Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - April 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(6/1/4)-(2/3/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4/7)-(6/1/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(2/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(2/3/1/4)-(5/2/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/4)-(1/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/4)-(1/2/3/4)-(1/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/4)-(5/2/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/4)-(5/2/3/1)-(1/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/1)-(5/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/1)-(5/2/3/1)-(5/2/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/3/1)-(1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/1)-(1/8/4)-(9/5/2/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/4)-(1/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/4)-(1/8/4)-(1/8/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/4)-(9/5/2/6/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/8/4)-(9/5/2/6/8)-(4/1/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (9/5/2/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/2/6/8)-(9/5/2/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/2/6/8)-(9/5/2/6/8)-(9/5/2/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/2/6/8)-(4/1/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/5/2/6/8)-(4/1/5/3)-(2/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/3)-(4/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/3)-(4/1/5/3)-(4/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/5/3)-(2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/3)-(2/4/6)-(5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
MVR-9   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/6/2/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/6/2/3/4)-(5/6/2/3/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAN'S CHOICE Mar09 Feb21 Feb09 Jan26 Dec24 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ROLLIN LIKE SHOBIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
1A  SHOWTIME BOY         (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 119 2.50 ★    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
2  STAGE NAME Feb21         (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00 ★    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of APACHEE CRUISE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  JOSH'N         (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 126 5.00 6% 14.50    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
4  RAY'S EMPIRE Mar01 Jan19 Jan04     (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00 28% 2.50    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of CARGO JET by DISCREET CAT)
SCR  PAYMASTER GENERAL Mar09 Feb21 Jan04     (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
6  LEWIS AND CLARK Feb09 Aug21 Aug01     (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 12.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of ESPIRITU CHIJULLA by MALIBU MOON)
 
MVR-2   04/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOST BIKINI Feb25 Mar19       (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 1.60    
  (by BLAME out of BIKINI BEAUTY by BERNARDINI)
1A  RECIPROCAL Mar08 Jun01       (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 1.60 27% 2.70    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SAUCEY EVENING by MORE THAN READY)
2  LUNA MIA Feb06 Dec07       (londono odin)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00    
  (by GLOBAL RESPONSE out of ULTRA EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  FULL TIME STRUTIN Mar29 Mar21 Mar08 Feb20 Feb08 (gonzalez dona)CEDILLO MAURO 114 20.00    
  (by TATHQEEF out of PART TIME MODEL by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  BULLS N BERRY         (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 126 8.00 7% 14.20    
  (by BULLSBAY out of JELLYBERRY by WITH APPROVAL)
5  BLUE AGAVE Mar01 Feb18 Jan18 Dec03 Nov16 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 6.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of SUMMER RENDEZVOUS by RAJA BABA)
6  NYSSA Jan20 Jan06 Oct27 Mar16 Feb16 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by NYQUIST out of SOPHIE'S MEATBALL by LION HEART)
7  LORDHEARMYPRAYER Apr05 Mar08 Feb10 Feb01 Jan13 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50 ★    
  (by TAPITURE out of HELLO GYPSY by QUIET AMERICAN)
 
MVR-3   04/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY STREAK Mar28 Aug02 Jun20 Jun02 Apr11 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 4.50 ★    
1A  GONE IN A FLASH Jan28 Jan11 Dec29 Nov12 Oct10 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 4.50 8% 12.30    
2  GOLD N SILVER Mar06 Jan16 Dec08 Nov03 Oct22 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
3  JEBIP Apr03 Feb28 Feb01 Jan05 Dec21 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 5.00 15% 5.50    
4  LIL RICKYS JEWEL Mar21 Feb15 Dec14 Nov15 Jun01 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 5% 18.30    
5  DERBY INCLUDED Mar21 Mar06 Jan31 Dec19 Dec01 (cline c)PEREZ E 126 3.50    
6  RUMBLE STRIP RON Mar28 Mar06 Feb01 Dec29 Nov20 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
 
MVR-4   04/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCORSESE Mar30 Mar08 Feb20 Jan30 Dec27 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  ALGORIX Mar14 Feb22 Feb02 Jan17 Dec29 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 12% 7.20    
3  SAY HEY KID Mar22 Feb21 Feb01 Nov19 Nov02 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 9% 10.40    
4  CALL PAPA Apr04 Feb22 Feb01 Jan12 Dec13 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 12.00    
5  SMASH Mar09 Feb21 Feb08 Dec29 Dec13 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 1.80 46% 1.20    
SCR  AZTEC EMPIRE Mar07 Feb21 Feb01 Nov30 Nov08 (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 4.00    
7  DUEL FUEL Mar23 Feb23 Feb01 Jan11 Nov30 (delacruz meji)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50    
 
MVR-5   04/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUEGO CALIENTE Sep14 Aug29 Aug10 Jul21 Jul05 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 126 3.00 50% 1.00    
2  BALTIC FLEET Mar27 Mar20 Feb21 Feb15 Jan23 (gomez alejan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 12.00    
3  AULD LANGE SYNE Mar27 Mar07 Feb27 Dec30 Nov29 (sondej amy)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 10.00    
4  MONEY FOR MISCHIEF Mar20 Mar01 Feb21 Jan18 Dec27 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 5.00 8% 11.20    
5  ARTEMUS EAGLE Mar23 Feb10 Jan03 Dec05 Nov08 (cline c)PEREZ E 126 4.00    
SCR  KING'S MISCHIEF Mar27 Nov18 Oct13 Sep25 Aug25 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 126 3.50 7% 14.20    
7  ADANO Mar22 Mar07 Feb21 Feb01 Jan16 (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 6.00    
8  POCO CHARLIE Mar16 Feb24 Jan08 Oct22 Oct01 (cordero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00 9% 10.80    
 
MVR-6   04/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE MAN CAN Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 Dec12 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
2  TIGER TRAIL Nov03 Oct10 Aug22 Jun14 Mar24 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 124 6.00 8% 11.70    
3  JUDGE HEAD Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 Sep08 Jul25 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
4  NAMBITI Mar23 Mar01 Feb09 Jan17 Dec30 (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 8.00    
5  KID RUSSELL Feb21 Jan26 Dec29 Dec12 Nov28 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 124 10.00 13% 6.90    
6  CHISELED JUSTICE Mar08 Dec14 Nov22 Sep21 Aug30 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 7% 13.10    
7  OFTEN ENOUGH Apr06 Mar23 Mar14 Feb21 Nov03 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
8  MURRY SPUR Apr04 Mar09 Feb13 Jan26 Dec03 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 3.50 7% 13.20    
9  REANIMATE Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 Jan16 Dec27 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
MVR-7   04/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEXY ANNA Feb23 Oct05 Sep07 Aug09 Jul20 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
2  SASSY POWER Feb07 Dec07 Nov19 Oct24 Oct13 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 124 20.00    
3  PROPHETESS Apr04 Mar27 Mar16 Feb28 Feb08 (bird danny)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 6.00 8% 11.30    
4  CITY SIGNS Mar23 Oct13 Sep07 Jul18 Jul01 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
5  SCARLETT'S AWISH Dec30 Dec13 Nov23 Nov01 Sep28 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 5.00 10% 8.60    
6  CROSSED UP Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 Feb07 Jan18 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 126 4.00    
7  CONGRATS JENSEN Apr04 Mar16 Dec05 Nov01 Oct07 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 8.00    
 
MVR-8   04/13/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEISTHEHERO Mar27 Feb28 Jan31 Jan07 Nov22 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 123 8.00    
2  MALICED Mar27 Mar15 Jan31 Aug06 Jul13 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
3  HAPPY BEE Mar15 Feb06 Dec28 Nov19 Aug09 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 123 3.00    
4  SWEET WILLEMINA Mar07 Jan01 Nov23 Oct27 Oct03 (lake s)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.80 21% 3.80    
SCR  LADY NOGUEZ Mar08 Feb19 Feb12 Jan31 Jan18 (silva pab)DIAZ I 123 8.00    
6  ITSALLABOUTACTION Feb20 Dec15 Oct23 Sep19 May24 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 6.00 10% 9.40    
 
MVR-9   04/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER BROTHER Apr04 Mar15 Feb23 Feb08 Jan18 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 124 6.00    
1A  DAWN WEST Mar28 Mar06 Feb23 Feb09 Jan23 (wilson j)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
2  J. P. RACE Mar22         (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 119 10.00 ★    
3  TONKAWA SPRINGS Mar28 Mar06 Feb09 Feb02 Jan17 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.50 ★    
4  FORT LOWELL Feb24 Jan13 Dec02 Oct26 Oct05 (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 ★    
5  FLOCKED Mar06 Feb01 Dec06 Apr14 Mar21 (cowans willia)BRACHO A 124 4.00 73% 0.40    
6  KILLER BEE Apr05 Mar17 Mar04 Jan19 Nov15 (smith larry)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  ROSE'S PEPINO Mar06 Feb23 Dec22 Nov27 Oct04 (johnson jenn)GONZALEZ KEVIN 117 10.00    
SCR  MODUS Mar15 Jan22 Dec28 Nov26   (sweeting crai)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.