Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Sunday - June 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-2   EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-2 $19.26 $7.26 61%
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-2-4 $22.08 $19.08 636%
ELP-4   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $13.02 $7.02 117%
    DD (3/2/1)-(5/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-1 $22.85 $13.85 154%
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(3/2/1)-(5/7/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50  1-2-1 $23.54 $10.04 74%
ELP-5   DD (5/7/1)-(5/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-4 $27.72 $15.72 131%
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(5/7/1)-(5/4/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00  2-1-4 $34.66 $16.66 93%
    PK4 (2/1/4)-(3/2/1)-(5/7/1)-(5/4/6/2) 108 $0.50 $54.00  1/3-2-1-4 $90.84 $36.84 68%
ELP-7   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $5.74 $1.74 44%
ELP-8   WIN (3/9/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $22.28 $14.28 179%
    EXA (3/9/8/4)-(3/9/8/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-9 $119.26 $95.26 397%
    DD (2/5)-(3/9/8/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00  5-4 $14.60 $6.60 83%
ELP-9   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $7.20 $3.20 80%
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6-7 $38.30 $34.30 858%
    DD (3/9/8/4)-(6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00  4-6 $39.19 $31.19 390%
    PK3 (2/5)-(3/9/8/4)-(6/7) 16 $0.50 $8.00  5-4-6 $67.23 $59.23 740%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   06/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :443 1:091     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NOBLE JON 3 1 11½ 11½   12 12¼ (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.50 6.88  
2  LEGAL DEAL 2 2 21½ 21½   22 22¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 15% 5.70 1.17 P
6  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH 6 4 54½ 54   44 34 (cano juan)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 11% 8.50 5.84 S
5  FIRERY TALE 5 3 66½ 66½   55 44½ (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 118 12.00 29.56  
4  HERD IMMUNITY 4 5 44 44   34 55¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.50 44% 1.30 3.65  
1  BEST OF GREELEY 1 6 32 33½   68½ 620¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 3.30  
 
ELP-2   06/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:103 1:224   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON A SPREE 1 1 42 41¼ 21 12 17¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 28% 2.60 1.35 W
2  SUGOI 2 2 1½ 1nk 42 44½ 27¾ (wong jonathan)ROCCO S 118 3.50 32% 2.20 4.93 P
4  SUMMER SPLASH 3 3 2½ 2nk 11 22 38 (mckeever an)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 17% 5.00 4.61 S
5  BEAVER HAT 4 4 32 31 31½ 34½ 49¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 1.88  
6  TAPAGE 5 5 53 51¾ 56 58½ 514¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00 9.32  
SCR  W W CRAZY               (becker sc)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00    
 
ELP-3   06/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:251 :484 1:124 1:243   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE 2 4 42½ 42 41½ 2nk 11 (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 126 2.50 23% 3.40 1.67 W
3  WHAT'S UP DOC 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 1nk 21 (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 126 2.00 42% 1.40 1.53 P
5  JEWELSTOWN 4 5 32 31½ 31 42½ 36½ (peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 15.12  
1  DOG RED 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 31 47½ (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 126 5.00 11% 8.10 4.29  
6  BOLD LOOKER 5 3 53½ 53 54 55 59¾ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 124 3.50 4.17  
SCR  CAPTAIN JACK               (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 111 4.50    
 
ELP-4   06/18/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($42K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:102     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAMARA'S WAY 1 5 12 12½   12½ 11¾ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 9% 10.40 5.51 W
2  ZIPPIN PIPPIN 2 6 32½ 22½   22½ 21¾ (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 3.65  
8  MAMBA OUT 6 4 53 34   34½ 33¼ (hill f)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 2.28  
6  CEE MINUS 4 2 64½ 58½   46 43¾ (stuart sh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 8.47  
5  PROMISEMEPARADISE 3 1 22 45½   513 518½ (baker jame)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 40% 1.50 2.15  
7  NEWYEARSPRESENT 5 3 43 69½   617½ 625½ (o'connor robe)GARCIA MARTIN 124 5.00 24% 3.20 7.58  
SCR  DANDELION               (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 3.00    
SCR  THERESASILVERLININ               (wong jonathan)NAVAS YOEL 111 4.00    
 
ELP-5   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:46
See original race card.
:221 :443 :564     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DON'T WAIT UP 4 1 1½ 11½   12½ 12 (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 123 3.00 12% 7.30 3.01 W
5  MAC DADDY TOO 5 2 2½ 21½   22½ 22 (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.00 47% 1.10 0.78 P
1  CARBONITE 1 7 55 55½   56 35½ (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 6.00 13.65  
6  HOLIDAY HOUSE 6 3 43½ 34   35½ 48¼ (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 123 4.00 10% 8.60 6.59  
2  LAZARUS 2 4 33½ 44½   45½ 58¼ (cundiff )RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 10% 9.30 13.85  
3  WESTERN COMMAND 3 5 65½ 69½   69 68½ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 11.14  
7  SAIL AT SUNRISE 7 6 76½ 710½   711 79¾ (jazdzewski jon)BEJARANO R 123 10.00 17.94  
 
ELP-6   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:222 :454 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  UNSUNG MELODY 6 3 2½ 2nk   1½ 13½ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 8.25  
6  LITTLE MOMBO 5 1 1½ 1nk   2½ 23½ (bauer philip)GEROUX FLORENT 123 4.50 4.57  
8  CANCEL THIS 7 7 73 64¼   43½ 35 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 123 3.50 18% 4.70 3.78 S
1  SCARLET STRIPE 1 6 31 32   33½ 45½ (beckman d )GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 38% 1.60 1.42  
2  MY MY MUNNY 2 5 41½ 52¾   55 59 (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00 5% 19.00 20.35  
3  HOME PORT 3 4 51½ 42½   67½ 614½ (rider m)MACHADO LUAN 125 4.50 18% 4.50 4.09  
4  HARTFUL HOPE 4 2 62 76¾   711 725½ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 15.37  
SCR  DEVINE CHARGER               (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 123 5.00    
 
ELP-7   06/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Mighty Beau Purse ($225K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:23 :452 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NECKER ISLAND 2 2 31½ 21   2½ 1¼ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00 31% 2.20 1.87 W
  (by HARD SPUN out of JENNY'S ROCKET by MR. GREELEY)
2  YES I AM FREE 1 3 11 11   1½ 2¼ (cazares laura)JARAMILLO E 126 10.00 46% 1.20 0.95 P
  (by UNCAPTURED out of YES IT'S VALID by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  CHARCOAL 3 1 21 31   35 312¾ (wisner tracey)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 12.00 1.83  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ROSE OF ARAN by VAN NISTELROOY)
SCR  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of MAJESTIC MISS by CASTLE HOWARD)
SCR  JUST MIGHT               (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
  (by JUSTIN PHILLIP out of DYNAMITE BABE by DYNAMEAUX)
SCR  NOBALS               (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 126 2.50    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of PEARLY BLUE by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  SMOKIN' JAY               (danner kel)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HOW NICE by TALINUM)
SCR  SURVEILLANCE               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MAJORELLE by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  CAROTARI               (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00    
  (by ARTIE SCHILLER out of SOOTHER by RAHY)
SCR  BAD BEAT BRIAN               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.50    
  (by JACK MILTON out of ULTIMATE CLASS by DURING)
SCR  GEAR JOCKEY               (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 122 8.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SWITCHING GEARS by TAPIT)
 
ELP-8   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:11
See original race card.
:221 :453 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TOP SECRET 3 1 1nk 1½   14½ 15½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 5% 19.00 10.14 W
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  BAD BOY FRANK 8 6 86¾ 84¾   45 25½ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 15% 5.70 5.04 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SAVED BY THE SWELL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  TEXAS TOAST 1 8 66¼ 73¼   24½ 310¼ (bicknell whitn)HUGHES CARLY 124 20.00 43.63  
  (by TEXAS RED out of CREDENTIAL by VALID APPEAL)
3  LE BAR 2 7 76¾ 63¼   65¾ 414½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 51% 0.90 0.79  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of I THINK SO by PROUD CITIZEN)
5  KING ME 4 5 53¾ 31   35 515½ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 19.74  
  (by THE FACTOR out of EVEN SONG by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  DENIER 6 3 43½ 43   76¼ 615¾ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 8.15  
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of DIXIE JEWEL by BROKEN VOW)
6  ALOHA MAKUAKANE 5 4 2nk 2½   55¼ 719 (londono geneviev)BEJARANO R 124 20.00 43.54  
  (by FIRST DUDE out of EXCLUSIVE CHIC by YONAGUSKA)
8  BANDON 7 2 31½ 53   87¾ 824½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 9% 10.50 4.06  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SANSIBAR JEWEL by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  MO FIGHT               (casse no)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of CAT FIGHT by FIT TO FIGHT)
SCR  WILD THINKER               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of INVESTED PROSPECT by ABRAAJ)
 
ELP-9   06/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:232 :46 1:11 1:234   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SWEETS MAKER 1 1 1½ 1½ 11 11½ 12½ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00 50% 1.00 2.60 W
7  LA TOURISTA 2 2 41½ 41½ 21 21½ 22½ (vasquez germa)MORALES EDGAR 124 30.00 6% 15.30 8.95 P
8  TRANSPARENCY 3 3 2½ 3½ 42½ 34 33¼ (walden wil)CORRALES GERARDO 124 20.00 5.93  
10  ARDEN'S ASSAULT 4 4 31 2½ 31 48 423¾ (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 0.44  
SCR  MALAWNIA               (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 15.00    
SCR  HAY STACK               (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50    
SCR  CLEVER JOKE               (catalano way)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 6.00    
SCR  BOLIVIE (IRE)               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
SCR  MILLION DOLLAR CAT               (arnold ge)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  BLING               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.