Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Horseshoe Indianapolis
Thursday - May 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
IND-1   WIN (5/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2)-(5/3/7/2) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/2)-(5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7/2)-(5/6/3)-(2/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-2   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(2/1/6)-(4/9/11/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-3   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/3)-(2/1/6/3) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(4/9/11/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(4/9/11/8)-(7/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
IND-4   WIN (4/9/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/11/8)-(4/9/11/8/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/9/11/8)-(4/9/11/8/12)-(4/9/11/8/12) 48 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/9/11/8)-(7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/9/11/8)-(7/4/2)-(11/2/6/12/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
IND-5   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/2/5/6)-(7/4/2/5/6) 36 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (7/4/2)-(11/2/6/12/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2)-(11/2/6/12/9)-(7) 15 $0.50 $7.50 
IND-6   WIN (11/2/6/12/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/2/6/12/9)-(11/2/6/12/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/2/6/12/9)-(11/2/6/12/9)-(11/2/6/12/9) 60 $1.00 $30.00 
    DD (11/2/6/12/9)-(7) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
    PK3 (11/2/6/12/9)-(7)-(8/4) 10 $0.50 $5.00 
IND-7   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/8/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/8/5)-(7/8/5) 2 $1.00 $1.00 
    DD (7)-(8/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
IND-8   WIN (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/4)-(8/2/4/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/4)-(8/2/4/5/1)-(8/2/4/5/1) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
IND-1   05/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MRSINATRAGLORYLADY Feb11 Jan27 Jan04 Dec14 Nov21 (mcbride bar)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 5.00    
2  DARNELL May02 Nov21 Nov10 Nov01 Oct13 (haran john)PEREZ E 124 3.50 7% 13.70    
3  LITTLE GRAY FLOWER Oct20 Sep06 Aug10     (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 4.00 19% 4.30    
4  ANGELSNDISGUISE Oct25 Oct05 Sep14 Aug18 Jul14 (glyshaw t)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 4.50    
5  ACE REPORTER         (hammond)DE CRUZ 120 5.00 37% 1.70    
6  MYGALJUSTICE Apr25 Oct10 Oct03 Sep09 Aug22 (sanchez emma)MORALES JOSHUA 121 8.00    
7  LIZZSAIDNO May02 Nov21 Nov10 Oct27 Oct13 (nance mich)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 6.00 9% 10.40    
 
IND-2   05/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIKIE O'PRADO Apr25 Sep29 Sep12 Aug17 Jul11 (garcia genaro)BAYS BROOKE 114 0.80    
2  PURSUANT May02 Dec16 Nov23 Nov08 Oct13 (egbert jam)ANDERSON MCKENNA 117 4.00    
3  TRYGVE Dec31 Dec16 Nov20     (gonzalez li)BLANCHE RISHAWN 114 15.00 7% 13.10    
4  PORKYISMYNAME Apr25 Aug04 Jul06     (perez natasha)PEREZ E 120 12.00    
5  MYSTERY IMPACT Apr18 Nov17 Oct29 Oct17 Oct06 (duran antoni)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 5.00 29% 2.40    
6  SAN RONIN Apr25 Nov17 Oct29 Oct06 Sep26 (duran antoni)RAMOS D 120 6.00 10% 9.40    
 
IND-3   05/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST SQUADRON Apr02 Mar23 Mar09 Dec31 Dec17 (cook brian)LEAHEY HANNAH 112 1.80 17% 5.00    
2  KANFU May02 Mar23 Mar02 Jan20 Dec30 (ginter ra)BERMUDEZ E 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
3  SENTIMENTALJOURNEY May02 Apr19 Sep12 Aug29 Aug10 (hammond kim)PRESCOTT R 119 8.00 ★    
4  ROYAL TO BE Apr26 Oct25 Sep28 Sep13 Aug30 (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 115 12.00    
5  SHARP JUSTICE Apr26 Dec11 Nov23 Nov08 Oct31 (medina tomas)PEREZ E 122 15.00    
6  LASHES Apr27 Nov11 Oct25 Sep27 Aug31 (garcia ge)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.50 8% 10.80    
7  SECOND EXCHANGE Nov11 Oct25 Oct11 Sep13 Sep02 (fosdick steve)PARKER L 119 6.00    
 
IND-4   05/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE OF ROSES Apr26 Mar23 Feb24 Feb10 Jan06 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 120 10.00    
2  FREAKY FRESH Apr26 Jan03 Sep17 Aug21   (patrick gary)PARKER L 120 20.00    
SCR  INDIO GUAPO Dec17 Nov25 Oct22 Oct01 Jun11 (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 120 30.00    
4  SELF RULE Feb16 Jan25 Dec31 Nov30 Nov02 (pres)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
5  VERSATILE Mar11 Feb25 Feb10 Jan28 Jan04 (garcia israe)RAMOS D 124 6.00    
6  JACK OF ALL TRADES May03 Nov27 Nov17 Oct19 Sep26 (sanch)ULLOA PATRICIO 121 30.00    
7  BLUE TEARDROPS Mar17         (manley st)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 10.00    
8  DOMHNALL Apr19 Mar23 Feb15     (paquette raym)LEAHEY HANNAH 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  DORMIR Mar24 Feb22 Jan26 Dec22 Oct26 (matthews randy)PRESCOTT R 124 4.00 18% 4.60    
10  JACK D Apr25 Nov29 Nov17 Sep28   (bland greg)HISBY RONALD 121 30.00    
11  FIERCE ASSAULT Oct10 Sep28 Jul20 Jun29 Jun20 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 124 8.00 11% 8.10    
12  TOTALITARIAN Mar24         (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 120 10.00 ★    
SCR  GUS GUS Mar16 Feb22 Feb08 Jan26 Jan12 (garcia genaro)BAYS BROOKE 114 8.00    
SCR  MAGNA RULER Mar19 Mar05 Feb15 Jan20 Jan11 (ramos o)CASTANON L 124 10.00    
 
IND-5   05/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 3 F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIINZI Apr26 Jun22 May30     (richardville)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 30.00    
  (by PALACE out of OURCINNAMONANSUGAR by MIDSHIPMAN)
2  SHARON'S GREY HOPE Nov01         (granitz a)BERMUDEZ E 120 4.00 6% 14.90    
  (by BUCCHERO out of SLIVER OF HOPE by VALUE PLUS)
SCR  RAPUNZELS SONG Apr23         (delacruz joe)MOJICA O 120 5.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MEETMEONTIME by GENERAL MEETING)
4  ALWAYS BLOSSOM Apr26 Sep21 Aug30 Aug09   (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 2.50 31% 2.30    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of MANKAI BLOSSOM by FIRST SAMURAI)
5  WILLADEAN Apr26         (phillips ter)RAMOS D 120 15.00 ★    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of CALL ME MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  COLOR ME FAST         (klopp randy)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 8.00 ★    
  (by CAN THE MAN out of MISS MAREN by COUNTRY DAY)
7  CASTLE MAGIC Apr26 Nov23 Nov01 Oct11   (gorham m)PEREZ E 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of PRETTIEREVERYDAVE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
8  LUNAR LACE Aug30         (fosdick steve)PARKER L 117 30.00    
  (by EUROPE out of MY LUNAR LOVE by PROUD CITIZEN)
9  INDIAN ZARA Apr26 Sep21       (haran john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 113 30.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of INDIAN RUN by SIOUX NATION)
10  ICEY ANGEL Nov23 Nov01       (wisner trace)MORALES JOSHUA 120 20.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of WINE HALO by SNAPY HALO (ARG))
 
IND-6   05/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ORO         (hernandez rey)MCENTEE GRACE 122 15.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of GEMSTONE by GEMOLOGIST)
2  GEORGIE W         (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 122 6.00 9% 10.70    
  (by TAPITURE out of AVIE'S TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  RIO MOON Apr06 Feb26 Jan27 Nov23 Sep22 (romans da)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50    
  (by BAL A BALI (BRZ) out of LUNA ARGENTA by MALIBU MOON)
4  ORBI ONE Aug06         (ortiz john)ANDERSON MCKENNA 115 30.00    
  (by ORB out of HONEY LAKE by HONEYLAND)
5  QUALITY ART Apr20         (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of NEREID by ROCK HARD TEN)
6  NITRO BREW         (lobo pa)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 8% 12.10    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of PRETTY GIRL (ARG) by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  AUGUSTUS BLUE Apr08 Mar10 Feb10 Jan13 Oct18 (kerrick lacy)MOJICA JR 122 5.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of BLUE DAHLIA by BUCKHAR)
8  STORMIN MIDNIGHT Mar10 Feb03       (oliver victori)SANJUR SANTO 122 20.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of LUCY DE by DECARCHY)
9  PERFECT UPSTART Mar10 Jan13 Nov16 Sep21   (medina robe)PETERSON FERRIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UPSTART out of PERFECT SISTER by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
SCR  RIGHTEOUS FREEDOM Mar11 Feb10 Dec10 Aug20   (roussel )LOPEZ CARLOS 122 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of CHERUB HEART by DEHERE)
11  SENSICAL         (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.50 48% 1.10    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CRITIKAL REASON by APTITUDE)
12  RUNAWAY STORM         (west w)PRESCOTT R 122 15.00 8% 12.10    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of RUNAWAY BETTY by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
SCR  DELUCA Feb25 Jan28 Jan08 Dec10   (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00    
  (by MASTERY out of AMAZING SHOES by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  DUBAI AND BACK (IRE) Apr20 Feb24       (ewing a)ACHARD ALEX 122 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of STUBBINS by MORNING LINE)
 
IND-7   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOADEMUPJUSTICE Apr18 Oct12 Oct04 Aug24 Aug09 (gonzalez lilia)SANJUR SANTO 119 8.00    
SCR  BOLD BIZNESS Nov16 Oct20 Oct06 Sep20 Aug29 (duran antonio)LEAHEY HANNAH 115 20.00    
3  FIRING RANGE Apr27 Nov02 Aug30 Aug03 Jul09 (garcia genaro)BAYS BROOKE 112 20.00    
4  ROTARY DIAL Apr28 Jun29 Jun11 May07 Jan22 (lauer michae)RAMOS D 122 2.50    
5  VICTOR'S DEAL Apr27 Nov22 Nov03 Oct24   (richardvi)BERMUDEZ E 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  FRIDAY NIGHT RIGHT Apr27 Oct29 Oct10 Sep20 Aug29 (patrick r)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 10.00    
7  WIN ME OVER Apr27 Nov16 Oct29 Oct05 Sep07 (gorham m)PEREZ E 118 3.50 58% 0.70    
8  KING ICE Oct05 Sep27 Sep14 Aug18   (leonard i)PARKER L 118 3.00 ★    
 
IND-8   05/11/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNAWAY HARRY Apr16 Mar26 Mar05 Feb09 Jan21 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 122 12.00 ★    
2  ENGLISH TIDE Apr01 Mar16 Feb23 Feb02 Jan07 (hester haley)SANJUR SANTO 122 3.00 ★    
3  GO NUTS Mar24 Mar17 Jan21 Nov03 Sep27 (greenhill je)RAMOS D 119 15.00    
4  PANORAMA TRUCK Apr19 Mar15 Feb25 Jan06 Dec01 (acevedo israel)PARKER L 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  CLEARING WAIVERS Mar24 Mar10 May18 May07 Apr27 (hammond kim)PRESCOTT R 119 10.00 ★    
6  ROOKWOOD Dec16 Dec01 Nov02 Oct20 Oct06 (langemeie)BERMUDEZ E 119 12.00    
7  BIG PAPER Jan21 Dec28 Nov16 Nov03 Oct06 (richardville)BURGOS ALBERTO 122 8.00    
8  WING COMMANDER Mar17 Jun23 Apr01 Feb19 Jan22 (tomlins)DE CRUZ 122 2.00 67% 0.50    
9  BRIT'S WIT Mar18 Feb18 Jan02 Nov27 Oct15 (ortiz joh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.