Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Sunday - June 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (3/2/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-2   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-3   Win (7/1/2/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-4   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-5   Win (5/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (7/12/9/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-7   Win (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-8   Win (5/2/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-9   Win (8/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-10   Win (9/1/2/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   06/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BAYTOWN ADMIRAL         (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 12.00 5% 18.80    
WEST SARATOGA May11 Apr07       (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 3.00 20% 4.00    
UNIFIED POINT         (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 33% 2.00    
POTENTIAL SPAM         (o'neill doug)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 5.00    
BAYTOWN PARFAIT Apr13         (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00    
DUNPHY May11 Apr26       (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 8.00    
YAQUI VALLEY         (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 8% 11.20    
SHOTGUN PRO May13         (james gerald)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
TIZ MY HERO         (vance thomas)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 15.00 5% 18.80    
SCR  COIN MINER         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
11  ASTRONOMICO         (gutierrez fau)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
 
CD-2   06/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TROPIC STORM May12 Apr18 Mar25 Feb17 Jan28 (habeeb donald )GEROUX FLORENT 123 4.50    
CLASSY SOCKS Mar23 Mar05 Feb25 Feb04 Jan13 (vance d)ROCCO S 123 4.00    
SWIMMINGWITHSHARKS Feb03 Jan13 Nov20 Oct23 Sep24 (ortiz al)PETERSON FERRIN 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
GOT THE BOB May20 May03 Feb10 Jan11   (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
BADGEBALL Nov02 Oct16 Sep22 Jun25   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 2.50    
EMPERADOR Jan06 Oct14 Jan22     (hiles rick)GRAHAM J 123 3.00 66% 0.50    
 
CD-3   06/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUNI MUNI SLEW Mar18 Feb19 Feb05 Dec03 Nov14 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 27% 2.70    
CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT Apr29 Mar18 Feb17 Feb02 Jan18 (claire alexis)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 10% 9.10    
GORMLEYS GOT GAME Apr29 Feb21 Jan26 Jan12 Dec18 (garcia gena)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
SCR  HEMP HEAVEN Feb09 Dec31 Nov27 Jun29 Apr27 (wittek karyn)COURT K 118 12.00    
ALL EYES WEST May26 May04 Dec31 Dec11 Nov06 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50    
SCR  CRIME SPREE May19 May04 Feb23 Jan12 Dec18 (leonard geor)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00    
BOISE May19 May04 Feb24 Jan28 Jan01 (dilodovico nicho)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 5.00 31% 2.20    
FIRERY TALE May14 Apr08 Mar26 Mar04 Jan22 (estvanko r)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COVE BLUE Apr29 Mar25 May05 Feb24 Jan27 (gerteisen ada)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 6.00    
10  MY MAN FLINTSTONE May04 Apr20 Feb17 Jan27 Jan01 (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.50    
11  POPULIST Apr19 Mar24 Feb21 Dec31 Dec03 (leonard georg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 5% 18.40    
 
CD-4   06/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMINICAN PIONEER Apr20 Oct21 Sep03 Aug05 Jun03 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 117 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  MILLIKEN May05 Mar12 Jan20 Nov25 May04 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 122 3.00    
KITTANSETT Apr20 Nov13 Sep28 Aug07 Jun18 (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
STARTING OVER Mar10 Feb04 Nov13 Sep29 Aug15 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00    
SCR  TUT'S REVENGE May06 Apr15 Feb11 Jan27 Jan06 (stuart shea)TORRES A 122 4.00 23% 3.40    
GOOD GOVERNANCE (GB) Mar04 Jan28 Dec31 Sep29 Sep05 (meah m)BEJARANO R 122 2.50 21% 3.90    
 
CD-5   06/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMAN CENTURIAN May18 Mar11 Feb18 May15   (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00    
OUTLIER May18 Apr29 Apr16 Apr01 Mar22 (dilodovico nicho)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 3.00    
EASTSIDE COOL May06 Apr22 Mar26 Mar04 Jan27 (duncan tri)SANTANA JR 118 3.50    
DREAM KEEPER Apr16 Mar23 Dec30 Nov04 Jun29 (boyce michel)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 11% 7.80    
GREENER PASTURES May21 Apr22 Mar10 Jan27 Jun19 (mccarthy w)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 56% 0.80    
DIGITAL May13 Mar26 Feb18 Jan15 Nov12 (hiles rick)LANERIE J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
BACKGROUND May05 Apr23 Mar18 Feb11 Jan21 (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00    
PIPES AND DRUMS May06 Mar24 Feb25 Jan25 Aug26 (stall alber)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-6   06/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATROLMAN May14 Apr21 Feb04 Jan07 Dec17 (claire alexis)BEJARANO R 125 15.00    
MERLOTTI May04 Apr23 Mar26     (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 7% 13.30    
TIZ TWENTY TWENTY Apr29 Sep15       (leitch danie)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
SCR  SIPPICAN SHOP May18         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
PLENTY OF TIME Apr29 Jan19 Nov23 Sep21   (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 6.00    
GUNNER BAY         (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 118 12.00    
WHAT'S UP DOC Jul16 Jun17       (hartman chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.00 30% 2.40    
SON OF THUNDER May17 Apr27 Mar25 Mar02 Jan25 (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 125 4.50 9% 9.80    
KANSAS COMET Apr29 Mar02 Feb11 May21 Apr16 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 5.00 15% 5.60    
10  DREAMWITHINADREAM Jan27 Jan14 Nov26 Oct30   (hiles a)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
11  WINGER Jan14 Nov26       (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
12  MAGIC CITY May08         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 18% 4.70    
 
CD-7   06/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP RECRUIT May20 Nov26 Oct30 Oct01 Aug14 (maker mich)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
LUGAN KNIGHT May06 Apr07 Mar04 Jan07 Nov26 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 5.00    
TWO EAGLES RIVER Apr22 Apr01 Feb19 Jan14 Dec31 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 24% 3.20    
MO STRIKE Apr29 Sep05 Jul16 Jun19   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
DETERMINEDLY Apr07 Feb18 Jan21 Dec26 Nov26 (casse mark)TORRES A 118 12.00    
TUMBARUMBA Apr23 Mar11 Feb11 Dec10 Nov06 (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 10% 8.60    
SCR  ECHO AGAIN May06 Mar30 Jan21 Dec17 Sep17 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 15% 5.90    
DAMON'S MOUND May06 Apr16 Sep17 Aug13 Jul02 (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00    
 
CD-8   06/04/2023 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TARTUFO May25 Mar30 Feb05 Jan07 Nov27 (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 9% 9.90    
GREYS THE BOY May03 Mar22 Jan26 Dec19 Oct22 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 10% 9.00    
WARRIOR JOHNY Nov17 Sep24 Aug18 Jul04 Jun18 (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 3.00    
CALL ME MIDNIGHT Nov26 Oct23 Sep10 Aug07 Jul10 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 12.00    
KING OTTOMAN May06 Mar17 Sep25 Aug06 Jul09 (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 48% 1.10    
MAILMAN MONEY May05 Mar24 Mar02 Jan26 Nov27 (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 121 5.00    
SCR  GHOSTLORE Apr07 Mar17 Mar12     (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 121 10.00    
READY TO POUNCE May04 Mar18 Jan27 Nov24 Sep15 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-9   06/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC12 FIRM Old Forester Mint Julep Purse ($225K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATE'S KINGDOM Mar25 Feb25 Jan14 Dec11 Oct22 (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 118 12.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  GAM'S MISSION Apr16 Mar11 Jun05 Apr23 Mar26 (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
SCR  CALIFORNIA ANGEL May09 Nov25 Oct28 Oct15 Sep05 (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
SWEET DANI GIRL May05 Mar26 Mar04 Jan14 May06 (vaccarezza car)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00    
SCR  NEW YEAR'S EVE May05 Mar25 Sep05 Aug07 Jul09 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
HENRIETTA TOPHAM May21 Apr16 Nov05 Oct08 Sep10 (mulcahy geoff)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 7% 14.20    
LADY HIDEAWAY Apr16 Sep13 Aug11 Jun22   (wilkes r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
WHITE FROST Apr15 Mar04 Jan26     (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 38% 1.60    
 
CD-10   06/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN INVADER May06         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 34% 2.00    
FOREVER COOL May03 Apr14 Mar11     (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
CITIZEN Apr02 Jan14 Dec16     (moquett ron)TORRES A 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
BILLY JACK Apr22 Mar25       (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 6.00    
CHIRON May14 Apr01 Mar17 Oct02 Sep18 (bush s)ELLIOTT JANE 124 8.00    
OSCAR ECLIPSE Aug27 Jul24       (lynch brian )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
ZAPHOD         (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
MACHO VILLA May06 Apr08 Mar18 Feb18 Dec31 (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
CONCERTED Jun05         (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
10  CATEGORY TEN         (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.