Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Friday - May 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-4   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.28 $1.28 21%
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-5 $46.40 $34.40 287%
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  6-5-3 $37.71 $34.71 1157%
CD-5   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $37.00 $31.00 517%
    DD (6/3/5)-(6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-5 $63.33 $54.33 604%
CD-6   EXA (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-6 $45.72 $21.72 91%
    TRI (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-6-4 $29.18 $17.18 143%
    SFT (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 24 $0.10 $2.40  7-6-4-5 $12.57 $10.17 424%
    DD (6/2/5)-(4/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-7 $47.49 $35.49 296%
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(6/2/5)-(4/5/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-5-7 $314.11 $296.11 1645%
CD-7   WIN (4/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $30.32 $22.32 279%
    DD (4/5/6/7)-(4/3/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-7 $51.96 $35.96 225%
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(4/5/6/7)-(4/3/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00  5-7-7 $356.14 $332.14 1384%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:222 :47 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KALL KAT 2 3 2nk 1½   1 1 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 2.50 1.84  
MAHOMEBRED 4 4 3½ 3½   2 2 (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.00 2.95  
CORTADO 5 2 5 5   44 3 (bahena ismael)NAVAS YOEL 117 4.00 18% 4.60 4.95 S
TAMARA'S WAY 1 1 1nk 2½   3 4 (demeritte la)CALLEJA ANDRES 108 4.00 13% 6.60 2.67  
SOULFUL TARA 3 5 42 43   56 513¾ (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 40% 1.50 4.96  
SCR  DREAM TRAP               (caramori cai)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 5.00    
 
CD-2   05/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOWING 3 4 2½ 2nk   1nk 1¼ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 125 1.60 49% 1.00 1.05 W
AMANI'S EAGLE 2 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 2¼ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 3.00 17% 4.70 2.90 P
ASPEN CLUB 4 3 31 32   3 3 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 123 6.00 8.12  
RAYMOND 1 5 5 5   45 4 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 123 2.00 2.17  
EAST OF INDIA 5 2 4 4   5 515 (howard mar)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 21.29  
SCR  CRIMINAL DEFENSE               (barnett bobb)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 15.00    
 
CD-3   05/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:221 :46       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP TUNE 1 3 11 1   1 12 (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 0.83  
  (by FROSTED out of CLASSY TUNE by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
FOOLISH FRONT FIFI 8 6 56 45   35 22 (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 3.00 7.66  
  (by COAL FRONT out of FOOLISH PATRIOT by AWESOME PATRIOT)
WHAT'S CRACKIN 2 4 46 5   5 36 (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 25.14  
  (by MCCRAKEN out of KELL PASO by DIVINE PARK)
INTERMITTENT FAST 4 2 21 2   2 4 (ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 22% 3.50 4.62  
  (by TAPWRIT out of LADY MOCHA by TALE OF THE CAT)
CRYSTAL SYMPHONY 7 7 7 67   67 57 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 5% 19.00 20.35  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of J. A. CURLIN by CURLIN)
KRICKLE 5 1 33 34   46 67 (holsapple)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 54% 0.90 7.89  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of FRISCO GIRL by QUALITY ROAD)
RISKY SPIRIT 6 5 67 710   710½ 7 (becker scott)EMIGH A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 29.50  
  (by KHOZAN out of RISKY LADY by REVOLVING)
HOCKEY 3 8 810½ 811½   811½ 811¾ (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 5.93  
  (by NYQUIST out of BALANDRA BAY by TIZNOW)
 
CD-4   05/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:121     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUDY'S WAY 4 3 31 21   1½ 1½ (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 38% 1.60 2.64 W
SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 3 2 53 43   3 2½ (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 6% 16.20 8.58 P
BLUE GRASS ANNA 2 1 11 11   2½ 31 (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 19% 4.20 2.47 S
CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR 1 4 42 5   4 412¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 1.31  
HIGH SPEED 5 5 21 3   5 531¾ (cano munoz)LANERIE J 118 4.50 7.76  
SCR  APRIL'S NO FOOL               (miller jerome )CASTANON L 118 4.00    
SCR  U SO MONEY BABY               (cundiff )RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00    
 
CD-5   05/26/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:124 1:381   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAXIMUM IMPACT 5 6 67 6 5 13 1 (dilodovico nic)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 8% 12.20 17.50 W
WHAT A COUNTRY 3 5 4 33 32 45 2 (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 3.03  
KUNSHAN BRIDGE 1 3 1nk 1½ 1½ 23 3 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 2.24  
MY BARILEY 4 4 5 57 64 35 42 (leonard )SANTANA JR 118 5.00 3.35  
SILVER DUST 6 1 2nk 2½ 2½ 5 512¾ (vance d)LANERIE J 118 2.00 40% 1.50 2.37  
IMPROBABLE STORY 2 2 3 4 4 68 663¾ (king l)CASTANON L 118 8.00 11% 8.00 12.03  
 
CD-6   05/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:12 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I RUN 7 6 4 4 2 2½ 1½ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 2.08 W
CROSSING 6 4 21 2 1 1½ 2½ (lauer mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 5% 19.00 9.80 P
ABSOLUTE COURAGE 4 2 3 3 44 3 31 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 1.60 43% 1.30 1.44 S
OFF THE CUFF 5 3 11 1 33 4 413¾ (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 126 5.00 31% 2.30 7.12  
COTE D'IVOIRE 3 1 54 67 510 511½ 520¾ (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 118 15.00 39.27  
JOR EL 2 7 712 715 717 621½ 643½ (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 111 8.00 22.26  
TOLLGATE CANYON 1 5 64 55 612 723½ 750¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 4.11  
 
CD-7   05/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:214 :451 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMERALD EXPRESS 7 5 7 6   4 1nk (morse l)LANERIE J 118 15.00 10% 9.00 14.16 W
FITZPATRICK 2 7 4 3.2   11 2nk (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 2.29  
GULFSTREAM WAY 4 3 2½ 1nk   21 3 (kordenbroc)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 27% 2.70 4.35 S
DEVIL'S TOWER 3 1 1½ 2nk   31 43 (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 24% 3.20 2.84  
ALL EYES WEST 1 6 31 5   54 5 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 22.30  
LEGAL DEAL 5 2 63 7   7 6 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 11% 8.30 2.75  
LOST IN LIMBO 6 4 5 4   67 7100 (lauer mi)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 10.55  
 
CD-8   05/26/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:22 :441 :553     1:013   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD BEAT BRIAN 5 1 2½ 2½   1nk 1 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 4.00 2.88  
SMOKIN' JAY 3 4 5 5   43 2 (danner kel)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 10.00 5.19  
JUST MIGHT 1 3 1½ 1½   2nk 3 (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 6.32 S
BOUND FOR NOWHERE 2 2 33 3   3 4 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 0.80 58% 0.70 0.79  
SURVEILLANCE 4 5 4 45   57 510¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 12% 7.20 8.91  
SCR  FRIAR LAURENCE               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00    
SCR  PIRATE RICK               (dilodovico nic)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 6.00    
 
CD-9   05/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:14 1:382   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S GOT THIS 1 3 4 32 3½ 14 1 (rankin l)SAEZ LUIS 124 5.00 49% 1.00 2.42 W
LONG CROW 3 7 7 7 7 4 2 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 5.26  
JOB SECURITY 5 4 6 54 54 24 3 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 12.00 5% 19.00 11.87 S
LONGSHADOW 4 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 34 4 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00 10.52  
MILLARD'S SMILE 7 6 54 6 6 7 514¼ (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 20.04  
FIELDSTONE 6 5 3 4 42 6 621¼ (wong jon)SANTANA JR 124 3.00 23% 3.40 1.64  
LI MU BAI (IRE) 2 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 58 721¾ (wong jona)TORRES A 124 8.00 4.90  
SCR  COASTAL DEFENSE               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.