The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Churchill Downs
Friday - May 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $5.68 $0.00 -6.00
    Exacta (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-5 2 0 $26.14 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-5-6 3 0 $19.14 $0.00 -3.00
CD-2   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.10 $4.10 -1.90
    Exacta (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-2 2 1 $10.02 $10.02 -1.98
    Trifecta (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-2-4 3 0 $9.85 $0.00 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/4/6)-(2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 3-3 2 0 $5.86 $0.00 -9.00
CD-3   Win (4/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $3.66 $0.00 -8.00
    Exacta (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-8 2 0 $20.88 $0.00 -24.00
    Trifecta (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 1-8-2 3 0 $46.62 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (2/3/5)-(4/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-1 2 0 $4.82 $0.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/4/6)-(2/3/5)-(4/5/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 3-3-1 3 0 $20.16 $0.00 -18.00
CD-4   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.28 $7.28 1.28
    Exacta (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-5 2 1 $46.40 $46.40 34.40
    Trifecta (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 6-5-3 3 1 $37.71 $37.71 34.71
    Daily Double (4/5/6/7)-(3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-6 2 0 $9.22 $0.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (2/3/5)-(4/5/6/7)-(3/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 3-1-6 3 0 $18.66 $0.00 -18.00
CD-5   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $37.00 $37.00 31.00
    Exacta (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-3 2 0 $137.82 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 5-3-1 3 0 $126.56 $0.00 -3.00
    Daily Double (3/5/6)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 6-5 2 1 $63.33 $63.33 54.33
    Pick Three (4/5/6/7)-(3/5/6)-(2/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 1-6-5 3 0 $117.39 $0.00 -18.00
CD-6   Win (4/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.16 $6.16 -1.84
    Exacta (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-6 2 1 $45.72 $45.72 21.72
    Trifecta (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 7-6-4 3 1 $29.18 $29.18 17.18
    Daily Double (2/5/6)-(4/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-7 2 1 $47.49 $47.49 35.49
    Pick Three (3/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(4/5/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 6-5-7 3 1 $314.11 $314.11 296.11
CD-7   Win (3/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $30.32 $30.32 22.32
    Exacta (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-2 2 0 $121.10 $0.00 -24.00
    Trifecta (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 7-2-4 3 0 $161.81 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (4/5/6/7)-(3/4/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 7-7 2 1 $51.96 $51.96 35.96
    Pick Three (2/5/6)-(4/5/6/7)-(3/4/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 5-7-7 3 1 $356.14 $356.14 332.14
CD-8   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $7.76 $0.00 -6.00
    Exacta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-3 2 0 $29.10 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 6-3-1 3 0 $31.20 $0.00 -3.00
    Daily Double (3/4/5/7)-(1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-6 2 0 $78.12 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (3/4/5/7)-(1/2/4) 7-5 2 0 $15.17 $0.00 0.00
    Pick Three (4/5/6/7)-(3/4/5/7)-(1/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 7-7-6 3 0 $94.69 $0.00 -24.00
    Pick Three (4/5/6/7)-(3/4/5/7)-(1/2/4) 7-7-5 3 0 $20.87 $0.00 0.00
CD-9   Win (1/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.84 $6.84 -1.16
    Exacta (1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-4 2 0 $32.58 $0.00 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 1-4-6 3 0 $41.76 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/2/4)-(1/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-1 2 0 $17.85 $0.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (3/4/5/7)-(1/2/4)-(1/6/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 7-6-1 3 0 $133.29 $0.00 -24.00
    Pick Three (3/4/5/7)-(1/2/4)-(1/6/7/8) 7-5-1 3 0 $26.86 $0.00 0.00

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/26/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
:222 :47 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KALL KAT 2 3 2nk 1½   11(tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 2.50 1.84  
MAHOMEBRED 4 4 3½ 3½   22(williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.00 2.95  
CORTADO 5 2 5 5   44 3(bahena ismael)NAVAS YOEL 117 4.00 18% 4.60 4.95 S
TAMARA'S WAY 1 1 1nk 2½   34(demeritte larr)CALLEJA ANDRES 108 4.00 13% 6.60 2.67  
SOULFUL TARA 3 5 42 43   56 513¾ (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 40% 1.50 4.96  
SCR  DREAM TRAP               (caramori caio)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 5.00    
 
CD-2   05/26/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
:231 :461 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOWING 3 4 2½ 2nk   1nk 1¼ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 125 1.60 49% 1.00 1.05 W
AMANI'S EAGLE 2 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 2¼ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 123 3.00 17% 4.70 2.90 P
ASPEN CLUB 4 3 31 32   33(morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 123 6.00 8.12  
RAYMOND 1 5 5 5   45 4(barkley jason)GRAHAM J 123 2.00 2.17  
EAST OF INDIA 5 2 4 4   5515 (howard marya)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 21.29  
SCR  CRIMINAL DEFENSE               (barnett bobby )BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 15.00    
 
CD-3   05/26/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 1:43
:221 :46       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP TUNE 1 3 11 1   112 (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 0.83  
FOOLISH FRONT FIFI 8 6 56 45   35 22 (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 3.00 7.66  
WHAT'S CRACKIN 2 4 46 5   536 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 25.14  
INTERMITTENT FAST 4 2 21 2   24(ennis john)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 22% 3.50 4.62  
CRYSTAL SYMPHONY 7 7 7 67   67 57 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 5% 19.00 20.35  
KRICKLE 5 1 33 34   46 67 (holsapple h)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 54% 0.90 7.89  
RISKY SPIRIT 6 5 67 710   710½ 7(becker scott)EMIGH A 119 8.00 5% 19.00 29.50  
HOCKEY 3 8 810½ 811½   811½ 811¾ (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 5.93  
 
CD-4   05/26/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:13
:231 :464 1:121     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUDY'S WAY 4 3 31 21   1½ 1½ (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 38% 1.60 2.64 W
SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 3 2 53 43   32½ (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 6% 16.20 8.58 P
BLUE GRASS ANNA 2 1 11 11   2½ 31 (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 19% 4.20 2.47 S
CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR 1 4 42 5   4412¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 1.31  
HIGH SPEED 5 5 21 3   5531¾ (cano munoz)LANERIE J 118 4.50 7.76  
SCR  APRIL'S NO FOOL               (miller f)CASTANON L 118 4.00    
SCR  U SO MONEY BABY               (cundiff wa)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00    
 
CD-5   05/26/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
:24 :48 1:124 1:381   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAXIMUM IMPACT 5 6 67 6 5 13 1(dilodovico nicho)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 8% 12.20 17.50 W
WHAT A COUNTRY 3 5 4 33 32 45 2(shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 3.03  
KUNSHAN BRIDGE 1 3 1nk 1½ 1½ 23 3(asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 2.24  
MY BARILEY 4 4 5 57 64 35 42 (leonard ge)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 3.35  
SILVER DUST 6 1 2nk 2½ 2½ 5512¾ (vance d)LANERIE J 118 2.00 40% 1.50 2.37  
IMPROBABLE STORY 2 2 3 4 4 68 663¾ (king l)CASTANON L 118 8.00 11% 8.00 12.03  
 
CD-6   05/26/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
:231 :463 1:12 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I RUN 7 6 4 4 2 2½ 1½ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 2.08 W
CROSSING 6 4 21 2 1 1½ 2½ (lauer michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 5% 19.00 9.80 P
ABSOLUTE COURAGE 4 2 3 3 44 331 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 1.60 43% 1.30 1.44 S
OFF THE CUFF 5 3 11 1 33 4413¾ (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 126 5.00 31% 2.30 7.12  
COTE D'IVOIRE 3 1 54 67 510 511½ 520¾ (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 118 15.00 39.27  
JOR EL 2 7 712 715 717 621½ 643½ (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 111 8.00 22.26  
TOLLGATE CANYON 1 5 64 55 612 723½ 750¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 4.11  
 
CD-7   05/26/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:50
:214 :451 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMERALD EXPRESS 7 5 7 6   41nk (morse l)LANERIE J 118 15.00 10% 9.00 14.16 W
FITZPATRICK 2 7 4 3.2   11 2nk (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 2.29  
GULFSTREAM WAY 4 3 2½ 1nk   21 3(kordenbrock )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 27% 2.70 4.35 S
DEVIL'S TOWER 3 1 1½ 2nk   31 43 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 24% 3.20 2.84  
ALL EYES WEST 1 6 31 5   54 5(cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 22.30  
LEGAL DEAL 5 2 63 7   76(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 11% 8.30 2.75  
LOST IN LIMBO 6 4 5 4   67 7100 (lauer mich)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 10.55  
 
CD-8   05/26/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($148K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
:22 :441 :553     1:013   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD BEAT BRIAN 5 1 2½ 2½   1nk 1(vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 4.00 2.88  
SMOKIN' JAY 3 4 5 5   43 2(danner kelse)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 10.00 5.19  
JUST MIGHT 1 3 1½ 1½   2nk 3(lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 6.32 S
BOUND FOR NOWHERE 2 2 33 3   34(ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 0.80 58% 0.70 0.79  
SURVEILLANCE 4 5 4 45   57 510¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 12% 7.20 8.91  
SCR  FRIAR LAURENCE               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00    
SCR  PIRATE RICK               (dilodovico nicho)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 6.00    
 
CD-9   05/26/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
:243 :491 1:14 1:382   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S GOT THIS 1 3 4 32 3½ 14 1(rankin l)SAEZ LUIS 124 5.00 49% 1.00 2.42 W
LONG CROW 3 7 7 7 7 42(asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 5.26  
JOB SECURITY 5 4 6 54 54 24 3(pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 12.00 5% 19.00 11.87 S
LONGSHADOW 4 1 2½ 2½ 1nk 34 4(danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00 10.52  
MILLARD'S SMILE 7 6 54 6 6 7514¼ (rodriguez ed)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 20.00 5% 19.00 20.04  
FIELDSTONE 6 5 3 4 42 6621¼ (wong jonat)SANTANA JR 124 3.00 23% 3.40 1.64  
LI MU BAI (IRE) 2 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 58 721¾ (wong jonath)TORRES A 124 8.00 4.90  
SCR  COASTAL DEFENSE               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 124 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.