The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Ellis Park
Sunday - June 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $15.76 -6.00
    Exacta (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-2 2 0 $51.02 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-2-6 3 0 $68.36 -3.00
ELP-2   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.70 $4.70 -1.30
    Exacta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-2 2 1 $19.26 $19.26 7.26
    Trifecta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-2-4 3 1 $22.08 $22.08 19.08
    Daily Double (2/4/6)-(1/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 3-1 2 0 $40.91 -9.00
ELP-3   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.34 $5.34 -0.66
    Exacta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-3 2 1 $10.94 $10.94 -1.06
    Trifecta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-3-5 3 0 $14.06 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/2/4)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 1-2 2 1 $7.44 $7.44 -1.56
    Pick Three (2/4/6)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 3-1-2 3 0 $42.42 -13.50
ELP-4   Win (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $13.02 $13.02 7.02
    Exacta (1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-2 2 0 $46.50 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/5/7)-(1/5/7)-(1/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-2-8 3 0 $40.66 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3)-(1/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 2-1 2 1 $22.85 $22.85 13.85
    Pick Three (1/2/4)-(1/2/3)-(1/5/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 1-2-1 3 1 $23.54 $23.54 10.04
ELP-5   Win (2/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $8.02 $8.02 0.02
    Exacta (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-5 2 1 $15.48 $15.48 -8.52
    Trifecta (2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 4-5-1 3 0 $15.52 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/5/7)-(2/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-4 2 1 $27.72 $27.72 15.72
    Pick Three (1/2/3)-(1/5/7)-(2/4/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 2-1-4 3 1 $34.66 $34.66 16.66
ELP-6   Win (1/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $18.50 -8.00
    Exacta (1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-6 2 0 $88.48 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 7-6-8 3 0 $90.30 -12.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5/6)-(1/2/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 4-7 2 0 $25.99 -16.00
    Pick Three (1/5/7)-(2/4/5/6)-(1/2/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 1-4-7 3 0 $100.30 -24.00
ELP-7   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $5.74 $5.74 1.74
    Daily Double (1/2/3/8)-(2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 7-5 2 0 $15.76 -8.00
    Pick Three (2/4/5/6)-(1/2/3/8)-(2/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 4-7-5 3 0 $34.29 -16.00
ELP-8   Win (3/4/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $22.28 $22.28 14.28
    Exacta (3/4/8/9)-(3/4/8/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-9 2 1 $119.26 $119.26 95.26
    Trifecta (3/4/8/9)-(3/4/8/9)-(3/4/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 4-9-2 3 0 $895.62 -12.00
    Daily Double (2/5)-(3/4/8/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 5-4 2 1 $14.60 $14.60 6.60
    Pick Three (1/2/3/8)-(2/5)-(3/4/8/9) 32 $0.50 $16.00 7-5-4 3 0 $160.94 -16.00
ELP-9   Win (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 3.20
    Exacta (6/7)-(6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6-7 2 1 $38.30 $38.30 34.30
    Daily Double (3/4/8/9)-(6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 4-6 2 1 $39.19 $39.19 31.19
    Pick Three (2/5)-(3/4/8/9)-(6/7) 16 $0.50 $8.00 5-4-6 3 1 $67.23 $67.23 59.23

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   06/18/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
:222 :443 1:091     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE JON 3 1 1 1   12 1(garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 6.88  
LEGAL DEAL 2 2 2 2   22 2(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 15% 5.70 1.17 P
CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH 6 4 5 54   44 34 (cano m)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 11% 8.50 5.84 S
FIRERY TALE 5 3 6 6   55 4(estvanko richard)MOJICA O 118 12.00 29.56  
HERD IMMUNITY 4 5 44 44   34 5(sharp joe)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.50 44% 1.30 3.65  
BEST OF GREELEY 1 6 32 3   6620¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 3.30  
 
ELP-2   06/18/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
:234 :464 1:103 1:224   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON A SPREE 1 1 42 4 21 12 1(sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 28% 2.60 1.35 W
SUGOI 2 2 1½ 1nk 42 42(wong jonathan)ROCCO S 118 3.50 32% 2.20 4.93 P
SUMMER SPLASH 3 3 2½ 2nk 11 22 38 (mckeever andr)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 17% 5.00 4.61 S
BEAVER HAT 4 4 32 31 3 34(asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 1.88  
TAPAGE 5 5 53 5 56 5514¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 9.32  
SCR  W W CRAZY               (becker scot)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00    
 
ELP-3   06/18/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
:251 :484 1:124 1:243   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE 2 4 4 42 4 2nk 11 (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 126 2.50 23% 3.40 1.67 W
WHAT'S UP DOC 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 1nk 21 (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 126 2.00 42% 1.40 1.53 P
JEWELSTOWN 4 5 32 3 31 43(peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 15.12  
DOG RED 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 31 4(contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 126 5.00 11% 8.10 4.29  
BOLD LOOKER 5 3 5 53 54 55 5(wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 124 3.50 4.17  
SCR  CAPTAIN JACK               (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 111 4.50    
 
ELP-4   06/18/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
:223 :452 1:102     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAMARA'S WAY 1 5 12 1   11(foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 9% 10.40 5.51 W
ZIPPIN PIPPIN 2 6 3 2   22(garcia genaro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 3.65  
MAMBA OUT 6 4 53 34   33(hill f)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 2.28  
CEE MINUS 4 2 6 5   46 4(stuart shea)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 8.47  
PROMISEMEPARADISE 3 1 22 4   513 518½ (baker james)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 40% 1.50 2.15  
NEWYEARSPRESENT 5 3 43 6   617½ 625½ (o'connor robert)GARCIA MARTIN 124 5.00 24% 3.20 7.58  
SCR  DANDELION               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00    
SCR  THERESASILVERLININ               (wong jonathan)NAVAS YOEL 111 4.00    
 
ELP-5   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:46
:221 :443 :564     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T WAIT UP 4 1 1½ 1   112 (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 123 3.00 12% 7.30 3.01 W
MAC DADDY TOO 5 2 2½ 2   222 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.00 47% 1.10 0.78 P
CARBONITE 1 7 55 5   56 3(cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 6.00 13.65  
HOLIDAY HOUSE 6 3 4 34   34(estvanko richard)MOJICA O 123 4.00 10% 8.60 6.59  
LAZARUS 2 4 3 4   45(cundiff wa)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 10% 9.30 13.85  
WESTERN COMMAND 3 5 6 6   69 6(foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 11.14  
SAIL AT SUNRISE 7 6 7 710½   711 7(jazdzewski jon)BEJARANO R 123 10.00 17.94  
 
ELP-6   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
:222 :454 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNSUNG MELODY 6 3 2½ 2nk   1½ 1(ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 8.25  
LITTLE MOMBO 5 1 1½ 1nk   2½ 2(bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 123 4.50 4.57  
CANCEL THIS 7 7 73 6   435 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 123 3.50 18% 4.70 3.78 S
SCARLET STRIPE 1 6 31 32   34(beckman wh)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 38% 1.60 1.42  
MY MY MUNNY 2 5 4 5   55 59 (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 20.35  
HOME PORT 3 4 5 4   6614½ (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 125 4.50 18% 4.50 4.09  
HARTFUL HOPE 4 2 62 7   711 725½ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 15.37  
SCR  DEVINE CHARGER               (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 123 5.00    
 
ELP-7   06/18/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Mighty Beau Purse ($225K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
:23 :452 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NECKER ISLAND 2 2 3 21   2½ 1¼ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00 31% 2.20 1.87 W
YES I AM FREE 1 3 11 11   1½ 2¼ (cazares laura)JARAMILLO E 126 10.00 46% 1.20 0.95 P
CHARCOAL 3 1 21 31   35 312¾ (wisner j)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 12.00 1.83  
SCR  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00    
SCR  JUST MIGHT               (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
SCR  NOBALS               (rivelli larr)CORRALES GERARDO 126 2.50    
SCR  SMOKIN' JAY               (danner kelse)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00    
SCR  SURVEILLANCE               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 12.00    
SCR  CAROTARI               (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
SCR  BAD BEAT BRIAN               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 3.50    
SCR  GEAR JOCKEY               (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 122 8.00    
 
ELP-8   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:11
:221 :453 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP SECRET 3 1 1nk 1½   11(asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 5% 19.00 10.14 W
BAD BOY FRANK 8 6 8 8   45 2(wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 15% 5.70 5.04 P
TEXAS TOAST 1 8 6 7   2310¼ (bicknell whitney)HUGHES CARLY 124 20.00 43.63  
LE BAR 2 7 7 6   6414½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 51% 0.90 0.79  
KING ME 4 5 5 31   35 515½ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 19.74  
DENIER 6 3 4 43   7615¾ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 8.15  
ALOHA MAKUAKANE 5 4 2nk 2½   5719 (londono genevieve)BEJARANO R 124 20.00 43.54  
BANDON 7 2 3 53   8824½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 9% 10.50 4.06  
SCR  MO FIGHT               (casse norm)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
SCR  WILD THINKER               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
 
ELP-9   06/18/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
:232 :46 1:11 1:234   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEETS MAKER 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 11(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00 50% 1.00 2.60 W
LA TOURISTA 2 2 4 4 21 22(vasquez german )MORALES EDGAR 124 30.00 6% 15.30 8.95 P
TRANSPARENCY 3 3 2½ 3½ 4 34 3(walden willi)CORRALES GERARDO 124 20.00 5.93  
10  ARDEN'S ASSAULT 4 4 31 2½ 31 48 423¾ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 0.44  
SCR  MALAWNIA               (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 15.00    
SCR  HAY STACK               (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50    
SCR  CLEVER JOKE               (catalano wayne)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
SCR  BOLIVIE (IRE)               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
SCR  MILLION DOLLAR CAT               (arnold geor)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  BLING               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.