/3)-(6/3/5)-(4/8/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(4/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(4/8/1/6)-(7/2/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-6   WIN (4/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/1/6)-(7/2/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/1/6)-(7/2/6/5)-(7/4/5/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-7   WIN (7/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/5)-(7/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/5)-(7/2/6/5)-(7/2/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/6/5)-(7/4/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HAW-8   WIN (7/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/3/9)-(7/4/5/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   04/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE LAST FACT Mar26 Mar12 Dec30 Nov20   (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.00 13% 6.90    
2  TRIPLE CHROME Mar26 Mar05 Feb22 Dec30 Dec07 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
3  PIRATE BIRD Mar26 Mar05 Nov11 Oct15 Sep30 (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 12.00    
4  IRONMAN RICHIE Mar30 Mar23 Mar09 Feb16 Jan27 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 124 5.00    
5  TAPIT SAM Mar30 Mar12 Feb16 Feb03 Dec30 (reavis l)FELIX E 122 4.00    
6  BOURBON TEDDY Feb22 Jan12 Dec10 Nov12 Oct28 (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
 
HAW-2   04/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIL'S RULE Apr09 Mar19 Mar05 Dec30 Dec17 (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 8.00    
2  BEHAVIN MYSELF Apr13 Mar12 Jan24 Dec30 Dec16 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00    
3  GAGOOTS Dec31 Dec16 Dec02 Nov12 Oct15 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 ★    
4  KRAMDEN Apr03 Feb02 Jan10 Dec18 Dec02 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
5  TROY OUNCE Mar26 Mar12 Feb26 Feb11 Dec09 (clay pat)FELIX E 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
6  BOURBON DELIGHT Apr02 Mar12 Mar05 Jan19 Dec18 (castro isidr)GILES EMMANUEL 115 6.00    
 
HAW-3   04/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT TO BE DENIED Mar16 Dec30 Nov11 Oct08 Sep20 (thurman r)THURMAN ELIZABETH 122 10.00    
2  THIS MASQUERADE Mar16 May27 Apr28 Mar24 Feb16 (minnock g)FELIX E 122 4.50    
3  QUEEN EKATI Apr09 Mar02 Feb08 Dec30 Dec18 (cook brian)GILES EMMANUEL 115 3.50 48% 1.10    
4  SUMMER BELLE Dec04 Nov11 Oct15 Sep04 Jul28 (mitchell )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 2.50 7% 14.20    
5  UNBRIDLED ANNSLEY Apr02 Mar18 Feb25 Feb04 Aug15 (scherer g)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 117 1.80 22% 3.50    
6  MAIDEN ROCK Mar30 Feb20 Dec30 Dec18 Nov11 (candelas bla)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
 
HAW-4   04/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PISTOL BOX Apr06 Dec31 Dec11 Nov18 Nov06 (kirby j)EMIGH A 122 8.00    
2  NEPAL UP Feb23 Jan27 Dec08 Oct19 Sep28 (van thomas)MOJICA O 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
3  JEFF THE LION Mar30 Nov27       (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.50 12% 7.60    
4  BAKENEKO Apr13 Mar24 Mar09 Feb18 Jan01 (rodriguez hug)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00    
5  DIAMOND DAVE Mar16 Nov18 Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 (childers vance)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 6.00    
6  PERFECT WAGER Mar30 Mar09 Dec31 Nov26 Nov06 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 18% 4.70    
7  DANVILLE Mar25 Feb25 Jan21 Dec30 Dec04 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
HAW-5   04/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADA KALINA Apr02 Mar19 Mar05     (hernandez javie)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 8.00 ★    
SCR  THE SCORE IS EVEN         (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 5.00 ★    
3  CRYSTAL SNOW Mar30 Mar09 Feb15 Jan12 Nov27 (cristel mark)GILES EMMANUEL 117 2.00 13% 6.60    
4  EVIE JEAN Apr06 Mar19 Mar05 Dec16 Dec02 (ryan a)LOPEZ A 124 15.00    
5  SONG OF AMERICA Mar16 Jan18 Dec23 Dec03 Oct14 (campbell michael)FELIX E 118 4.50 7% 12.50    
6  LUNARCHY Mar16         (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 118 3.50 52% 0.90    
7  GYURZA Sep17 Aug21       (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 124 20.00    
8  BELLEFIRE Sep10 Jul28 Jun26     (tracy tanner)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 15.00    
9  TWICK OR TWEAT Mar19 Mar05       (matthews do)ORTEGA O 118 30.00    
 
HAW-6   04/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C F V RED NOVA Mar26 Mar09 Dec30 Dec16 Dec09 (dizeo dino)MOJICA O 122 4.50 13% 6.70    
2  PINBALLER Apr02 Mar19 Mar09 Dec31 Dec16 (poulos de)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
3  DREAM ISLAND Apr06 Dec30       (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 124 8.00    
4  GATE CREW Apr02 Mar16 Dec02 Nov12 Oct21 (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.00 33% 2.10    
5  CINDY'S STORM Mar30 Mar16 Feb08 Jan17 Dec31 (ramos francisco)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 8.00    
6  SUPRISE CAT Dec17 Nov27 Nov12 Oct29 Oct07 (young terry )GILES EMMANUEL 115 10.00 9% 9.60    
7  UNCLE NICK Apr02 Mar16 Feb23 Jan12 Dec22 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 6.00    
8  COMMAND CENTRAL Mar31 Mar04 Feb04 Jan26 Jan05 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
HAW-7   04/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIT TO FLY Sep06 Jul18 Jun11     (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 116 4.00    
2  UNCASHED Oct21 Sep13       (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 116 3.50 22% 3.70    
3  ELI'S PROMISE Feb24 Jan20 Sep30 Aug14 Jul08 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 116 6.00    
4  SWISS GUARD Mar19 Jan07 Dec09 Nov13 Oct20 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 116 5.00    
5  MIDNIGHT ROYAL Sep10 Aug17 Jul27 Jun11   (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00 8% 12.30    
6  MAGIC MONDAY Oct30 Oct09 Jul14     (robertson hugh)FELIX E 122 8.00 17% 4.80    
7  FEVER NATION Mar09 Dec30 Dec10 Nov19 Oct14 (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 116 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
HAW-8   04/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUD HUT Mar09 Dec30 Dec18 Dec04 Jun11 (kirby frank )GILES EMMANUEL 115 8.00    
2  BEG BORROW N STEAL Mar30 Dec31 Dec09 Nov18 Oct21 (block chris)COLON H 122 4.00    
3  TIME BREAK Mar30 Dec31 Dec16 Nov27 Nov12 (jansen ke)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00 8% 10.90    
4  CAT ROYALE Dec30 Dec03 Nov12     (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 116 6.00 13% 6.60    
5  GHAALEB'S RANGER Jul22 Jul05 Jun21 May28 May03 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00 12% 7.30    
6  FROSTED ECLAIR Mar30 Mar12 Oct21 Sep30   (watkins m)FELIX E 122 15.00    
7  WILDWOOD DREAMER Mar30 Mar19 Dec30 Dec02 Oct21 (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 4.00 42% 1.40    
8  I DON'T KNOW MARGO Mar30 Oct15 Sep23 Sep02 Aug06 (pompell rober)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00    
9  QUILTING PARTY Dec31 Dec09 Nov26 Jul12 Jun25 (kirby j)MOJICA O 122 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.