Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Thursday - May 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-1   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $17.28 $11.28 188%
CD-7   EXA (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-3 $25.56 $1.56 7%
    TRI (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-3-7 $20.72 $8.72 73%
CD-8   WIN (9/2/10/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $22.02 $12.02 120%
    EXA (9/2/10/4/5)-(9/2/10/4/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  4-9 $64.08 $24.08 60%
    TRI (9/2/10/4/5)-(9/2/10/4/5)-(9/2/10/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-9-2 $86.97 $56.97 190%
    DD (7/2/1/3)-(9/2/10/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-4 $41.32 $21.32 107%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   05/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:242 :501 1:154 1:40   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER IN EGYPT 4 4 44 4 4 3.2 1¾ (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 111 3.00 10% 8.90 7.64 W
REGIMENTAL 5 5 6 5 3 1nk 2¾ (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 1.61  
DIVINING STONE 1 2 21 2nk 1nk 2nk 3 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 125 5.00 5% 19.00 3.03 S
REPREHEND 3 6 32 31 2nk 4 4 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 11.96  
CRONUS 6 1 5 6 5 5 5 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 5.00 9.91  
BON BUENO 2 3 11 1nk 614¾ 649¼ 6100 (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 2.50 58% 0.70 2.35  
 
CD-2   05/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:231 :463       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO OTTO GO 1 4 1nk 1   1 14 (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 1.98  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of COURT DANCER by WAR CHANT)
BEAUDACIOUS COLTON 3 2 4 2   2 24 (hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 114 3.00 17% 5.00 3.72 P
  (by RACE DAY out of BEAUDACIOUS LADY by BEAU GENIUS)
LIBERAL ARTS 8 8 8 7   57 37 (medina rob)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.00 7% 13.60 6.03 S
  (by ARROGATE out of ISMENE by TRIBAL RULE)
FIFTH AVENUE 5 7 5 5   34 4 (mott riley)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 39% 1.60 5.13  
  (by STREET SENSE out of PRINCESINHA JULIA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
BERNIN HOT 7 5 6 67   67 510 (davis chri)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 3.55  
  (by BERNARDINI out of LAVENDER BABY by RUBIANO)
SUGA STEVE 2 1 2nk 32   4 611¾ (bahena ismael)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 20.88  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of HELEN SUNG by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
CASSIUS 4 6 32 43   7 713¼ (hernandez rey)BEJARANO R 119 12.00 6% 15.80 13.12  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PROSPERITY by TAPIT)
TECHNE 6 3 7 816½   822¼ 836¼ (guerrero sal)ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00 41.04  
  (by KLIMT out of CTIMENE by CONSOLIDATOR)
SCR  PRINCE OF POWER               (vosler eugen)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 12.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of DEMIGODDESS by FIRST DUDE)
 
CD-3   05/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:134 1:384   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNA MOTH 2 1 3 3 3 2nk 1 (simms jr)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 2.09  
WINDY BAY 3 3 1 11 1nk 1nk 2 (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 3.50 29% 2.40 3.43 P
EAST SHORE 6 5 2 21 2nk 32 3 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.50 2.80  
PRANA 1 2 4 4 4 4 410¾ (hiles jef)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 5% 19.00 17.32  
INDY AGAIN 5 4 54 5 5 57 511½ (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 4.95  
BYZANTINE 4 6 6 6 6 6 621 (morse l)NAVAS YOEL 117 5.00 39% 1.50 4.59  
 
CD-4   05/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:131 1:382   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPRINKLEHEAD 6 3 11 1½ 1 13 1 (miller jerome)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.00 4.31  
PAID IN FULL 7 4 21 2½ 2 23 2 (hartlage g)MICHEL MICKAELLE 124 4.00 3.46  
BEOCCA 2 7 6 54 3 3 314¾ (castanon jose )CASTANON L 124 8.00 7% 13.20 8.29 S
RONITHELIMODRIVER 8 8 812½ 810¼ 715 412 419 (leonard iii)GRAHAM J 124 12.00 23% 3.30 15.64  
WRITEITONTHEICE 3 6 76 7 614 616 532¾ (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 124 2.50 2.87  
OUT OF ALCATRAZ 4 1 54 6 815 717 634 (shorter aaro)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 10.00 17.82  
UNSTOPPABLE ME 1 2 3 32 410½ 515 735 (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 124 15.00 10% 8.90 26.74  
SHAZIER 5 5 4 42 512 818½ 845¼ (vaccarezza carlo)NAVAS YOEL 117 3.00 39% 1.60 2.50  
 
CD-5   05/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:121 1:233   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GALLANT GUY 7 6 1 1 11 1nk 1½ (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 122 30.00 36.19  
MARKET ANALYSIS 8 7 2 2 21 2nk 2½ (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 6.00 15% 5.60 5.66 P
WHISPER NOT (GB) 1 1 3 3 31 3 3 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 122 1.60 1.37  
EASY TIME 3 2 43 5 5 43 4 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 52% 0.90 2.40  
MR. THUNDERSTRUCK 2 3 7 7 6 5 5 (von don)GARCIA MARTIN 122 8.00 17.85  
FLAGS UP 4 5 6 4 43 6 6 (baker james)LANERIE J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 18.05  
LEGAL ATTACK (GB) 6 8 8 8 7 7 77 (vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 11% 7.80 4.36  
EDITORIAL COMMENT (ARG) 5 4 5 6 8 812¾ 824 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 20.00 34.04  
 
CD-6   05/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:111     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPSTRIKER 6 1 1 1   12 1¾ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.50 2.04  
JUNIOR BUG 1 4 7 6   22 2¾ (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00 5% 19.00 15.03 P
TETSU 2 2 6 7   43 3 (manley st)LEPAROUX R 118 5.00 29% 2.50 4.06 S
DOUBLY BLESSED 5 6 5 5   32 4 (vance r)LANERIE J 118 4.00 8% 11.70 4.15  
TEST PILOT 3 5 3 3   54 5 (cano juan )HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 8.50  
10  HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT 7 7 4 2   6 611¾ (gowan will)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 5.00 5.96  
KHOZAN'S SUCCESS 4 3 2 4   7 713 (becker sc)TORRES A 118 6.00 40% 1.50 4.50  
SCR  BRAWNDO               (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
SCR  CAN'T HUSH THIS               (morse l)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
SCR  GORMLEYS GOT GAME               (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
 
CD-7   05/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NON VIOLENCE 1 3 3 3   1nk 15 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 4.00 9% 10.60 2.59 W
CANCEL THIS 3 2 13 13   2nk 25 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 123 2.50 6% 15.90 2.97 P
DAWNY 7 1 67 5   5 39 (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 3.50 45% 1.20 2.27 S
FINE COTTON 6 6 45 4   3 410¼ (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 8.00 23.95  
CODE FOR SUCCESS 4 7 79 7   6 510¼ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 123 8.00 8.96  
BEAUXS ARTES 2 5 23 23   45 611½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00 20% 4.00 5.04  
THREE TIPSY CHIX 5 4 56 6   7 715 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00 13.12  
 
CD-8   05/25/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:14 1:38   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR CAMPAIGN 4 3 3 3 31 1 1 (sims a)LANERIE J 122 6.00 12% 7.70 10.01 W
CREATIVE MINISTER 9 5 7 6 6 5 2 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 27% 2.70 1.38 P
COOKE CREEK 2 1 11 1 1nk 2 3 (o'dwyer jere)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.50 17% 5.00 4.32 S
SEARCH ENGINE 3 2 21 2 2nk 3 44 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 19.05  
COMMANDPERFORMANCE 7 4 42 4 4 4 5 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 9.79  
TRIDENT HIT 5 6 6 7 9 7 6 (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00 8% 10.90 26.94  
TRAFALGAR 6 8 52 5 5 6 7 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 12.00 7.57  
ICARUS 1 10 10 9 7 8 810¼ (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 25.33  
TARTUFO 8 7 8 8 10 9 910½ (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 122 20.00 19.76  
10  GILDED AGE 10 9 9 106 8 1010¾ 1016¼ (mott william )GARCIA MARTIN 122 3.00 13% 6.60 6.47  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.