Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Sunday - June 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-3   WIN (7/1/2/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $37.76 $27.76 278%
    DD (6/3/4)-(7/1/2/11/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00  6-2 $71.63 $56.63 378%
    PK3 (3/2/7/9/1)-(6/3/4)-(7/1/2/11/8) 75 $0.50 $37.50  3-6-2 $66.77 $29.27 78%
CD-4   DD (7/1/2/11/8)-(1/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00  2-5 $16.58 $1.58 11%
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(7/1/2/11/8)-(1/5/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50  6-2-5 $25.11 $2.61 12%
CD-7   WIN (4/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $8.66 $0.66 8%
CD-9   WIN (8/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $19.24 $13.24 221%
    EXA (8/1/6)-(8/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-8 $30.52 $18.52 154%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   06/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:224 :463       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNIFIED POINT 2 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 1 (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 33% 2.00 1.34 W
  (by UNIFIED out of BEMUS POINT by BERNARDINI)
WEST SARATOGA 1 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 2 (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 3.00 20% 4.00 3.57 P
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MO WICKED by UNCLE MO)
BAYTOWN PARFAIT 4 3 5 6   54 32 (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00 48.33  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of QUEENOFTHECHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
11  ASTRONOMICO 9 6 4¾ 3.2   3 4 (gutierrez f)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 6.18  
  (by UNKNOWN out of GREEN WATERS by ARCH)
TIZ MY HERO 8 7 7 5   6 5 (vance thom)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 15.00 5% 18.80 24.15  
  (by BERNARDINI out of TIZ MY LADY by TIZNOW)
POTENTIAL SPAM 3 9 910 9   8 6 (o'neill doug)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 5.00 9.40  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of INTIMACY by AWESOME AGAIN)
YAQUI VALLEY 6 5 6 7   7 79 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 8% 11.20 4.82  
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of OBREGON by FOREST WILDCAT)
DUNPHY 5 4 3½ 4¼   43 89 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 8.00 14.47  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of ENCHANTED SUNRISE by VERRAZANO)
SHOTGUN PRO 7 8 8 8   9 916¼ (james gerald)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 27.35  
  (by UPSTART out of FAST FRANNY by FREUD)
SCR  BAYTOWN ADMIRAL               (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 12.00 5% 18.80    
  (by LORD NELSON out of DBLSECRETPROBATION by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  COIN MINER               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of REQUIRE by BLAME)
 
CD-2   06/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:212 :452 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPERADOR 6 2 6 53   2nk 13 (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 123 3.00 66% 0.50 1.81 W
BADGEBALL 5 1 5 2½   1nk 23 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 2.50 2.20  
TROPIC STORM 1 6 4 4   31 3 (habeeb donal)GEROUX FLORENT 123 4.50 6.26  
SWIMMINGWITHSHARKS 3 3 2nk 1½   4 4 (ortiz john )PETERSON FERRIN 123 5.00 5% 19.00 3.78  
CLASSY SOCKS 2 5 1nk 31   5 516 (vance d)ROCCO S 123 4.00 6.63  
GOT THE BOB 4 4 3.2 6   610¼ 628 (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 5.00 5% 19.00 13.56  
 
CD-3   06/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT 2 6 6 5   43 1 (claire alexis)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 10% 9.10 17.88 W
ALL EYES WEST 4 3 32 3   2 2 (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 2.21  
11  POPULIST 8 2 43 4   54 3 (leonard geo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 5% 18.40 13.77 S
10  MY MAN FLINTSTONE 7 1 21 2nk   1 4 (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.50 2.38  
FIRERY TALE 6 7 8 8   67 56 (estvanko)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00 5% 19.00 38.06  
MUNI MUNI SLEW 1 4 11 1nk   3 611¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 27% 2.70 3.61  
GORMLEYS GOT GAME 3 8 7 6   7 717¼ (garcia ge)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 14.64  
BOISE 5 5 5 7   811 823¾ (dilodovico nic)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 5.00 31% 2.20 4.59  
SCR  COVE BLUE               (gerteisen a)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 6.00    
SCR  CRIME SPREE               (leonard g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00    
SCR  HEMP HEAVEN               (wittek karyn)COURT K 118 12.00    
 
CD-4   06/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:114 1:234   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KITTANSETT 2 4 3 31 32 2 1nk (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 4.19  
DOMINICAN PIONEER 1 1 11 1½ 11 1 2nk (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.50 32% 2.10 2.21 P
GOOD GOVERNANCE (GB) 4 2 4 4 4 42 3 (meah m)BEJARANO R 122 2.50 21% 3.90 1.55 S
STARTING OVER 3 3 21 2½ 21 32 4 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 2.14  
SCR  MILLIKEN               (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 122 3.00    
SCR  TUT'S REVENGE               (stuart sh)TORRES A 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
CD-5   06/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:104 1:231   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMAN CENTURIAN 1 7 7 7 7 3 11 (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 9.76  
GREENER PASTURES 5 3 2nk 2½ 1nk 2nk 21 (mccarthy michael )SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 56% 0.80 1.95 P
BACKGROUND 7 5 3.2 5 2nk 1nk 31 (puhich mi)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00 6.81  
EASTSIDE COOL 3 1 6 3 54 42 4 (duncan t)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 4.37  
OUTLIER 2 4 5 4 3 5 5 (dilodovico nic)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 3.00 5.40  
PIPES AND DRUMS 8 6 4¾ 6 42 63 6 (stall alb)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 5.43  
DIGITAL 6 8 8 8 8 76 712½ (hiles rick)LANERIE J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 9.21  
DREAM KEEPER 4 2 1nk 1½ 6 89 824 (boyce mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 11% 7.80 16.28  
 
CD-6   06/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:112 1:233   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT'S UP DOC 6 5 62 4 2nk 12 1 (hartman ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00 30% 2.40 1.16 W
10  DREAMWITHINADREAM 9 9 1½ 1nk 1nk 22 2 (hiles a)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00 27.39  
PLENTY OF TIME 4 7 9 7 3 35 312½ (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00 8.11  
MERLOTTI 2 4 10 9 6 4 415¾ (wainwrigh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 7% 13.30 41.00  
GUNNER BAY 5 6 4 5 55 58 518½ (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 118 12.00 22.82  
PATROLMAN 1 3 11 8 77 6 619¾ (claire alexis)BEJARANO R 125 15.00 21.46  
TIZ TWENTY TWENTY 3 1 2½ 2nk 4 7 720½ (leitch d)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00 42.60  
KANSAS COMET 8 8 31 31 810½ 818½ 842 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 5.00 15% 5.60 3.97  
12  MAGIC CITY 11 10 52 6 911½ 920½ 946 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 18% 4.70 4.98  
SON OF THUNDER 7 2 7 10100 10100 10100 10100 (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 125 4.50 9% 9.80 14.62  
11  WINGER 10 11 8 11100 11100 11100 11100 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 23.61  
SCR  SIPPICAN SHOP               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
 
CD-7   06/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:10     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUMBARUMBA 6 1 4¾ 3.2   1nk 1¼ (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 10% 8.60 3.33 W
DAMON'S MOUND 7 3 5 5   2nk 2¼ (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 3.73  
DETERMINEDLY 5 6 6 6   5 3 (casse mar)TORRES A 118 12.00 20.32  
LUGAN KNIGHT 2 4 1nk 2nk   3½ 4 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 7.28  
TOP RECRUIT 1 7 7 7   7 5 (maker mi)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 34.44  
TWO EAGLES RIVER 3 5 2nk 1nk   6 610½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 24% 3.20 5.33  
MO STRIKE 4 2 3½ 4¼   41 710¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 31% 2.20 1.40  
SCR  ECHO AGAIN               (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 15% 5.90    
 
CD-8   06/04/2023 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:242 :471 1:11     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARRIOR JOHNY 3 7 1nk 3.2   1 14 (bauer phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 3.00 2.49  
KING OTTOMAN 5 5 3.2 2nk   2 24 (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 48% 1.10 0.81 P
TARTUFO 1 1 62 5   6 3 (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 9% 9.90 24.59 S
READY TO POUNCE 7 6 5 6   5 4 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 5% 19.00 23.74  
GREYS THE BOY 2 3 4 4   3 5 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 10% 9.00 4.35  
CALL ME MIDNIGHT 4 4 7 7   7 6 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 12.00 41.52  
MAILMAN MONEY 6 2 2nk 1nk   4 7 (calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 5.00 10.67  
SCR  GHOSTLORE               (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00    
 
CD-9   06/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC12 FIRM Old Forester Mint Julep Purse ($225K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:121 1:361   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HENRIETTA TOPHAM 3 5 43 43 4 31 1½ (mulcahy geoff)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 7% 14.20 8.62 W
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of MISS SILVER BROOK by COZZENE)
WHITE FROST 5 3 2½ 2 2½ 1nk 2½ (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 38% 1.60 0.60 P
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of MISS FROST by CURLIN)
SWEET DANI GIRL 2 2 1½ 1 1½ 2nk 3 (vaccarezza c)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 1.57  
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of MY SWEET DANI GIRL by SCAT DADDY)
LADY HIDEAWAY 4 1 32 32 3 42 4 (wilkes ian)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 29.36  
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of LITTLE BULL RUN by HOLY BULL)
KATE'S KINGDOM 1 4 5 5 56 55 56 (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 118 12.00 25% 3.00 14.69  
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of DON'TGETMADALEXIS by DON'T GET MAD)
SCR  CALIFORNIA ANGEL               (leonard i)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SEA MONA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR  GAM'S MISSION               (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
  (by NOBLE MISSION (GB) out of AUNTIE MARTHA by WAR PASS)
SCR  NEW YEAR'S EVE               (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of AWESOME RAFAELA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
CD-10   06/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:102     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OSCAR ECLIPSE 6 2 21 2nk   1 1½ (lynch bria)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 7.32  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of PROSPECTOR'S MOON by MALIBU MOON)
NORTHERN INVADER 1 4 5 52   2 2½ (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 34% 2.00 1.17 P
  (by COLLECTED out of ANDROEAH by ARCH)
CONCERTED 9 6 32 3½   4 3 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 43% 1.30 1.95 S
  (by HARD SPUN out of COLLECTIVE by CHARISMATIC)
CITIZEN 3 9 75 6   66 4 (moquett r)TORRES A 118 30.00 5% 19.00 79.58  
  (by CURLIN out of DISTRACTING by DISTORTED HUMOR)
FOREVER COOL 2 10 43 4   5 5 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 15.00 5% 19.00 40.99  
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of BOY CRAZY by SKY MESA)
BILLY JACK 4 1 11 1nk   32 6 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 9.64  
  (by UNCLE MO out of C. S. ROYCE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
MACHO VILLA 8 8 1010 8   7 7 (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 5% 19.00 35.43  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MOONLIT PROMISE by MALIBU MOON)
CHIRON 5 3 86 76   89 812¼ (bush s)GRAHAM J 124 8.00 13.73  
  (by PROTONICO out of DEEDS NOT WORDS by STREET SENSE)
10  CATEGORY TEN 10 7 9 10   911½ 914 (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00 40.89  
  (by VIOLENCE out of GENRE by BERNARDINI)
ZAPHOD 7 5 65 9   1013 1019 (catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 21.07  
  (by BERNARDINI out of DANCING ANNA by CUVEE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.