Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Churchill Downs
Saturday - June 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CD-8   EXA (6/4/5/2)-(6/4/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-5 $47.64 $23.64 99%
    TRI (6/4/5/2)-(6/4/5/2)-(6/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-5-6 $28.17 $16.17 135%
CD-9   EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  7-1 $33.74 $21.74 181%
CD-11   SFT (1/2/9/4)-(1/2/9/4)-(1/2/9/4)-(1/2/9/4) 24 $0.10 $2.40  1-9-2-4 $4.35 $1.95 81%

Simulator Race results

 
CD-1   06/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:214 :453 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEGAN'S CLARA 2 3 2 2nk   12 1 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00 32% 2.10 1.34 W
SHELL SHOCK 3 2 43 3   32 2 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 6.00 8.04  
CANDY CARAMEL 4 5 6 5   54 34 (miller pet)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 24% 3.20 5.88 S
MARGOINABUBBLEBATH 5 4 5 42   22 4 (habeeb j)LANERIE J 118 5.00 2.31  
YOLANDA WHO 1 6 3 65   67 513½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 16% 5.20 15.93  
CAMI CAT 6 1 1 1nk   4 613½ (claire al)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.50 4.88  
SCR  GIRL AFRAID               (kintz matthew)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
SCR  JE SUIS RAPIDE               (king l)CASTANON L 125 6.00    
 
CD-2   06/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:12 1:244   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT'S TO DO 4 8 7 5 5 1½ 1 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 3.00 35% 1.90 4.20 W
SHE'S MAGIC 9 9 53 63 43 33 2 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 5.00 5.99  
STAGE BELL 8 7 41 4 2 43 3 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.10 S
EXCLUSIVE JONI 3 4 64 7 64 5 410 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 17% 4.90 6.17  
GRACEFUL UNION 6 3 1½ 11 1 2½ 510¾ (devaux ch)TORRES A 118 5.00 3.07  
MISS ANALYZED 2 1 9 8 7 6 614¼ (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 10.62  
MAGIC PALACE 1 5 8 9 86 8 716¾ (forster t)GRAHAM J 125 6.00 21% 3.70 4.22  
ANGORA DEB 7 2 2½ 21 33 7 818½ (stall m)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 15.45  
TWO WORDS 5 6 31 3 9 914¼ 938¼ (blair jordan)MACHADO LUAN 125 6.00 14.53  
 
CD-3   06/03/2023 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:11     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAGANZA 6 3 2½ 1   1 1 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.00 18% 4.70 0.92 W
NAPA CANDY 5 2 1½ 2   2 2 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 12.00 16.33  
JOKE SISI (CHI) 2 4 32 34   3 312¾ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.50 3.64  
CHIQUITA MOSCA 3 1 54 6   514 413½ (bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00 43.13  
BATUCADA 1 6 6 56   410 514½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 116 2.50 33% 2.00 4.11  
SKRATCH KAT 4 5 4 46   617 629¾ (bauer phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 3.00 29% 2.50 3.92  
SCR  ZAWISH               (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
 
CD-4   06/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:094 1:222   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOTLAND 4 8 76 7 65 31 1nk (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.50 30% 2.40 0.88 W
CAGLIOSTRO 8 9 8 8 8 7 2nk (devaux ch)TORRES A 118 5.00 5% 19.00 6.18 P
HEROIC MOVE 6 3 3 32 32 1½ 3 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 12.33  
ABELIEFINTHISLIVIN 9 7 43 64 75 5 4 (miller peter)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 24% 3.20 16.44  
LOYAL COMPANY 2 6 5 5 5 8 54 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 19% 4.20 4.15  
TEJAS 5 1 10 9 9 9 6 (asmussen)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 46.51  
GILCREASE 1 5 6 42 43 42 7 (stall m)LANERIE J 118 6.00 14.60  
BOURBON BASH 7 2 21 21 11 2½ 8 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
ITZOS 3 4 11 11 21 6 9 (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 32.96  
10  SEEKING UNITY 10 10 9 10 109 10 1013½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 23.14  
 
CD-5   06/03/2023 5940ft TURF RC12 FIRM Regret Purse ($225K) 3 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:233 :482 1:131 1:371   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSION OF JOY 3 1 3 32 3 1 1 (motion g)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.80 33% 2.10 0.73 W
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of SMART MISSION by SMART STRIKE)
PAPILIO (IRE) 5 4 4 5 52 3 2 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 120 2.00 42% 1.40 2.48 P
  (by UNKNOWN out of GLAFYRA by HIGH CHAPARRAL (IRE))
MRS. ASTOR 4 6 6 6 63 6 3 (thomas jonath)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 11.44  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of CAUSAL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
MISS RIDDLER 1 2 1½ 11 1½ 2 4 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 5% 19.00 7.94  
  (by DIALED IN out of GOTTA HAVE HER by ROYAL ACADEMY)
GIRL NAMED CHARLIE 2 3 2½ 21 2½ 4 5 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 7.42  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of DYNARAMA by DYNAFORMER)
SABALENKA 6 5 55 4 42 55 611½ (beckman )SANTANA JR 118 12.00 25.15  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of DARLING DAUGHTER by MARIA'S MON)
 
CD-6   06/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Aristides Purse ($225K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:214 :45 :563     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNITE 3 5 43 4   2 1 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.80 41% 1.50 0.90 W
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SIMPLE SURPRISE by COWBOY CAL)
BANGO 4 2 3 1½   1 2 (foley greg)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.00 13% 6.50 2.60 P
  (by CONGRATS out of JOSAKA by SMART STRIKE)
TEJANO TWIST 2 3 5 5   54 3 (hartman chri)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 5.00 8.84  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HALEY'S LOLIPOP by CUVEE)
SIBELIUS 1 4 21 2½   3 411¼ (o'dwyer jer)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.50 15% 5.80 3.99  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FIERY PULPIT by PULPIT)
STRAVA 5 1 11 31   4 511¼ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 8.13  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CATCH MY DRIFT by COUNT THE TIME)
 
CD-7   06/03/2023 5940ft TURF RC11 FIRM Audubon Purse ($225K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:134 1:374   1:494   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEBSLINGER 7 4 3 4 4 1 1 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 120 1.60 54% 0.90 0.71 W
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ARANA by HARD SPUN)
MENDELSSOHNS MARCH 2 2 4 3 1nk 2 2 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 4.01  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of UNAPPEASED by GALILEO)
DESERT DUKE 5 1 21 22 3½ 3 3 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 8.61  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DESERT DUCHESS by HARD SPUN)
SCOOBIE QUANDO 3 5 6 5 52 5 44 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 21% 3.80 16.89  
  (by UNCLE MO out of DAVERON by BLACK SAM BELLAMY)
SHARAR 6 6 5 6 73 4 54 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.80 3.38  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SACRE COEUR by SAINT BALLADO)
J. P. RACE 4 7 7 75 6 6 6 (gorostieta c)MORALES JOSHUA 118 20.00 5% 19.00 40.18  
  (by RACE DAY out of GOTIT TODO by PROPHET MAN)
LAZARUS 1 3 11 12 2nk 711½ 722½ (cundiff )RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00 5% 19.00 55.85  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of FORBIDDEN BREW by MILWAUKEE BREW)
 
CD-8   06/03/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Shawnee Purse ($225K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:114 1:36   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IDIOMATIC 3 1 1½ 1½ 11 12 1 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 23% 3.30 2.20 W
  (by CURLIN out of LOCKDOWN by FIRST DEFENCE)
SIXTYTHREECALIBER 4 2 42 4 31 22 2 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 22% 3.50 11.43 P
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CLASSOFSIXTYTHREE by INCLUDE)
FROST POINT 5 6 7 7 6 45 3 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.00 33% 2.10 1.15 S
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of BALLETTO by TIMBER COUNTRY)
MOON SWAG 7 5 5 5 4 34 46 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 16.31  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of YARA (IRE) by SRI PEKAN)
HIDDEN CONNECTION 6 3 2½ 2½ 21 5 5 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 3.88  
  (by CONNECT out of C J'S GAL by AWESOME AGAIN)
SOUL OF AN ANGEL 1 7 6 6 7 710 616½ (james gerald)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 59.02  
  (by ATREIDES out of FACTOR ONE by THE FACTOR)
TRAVEL COLUMN 2 4 32 3 5 610 723½ (lobo paul)TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 11.98  
  (by UNKNOWN out of SWINGIT by VICTORY GALLOP)
SCR  PAULINE'S PEARL               (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50    
  (by TAPIT out of HOT DIXIE CHICK by DIXIE UNION)
 
CD-9   06/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC12 FIRM Arlington Purse ($225K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:132 1:363   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SET PIECE (GB) 6 6 66 65 53 22 11 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 47% 1.10 0.76 W
  (by UNKNOWN out of PORTODORA by KINGMAMBO)
GET SMOKIN 1 1 1 12 11 12 21 (casse ma)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 9% 9.60 15.10 P
  (by GET STORMY out of HOOKAH LADY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
HARLAN ESTATE 4 5 55 55 64 5 3 (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 27.34  
  (by KANTHAROS out of ARCHERETTE by ARCH)
CLASSIC CAUSEWAY 3 3 2 22 21 32 4 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 5.28  
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of PRIVATE WORLD by THUNDER GULCH)
ROYAL PATRONAGE (FR) 5 4 43 43 4 43 53 (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 21% 3.90 2.13  
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT (GB) out of SHALOUSHKA by DALAKHANI (IRE))
KENTUCKY GHOST 2 2 3 3 3 6 6 (oliver vic)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 13.50  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CLOSING RANGE by AFTER MARKET)
SCR  TIBERIUS MERCURIUS               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of THE WINGED VENUS by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
CD-10   06/03/2023 5940ft DIRT RC12 FAST Blame Purse ($225K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:121 1:363   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RATTLE N ROLL 1 5 6 42 4 23 1 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 47% 1.10 1.74 W
  (by CONNECT out of JAZZ TUNE by JOHANNESBURG)
CALL ME FAST 4 8 75 75 6 13 2 (puhich mi)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 4.93  
  (by DIALED IN out of CAGED MISTRESS by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
HAPPY AMERICAN 6 7 87 8 8 34 32 (pessin l)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 14.68  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of QUEEN OF AMERICA by QUIET AMERICAN)
BARBER ROAD 3 1 1½ 11 1½ 5 4 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 18.80  
  (by RACE DAY out of ENCOUNTER by SOUTHERN IMAGE)
SANTIN 5 2 2½ 21 2½ 4 5 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 15% 5.50 6.57  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of SENTIERO ITALIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
PIONEER OF MEDINA 7 4 53 6 3 65 68 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 2.75  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of LIGHTS OF MEDINA by ESKENDEREYA)
COOKE CREEK 8 3 42 5 7 8 7 (o'dwyer jere)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 19.00 27.57  
  (by UNCLE MO out of GENRE by BERNARDINI)
MASQUEPARADE 2 6 3 32 52 76 810¼ (stall m)LANERIE J 118 5.00 9% 9.60 6.58  
  (by UPSTART out of CRY WAR EAGLE by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
 
CD-11   06/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:112     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN RETRO 1 4 1½ 1½   1 1 (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 29% 2.40 2.48 W
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of RETRO by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
LITTLE PRANKSTER 8 5 53 54   2 2 (bauer phil)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 23% 3.40 0.77 P
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GOOD GRAMMAR by EXCHANGE RATE)
METHODOLOGY 2 3 2½ 2½   44 3 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 27% 2.70 4.84 S
  (by UNCLE MO out of INNOVATIVE IDEA by BERNARDINI)
NO GUILT 4 6 42 42   5 4 (lukas w)TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 26.73  
  (by BLAME out of ALL IN WITH ACES by QUIET AMERICAN)
SNOW PRINCESS 6 2 3 32   34 5 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 7.95  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CANDY DRAWER by CANDY RIDE)
MIRUS 7 1 75 79   616¼ 622¾ (catalano wayn)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00 94.69  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of FARRELL by MALIBU MOON)
COMMENCEMENT 3 7 63 66   716¾ 729 (lejzerowicz j)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 45.89  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of HEAVENS PULPIT by HANSEN)
VOSTRA 5 8 8 813   819¼ 830¼ (jones s)NAVAS YOEL 111 30.00 94.97  
  (by FORT LARNED out of WANDAFUL WANDAFUL by HERO'S TRIBUTE)
SCR  DRIANA               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MARCELLINA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  ZEITLOS               (asmussen ste)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50    
  (by CURLIN out of THYME FOR ROSES by REDOUTE'S CHOICE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.