The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - April 13, 2023

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MVR-1   04/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
:23 :471 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAGE NAME 1 3 1½ 11   14 110¾ (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00 4.40  
RAY'S EMPIRE 3 5 3½ 21   24 210¾ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00 28% 2.50 1.20 P
JOSH'N 2 4 2½ 33   3314¾ (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 126 5.00 6% 14.50 3.60 S
MAN'S CHOICE 4 6 55 6   49 416¾ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.50 44% 1.30 1.90  
1A  SHOWTIME BOY 5 1 42 5   59 521 (zielinski richard)BIRT BRAXON 119 2.50 1.90  
LEWIS AND CLARK 6 2 66 4   611 622¼ (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 12.00 26.60  
SCR  PAYMASTER GENERAL               (schuster robin)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00    
 
MVR-2   04/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
:23 :463 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  RECIPROCAL 8 1 1½ 14   15 1(reed r)DIAZ I 126 1.60 27% 2.70 0.50 W
LOST BIKINI 4 4 2½ 24   25 2(reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 1.60 0.50  
BULLS N BERRY 3 6 8 611½   511½ 318½ (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 126 8.00 7% 14.20 24.40 S
LUNA MIA 1 8 42 4   411½ 420 (londono j)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 19.90  
LORDHEARMYPRAYER 7 5 7 712   613½ 520½ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50 3.20  
NYSSA 6 2 32 3   310½ 620¾ (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 2.00 43% 1.30 3.20  
FULL TIME STRUTIN 2 7 66 814   714½ 724 (gonzalez donaci)CEDILLO MAURO 114 20.00 95.10  
BLUE AGAVE 5 3 53 511   819½ 839½ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 6.00 51.80  
 
MVR-3   04/13/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
:242 :472 1:122 1:253   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD N SILVER 1 1 1½ 1½ 12 14 15 (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 124 2.50 47% 1.10 1.00 W
1A  GONE IN A FLASH 6 6 54 5 32 24 25 (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 8% 12.30 2.80  
LUCKY STREAK 5 4 2½ 2½ 22 35 3(gorham m)DIAZ I 124 4.50 2.80 S
JEBIP 2 7 712 711½ 7 410 411¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 5.00 15% 5.50 2.70  
DERBY INCLUDED 4 2 610 611½ 58 510½ 517 (cline c)PEREZ E 126 3.50 12.20  
RUMBLE STRIP RON 7 5 41 3 44 611½ 622 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 6.00 20.40  
LIL RICKYS JEWEL 3 3 3½ 44 6 715½ 730 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 5% 18.30 10.20  
 
MVR-4   04/13/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
:231 :47 1:122 1:392   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMASH 5 1 1 1 11 11(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 1.80 46% 1.20 0.30 W
SCORSESE 1 3 2 2 21 22(zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 5% 19.00 5.60 P
ALGORIX 2 4 3 3 38 310 314 (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 12% 7.20 10.70 S
SAY HEY KID 3 2 515 516 512 514½ 418½ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 9% 10.40 26.60  
DUEL FUEL 6 5 411 410 4 414½ 519¾ (delacruz mejia )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 4.60  
CALL PAPA 4 6 620 618 617 620½ 637¾ (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 12.00 18.20  
SCR  AZTEC EMPIRE               (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 4.00    
 
MVR-5   04/13/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
:252 :49 1:142 1:274   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADANO 6 4 5 4 4 3.2 1nk (faulkn)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 6.00 14.70  
FUEGO CALIENTE 1 5 3.2 1nk 1nk 1nk 2nk (urieta joha)BRICENO M 126 3.00 50% 1.00 2.20 P
BALTIC FLEET 2 3 1nk 2nk 2nk 2nk 31 (gomez alejandr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 12.00 7.50  
POCO CHARLIE 7 6 7 7 7 5410¾ (cordero-l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00 9% 10.80 7.80  
AULD LANGE SYNE 3 2 2nk 3.2 31 4511 (sondej amy)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 10.00 14.00  
MONEY FOR MISCHIEF 4 7 6 6 5 6613 (clouston)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 5.00 8% 11.20 4.30  
ARTEMUS EAGLE 5 1 4 5 6 7714¾ (cline c)PEREZ E 126 4.00 1.70  
SCR  KING'S MISCHIEF               (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 126 3.50 7% 14.20    
 
MVR-6   04/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
:231 :47 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUDGE HEAD 3 5 42 4   3.2 1(radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 8.00 11.70  
KID RUSSELL 5 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 2(juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 124 10.00 13% 6.90 6.00 P
CHISELED JUSTICE 6 4 3 1nk   1nk 3(smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 7% 13.10 7.30 S
OFTEN ENOUGH 7 9 9 97   73 4(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 8.00 7.70  
REANIMATE 9 1 6 5   55(cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 38% 1.60 4.00  
MURRY SPUR 8 2 8 85   965 (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 3.50 7% 13.20 1.70  
NAMBITI 4 6 52 7   676 (lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 10.80  
TIGER TRAIL 2 8 7 6   88(gorham m)HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 8% 11.70 8.40  
THE MAN CAN 1 7 1½ 3.2   4¼ 9(faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 66.50  
 
MVR-7   04/13/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
:232 :474 1:003     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROSSED UP 6 2 53 5¾   21¼ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 126 4.00 1.40  
LEXY ANNA 1 5 11 1nk   12¼ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 21% 3.70 1.50 P
PROPHETESS 3 6 75 6   53(bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00 8% 11.30 22.90 S
SASSY POWER 2 7 4 4¼   34(radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 74.50  
CONGRATS JENSEN 7 1 3 3.2   45(cline c)ROSARIO L 124 8.00 18.60  
CITY SIGNS 4 4 64 7   76(gorham m)DIAZ I 124 2.00 33% 2.00 3.50  
SCARLETT'S AWISH 5 3 21 2nk   67(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 5.00 10% 8.60 9.50  
 
MVR-8   04/13/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
:232 :47 1:123 1:392   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET WILLEMINA 4 5 57 5 4 12 1(lake sco)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.80 21% 3.80 0.70 W
ITSALLABOUTACTION 5 4 43 42 31 22 2(reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 6.00 10% 9.40 4.80 P
MALICED 2 3 3 3 21 33 3(urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50 42% 1.40 2.50 S
HAPPY BEE 3 2 2 2 5 55 410¼ (pappada a)HOUGHTON D 123 3.00 5.70  
SHEISTHEHERO 1 1 1 1 11 4512½ (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 123 8.00 15.20  
SCR  LADY NOGUEZ               (silva pablo)DIAZ I 123 8.00    
 
MVR-9   04/13/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
:251 :491 1:142 1:271   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J. P. RACE 2 5 3½ 4 2nk 11(gorostieta cirilo)REYES FRANK 119 10.00 2.90  
TONKAWA SPRINGS 3 1 2½ 1nk 1nk 22(vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.50 5.40 P
SUPER BROTHER 1 6 1½ 2nk 3 3311 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 5.60  
FORT LOWELL 4 2 41 31 42 47 411½ (hernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 2.90  
FLOCKED 5 7 5 5 6 58 511¾ (cowans william )BRACHO A 124 4.00 73% 0.40 3.80  
KILLER BEE 6 3 6 7 7 7614½ (smith larry)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00 3.90  
1A  DAWN WEST 7 4 7 6 53 68 714¾ (wilson jr)DIAZ I 124 6.00 5.60  
SCR  MODUS               (sweeting craig)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
SCR  ROSE'S PEPINO               (johnson jennif)GONZALEZ KEVIN 117 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.