Handicappers' Race Results
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Churchill Downs
Friday - May 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $5.68  
CD-2   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.10 $4.10  
CD-3   Win (5/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $3.66  
CD-4   Win (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.28 $7.28 1.28
CD-5   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $37.00 $37.00 31.00
CD-6   Win (4/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.16 $6.16  
CD-7   Win (4/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $30.32 $30.32 22.32
CD-8   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $7.76  
CD-9   Win (1/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.84 $6.84  
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:222 :47 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KALL KAT 2 3 2nk 1½   12½ 15½ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 2.50 1.84  
5  MAHOMEBRED 4 4 3½ 3½   22½ 25½ (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.00 2.95  
6  CORTADO 5 2 54½ 53¼   44 35½ (bahena ismael)NAVAS YOEL 117 4.00 18% 4.60 4.95 S
1  TAMARA'S WAY 1 1 1nk 2½   32½ 45¾ (demeritte larr)CALLEJA ANDRES 108 4.00 13% 6.60 2.67  
4  SOULFUL TARA 3 5 42 43   56 513¾ (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 40% 1.50 4.96  
SCR  DREAM TRAP               (caramori caio)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 5.00    
 
CD-2   05/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TOWING 3 4 2½ 2nk   1nk 1¼ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 125 1.60 49% 1.00 1.05 W
2  AMANI'S EAGLE 2 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 2¼ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 123 3.00 17% 4.70 2.90 P
4  ASPEN CLUB 4 3 31 32   33½ 36½ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 123 6.00 8.12  
1  RAYMOND 1 5 55½ 56¾   45 47¾ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 123 2.00 2.17  
5  EAST OF INDIA 5 2 42½ 42¼   56½ 515 (howard marya)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 21.29  
SCR  CRIMINAL DEFENSE               (barnett bobby )BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 15.00    
 
CD-3   05/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:221 :46       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARP TUNE 1 3 11 11½   13½ 12 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 0.83  
8  FOOLISH FRONT FIFI 8 6 56 45   35 22 (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 3.00 7.66  
2  WHAT'S CRACKIN 2 4 46 56½   56½ 36 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 25.14  
4  INTERMITTENT FAST 4 2 21 21½   23½ 46½ (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 22% 3.50 4.62  
7  CRYSTAL SYMPHONY 7 7 78½ 67   67 57 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 5% 19.00 20.35  
5  KRICKLE 5 1 33 34   46 67 (holsapple h)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 54% 0.90 7.89  
6  RISKY SPIRIT 6 5 67 710   710½ 79½ (becker scott)EMIGH A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 29.50  
3  HOCKEY 3 8 810½ 811½   811½ 811¾ (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 5.93  
 
CD-4   05/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:121     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JUDY'S WAY 4 3 31 21   1½ 1½ (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 38% 1.60 2.64 W
5  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 3 2 53 43   32½ 2½ (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 6% 16.20 8.58 P
3  BLUE GRASS ANNA 2 1 11 11   2½ 31 (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 19% 4.20 2.47 S
2  CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR 1 4 42 53½   45½ 412¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 1.31  
7  HIGH SPEED 5 5 21 31½   58½ 531¾ (cano munoz)LANERIE J 118 4.50 7.76  
SCR  APRIL'S NO FOOL               (miller f)CASTANON L 118 4.00    
SCR  U SO MONEY BABY               (cundiff wa)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00    
 
CD-5   05/26/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:124 1:381   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MAXIMUM IMPACT 5 6 67 69½ 53½ 13 11¾ (dilodovico nicho)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 8% 12.20 17.50 W
3  WHAT A COUNTRY 3 5 43½ 33 32 45 21¾ (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 3.03  
1  KUNSHAN BRIDGE 1 3 1nk 1½ 1½ 23 31¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 2.24  
4  MY BARILEY 4 4 55½ 57 64 35 42 (leonard ge)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 3.35  
6  SILVER DUST 6 1 2nk 2½ 2½ 57½ 512¾ (vance d)LANERIE J 118 2.00 40% 1.50 2.37  
2  IMPROBABLE STORY 2 2 32½ 43½ 42½ 68 663¾ (king l)CASTANON L 118 8.00 11% 8.00 12.03  
 
CD-6   05/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:12 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  I RUN 7 6 42½ 42½ 21½ 2½ 1½ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 2.08 W
6  CROSSING 6 4 21 21½ 11½ 1½ 2½ (lauer michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 5% 19.00 9.80 P
4  ABSOLUTE COURAGE 4 2 31½ 31½ 44 33½ 31 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 1.60 43% 1.30 1.44 S
5  OFF THE CUFF 5 3 11 11½ 33 46½ 413¾ (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 126 5.00 31% 2.30 7.12  
3  COTE D'IVOIRE 3 1 54 67 510 511½ 520¾ (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 118 15.00 39.27  
2  JOR EL 2 7 712 715 717 621½ 643½ (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 111 8.00 22.26  
1  TOLLGATE CANYON 1 5 64 55 612 723½ 750¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 4.11  
 
CD-7   05/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:214 :451 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  EMERALD EXPRESS 7 5 74½ 63¼   42½ 1nk (morse l)LANERIE J 118 15.00 10% 9.00 14.16 W
2  FITZPATRICK 2 7 41½ 3.2   11 2nk (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 2.29  
4  GULFSTREAM WAY 4 3 2½ 1nk   21 31¾ (kordenbrock )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 27% 2.70 4.35 S
3  DEVIL'S TOWER 3 1 1½ 2nk   31 43 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 24% 3.20 2.84  
1  ALL EYES WEST 1 6 31 52¾   54 56¾ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 22.30  
5  LEGAL DEAL 5 2 63 76¼   77¼ 69¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 11% 8.30 2.75  
6  LOST IN LIMBO 6 4 52½ 41¾   67 7100 (lauer mich)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 10.55  
 
CD-8   05/26/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:22 :441 :553     1:013   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BAD BEAT BRIAN 5 1 2½ 2½   1nk 11¼ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 4.00 2.88  
3  SMOKIN' JAY 3 4 55½ 55½   43 21¼ (danner kelse)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 10.00 5.19  
1  JUST MIGHT 1 3 1½ 1½   2nk 31½ (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 6.32 S
2  BOUND FOR NOWHERE 2 2 33 32½   32½ 41½ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 0.80 58% 0.70 0.79  
4  SURVEILLANCE 4 5 44½ 45   57 510¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 12% 7.20 8.91  
SCR  FRIAR LAURENCE               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00    
SCR  PIRATE RICK               (dilodovico nicho)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 6.00    
 
CD-9   05/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:14 1:382   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S GOT THIS 1 3 42½ 32 3½ 14 15½ (rankin l)SAEZ LUIS 124 5.00 49% 1.00 2.42 W
4  LONG CROW 3 7 76½ 76½ 76½ 45½ 25½ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 5.26  
6  JOB SECURITY 5 4 64½ 54 54 24 35½ (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 12.00 5% 19.00 11.87 S
5  LONGSHADOW 4 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 34 48¾ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00 10.52  
8  MILLARD'S SMILE 7 6 54 64½ 64½ 79¾ 514¼ (rodriguez ed)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 20.04  
7  FIELDSTONE 6 5 32½ 42½ 42 69½ 621¼ (wong jonat)SANTANA JR 124 3.00 23% 3.40 1.64  
2  LI MU BAI (IRE) 2 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 58 721¾ (wong jonath)TORRES A 124 8.00 4.90  
SCR  COASTAL DEFENSE               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.