Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Sunday - February 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (4/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/5)-(4/1/3/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/5)-(4/1/3/2/5)-(4/1/3/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/3/5)-(7/3/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/5)-(7/3/1/4)-(3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-2   WIN (7/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4/5)-(7/3/1/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/1/4)-(3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1/4)-(3)-(5/3/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HOU-3   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/9/2/8) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/9/2/8)-(3/9/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3)-(5/3/1/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3)-(5/3/1/7)-(4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HOU-4   WIN (5/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/6/7)-(5/3/1/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/3/1/7)-(4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/7)-(4/2/5)-(3/11/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
HOU-5   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5/1)-(4/2/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(3/11/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(3/11/4)-(2/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
HOU-6   WIN (3/11/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/11/4)-(3/11/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/11/4)-(3/11/4/6)-(3/11/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/11/4)-(2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/11/4)-(2/1/3)-(5/6/1/2/10) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
HOU-7   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3/4/5)-(2/1/3/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(5/6/1/2/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(5/6/1/2/10)-(11/5/12/1/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
HOU-8   WIN (5/6/1/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/2/10)-(5/6/1/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/2/10)-(5/6/1/2/10)-(5/6/1/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/1/2/10)-(11/5/12/1/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
HOU-9   WIN (11/5/12/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/5/12/1/7)-(11/5/12/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/5/12/1/7)-(11/5/12/1/7)-(11/5/12/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14K) 3 F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITSEC Jan13 Dec09 Nov11 Oct12 Sep24 (young scott)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
2  PURRFECT MOON Jan13 Dec14       (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 122 3.00 ★    
3  BETYAR AZETS Jan27 Dec18 Nov02 Aug20   (silva migue)WETHEY JR 122 2.50 14% 6.20    
4  TRICKSKI'S GOLD Jan15 Dec14       (caldwell r)LUZZI J 122 1.80 34% 1.90    
5  UTSIRA Feb05 Jan07 Nov25     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  TALE OF ATREIDES Jun09         (davidson m )OLIVEROS CHARLE 122 20.00    
 
HOU-2   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 45 M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIRL ON THE GO         (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 123 6.00 7% 12.70    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of FIRST ROMANCE by DYNAFORMER)
2  CLAY'S CLOUD BURST Jan07 Dec10 Jan30 Jan14   (young scott)WETHEY JR 123 20.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of BUSH'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  DELIGHTOF THE NILE Nov24 Oct01       (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 3.00 21% 3.70    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of DELIGHTFULLY SO by RARE BRICK)
4  BODEFIDE Jan21 Jan07 Nov18 Oct26 Sep24 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of PARTY OF INTEREST by BERNARDINI)
5  SPELL FREEDOM         (caster boyd)DIEGO V 123 15.00 ★    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MY LUCKY SPELL by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
6  GOSPEL FLOW Jan20 Nov30 Nov12     (willi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 50.00    
  (by I SPENT IT out of DUCHESS STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  SENSEOFEXCELLENCE Jan20 Mar12 Jan14     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 0.60 46% 1.20    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SHACKIN UP by SHACKLEFORD)
 
HOU-3   02/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 45 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GJALLARHORN Nov22 Aug09 Jun29 Jun08 May30 (love alan)DIEGO V 123 8.00    
  (by EVEN THE SCORE out of PHILOGYNY by JOHANNESBURG)
2  MOROLICIOUS Feb03 Jan13 Sep30 Sep21 Sep02 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 4.00 ★    
  (by MORO TAP out of GORGELICIOUS by MORE THAN READY)
3  VALDINA DREAMS Feb03 Jan13 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 (payn)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of PATA FRESCA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  LOST GOLD Jan13 Mar26 Mar03 Jan27   (gelner j)LUZZI J 123 12.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of TUT'S TREASURE by UNTUTTABLE)
5  SWEET PRESENT Jan20 Dec19 Oct29 Sep18 Sep10 (rangel raul)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00    
  (by ETESAAL out of SWEET MEMORY by DEPUTY MINISTER)
6  PICKINGUPSTRANGERS Feb04 Jan20 Nov30 Jun25 Jun16 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 123 6.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of WRITE WHEN READY by MORE THAN READY)
7  CRAZY RIDGE Sep25 Sep10 Aug09 Jul22 Jun05 (kotara ronald)SANCHEZ M 123 20.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LADY ELAGENCE by BARBERSTOWN)
8  CANATLAN Feb03 Jan13       (torrez je)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 8.00 ★    
  (by FIFTEEN LOVE out of THUNDEROUSLY by WILD AGAIN)
9  ASTA LAVISTA HONEY Feb03 Jan13 Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 15.00 ★    
  (by PICK SIX out of DELLA FOX LADY by EASTERN ECHO)
SCR  IBERIAN RUNNER Apr01 Mar23       (g)DE CRUZ 123 5.00 69% 0.50    
  (by EL KINGDOM out of LIL PRECIOUS by FORESTRY)
11  GOD'S GOLD Feb03 Sep07 Aug19 Jul21 Jul02 (martin james)ALVAREZ L 123 12.00    
  (by MIRACULOUSMO out of GOLDEN LEGS by GOULDINGS GREEN)
12  TITO Jan13 Jul22       (chaparro gay)EDISON JOCELYN 118 30.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of PETE'S FIVE by ARCH)
 
HOU-4   02/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3 ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALTO ROAD Jan28 Dec26 Dec09 Oct28 Jul17 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 1.80 12% 7.40    
2  FROM PIT TO PALACE Jan28 Jan14 Nov22 Nov03 Oct15 (clary jayla)HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00    
3  PERFECT PRANK Jan20 Nov05 Oct08 Sep08 Aug06 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 14% 6.00    
4  STRAIGHT LUCK Jan20 Jul17 Jun25 May20   (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 6.00    
5  PINCH ME A PENNY Jan28 Dec02 Oct15 Sep23 Aug08 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 4.50 42% 1.40    
6  AARON'S SPIRIT Dec16 Nov22 Nov05 Oct21 Sep15 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 122 4.00 ★    
7  B W P SPIRIT Jan28 Jan08 Sep08 Jul03 Jun10 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-5   02/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALE'S ANGEL Jan22 Jan06 Nov30 Nov12 Oct20 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 15.00 ★    
2  TAY TAY'S BABY Jan18 Dec10 Nov23 Nov12 Oct19 (broberg karl)ELLIOTT S 123 4.50 24% 3.20    
3  SHACKLELACKALACKA Feb11 Jan21 Nov18 Oct19 May30 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 6.00    
4  SECOND GRACE Nov28 Sep15 Sep04 Aug20 Jul30 (hjort donna)MELANCON JANSEN 123 3.50 32% 2.10    
5  INDAWIN Nov26 Nov11 Oct29 Oct07 Sep24 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 3.00 16% 5.20    
6  NORA'S LEGACY Sep15 Aug28 Jul31 Jul03 Jun18 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 123 2.00    
SCR  METALLIC SILVER Feb12 Nov17 Jun17 May30 May07 (roubion ste)HAMILTON WESTON 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-6   02/19/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPT. ST. JACQUES Jan22 Nov12 Oct28 Sep16 Sep01 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 119 15.00    
2  GRAB THE MUNNY Jan08 Dec28 Dec17 Dec03 Nov14 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 20.00    
3  SKYWAVE Jan22 Aug27 Jul21 Jul08 Jun16 (roubion ste)HAMILTON WESTON 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
4  MUNI MUNI SLEW Feb05 Dec03 Nov14 Oct28 Oct12 (davidson sa)MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  COLLOQUIST Jan20 Oct20 Sep25 Jan21   (pish danny)WETHEY JR 119 10.00    
6  DREAMS OF VALOR Jan06 Dec07 Oct28 Oct13 Jul24 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 119 15.00 ★    
7  NATE'S WAY Jan29 Jan20 Dec09 Nov18 Oct13 (deatherage cor)MORA GERARDO 119 10.00    
SCR  PAYNTER PARTY Sep09 Aug20 Jul22 May27 May13 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 119 4.00 29% 2.50    
9  SECRET BLARNEY Feb05 Jan22 Oct01 Sep26 Sep11 (young scott )ALVAREZ L 119 6.00    
10  KNIGHT DISRUPTOR Jan22 Aug29 May23 May09 Apr18 (willi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 30.00    
11  OPTIMAL COURAGE Feb05 Dec31 Dec03 Nov19 Nov02 (silva migue)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 8.00 9% 9.60    
12  MORRICONE Feb04 Jan19 Jul02 Jun06 May20 (morris ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 20.00    
 
HOU-7   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET TAPIN MORO Feb03 Jan15 Aug13 Jul09 Jun18 (whitton m)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 4.00 8% 10.90    
2  FEARLESS PRINCE Feb03 Jan21 Jul22 Jul02 Jun19 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 123 1.60 59% 0.70    
3  NOAH Jan21 Jul23 Jun24 May22 May01 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 123 20.00 8% 11.80    
4  PLAY RULE Feb03 Jan06 Oct20 Sep17 Sep08 (dupuy allen)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 8.00 ★    
5  HARRY Feb03 Apr23 Mar17 Mar04 Feb13 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 2.00 ★    
6  MORO LEGEND Jul24 Jul02 Jun16 May29 May15 (glover tr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 20.00    
7  PARABELLUM Feb03 Jan21 Jan06 Dec19 Dec01 (willi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 20.00    
8  A HUNK OF HEAVEN Feb03 Jan21 Apr28 Apr09 Feb25 (baldillez alejand)DIEGO V 123 12.00    
 
HOU-8   02/19/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANALYZE THIS JET Jun04 May14       (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 20.00 10% 8.90    
2  RIVER KAT Jan21 Dec03 Nov05 Oct05 Sep21 (keen dallas)MORA GERARDO 123 12.00 8% 10.90    
3  PAST VISIONS Jan22 Nov14 Jun21 May09 Apr25 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 123 20.00    
4  DRUM AND BASS Feb05 Jan06 Dec07 Oct31 Oct07 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 123 30.00    
5  LUKE'S CAJUN STAR Jan22 Jan04 Dec17 Dec02 Jul08 (broberg karl)DIAZ RENE 123 3.00 22% 3.40    
6  FOREVAMO Jan08 Dec10 Nov09 Oct27 Aug30 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 1.80 17% 5.00    
SCR  GRAZEN IN THE PARK Feb03 Jan07 Dec02 Nov18 Oct22 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 20.00    
8  MEAN CANNON Jan27 Jan14 Nov15 Oct23 Oct03 (williams st)WETHEY JR 123 6.00    
9  TWICE THE PRICE Feb10 Jan07 Dec10 Nov19 Nov08 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 123 4.50    
10  CALCULATING KING Jan27 Jan08 Dec16 Nov08 Jul18 (davidson m )HAMILTON WESTON 123 15.00 8% 11.50    
 
HOU-9   02/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLD SOT Jan08 Nov27 Oct26 Sep26 Sep05 (govea cesar)MONTALVO C 119 8.00 12% 7.30    
2  FEDERAL HILL (ARG) Jan08 Nov05 Oct15 Sep24 Jul22 (cravens ron)MELANCON JANSEN 119 6.00    
3  BRUCELEA Jan22 Oct26 Oct01 Aug20 Jul23 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 4.50    
4  REQUISITION Jan28 Jan07 Jun11 May21 Apr30 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 10.00    
5  DUDE PERFECTA Jan21 Jan07 Dec10 Nov30 Nov07 (j)DE CRUZ 119 12.00 18% 4.70    
6  HAPPY ROMANCE (IRE) Feb05 Jan08 Dec03 Nov03 Oct19 (buehrer w)DIAZ RENE null      
7  INDY TOURIST Jan28 Jun28 May21 May08 Mar19 (duhon pau)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  GOOD SWIMMER Jan15 Nov05 Oct05 Sep08 Jun10 (willis mindy)CIVACI SAHIN 121 8.00    
9  OPTIMAL TRIP Jan28 Nov25 Nov12 Nov05 Jul24 (rossi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 119 15.00    
10  GOLIATH RIDGE Feb03 Jan06 Sep19 Sep06 Aug08 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 50.00    
11  WHISKEY NOT WINE Jan14 Nov03 Oct26 Sep24 Sep09 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 119 2.50 25% 2.90    
12  HOT TICKET Jan14 Nov30 Nov08 May16 May03 (caster boyd)DIEGO V 119 12.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  FIND NEW ROADS Jan28 Nov21       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 3.00    
SCR  HERN Jan28 Dec02 Nov07 Oct14 Aug20 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.