Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - May 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

IND-1   WIN (5/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $13.60 $5.60 70%
    EXA (5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-2 $78.20 $54.20 226%
IND-4   WIN (4/9/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  11 $14.40 $6.40 80%
    DD (2/1/6)-(4/9/11/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-11 $58.60 $34.60 144%
IND-6   WIN (11/2/12/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $16.40 $6.40 64%
IND-8   WIN (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  8 $4.80 $0.80 20%
    EXA (8/4)-(8/2/4/5/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00  8-2 $22.60 $6.60 41%

Simulator Race results

 
IND-1   05/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
See original race card.
:23 :472 :592     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACE REPORTER 5 5 21 21   21 1¾ (hammond)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 37% 1.70 5.80 W
DARNELL 2 6 64 6   4 2¾ (haran john)PEREZ E 124 3.50 7% 13.70 4.00 P
MYGALJUSTICE 6 2 31 31   31 3 (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 121 8.00 6.70  
ANGELSNDISGUISE 4 3 11 11   11 43 (glyshaw t)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 4.50 3.40  
LIZZSAIDNO 7 1 53 5   5 5 (nance mich)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 6.00 9% 10.40 5.90  
LITTLE GRAY FLOWER 3 4 42 4   66 6 (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 4.00 19% 4.30 3.90  
MRSINATRAGLORYLADY 1 7 76 7   7 78 (mcbride bar)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 5.00 4.60  
 
IND-2   05/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
See original race card.
:234 :471 :591     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIKIE O'PRADO 1 4 1½ 1   14 14 (garcia genaro)BAYS BROOKE 114 0.80 0.90  
MYSTERY IMPACT 5 1 2½ 2   24 24 (duran antoni)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 5.00 29% 2.40 5.00 P
SAN RONIN 6 3 31 3   37 37 (duran antonio)PARKER L 120 6.00 10% 9.40 2.60 S
TRYGVE 3 6 4 4   4 412½ (gonzalez li)BLANCHE RISHAWN 114 15.00 7% 13.10 11.00  
PORKYISMYNAME 4 5 5 5   510½ 512½ (perez natasha)PEREZ E 120 12.00 21.20  
PURSUANT 2 2 6 6   613½ 614 (egbert jam)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 4.00 6.70  
 
IND-3   05/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
See original race card.
:221 :462 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LASHES 6 2 4 32   2nk 1 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.50 8% 10.80 2.00 W
SECOND EXCHANGE 7 5 77 76   6 2 (fosdick steve)PARKER L 119 6.00 3.80  
SENTIMENTALJOURNEY 3 6 6 6   53 3 (hammond kim)PRESCOTT R 119 8.00 5.50 S
FIRST SQUADRON 1 1 1½ 1½   1nk 4 (cook brian)LEAHEY HANNAH 112 1.80 17% 5.00 3.40  
SHARP JUSTICE 5 7 5 53   3 5 (medina tomas)PEREZ E 122 15.00 35.80  
ROYAL TO BE 4 4 3 42   4 66 (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 115 12.00 18.90  
KANFU 2 3 2½ 2½   7 718 (ginter ra)BERMUDEZ E 122 2.50 48% 1.10 3.30  
 
IND-4   05/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:251 :502 1:144 1:27   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  FIERCE ASSAULT 10 8 2nk 2½ 2nk 1nk 1 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 124 8.00 11% 8.10 6.20 W
VERSATILE 4 6 7 54 4 33 2 (garcia israe)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 6.00 2.50  
DORMIR 8 11 8 8 6 4 3 (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 124 4.00 18% 4.60 4.90 S
BLUE TEARDROPS 6 2 1nk 1½ 1nk 2nk 4 (manley st)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00 14.40  
SELF RULE 3 9 10 1010¼ 10 7 55 (pres)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 2.00 42% 1.40 2.40  
12  TOTALITARIAN 11 10 5 3 3 5 6 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 120 10.00 17.00  
10  JACK D 9 5 9 9 8 6 7 (bland greg)HISBY RONALD 121 30.00 81.10  
PRINCE OF ROSES 1 1 6 7 7 8 810½ (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 120 10.00 8.50  
DOMHNALL 7 3 31 6 9 913¼ 918½ (paquette raym)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 12.00 5% 19.00 20.70  
JACK OF ALL TRADES 5 7 4 4 5 1015¼ 1021¼ (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 121 30.00 72.30  
FREAKY FRESH 2 4 118 1111¼ 1113¾ 1118¼ 1125¼ (patrick gary)PARKER L 120 20.00 19.40  
SCR  GUS GUS               (garcia genaro)BAYS BROOKE 114 8.00    
SCR  INDIO GUAPO               (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 120 30.00    
SCR  MAGNA RULER               (ramos o)CASTANON L 124 10.00    
 
IND-5   05/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:214 :454 :59     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDIAN ZARA 8 1 15 1   16 1¾ (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 113 30.00 46.40  
  (by TAPIZAR out of INDIAN RUN by SIOUX NATION)
SHARON'S GREY HOPE 2 3 4 58   37 2¾ (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 120 4.00 6% 14.90 2.50 P
  (by BUCCHERO out of SLIVER OF HOPE by VALUE PLUS)
ZIINZI 1 2 25 2   26 3 (richardville)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 30.00 43.20  
  (by PALACE out of OURCINNAMONANSUGAR by MIDSHIPMAN)
10  ICEY ANGEL 9 4 37 4   48 4 (wisner trace)MORALES JOSHUA 120 20.00 37.40  
  (by KEEN ICE out of WINE HALO by SNAPY HALO (ARG))
WILLADEAN 4 7 710 68   5 58 (phillips )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 15.00 7.60  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of CALL ME MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
LUNAR LACE 7 5 5 810   812½ 6 (fosdick steve)PARKER L 117 30.00 22.50  
  (by EUROPE out of MY LUNAR LOVE by PROUD CITIZEN)
CASTLE MAGIC 6 9 811 7   712½ 711¼ (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 3.00 41% 1.40 1.80  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of PRETTIEREVERYDAVE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
ALWAYS BLOSSOM 3 6 69 37   611 815¾ (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 2.50 31% 2.30 2.80  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MANKAI BLOSSOM by FIRST SAMURAI)
COLOR ME FAST 5 8 911½ 911½   917½ 919¼ (klopp randy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 8.00 10.00  
  (by CAN THE MAN out of MISS MAREN by COUNTRY DAY)
SCR  RAPUNZELS SONG               (delacruz joe)MOJICA O 120 5.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MEETMEONTIME by GENERAL MEETING)
 
IND-6   05/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:122 1:244   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEORGIE W 1 4 21 2 2 1½ 1¼ (walden william)ACHARD ALEX 122 6.00 9% 10.70 7.20 W
  (by TAPITURE out of AVIE'S TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
AUGUSTUS BLUE 5 1 5 57 54 3 2¼ (kerrick lacy)PARKER L 122 5.00 4.60  
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of BLUE DAHLIA by BUCKHAR)
ORBI ONE 2 3 11 1 1 2½ 31 (ortiz john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 115 30.00 6.90  
  (by ORB out of HONEY LAKE by HONEYLAND)
12  RUNAWAY STORM 9 7 6 7 64 6 4 (west w)PRESCOTT R 122 15.00 8% 12.10 31.00  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of RUNAWAY BETTY by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
STORMIN MIDNIGHT 6 6 4 4 4 4 5 (oliver victori)SANJUR SANTO 122 20.00 22.90  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of LUCY DE by DECARCHY)
QUALITY ART 3 5 36 3 3 5 6 (mckeever an)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 10.00 5.10  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of NEREID by ROCK HARD TEN)
11  SENSICAL 8 8 913¼ 810¾ 88 810¾ 76 (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.50 48% 1.10 1.70  
  (by STREET SENSE out of CRITIKAL REASON by APTITUDE)
PERFECT UPSTART 7 9 810¼ 6 7 7 8 (medina robe)PETERSON FERRIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
  (by UPSTART out of PERFECT SISTER by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
NITRO BREW 4 2 7 910¾ 9 911 98 (lobo pa)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 8% 12.10 7.30  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of PRETTY GIRL (ARG) by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  DELUCA               (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00    
  (by MASTERY out of AMAZING SHOES by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  DUBAI AND BACK (IRE)               (ewing a)ACHARD ALEX 122 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of STUBBINS by MORNING LINE)
SCR  ORO               (hernandez rey)MCENTEE GRACE 122 15.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of GEMSTONE by GEMOLOGIST)
SCR  RIGHTEOUS FREEDOM               (roussel )LOPEZ CARLOS 122 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of CHERUB HEART by DEHERE)
SCR  RIO MOON               (romans da)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50    
  (by BAL A BALI (BRZ) out of LUNA ARGENTA by MALIBU MOON)
 
IND-7   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:251 :484 1:124 1:251   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROTARY DIAL 3 2 2½ 3 4 33 1nk (lauer michael)PRESCOTT R 122 2.50 2.20  
KING ICE 6 5 6 6 1½ 13 2nk (leonard i)PARKER L 118 3.00 2.10 P
WIN ME OVER 5 4 31 21 32 4 3 (gorham m)PEREZ E 118 3.50 58% 0.70 1.20 S
VICTOR'S DEAL 4 1 1½ 11 2½ 23 46 (richardvi)BERMUDEZ E 122 6.00 14.30  
LOADEMUPJUSTICE 1 6 52 42 54 56 510¾ (gonzalez lilia)LOPEZ E 119 8.00 13.90  
FIRING RANGE 2 3 4 52 6 611 614½ (garcia genaro)BAYS BROOKE 112 20.00 40.90  
SCR  BOLD BIZNESS               (duran antonio)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 20.00    
SCR  FRIDAY NIGHT RIGHT               (patrick r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 10.00    
 
IND-8   05/11/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
See original race card.
1:294         1:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WING COMMANDER 8 6 4 3   2nk 1 (tomlins)DE CRUZ 122 2.00 67% 0.50 1.40 W
ENGLISH TIDE 2 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 2 (hester hale)PETERSON FERRIN 122 3.00 7.70 P
BIG PAPER 7 9 911¾ 910   5 32 (richardville)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00 18.50  
BRIT'S WIT 9 5 5 57   4 4 (ortiz joh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 5.00 2.90  
GO NUTS 3 8 8 89   8 5 (greenhill j)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 15.00 26.00  
PANORAMA TRUCK 4 3 34 43   6 6 (acevedo israel)PARKER L 122 15.00 5% 19.00 34.80  
CLEARING WAIVERS 5 7 7 7   7 7 (hammond kim)PRESCOTT R 119 10.00 9.80  
RUNAWAY HARRY 1 2 1nk 2nk   31 8 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 122 12.00 3.50  
ROOKWOOD 6 4 6 68   9 922¾ (langemeie)BERMUDEZ E 119 12.00 56.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.