Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - June 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-2   Win (4/1/3/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-3   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-4   Win (4/9/2/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-5   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-6   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-7   Win (7/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (6/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-9   Win (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-10   Win (1/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-11   Win (1/2/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   06/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOLANDA WHO Mar25 Feb26 Jan27 Dec31 Dec10 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 16% 5.20    
MEGAN'S CLARA Mar25 Feb26 May30 Apr08 Mar25 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  GIRL AFRAID Jan22 Jan04 Dec17 Nov19 Nov02 (kintz matthew)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
SHELL SHOCK Mar04 Feb19 Jan15 Nov27 Nov11 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 6.00    
SCR  JE SUIS RAPIDE May13 May02 Apr19 Apr01 Feb25 (king l)CASTANON L 125 6.00    
CANDY CARAMEL Apr21 Mar11 Feb10 Jan14 Dec03 (miller peter)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 24% 3.20    
MARGOINABUBBLEBATH May05 Apr14 Mar24 Feb23 Jan14 (habeeb j)LANERIE J 118 5.00    
CAMI CAT Apr27 Mar30 Mar11 Jan21 Dec08 (claire alex)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.50    
 
CD-2   06/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC PALACE May05 Apr21 Mar08 Feb09 Nov09 (forster t)GRAHAM J 125 6.00 21% 3.70    
MISS ANALYZED May13 Feb24 Jan29     (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00    
EXCLUSIVE JONI May13 Apr16 Mar23     (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 17% 4.90    
WHAT'S TO DO May03 Nov10 Oct10 Sep14 Jul23 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 3.00 35% 1.90    
TWO WORDS Feb08 Jan21 Dec22 Mar12   (blair jordan)MACHADO LUAN 125 6.00    
GRACEFUL UNION May13 Mar25 Feb04 Dec31 Sep18 (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 5.00    
ANGORA DEB Apr29 Mar25       (stall m)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
STAGE BELL Sep22         (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S MAGIC Apr29 Mar26 Sep18     (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 5.00    
 
CD-3   06/03/2023 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATUCADA Dec02 Sep16       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 116 2.50 33% 2.00    
JOKE SISI (CHI)         (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 3.50    
CHIQUITA MOSCA May12 Apr28 Apr07 Mar09 Feb16 (bahena ism)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00    
SKRATCH KAT Nov25 Oct21 Sep24 Aug20 Jul01 (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 3.00 29% 2.50    
NAPA CANDY Apr15 Nov27 Oct15 Aug27 Jul09 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 12.00    
SCR  ZAWISH May05 Jul23 Jul02 May14 Apr16 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
BRAGANZA Apr27 Feb23 Jan01 Nov16 Oct29 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.00 18% 4.70    
 
CD-4   06/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILCREASE May13 Apr08 Feb25 Aug07   (stall m)LANERIE J 118 6.00    
LOYAL COMPANY Apr28 Mar11       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 19% 4.20    
ITZOS Apr28 Mar25 Jan21 Dec29 Nov26 (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
SCOTLAND Apr23 Mar04       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.50 30% 2.40    
TEJAS May06 Apr15 Mar11     (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 122 12.00    
HEROIC MOVE May04 Mar09 Feb18     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
BOURBON BASH May06 Apr01 Feb25 Feb04 Dec31 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
CAGLIOSTRO Mar25 Feb18 Jan21 Sep03   (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
ABELIEFINTHISLIVIN May04 Mar27 Aug13 Jul31 Jul03 (miller peter)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 24% 3.20    
10  SEEKING UNITY May06 Apr01 Mar11 Feb25 Feb03 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
 
CD-5   06/03/2023 5940ft TURF RC12 FIRM Regret Purse ($225K) 3 F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS RIDDLER Apr27 Jul29       (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
GIRL NAMED CHARLIE May05 Mar11 Jan16 Oct30 Aug28 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00    
MISSION OF JOY May05 Mar11 Jan18 Dec03 Sep11 (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.80 33% 2.10    
MRS. ASTOR May17 Apr14 Jan29 Dec11 Oct16 (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00    
PAPILIO (IRE) May05 Apr08 Mar04     (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
SABALENKA May05 Apr08 Nov20 Oct07 Sep13 (beckman d )SANTANA JR 118 12.00    
 
CD-6   06/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Aristides Purse ($225K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIBELIUS Feb11 Dec31 Nov13 Oct07 Sep10 (o'dwyer jerem)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.50 15% 5.80    
TEJANO TWIST May06 Apr15 Mar18 Jan28 Jan06 (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 5.00    
GUNITE Jan28 Nov05 Oct22 Sep24 Aug27 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 1.80 41% 1.50    
BANGO May04 Jan21 Dec26 Nov13 Sep23 (foley greg)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.00 13% 6.50    
STRAVA May04 Dec26 Nov27 Oct14 Sep24 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
 
CD-7   06/03/2023 5940ft TURF RC11 FIRM Audubon Purse ($225K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAZARUS May11 Apr21 Mar10     (cundiff wa)RODRIGUEZ A 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
MENDELSSOHNS MARCH May06 Apr08 Mar09 Feb02   (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50    
SCOOBIE QUANDO May06 Apr08 Mar04 Feb11 Jan07 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 21% 3.80    
J. P. RACE Apr13 Mar22       (gorostieta cir)MORALES JOSHUA 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
DESERT DUKE May06 Apr15 Feb25 Feb03 Jan06 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00    
SHARAR         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.80    
WEBSLINGER May06 Apr07 Mar04 Feb11 Nov04 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 120 1.60 54% 0.90    
 
CD-8   06/03/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Shawnee Purse ($225K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUL OF AN ANGEL May05 Apr07 Mar17 Feb18 Jan28 (james gerald)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
TRAVEL COLUMN May06 Apr14 Oct09 Aug28 Jun29 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PAULINE'S PEARL May05 Mar11 Jan28 Jul02 Jun04 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50    
IDIOMATIC May06 Mar25 Feb16 Jan04 Dec07 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00 23% 3.30    
SIXTYTHREECALIBER May05 Jan28 Nov25 Sep24 Aug09 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 22% 3.50    
FROST POINT Apr21 Feb18 Dec30 May20 Apr10 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.00 33% 2.10    
HIDDEN CONNECTION Apr21 Mar11 Jan28 Dec16 Nov13 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50    
MOON SWAG Mar11 Jan28 Dec26 Nov24 Oct28 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
 
CD-9   06/03/2023 5610ft TURF RC12 FIRM Arlington Purse ($225K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET SMOKIN May04 Apr02 Sep17 Aug13 Jul15 (casse mark)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 9% 9.60    
KENTUCKY GHOST May04 Apr07 Feb04 Dec31 Nov26 (oliver victo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
CLASSIC CAUSEWAY Apr22 Mar18 Oct29 Oct08 Sep17 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
SCR  TIBERIUS MERCURIUS May11 Apr20 Mar11 Feb04 Jan20 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
HARLAN ESTATE May11 Feb18 Jan28 Nov06 Sep19 (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00    
ROYAL PATRONAGE (FR) Apr20 Sep06 Aug06 Jul09   (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00 21% 3.90    
SET PIECE (GB) May04 Nov26 Oct08 Sep10 Aug13 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.60 47% 1.10    
 
CD-10   06/03/2023 5940ft DIRT RC12 FAST Blame Purse ($225K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RATTLE N ROLL May19 Apr22 Mar25 Nov04 Sep25 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
MASQUEPARADE May06 Aug04 Jun23 May13   (stall m)LANERIE J 118 5.00 9% 9.60    
BARBER ROAD Apr15 Mar11 Feb10 Jan28 Dec17 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00    
CALL ME FAST Apr22 Mar18 Feb18 Jan28 Nov25 (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
SANTIN May06 Mar25 Nov26 Oct08 Aug13 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 15% 5.50    
HAPPY AMERICAN Apr22 Mar25 Feb18 Jan21 Dec26 (pessin l)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
PIONEER OF MEDINA Apr22 Mar25 Feb18 Dec31 Nov17 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00    
COOKE CREEK May25 Apr20 Mar12 Jan28 Dec31 (o'dwyer jeremi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-11   06/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN RETRO May05 Apr07       (wilkes r)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 29% 2.40    
METHODOLOGY         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 27% 2.70    
COMMENCEMENT         (lejzerowicz joe)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
NO GUILT May05 Mar17 Feb24 Feb03 Jan22 (lukas way)TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DRIANA May20         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
VOSTRA May14 Dec16 Nov26 Oct15   (jones s)NAVAS YOEL 111 30.00    
SNOW PRINCESS Apr23 Mar16       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
MIRUS May20 Aug07       (catalano wayne )GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00    
LITTLE PRANKSTER May02         (bauer philip)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  ZEITLOS Apr15 Sep16 Aug13     (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.