Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Saturday - April 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (7/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $4.80  
TUP-3   Win (1/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $6.00  
TUP-4   Win (1/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $24.80  
TUP-5   Win (7/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 2.80
TUP-6   Win (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $13.80  
TUP-7   Win (7/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
TUP-8   Win (6/12/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $11.20  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   04/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20.4K) 2 ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:22 :45       :504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITS A CHEAP DATE 3 1 1     15 19 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 4.50 1.40  
SISTER COUSIN 5 2 4     25 29 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 3.50 18% 4.60 6.20 P
DON JUAN BUBBA 6 3 3     3 312¼ (rollins scott)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00 13.60  
BIG MOONIE 1 4 611     511 415¼ (villamar candelar)VERGARA P 121 10.00 5% 19.00 4.00  
HUSTO 7 6 2     4 517¼ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.00 38% 1.60 3.70  
GONZAGA BAY 4 5 711¼     717 622¼ (rollins sco)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 5.40  
SHUDDER 2 7 58     617 726¾ (barraza s)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
 
TUP-3   04/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20.4K) 2 ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:222 :453       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALEBS LADY 6 2 12     15 1 (eikl)DA FAUSTO 118 4.00 2.00  
X RAY VISION 2 3 4     25 2 (rollins scott)ANAYA V 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.40 P
ACES OVER DEUCES 4 7 514½     511 3 (villamar candel)VALDES ALEXIS 118 5.00 10.10  
PERFECT MISCHIEF 7 4 22     36 4 (belvoir )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 4.10  
ESCAPEFROMPARADISE 3 1 32     47 5 (rollins scott)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 4.50 4.40  
GENERAL CROOK 1 6 714¾     621 617½ (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 121 3.00 38% 1.60 4.30  
DISCO GIRL 5 5 614¾     735 741½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 3.50 18% 4.60 4.30  
 
TUP-4   04/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:222 :441 1:094     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORKIN NINETOFIVE 6 3 4 3   2½ 1½ (gutierrez j)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 11.40  
DEL MAR FLASH 1 5 21 1nk   1½ 2½ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 15% 5.70 1.40 P
SUE ETTAS GHOST 2 6 66 6   42 3 (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 17.60  
BIG CYN 4 4 53 4   5 4 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 2.10  
RED PANTY NIGHT 5 1 11 2nk   3 5 (bullene micha)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 12% 7.60 3.90  
PIRATES CROSS 3 2 3 57   65 6 (rari)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00 10% 9.20 4.00  
SCR  LADY PHYLLIS               (torres-casas al)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
 
TUP-5   04/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:243 :472 1:12 1:242   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARIZONA JEREMY 6 7 7 6 5 4 1nk (laufenberg joyce)ZUNINO L 122 4.00 10% 9.20 4.40 W
SANTALUZ DREAMIN 7 1 11 1nk 1nk 11 2nk (valenzuela )VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 54% 0.90 5.50 P
POLITICAL RIOT 9 5 5 5 3½ 31 3.2 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00 5.50  
RIVER ROSE 8 4 31 2nk 2nk 21 43 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.00 5% 19.00 2.50  
TACOFLAVOREDKISSES 5 6 6 7 7 6 5 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 6.00 20.90  
CHEST CANDY 4 3 4 3 41 53 64 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 7% 12.70 2.00  
ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE 1 8 8 8 9 8 7 (fales matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00 12.90  
ESTEEMED 2 9 9 9 8 9 8 (hernandez migu)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 15.00 55.00  
TELLER 3 2 21 4 6 7 99 (mooney bill)ANAYA V 122 12.00 30.80  
 
TUP-6   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:12 1:243   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLTOBELUCKY 3 3 4 5 3 1½ 13 (eikl)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 5.90  
VICTORY BOULEVARD 1 6 5 42 4 41 23 (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 29% 2.40 1.00 P
IN THE MIDST 5 1 11 2nk 1nk 2½ 3 (person kenneth )ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 4.90  
TALKIN MALICE 2 4 21 1nk 2nk 3½ 4 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 7.70  
DON'TTEASETHETIGER 4 2 3 3½ 5 5 511¾ (oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 9.40  
PASSED BY PAUL 6 5 6 6 6 6 612¼ (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 29% 2.50 3.10  
SCR  THEMANBEHINDTHEMAN               (vitali m)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 2.50 18% 4.60    
 
TUP-7   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:29
See original race card.
:224 :452 :564     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAYER OF JABEZ 3 2 1nk 1nk   13 1 (kereluk edward)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 14% 6.20 1.60 W
LINCHTOWN 5 1 4 3   35 2 (gutierrez juan )VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00 11.30  
FURY KAP 4 3 2nk 2nk   23 36 (silva jo)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 2.50 42% 1.40 0.70 S
YOU SPLIT TENS 1 5 5 45   4 4 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
PRECEDENT 2 4 3 58   511½ 515½ (martinez a)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00 14.50  
SCR  HI HO CHEERIO               (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50    
SCR  NUMEROLOGIST               (buechler simo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00    
SCR  RECKONING DAY               (wool)DA FAUSTO 124 4.50 14% 6.20    
 
TUP-8   04/15/2023 7260ft TURF RC11 FIRM Wildcat Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:59
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:111 1:363 2:023 2:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUVLUV 4 714½ 715 711 6 6 1nk (kitchingman ada)VALDIVIA JR 122 4.50 4.60  
TARTINI 5 5 54 44 3 5 2nk (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00 7.60  
SURPRSINGLYPERFECT 2 1017¾ 919¾ 812½ 7 7 3¼ (silva jr)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 20.00 36.80  
NO SLO MO 1 817 819½ 912¾ 8 4¾ 42 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 15.00 5.10  
12  BIGFOOT CITY 11 1 11 1 1½ 1nk 5 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 29% 2.50 6.30  
STITZY 8 4 4 54 2½ 2nk 6 (silva jo)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 8.00 4.90  
SONNY SMACK 3 917¼ 1024¾ 1022¾ 1013¼ 8 77 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 5.40  
10  CLUB MESQUITE 10 6 69 66 5 3½ 8 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 120 30.00 78.80  
ZESTFUL 6 34 21 2 4 9 910¾ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 33% 2.00 4.20  
MYOPIC 7 2 31 3 9 1013¼ 1022½ (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00 16.90  
SHINNY 9 1117¾ 1124¾ 1123¼ 1122¼ 1121¼ 1138¼ (chambers mike)CORBETT W 120 8.00 15% 5.50 15.50  
SCR  BAROSSA               (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.