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Handicappers' Race Results

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Churchill Downs
Friday - May 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

CD-4			WIN	(6/3/5)						3	$2.00	$6.00	6		$7.28			$1.28				21%
			EXA	(6/3/5)-(6/3/5)						6	$2.00	$12.00	6-5		$46.40			$34.40				287%
			TRI	(6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5)						6	$0.50	$3.00	6-5-3		$37.71			$34.71				1157%
CD-5			WIN	(6/2/5)						3	$2.00	$6.00	5		$37.00			$31.00				517%
			DD	(6/3/5)-(6/2/5)						9	$1.00	$9.00	6-5		$63.33			$54.33				604%
CD-6			EXA	(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7)						12	$2.00	$24.00	7-6		$45.72			$21.72				91%
			TRI	(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7)						24	$0.50	$12.00	7-6-4		$29.18			$17.18				143%
			SFT	(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7)						24	$0.10	$2.40	7-6-4-5		$12.57			$10.17				424%
			DD	(6/2/5)-(4/5/6/7)						12	$1.00	$12.00	5-7		$47.49			$35.49				296%
			PK3	(6/3/5)-(6/2/5)-(4/5/6/7)						36	$0.50	$18.00	6-5-7		$314.11			$296.11				1645%
CD-7			WIN	(4/3/5/7)						4	$2.00	$8.00	7		$30.32			$22.32				279%
			DD	(4/5/6/7)-(4/3/5/7)						16	$1.00	$16.00	7-7		$51.96			$35.96				225%
			PK3	(6/2/5)-(4/5/6/7)-(4/3/5/7)						48	$0.50	$24.00	5-7-7		$356.14			$332.14				1384%

Simulator Race results


CD-1			05/26/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($10K)					Purse ($30K)			3UP		M/F		PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	KALL KAT									(tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118						2.50						1.84
5	MAHOMEBRED									(williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124						3.00						2.95
6	CORTADO									(bahena ismael)NAVAS YOEL 117						4.00		18%		4.60		4.95	S
1	TAMARA'S WAY									(demeritte la)CALLEJA ANDRES 108						4.00		13%		6.60		2.67
4	SOULFUL TARA									(caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 118						5.00		40%		1.50		4.96
SCR	DREAM TRAP									(caramori cai)CASTILLO ISAAC 118						5.00

CD-2			05/26/2023		4290ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($20K)					Purse ($52K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	TOWING									(cano munoz)BEJARANO R 125						1.60		49%		1.00		1.05	W
2	AMANI'S EAGLE									(vanden britt)EMIGH A 123						3.00		17%		4.70		2.90	P
4	ASPEN CLUB									(morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 123						6.00						8.12
1	RAYMOND									(barkley jason)GRAHAM J 123						2.00						2.17
5	EAST OF INDIA									(howard mar)CORRALES GERARDO 123						15.00		5%		19.00		21.29
SCR	CRIMINAL DEFENSE									(barnett bobb)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123						15.00

CD-3			05/26/2023		3300ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		F		PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	SHARP TUNE									(asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119						6.00						0.83
		(by FROSTED out of CLASSY TUNE by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
8	FOOLISH FRONT FIFI									(hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119						3.00						7.66
		(by COAL FRONT out of FOOLISH PATRIOT by AWESOME PATRIOT)
2	WHAT'S CRACKIN									(hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						8.00						25.14
		(by MCCRAKEN out of KELL PASO by DIVINE PARK)
4	INTERMITTENT FAST									(ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119						4.00		22%		3.50		4.62
		(by TAPWRIT out of LADY MOCHA by TALE OF THE CAT)
7	CRYSTAL SYMPHONY									(casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119						8.00		5%		19.00		20.35
		(by MENDELSSOHN out of J. A. CURLIN by CURLIN)
5	KRICKLE									(holsapple)HERNANDEZ J 119						3.50		54%		0.90		7.89
		(by CARPE DIEM out of FRISCO GIRL by QUALITY ROAD)
6	RISKY SPIRIT									(becker scott)EMIGH A 119						8.00		5%		19.00		29.50
		(by KHOZAN out of RISKY LADY by REVOLVING)
3	HOCKEY									(casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119						6.00						5.93
		(by NYQUIST out of BALANDRA BAY by TIZNOW)

CD-4			05/26/2023		4620ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($10K)					Purse ($32K)			4UP		M/F		PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	JUDY'S WAY									(asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 118						3.00		38%		1.60		2.64	W
5	SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI									(gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118						15.00		6%		16.20		8.58	P
3	BLUE GRASS ANNA									(garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 118						3.50		19%		4.20		2.47	S
2	CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118						2.50						1.31
7	HIGH SPEED									(cano munoz)LANERIE J 118						4.50						7.76
SCR	APRIL'S NO FOOL									(miller jerome )CASTANON L 118						4.00
SCR	U SO MONEY BABY									(cundiff )RODRIGUEZ A 113						15.00

CD-5			05/26/2023		5940ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($25K)					Purse ($56K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	MAXIMUM IMPACT									(dilodovico nic)SAEZ GABRIEL 118						10.00		8%		12.20		17.50	W
3	WHAT A COUNTRY									(shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 118						3.00						3.03
1	KUNSHAN BRIDGE									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						2.50						2.24
4	MY BARILEY									(leonard )SANTANA JR 118						5.00						3.35
6	SILVER DUST									(vance d)LANERIE J 118						2.00		40%		1.50		2.37
2	IMPROBABLE STORY									(king l)CASTANON L 118						8.00		11%		8.00		12.03

CD-6			05/26/2023		5280ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($50K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	I RUN									(lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118						8.00		5%		19.00		2.08	W
6	CROSSING									(lauer mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118						4.00		5%		19.00		9.80	P
4	ABSOLUTE COURAGE									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126						1.60		43%		1.30		1.44	S
5	OFF THE CUFF									(humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 126						5.00		31%		2.30		7.12
3	COTE D'IVOIRE									(margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 118						15.00						39.27
2	JOR EL									(colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 111						8.00						22.26
1	TOLLGATE CANYON									(sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118						3.50						4.11

CD-7			05/26/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($40K)					Purse ($68K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	EMERALD EXPRESS									(morse l)LANERIE J 118						15.00		10%		9.00		14.16	W
2	FITZPATRICK									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						2.00						2.29
4	GULFSTREAM WAY									(kordenbroc)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118						4.00		27%		2.70		4.35	S
3	DEVIL'S TOWER									(hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						2.50		24%		3.20		2.84
1	ALL EYES WEST									(cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						10.00						22.30
5	LEGAL DEAL									(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118						3.00		11%		8.30		2.75
6	LOST IN LIMBO									(lauer mi)SANTANA JR 118						12.00						10.55

CD-8			05/26/2023		3630ft	TURF	RC3	FIRM	Alw Opt Clm ($175K)					Purse ($148K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	BAD BEAT BRIAN									(vanden britt)EMIGH A 121						4.00						2.88
3	SMOKIN' JAY									(danner kel)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						10.00						5.19
1	JUST MIGHT									(lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 121						10.00		5%		19.00		6.32	S
2	BOUND FOR NOWHERE									(ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 121						0.80		58%		0.70		0.79
4	SURVEILLANCE									(desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121						5.00		12%		7.20		8.91
SCR	FRIAR LAURENCE									(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121						4.00
SCR	PIRATE RICK									(dilodovico nic)SAEZ GABRIEL 121						6.00

CD-9			05/26/2023		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($30K)					Purse ($56K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	HE'S GOT THIS									(rankin l)SAEZ LUIS 124						5.00		49%		1.00		2.42	W
4	LONG CROW									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124						4.00						5.26
6	JOB SECURITY									(pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124						12.00		5%		19.00		11.87	S
5	LONGSHADOW									(danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124						15.00						10.52
8	MILLARD'S SMILE									(rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 124						20.00		5%		19.00		20.04
7	FIELDSTONE									(wong jon)SANTANA JR 124						3.00		23%		3.40		1.64
2	LI MU BAI (IRE)									(wong jona)TORRES A 124						8.00						4.90
SCR	COASTAL DEFENSE									(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124						2.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

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	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.