Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - April 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-2   EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-4 $37.60 $19.60 109%
MVR-8   EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-6 $15.40 $3.40 28%
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-6-2 $9.65 $6.65 222%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   04/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STAGE NAME 1 3 1½ 11   14 110¾ (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00 ★ 4.40  
  (by BODEMEISTER out of APACHEE CRUISE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  RAY'S EMPIRE 3 5 3½ 21   24 210¾ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00 28% 2.50 1.20 P
  (by BODEMEISTER out of CARGO JET by DISCREET CAT)
3  JOSH'N 2 4 2½ 33   37½ 314¾ (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 126 5.00 6% 14.50 3.60 S
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
1  MAN'S CHOICE 4 6 55 64¾   49 416¾ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.50 44% 1.30 1.90  
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ROLLIN LIKE SHOBIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
1A  SHOWTIME BOY 5 1 42 54½   59 521 (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 119 2.50 ★ 1.90  
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
6  LEWIS AND CLARK 6 2 66 44½   611 622¼ (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 12.00 26.60  
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of ESPIRITU CHIJULLA by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  PAYMASTER GENERAL               (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
 
MVR-2   04/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  RECIPROCAL 8 1 1½ 14   15 16¾ (reed r)DIAZ I 126 1.60 27% 2.70 0.50 W
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SAUCEY EVENING by MORE THAN READY)
1  LOST BIKINI 4 4 2½ 24   25 26¾ (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 1.60 0.50  
  (by BLAME out of BIKINI BEAUTY by BERNARDINI)
4  BULLS N BERRY 3 6 86¾ 611½   511½ 318½ (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 126 8.00 7% 14.20 24.40 S
  (by BULLSBAY out of JELLYBERRY by WITH APPROVAL)
2  LUNA MIA 1 8 42 49½   411½ 420 (londono odin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 19.90  
  (by GLOBAL RESPONSE out of ULTRA EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  LORDHEARMYPRAYER 7 5 76¼ 712   613½ 520½ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50 ★ 3.20  
  (by TAPITURE out of HELLO GYPSY by QUIET AMERICAN)
6  NYSSA 6 2 32 36½   310½ 620¾ (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 2.00 43% 1.30 3.20  
  (by NYQUIST out of SOPHIE'S MEATBALL by LION HEART)
3  FULL TIME STRUTIN 2 7 66 814   714½ 724 (gonzalez dona)CEDILLO MAURO 114 20.00 95.10  
  (by TATHQEEF out of PART TIME MODEL by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  BLUE AGAVE 5 3 53 511   819½ 839½ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 6.00 51.80  
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of SUMMER RENDEZVOUS by RAJA BABA)
 
MVR-3   04/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:242 :472 1:122 1:253   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GOLD N SILVER 1 1 1½ 1½ 12 14 15 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 2.50 47% 1.10 1.00 W
1A  GONE IN A FLASH 6 6 54 54½ 32 24 25 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 8% 12.30 2.80  
1  LUCKY STREAK 5 4 2½ 2½ 22 35 39¼ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 4.50 ★ 2.80 S
3  JEBIP 2 7 712 711½ 78¾ 410 411¾ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 5.00 15% 5.50 2.70  
5  DERBY INCLUDED 4 2 610 611½ 58 510½ 517 (cline c)PEREZ E 126 3.50 12.20  
6  RUMBLE STRIP RON 7 5 41 32½ 44 611½ 622 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 6.00 20.40  
4  LIL RICKYS JEWEL 3 3 3½ 44 68¼ 715½ 730 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 5% 18.30 10.20  
 
MVR-4   04/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:122 1:392   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SMASH 5 1 11½ 13½ 11 15½ 17¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 1.80 46% 1.20 0.30 W
1  SCORSESE 1 3 21½ 23½ 21 25½ 27¼ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 5% 19.00 5.60 P
2  ALGORIX 2 4 36½ 37½ 38 310 314 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 12% 7.20 10.70 S
3  SAY HEY KID 3 2 515 516 512 514½ 418½ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 9% 10.40 26.60  
7  DUEL FUEL 6 5 411 410 49½ 414½ 519¾ (delacruz meji)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 4.60  
4  CALL PAPA 4 6 620 618 617 620½ 637¾ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 12.00 18.20  
SCR  AZTEC EMPIRE               (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 4.00    
 
MVR-5   04/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:252 :49 1:142 1:274   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ADANO 6 4 51¼ 41¾ 41¼ 3.2 1nk (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 6.00 14.70  
1  FUEGO CALIENTE 1 5 3.2 1nk 1nk 1nk 2nk (urieta jo)BRICENO M 126 3.00 50% 1.00 2.20 P
2  BALTIC FLEET 2 3 1nk 2nk 2nk 2nk 31 (gomez alejan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 12.00 7.50  
8  POCO CHARLIE 7 6 75¾ 78¼ 76¼ 56¼ 410¾ (cordero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00 9% 10.80 7.80  
3  AULD LANGE SYNE 3 2 2nk 3.2 31 43¾ 511 (sondej amy)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 10.00 14.00  
4  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF 4 7 64¾ 64¼ 53¼ 67¼ 613 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 5.00 8% 11.20 4.30  
5  ARTEMUS EAGLE 5 1 41¼ 51¾ 63¼ 77¾ 714¾ (cline c)PEREZ E 126 4.00 1.70  
SCR  KING'S MISCHIEF               (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 126 3.50 7% 14.20    
 
MVR-6   04/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JUDGE HEAD 3 5 42 41¾   3.2 13½ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 8.00 11.70  
5  KID RUSSELL 5 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 23½ (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 124 10.00 13% 6.90 6.00 P
6  CHISELED JUSTICE 6 4 31½ 1nk   1nk 34½ (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 7% 13.10 7.30 S
7  OFTEN ENOUGH 7 9 99¾ 97   73 44¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 8.00 7.70  
9  REANIMATE 9 1 62¼ 51¾   51¾ 54¾ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 38% 1.60 4.00  
8  MURRY SPUR 8 2 87¼ 85   95½ 65 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 3.50 7% 13.20 1.70  
4  NAMBITI 4 6 52 73½   62¾ 76 (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00 10.80  
2  TIGER TRAIL 2 8 73¾ 63¼   84½ 88¼ (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 8% 11.70 8.40  
1  THE MAN CAN 1 7 1½ 3.2   4¼ 98¼ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 66.50  
 
MVR-7   04/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:003     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CROSSED UP 6 2 53 5¾   22½ 1¼ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 126 4.00 1.40  
1  LEXY ANNA 1 5 11 1nk   12½ 2¼ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 21% 3.70 1.50 P
3  PROPHETESS 3 6 75 62¾   54¼ 33¼ (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00 8% 11.30 22.90 S
2  SASSY POWER 2 7 41½ 4¼   32½ 43¾ (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 124 20.00 74.50  
7  CONGRATS JENSEN 7 1 31½ 3.2   42¾ 54½ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 8.00 18.60  
4  CITY SIGNS 4 4 64 73¼   77¼ 68¾ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 2.00 33% 2.00 3.50  
5  SCARLETT'S AWISH 5 3 21 2nk   64¼ 79½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 5.00 10% 8.60 9.50  
 
MVR-8   04/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:123 1:392   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SWEET WILLEMINA 4 5 57 55½ 41¼ 12 15¼ (lake s)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.80 21% 3.80 0.70 W
6  ITSALLABOUTACTION 5 4 43 42 31 22 25¼ (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 6.00 10% 9.40 4.80 P
2  MALICED 2 3 32½ 31½ 21 33 38½ (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 2.50 42% 1.40 2.50 S
3  HAPPY BEE 3 2 22½ 21½ 51¾ 55 410¼ (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 123 3.00 5.70  
1  SHEISTHEHERO 1 1 12½ 11½ 11 44½ 512½ (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 123 8.00 15.20  
SCR  LADY NOGUEZ               (silva pab)DIAZ I 123 8.00    
 
MVR-9   04/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:142 1:271   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  J. P. RACE 2 5 3½ 41¼ 2nk 14½ 17¼ (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 119 10.00 ★ 2.90  
3  TONKAWA SPRINGS 3 1 2½ 1nk 1nk 24½ 27¼ (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.50 ★ 5.40 P
1  SUPER BROTHER 1 6 1½ 2nk 31½ 36½ 311 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 5.60  
4  FORT LOWELL 4 2 41 31 42 47 411½ (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 ★ 2.90  
5  FLOCKED 5 7 51½ 52¼ 63¼ 58 511¾ (cowans willia)BRACHO A 124 4.00 73% 0.40 3.80  
6  KILLER BEE 6 3 62½ 75¼ 74¼ 78½ 614½ (smith larry)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00 ★ 3.90  
1A  DAWN WEST 7 4 72¾ 63¼ 53 68 714¾ (wilson j)DIAZ I 124 6.00 5.60  
SCR  MODUS               (sweeting crai)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
SCR  ROSE'S PEPINO               (johnson jenn)GONZALEZ KEVIN 117 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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