Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Friday - June 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $9.42 $9.42 3.42
ELP-2   Win (6/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 3.20
ELP-3   Win (4/6/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $6.48 $6.48  
ELP-4   Win (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $7.94 $7.94 1.94
ELP-5   Win (1/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.54 $5.54  
ELP-6   Win (7/6/3/11/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $9.40 $9.40  
ELP-7   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $13.14 $13.14 7.14
ELP-8   Win (4/6/1/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $6.78  
ELP-9   Win (5/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $41.08  
ELP-10   Win (3/9/8/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $13.02  
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :46 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SUITABLE 5 2 12 11½   12 1¾ (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 36% 1.80 3.71 W
1  HILL OF TARA 1 5 32 32   22 2¾ (ennis )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 4.50 5.11  
4  BIG BOSS BEN 4 1 22 21½   33½ 33½ (garcia genaro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 5.00 2.97  
2  SUPERCOOL 2 4 53¼ 43½   44½ 44 (foley greg)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 3.50 10% 9.10 4.65  
3  COLOR FIELD 3 3 43 54½   58½ 58½ (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 3.17  
6  ROAN FOR THE ROSE 6 6 63¾ 610   613½ 619¼ (molloy thomas)GRAHAM J 123 6.00 32% 2.10 4.94  
 
ELP-2   06/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($54K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :46       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  FAMILY FACTOR 5 2 22 2nk   1nk 13½ (colebrook be)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 5% 19.00 4.60 W
7  WHO'S SNOW TROUBLE 7 3 12 1nk   2nk 23½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 8.98  
1  EXPRESS CRUISER 1 1 33 42   43¼ 34¾ (gutierrez fau)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 7.54  
2  DES DOIGTS 2 6 43½ 31½   33 45½ (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 114 2.50 28% 2.60 2.70  
6  PATCH O'BRIEN 6 7 53½ 54½   57¾ 511 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 47% 1.10 1.13  
4  THE RUSH IS ON 4 5 79 79½   711¼ 611½ (vosler s)HUGHES CARLY 119 20.00 34.43  
3  IMPERIAL THUNDER 3 4 66 66½   69¼ 712¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 19.30  
SCR  HAWKS CREEK               (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 119 12.00    
SCR  INNOCENT MAN               (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
 
ELP-3   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:223 :453 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  VIOLENT POINT 3 1 1½ 11   12 13½ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 118 3.00 21% 3.80 2.24 W
2  OWEN'S PLEASURE 2 2 44 42   22 23½ (martinez ral)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 10% 9.20 3.23 P
1  RELIANT 1 7 78 68½   58 39¾ (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 12.73  
6  DONYA KNOW IT 5 3 65½ 54½   47 49¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 21% 3.90 5.62  
5  SHOW ME GRACE 4 5 33 31   35½ 515 (shorter aar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 10.44  
9  LA V. 7 4 2½ 21   68 621 (wong jonathan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 18% 4.50 2.47  
7  HOLDONTOYOURTIARA 6 6 55½ 78¾   713 723¾ (cook b)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 13.39  
SCR  EVERYOTHERWON               (lauer michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
SCR  YOGURT               (short m)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
 
ELP-4   06/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:111 1:24   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DRE ME LESS 5 3 2½ 2½ 13 15 17¾ (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00 41% 1.50 2.97 W
3  WICCA WISDOM 3 5 54 55 55½ 36½ 27¾ (ramirez m)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.00 27% 2.70 1.43 P
6  ELLIE DELI 6 4 33 33 33½ 25 38¾ (rouck l)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 9% 10.00 2.28 S
2  TAP THE LINE 2 6 66 66 68½ 610½ 413 (lauer michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 12.00 20.77  
1  SNOWCREST 1 1 43½ 43 45 58½ 514½ (holsapple hutch)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 10.00 17.91  
4  BEACH KITTEN 4 2 1½ 1½ 23 48 618 (miller f)MORALES EDGAR 124 2.50 5.77  
 
ELP-5   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:46
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KUPP 1 2 1½ 12   13 14½ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 31% 2.20 1.77 W
3  RATE CONFIRMATION 3 3 43 33   23 24½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 10% 9.20 4.16 P
2  LUNDBERG 2 7 65¼ 43   34½ 35¾ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 3.50 15% 5.70 5.55 S
5  RABBIT HOUND 5 6 75¼ 66   67½ 48¼ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00 2.81  
4  SUPREME SONG 4 4 33 54   57½ 59½ (mackey wayne)NAVAS YOEL 111 15.00 23.18  
6  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN 6 1 2½ 22   46 611¾ (barnett bobby )BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 4.00 23% 3.40 8.69  
7  MAFIA 7 5 53¼ 79   714½ 730 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 8.94  
 
ELP-6   06/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:23 :463 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  STREAMING NOW 3 1 11 1½   12½ 13¾ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 21% 3.80 3.70 W
4  LADY MOSCATO 4 3 31 41½   22½ 23¾ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 2.78  
8  PINOTSLILGIRL 8 2 21 2½   33½ 35¼ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 12.00 20.67  
5  SAVANNAMARIE 5 10 75¼ 63½   46 46¼ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 12.00 14.02  
6  FOOLISH FRONT FIFI 6 4 62¾ 73½   77 57¾ (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 5.00 22% 3.50 10.13  
11  CRUISE MISSILE 11 6 42 31   56½ 68½ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 6.56  
7  LYRICAL PARDON 7 5 52¼ 52   67 711 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 30% 2.30 5.52  
9  BEAUTIFUL DANCER 9 12 1213¾ 109½   911 811½ (casse mark)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00 16.56  
1  MORETASTIC 1 7 1010¼ 1110   1013½ 914 (arnold r)GRAHAM J 119 10.00 26.97  
2  PURE CONNECTION 2 8 1112¾ 1211½   1115 1014¼ (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 10.00 13.88  
10  SHAKE IT BABY 10 11 98¼ 86   89 1115 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 13.92  
12  JUDY ELAINE 12 9 85¾ 98½   1225 1241¾ (brown )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 20.00 5% 19.00 47.91  
SCR  Z INDY LINDY               (leitch dan)RODRIGUEZ A 114 15.00    
 
ELP-7   06/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:14 1:262   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KLIMT'S MUSE 1 4 63½ 63½ 65 43½ 12¼ (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 124 3.50 35% 1.80 5.57 W
5  WITS AND WAGERS 5 6 52½ 52 31½ 31½ 22¼ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 9.56  
6  I FEEL THE NEED 6 5 31 31 2nk 1nk 32¾ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 2.00 1.56  
4  YO PUEDO 4 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 44¾ (medina robert)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.00 36% 1.80 1.97  
3  LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD 3 1 2½ 2½ 53½ 68½ 516½ (heitzman eri)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
2  POUT 2 2 41½ 41½ 42½ 55½ 618 (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00 6.67  
 
ELP-8   06/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 5:11
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  INTO CHAMPAGNE 8 2 32 3½   12½ 16¾ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 2.39  
6  VIBE CHECK 4 4 53 42½   44 26¾ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 15% 5.70 4.19 P
3  BUCHU 2 7 65½ 65½   56 36¾ (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 3.65  
4  LATE NITE MISTRESS 3 1 2½ 2nk   22½ 47½ (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 114 6.00 58% 0.70 6.05  
9  SINTRA 7 10 911 812   69½ 510 (casse mark)TORRES A 119 12.00 18.69  
1  GIRLS WEEKEND 1 5 1½ 1nk   33 610¾ (barkley jaso)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00 6% 15.20 6.59  
12  BACKSTRETCH ROSE 9 8 1012½ 1013½   912½ 711½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 12.12  
8  END OF INNOCENCE 6 9 78 78½   711½ 815¾ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 14.12  
13  RIPAROUND 10 3 42 53   812½ 921½ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 15.00 42.14  
7  BAYTOWN KITTY CAT 5 6 88½ 913   1019 1033¾ (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 119 10.00 5% 19.00 47.91  
SCR  BOSSY BRUIN GAL               (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00    
SCR  COPPER TOP               (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 119 8.00    
SCR  TOO FAST FOR YOU               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 5.00    
 
ELP-9   06/16/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($175K) Purse ($148K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:214 :452 :574     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SOUPER MUNNINGS 2 7 56 56   42½ 1¼ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 121 4.50 19.54  
6  NEW BOSS 6 3 66½ 66   52¾ 2¼ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.00 2.50  
4  SPICY MARG 4 2 1½ 1½   12 31 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 116 4.50 14% 6.30 3.48 S
1  LADY GOLDSTART 1 5 32½ 32½   32 41½ (bahena ismael)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 5% 19.00 37.67  
7  THUNDERING CREED 7 4 77 76¼   74¾ 52 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 121 8.00 17% 4.90 2.37  
3  SHARP HERO 3 6 42½ 43   64¼ 62½ (ross s)BAIRD T 121 3.00 5.94  
5  PRETTY BIRDIE 5 1 2½ 2½   22 73½ (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 121 2.50 40% 1.50 3.82  
SCR  J L'S ROCKETTE               (reed r)BEJARANO R 121 4.00    
 
ELP-10   06/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:121 1:25   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CRONUS 7 8 63½ 52½ 42½ 32 11 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 4.00 5.51  
8  BOOSTER SHOT 8 7 42 31 21 2nk 21 (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.50 15% 5.50 4.19 P
4  TIME TO MEDDLE 4 2 11 1½ 11 1nk 32¼ (forster t)LANERIE J 125 15.00 5% 19.00 9.78 S
1  RISKY CHOICE 1 4 85¼ 86 87½ 88 45½ (spicer t)BECKMAN ALICE 111 15.00 23.85  
3  STORM STRATEGY 3 6 73¾ 74 75½ 55 55½ (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.50 31% 2.20 4.63  
6  CRUSADER CONRAD 6 5 52½ 62½ 53½ 66 610¼ (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.00 5% 19.00 5.68  
9  NORTHWIND 9 3 21 2½ 32 44½ 710½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 25% 3.00 2.55  
5  SCHMEAR 5 9 98¼ 98½ 98 910 811¼ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 15.00 32.49  
2  PERFECT THUNDER 2 1 32 42 63½ 77 912 (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 9.49  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.