The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Sam Houston Race Park
Sunday - February 19, 2023

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

 
HOU-1   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 3 F PT- 2:00
:232 :48 1:141 1:272   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITSEC 1 2 12 1 1 15 1(young e)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.00 24% 3.10 3.30 W
BETYAR AZETS 3 5 3 2 2 25 2(silva miguel)WETHEY JR 122 2.50 14% 6.20 4.80 P
TRICKSKI'S GOLD 4 1 44 42 32 4311¼ (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 1.80 34% 1.90 2.20 S
UTSIRA 5 6 5 5 43 5411¾ (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
PURRFECT MOON 2 3 22 3 53 3512¼ (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 122 3.00 2.60  
TALE OF ATREIDES 6 4 66 6 610 617¾ 633 (davidson br)OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 20.00 18.50  
 
HOU-2   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($35K) 45 M/F PT- 2:30
:224 :463 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELIGHTOF THE NILE 3 2 1nk 1½   11(pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 3.00 21% 3.70 2.60 W
SENSEOFEXCELLENCE 7 1 3 2½   22(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 0.60 46% 1.20 1.10 P
SPELL FREEDOM 5 4 42 3   3312 (caster boyd)DIEGO V 123 15.00 6.80 S
BODEFIDE 4 7 6 64   6415 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 12.00 5% 19.00 22.60  
GIRL ON THE GO 1 3 2nk 42   4516 (davis h)ALVAREZ L 123 6.00 7% 12.70 3.70  
CLAY'S CLOUD BURST 2 6 5 52   58 617¾ (young e)WETHEY JR 123 20.00 13.50  
GOSPEL FLOW 6 5 76 77   720½ 750¼ (william)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 50.00 21.10  
 
HOU-3   02/19/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($35K) 45 ALL PT- 3:00
:233 :481 1:134 1:264   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANATLAN 8 6 53 53 4 1nk 13 (torrez jere)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 8.00 10.80  
CRAZY RIDGE 7 1 2nk 1nk 1nk 2nk 23 (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 123 20.00 31.80  
VALDINA DREAMS 3 2 1nk 2nk 2nk 32 310 (payne )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.50 5% 19.00 2.50 S
MOROLICIOUS 2 10 8 9 98 89 410 (gustafs)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 4.00 7.50  
PICKINGUPSTRANGERS 6 9 108 11 10 6510¼ (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 6.00 11.40  
SWEET PRESENT 5 4 6 7 5 47 612½ (rangel raul)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00 16.60  
ASTA LAVISTA HONEY 9 5 74 6 6 7714½ (pish danny)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 15.00 19.90  
LOST GOLD 4 3 42 31 3 5818¾ (gelner j)LUZZI J 123 12.00 4.60  
GJALLARHORN 1 11 11 10 1112½ 1118 927¼ (love alan)DIEGO V 123 8.00 10.80  
11  GOD'S GOLD 10 8 96 8 88 1016 1029 (martin b)ALVAREZ L 123 12.00 3.30  
12  TITO 11 7 31 4 7 916 1130 (chaparro gayla)EDISON JOCELYN 118 30.00 28.10  
SCR  IBERIAN RUNNER               (gov)DE CRUZ 123 5.00 69% 0.50    
 
HOU-4   02/19/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 3:30
:221 :461 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALTO ROAD 1 5 1nk 1½   11 1¾ (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 1.80 12% 7.40 3.60 W
PERFECT PRANK 3 2 5 5¾   32¾ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 14% 6.00 2.80 P
AARON'S SPIRIT 6 4 3½ 4¾   53 3(broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 122 4.00 2.50 S
STRAIGHT LUCK 4 3 2nk 2½   21 4(pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 6.00 3.80  
PINCH ME A PENNY 5 6 6 6   75(gustafs)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 4.50 42% 1.40 9.30  
B W P SPIRIT 7 1 4¾ 3½   64 6(gelner jayde )WETHEY JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
FROM PIT TO PALACE 2 7 7 7   47(clary jaylan )HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00 17.70  
 
HOU-5   02/19/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
:223 :462       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHACKLELACKALACKA 3 1 1nk 1½   1½ 1(govea )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00 5.70  
HALE'S ANGEL 1 2 2nk 2½   2½ 2(villafr)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 15.00 3.30 P
SECOND GRACE 4 5 42 3   33(hjort donna)MELANCON JANSEN 123 3.50 32% 2.10 6.10 S
INDAWIN 5 4 31 4   56 4(broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 3.00 16% 5.20 9.10  
TAY TAY'S BABY 2 3 5 5   45(broberg karl)ELLIOTT S 123 4.50 24% 3.20 2.80  
NORA'S LEGACY 6 6 6 6   67 6(bravo francis)WETHEY JR 123 2.00 1.80  
SCR  METALLIC SILVER               (roubion steve)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-6   02/19/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
:22 :454       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET BLARNEY 8 7 63 5   3.2 11 (young e)ALVAREZ L 119 6.00 7.80  
SKYWAVE 3 4 4 4   4¼ 21 (roubion steve)HAMILTON WESTON 119 3.50 38% 1.60 2.50 P
11  OPTIMAL COURAGE 10 3 2½ 3½   1nk 3(silva miguel)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 8.00 9% 9.60 2.60 S
12  MORRICONE 11 1 3 2½   2nk 4(morris rowd)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 20.00 28.10  
GRAB THE MUNNY 2 9 8 6   61 5(caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 20.00 27.30  
COLLOQUIST 5 10 96 8   72 6(pish danny)WETHEY JR 119 10.00 20.30  
CAPT. ST. JACQUES 1 8 74 7   87(willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 119 15.00 5.90  
NATE'S WAY 7 5 10 9   987 (deatherage corey)MORA GERARDO 119 10.00 11.70  
10  KNIGHT DISRUPTOR 9 2 1½ 1½   5¾ 9(william)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 30.00 23.50  
DREAMS OF VALOR 6 11 1111¼ 1011¼   1010(broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 119 15.00 30.00  
MUNI MUNI SLEW 4 6 5 1116¼   1138½ 1147 (davidson sara)MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
SCR  PAYNTER PARTY               (duhon paul)DIEGO V 119 4.00 29% 2.50    
 
HOU-7   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:00
:23 :462 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEARLESS PRINCE 2 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 12 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 1.60 59% 0.70 2.00 W
PLAY RULE 4 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 22 (dupuy allen)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00 7.60 P
SWEET TAPIN MORO 1 7 813 813½   73(whitton mar)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 4.00 8% 10.90 4.70 S
A HUNK OF HEAVEN 8 4 43 44   547 (baldillez alejandro)DIEGO V 123 12.00 12.20  
PARABELLUM 7 6 65 6   65(william)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 20.00 25.70  
HARRY 5 3 3 3   35 6(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.00 1.50  
MORO LEGEND 6 5 54 5   46 710½ (glover trac)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 20.00 16.90  
NOAH 3 8 79 7   812¼ 813¾ (willis mindy)WETHEY JR 123 20.00 8% 11.80 22.60  
 
HOU-8   02/19/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:30
:233 :464 1:122     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAST VISIONS 3 5 1nk 1nk   11 14 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 20.00 6.90  
ANALYZE THIS JET 1 9 8 4   324 (eoff terry)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 20.00 10% 8.90 12.70 P
MEAN CANNON 7 2 2nk 2nk   21 34 (williams stev)WETHEY JR 123 6.00 7.90  
DRUM AND BASS 4 8 4 72   45 4(davidson sarah)PIVARAL GERBER 123 30.00 35.60  
RIVER KAT 2 6 94 8   56 5(keen dallas)MORA GERARDO 123 12.00 8% 10.90 7.80  
FOREVAMO 6 7 6 6   76(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.80 17% 5.00 2.50  
10  CALCULATING KING 9 4 7 5   8710¼ (davidson br)HAMILTON WESTON 123 15.00 8% 11.50 8.70  
TWICE THE PRICE 8 3 3.2 3.2   66 814 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 4.50 3.90  
LUKE'S CAJUN STAR 5 1 5 9   9924¾ (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 3.00 22% 3.40 4.50  
SCR  GRAZEN IN THE PARK               (villafr)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 20.00    
 
HOU-9   02/19/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
:244 :492 1:134 1:392   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WHISKEY NOT WINE 11 7 31 3 2½ 2nk 1¼ (willis mindy)WETHEY JR 119 2.50 25% 2.90 1.90 W
INDY TOURIST 7 1 1nk 1½ 1½ 1nk 2¼ (duhon paul)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 30.00 5% 19.00 9.30 P
OPTIMAL TRIP 9 11 116 11 115 64 3(rossi j)MORA GERARDO 119 15.00 38.50  
BRUCELEA 3 3 6 8 8 53 42 (jacks )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 4.50 4.40 DH
GOOD SWIMMER 8 5 4 6 5 442 (willis mindy)CIVACI SAHIN 121 8.00 5.80 DH
REQUISITION 4 2 5 4 41 31 6(asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 10.00 21.70  
12  HOT TICKET 12 12 127 1211½ 127 973 (caster boyd)DIEGO V 119 12.00 13% 6.80 18.40  
DUDE PERFECTA 5 9 9 10 104 78(jac)DE CRUZ 119 12.00 18% 4.70 29.60  
FEDERAL HILL 2 8 8 7 7 897 (cravens ronni)MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00 13.40  
HAPPY ROMANCE 6 10 103 5 6 116 107 (buehrer w)DIAZ RENE 119 15.00 18.00  
OLD SOT 1 4 7 94 93 1011(govea cesar)MONTALVO C 119 8.00 12% 7.30 5.00  
10  GOLIATH RIDGE 10 6 2nk 2½ 3½ 121210 (kotara rona)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 50.00 68.80  
SCR  FIND NEW ROADS               (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 119 3.00    
SCR  HERN               (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.