The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - June 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.68 $4.68 -1.32
    Exacta (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-4 2 0 $26.68 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-4-6 3 0 $31.93 -3.00
CD-2   Win (1/3/4/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $10.40 $10.40 0.40
    Exacta (1/3/4/7/8)-(1/3/4/7/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 4-9 2 0 $67.06 -40.00
    Trifecta (1/3/4/7/8)-(1/3/4/7/8)-(1/3/4/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 4-9-8 3 0 $155.33 -30.00
    Daily Double (1/2/6)-(1/3/4/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 2-4 2 1 $13.18 $13.18 -1.82
CD-3   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.84 $3.84 -2.16
    Exacta (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-5 2 0 $34.62 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 7-5-2 3 0 $34.54 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/3/4/7/8)-(1/4/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 4-7 2 1 $10.78 $10.78 -4.22
    Pick Three (1/2/6)-(1/3/4/7/8)-(1/4/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 2-4-7 3 1 $17.19 $17.19 -5.31
CD-4   Win (2/4/7/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $3.76 $3.76 -6.24
    Exacta (2/4/7/8/9)-(2/4/7/8/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 4-8 2 1 $17.26 $17.26 -22.74
    Trifecta (2/4/7/8/9)-(2/4/7/8/9)-(2/4/7/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 4-8-6 3 0 $20.13 -30.00
    Daily Double (1/4/7)-(2/4/7/8/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 7-4 2 1 $4.44 $4.44 -10.56
    Pick Three (1/3/4/7/8)-(1/4/7)-(2/4/7/8/9) 75 $0.50 $37.50 4-7-4 3 1 $10.61 $10.61 -26.89
CD-5   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.46 $3.46 -2.54
    Exacta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-5 2 1 $7.30 $7.30 -4.70
    Trifecta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-5-4 3 0 $7.20 -3.00
    Daily Double (2/4/7/8/9)-(1/3/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 4-3 2 1 $3.98 $3.98 -11.02
    Pick Three (1/4/7)-(2/4/7/8/9)-(1/3/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 7-4-3 3 1 $3.93 $3.93 -18.57
CD-6   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
    Exacta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-4 2 1 $10.34 $10.34 -1.66
    Trifecta (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-4-2 3 0 $6.69 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/3/5)-(1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 3-3 2 1 $2.79 $2.79 -6.21
    Pick Three (2/4/7/8/9)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 4-3-3 3 1 $4.13 $4.13 -18.37
CD-7   Win (1/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $3.42 $3.42 -4.58
    Exacta (1/3/4/7)-(1/3/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-2 2 0 $8.28 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/3/4/7)-(1/3/4/7)-(1/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 7-2-5 3 0 $6.41 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-7 2 1 $3.68 $3.68 -8.32
    Pick Three (1/3/5)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 3-3-7 3 1 $3.28 $3.28 -14.72
CD-8   Win (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 -1.60
    Exacta (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-5 2 1 $47.64 $47.64 23.64
    Trifecta (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 4-5-6 3 1 $28.17 $28.17 16.17
    Daily Double (1/3/4/7)-(2/4/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 7-4 2 1 $6.73 $6.73 -9.27
    Pick Three (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/7)-(2/4/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 3-7-4 3 1 $5.21 $5.21 -18.79
CD-9   Win (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.52 $3.52 -2.48
    Exacta (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-1 2 1 $33.74 $33.74 21.74
    Trifecta (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 7-1-5 3 0 $55.56 -3.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5/6)-(1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-7 2 1 $6.67 $6.67 -5.33
    Pick Three (1/3/4/7)-(2/4/5/6)-(1/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 7-4-7 3 1 $7.59 $7.59 -16.41
CD-10   Win (1/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.48 $5.48 -2.52
    Exacta (1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-4 2 0 $26.84 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 1-4-6 3 0 $42.27 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/6/7)-(1/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-1 2 1 $5.08 $5.08 -6.92
    Pick Three (2/4/5/6)-(1/6/7)-(1/2/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 4-7-1 3 1 $11.91 $11.91 -12.09
CD-11   Win (1/2/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.96 $6.96 -1.04
    Exacta (1/2/4/9)-(1/2/4/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-9 2 1 $14.18 $14.18 -9.82
    Trifecta (1/2/4/9)-(1/2/4/9)-(1/2/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 1-9-2 3 1 $9.24 $9.24 -2.76
    Daily Double (1/2/5/8)-(1/2/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 1-1 2 1 $10.30 $10.30 -5.70
    Pick Three (1/6/7)-(1/2/5/8)-(1/2/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 7-1-1 3 1 $12.25 $12.25 -11.75

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   06/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
:214 :453 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEGAN'S CLARA 2 3 2 2nk   12 1(casse w)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00 32% 2.10 1.34 W
SHELL SHOCK 3 2 43 3   32 2(hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 6.00 8.04  
CANDY CARAMEL 4 5 6 5   54 34 (miller peter)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 24% 3.20 5.88 S
MARGOINABUBBLEBATH 5 4 5 42   22 4(habeeb j)LANERIE J 118 5.00 2.31  
YOLANDA WHO 1 6 3 65   67 513½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 16% 5.20 15.93  
CAMI CAT 6 1 1 1nk   4613½ (claire alex)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.50 4.88  
SCR  GIRL AFRAID               (kintz matthew)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
SCR  JE SUIS RAPIDE               (king l)CASTANON L 125 6.00    
 
CD-2   06/03/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
:23 :463 1:12 1:244   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT'S TO DO 4 8 7 5 5 1½ 1(mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 3.00 35% 1.90 4.20 W
SHE'S MAGIC 9 9 53 63 43 33 2(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 5.00 5.99  
STAGE BELL 8 7 41 4 2 43 3(pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.10 S
EXCLUSIVE JONI 3 4 64 7 64 5410 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 17% 4.90 6.17  
GRACEFUL UNION 6 3 1½ 11 1 2½ 510¾ (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 5.00 3.07  
MISS ANALYZED 2 1 9 8 7 6614¼ (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 10.62  
MAGIC PALACE 1 5 8 9 86 8716¾ (forster t)GRAHAM J 125 6.00 21% 3.70 4.22  
ANGORA DEB 7 2 2½ 21 33 7818½ (stall m)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 15.45  
TWO WORDS 5 6 31 3 9 914¼ 938¼ (blair jordan)MACHADO LUAN 125 6.00 14.53  
 
CD-3   06/03/2023 4950ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
:24 :47 1:11     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAGANZA 6 3 2½ 1   11(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.00 18% 4.70 0.92 W
NAPA CANDY 5 2 1½ 2   22(oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 16.33  
JOKE SISI (CHI) 2 4 32 34   3312¾ (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.50 3.64  
CHIQUITA MOSCA 3 1 54 6   514 413½ (bahena ism)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00 43.13  
BATUCADA 1 6 6 56   410 514½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 116 2.50 33% 2.00 4.11  
SKRATCH KAT 4 5 4 46   617 629¾ (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 3.00 29% 2.50 3.92  
SCR  ZAWISH               (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
 
CD-4   06/03/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 2:13
:223 :453 1:094 1:222   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOTLAND 4 8 76 7 65 31 1nk (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.50 30% 2.40 0.88 W
CAGLIOSTRO 8 9 8 8 8 72nk (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 5.00 5% 19.00 6.18 P
HEROIC MOVE 6 3 3 32 32 1½ 3(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 12.33  
ABELIEFINTHISLIVIN 9 7 43 64 75 54(miller peter)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 24% 3.20 16.44  
LOYAL COMPANY 2 6 5 5 5 854 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 19% 4.20 4.15  
TEJAS 5 1 10 9 9 96(asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 46.51  
GILCREASE 1 5 6 42 43 42 7(stall m)LANERIE J 118 6.00 14.60  
BOURBON BASH 7 2 21 21 11 2½ 8(lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
ITZOS 3 4 11 11 21 69(lobo h)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 32.96  
10  SEEKING UNITY 10 10 9 10 109 101013½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 23.14  
 
CD-5   06/03/2023 5940ft TURF FIRM Regret Purse ($225K) 3 F PT- 2:45
:233 :482 1:131 1:371   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSION OF JOY 3 1 3 32 3 11(motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.80 33% 2.10 0.73 W
PAPILIO (IRE) 5 4 4 5 52 32(casse mark)CASTELLANO J 120 2.00 42% 1.40 2.48 P
MRS. ASTOR 4 6 6 6 63 63(thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 11.44  
MISS RIDDLER 1 2 1½ 11 1½ 24(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 5% 19.00 7.94  
GIRL NAMED CHARLIE 2 3 2½ 21 2½ 45(amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 7.42  
SABALENKA 6 5 55 4 42 55 611½ (beckman d )SANTANA JR 118 12.00 25.15  
 
CD-6   06/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Aristides Purse ($225K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
:214 :45 :563     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNITE 3 5 43 4   21(asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.80 41% 1.50 0.90 W
BANGO 4 2 3 1½   12(foley greg)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.00 13% 6.50 2.60 P
TEJANO TWIST 2 3 5 5   54 3(hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 5.00 8.84  
SIBELIUS 1 4 21 2½   3411¼ (o'dwyer jerem)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.50 15% 5.80 3.99  
STRAVA 5 1 11 31   4511¼ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 8.13  
 
CD-7   06/03/2023 5940ft TURF FIRM Audubon Purse ($225K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
:242 :49 1:134 1:374   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEBSLINGER 7 4 3 4 4 11(casse mark)CASTELLANO J 120 1.60 54% 0.90 0.71 W
MENDELSSOHNS MARCH 2 2 4 3 1nk 22(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 4.01  
DESERT DUKE 5 1 21 22 3½ 33(hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 8.61  
SCOOBIE QUANDO 3 5 6 5 52 544 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 21% 3.80 16.89  
SHARAR 6 6 5 6 73 454 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.80 3.38  
J. P. RACE 4 7 7 75 6 66(gorostieta cir)MORALES JOSHUA 118 20.00 5% 19.00 40.18  
LAZARUS 1 3 11 12 2nk 711½ 722½ (cundiff wa)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00 5% 19.00 55.85  
 
CD-8   06/03/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Shawnee Purse ($225K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:22
:234 :474 1:114 1:36   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IDIOMATIC 3 1 1½ 1½ 11 12 1(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 23% 3.30 2.20 W
SIXTYTHREECALIBER 4 2 42 4 31 22 2(amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 22% 3.50 11.43 P
FROST POINT 5 6 7 7 6 45 3(mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.00 33% 2.10 1.15 S
MOON SWAG 7 5 5 5 4 34 46 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 16.31  
HIDDEN CONNECTION 6 3 2½ 2½ 21 55(calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 3.88  
SOUL OF AN ANGEL 1 7 6 6 7 710 616½ (james gerald)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 59.02  
TRAVEL COLUMN 2 4 32 3 5 610 723½ (lobo paulo )TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 11.98  
SCR  PAULINE'S PEARL               (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50    
 
CD-9   06/03/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Arlington Purse ($225K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
:241 :49 1:132 1:363   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SET PIECE (GB) 6 6 66 65 53 22 11 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 47% 1.10 0.76 W
GET SMOKIN 1 1 1 12 11 12 21 (casse mark)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 9% 9.60 15.10 P
HARLAN ESTATE 4 5 55 55 64 53(beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 27.34  
CLASSIC CAUSEWAY 3 3 2 22 21 32 4(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 5.28  
ROYAL PATRONAGE (FR) 5 4 43 43 4 43 53 (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 21% 3.90 2.13  
KENTUCKY GHOST 2 2 3 3 3 66(oliver victo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 13.50  
SCR  TIBERIUS MERCURIUS               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
 
CD-10   06/03/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Blame Purse ($225K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
:24 :482 1:121 1:363   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RATTLE N ROLL 1 5 6 42 4 23 1(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 47% 1.10 1.74 W
CALL ME FAST 4 8 75 75 6 13 2(puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 4.93  
HAPPY AMERICAN 6 7 87 8 8 34 32 (pessin l)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 14.68  
BARBER ROAD 3 1 1½ 11 1½ 54(ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 18.80  
SANTIN 5 2 2½ 21 2½ 45(walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 15% 5.50 6.57  
PIONEER OF MEDINA 7 4 53 6 3 65 68 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 2.75  
COOKE CREEK 8 3 42 5 7 87(o'dwyer jeremi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 19.00 27.57  
MASQUEPARADE 2 6 3 32 52 76 810¼ (stall m)LANERIE J 118 5.00 9% 9.60 6.58  
 
CD-11   06/03/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
:231 :463 1:112     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN RETRO 1 4 1½ 1½   11(wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 29% 2.40 2.48 W
LITTLE PRANKSTER 8 5 53 54   22(bauer philip)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 23% 3.40 0.77 P
METHODOLOGY 2 3 2½ 2½   44 3(cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 27% 2.70 4.84 S
NO GUILT 4 6 42 42   54(lukas way)TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 26.73  
SNOW PRINCESS 6 2 3 32   34 5(mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 7.95  
MIRUS 7 1 75 79   616¼ 622¾ (catalano wayne )GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 94.69  
COMMENCEMENT 3 7 63 66   716¾ 729 (lejzerowicz joe)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 45.89  
VOSTRA 5 8 8 813   819¼ 830¼ (jones s)NAVAS YOEL 111 30.00 94.97  
SCR  DRIANA               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
SCR  ZEITLOS               (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.