Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - April 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-5   WIN (7/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $10.80 $2.80 35%
    EXA (7/6/4/8)-(7/6/4/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-7 $52.20 $36.20 226%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-2   04/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20.4K) 2 ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:22 :45       :504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ITS A CHEAP DATE 3 1 12½     15 19 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 4.50 1.40  
  (by EZ EFFORT out of AWARE (GB) by KENMARE (FR))
5  SISTER COUSIN 5 2 43½     25 29 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 3.50 18% 4.60 6.20 P
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of CAL GAL by GENTLEMEN (ARG))
6  DON JUAN BUBBA 6 3 32½     35½ 312¼ (rollins scott)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00 13.60  
  (by BOCEPHUS out of COMPLIMENTARY by PORTO VARAS)
1  BIG MOONIE 1 4 611     511 415¼ (villamar candel)VERGARA P 121 10.00 5% 19.00 4.00  
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of MOONIE by SQUARE EDDIE)
7  HUSTO 7 6 22½     48½ 517¼ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.00 38% 1.60 3.70  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of BOLD ASSURANCE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
4  GONZAGA BAY 4 5 711¼     717 622¼ (rollins s)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 5.40  
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of MISS SCATALICIOUS by SCAT DADDY)
2  SHUDDER 2 7 58     617 726¾ (barraza rafael )LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of RYLEIGH RULER by ROMAN RULER)
 
TUP-3   04/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20.4K) 2 ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:222 :453       :52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CALEBS LADY 6 2 12     15 15½ (ei)DA FAUSTO 118 4.00 2.00  
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of LADY OF HONOR by ALGORITHMS)
2  X RAY VISION 2 3 42½     25 25½ (rollins scott)ANAYA V 118 8.00 5% 19.00 10.40 P
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of WINNING VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
4  ACES OVER DEUCES 4 7 514½     511 37½ (villamar cand)VALDES ALEXIS 118 5.00 10.10  
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of A DROP DEAD DIVA by HENNY HUGHES)
7  PERFECT MISCHIEF 7 4 22     36 47½ (belvoi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 4.10  
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of NO PROB LAMA by PAYNTER)
3  ESCAPEFROMPARADISE 3 1 32     47 59¼ (rollins scott)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 4.50 4.40  
  (by OUTWORK out of DIAMONDS PLEASE by MINESHAFT)
1  GENERAL CROOK 1 6 714¾     621 617½ (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 121 3.00 38% 1.60 4.30  
  (by UNIFIED out of A P PEPPER by A. P. WARRIOR)
5  DISCO GIRL 5 5 614¾     735 741½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 3.50 18% 4.60 4.30  
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of SUCHAPRETTYGIRL by MAZEL TRICK)
 
TUP-4   04/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:222 :441 1:094     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WORKIN NINETOFIVE 6 3 42½ 33½   2½ 1½ (gutierrez)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 11.40  
2  DEL MAR FLASH 1 5 21 1nk   1½ 2½ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 15% 5.70 1.40 P
3  SUE ETTAS GHOST 2 6 66 68½   42 32½ (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00 17.60  
5  BIG CYN 4 4 53 45½   53½ 42½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 2.10  
6  RED PANTY NIGHT 5 1 11 2nk   31½ 53½ (bullene mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 12% 7.60 3.90  
4  PIRATES CROSS 3 2 31½ 57   65 65¼ (ra)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00 10% 9.20 4.00  
SCR  LADY PHYLLIS               (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
 
TUP-5   04/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:243 :472 1:12 1:242   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ARIZONA JEREMY 6 7 74¼ 63¼ 52½ 42½ 1nk (laufenberg joyce)ZUNINO L 122 4.00 10% 9.20 4.40 W
7  SANTALUZ DREAMIN 7 1 11 1nk 1nk 11 2nk (valenzuel)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 54% 0.90 5.50 P
9  POLITICAL RIOT 9 5 52¾ 52¼ 3½ 31 3.2 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00 5.50  
8  RIVER ROSE 8 4 31 2nk 2nk 21 43 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.00 5% 19.00 2.50  
5  TACOFLAVOREDKISSES 5 6 62¾ 73¼ 74½ 64½ 53½ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 6.00 ★ 20.90  
4  CHEST CANDY 4 3 41¼ 31½ 41 53 64 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 7% 12.70 2.00  
1  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE 1 8 85¼ 84¾ 96¾ 86¾ 76½ (fales matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00 12.90  
2  ESTEEMED 2 9 97¾ 97¼ 86½ 98¼ 88¾ (hernandez mi)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 15.00 55.00  
3  TELLER 3 2 21 41¾ 63½ 76½ 99 (mooney bill)ANAYA V 122 12.00 30.80  
 
TUP-6   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:12 1:243   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WILLTOBELUCKY 3 3 44½ 52¼ 31½ 1½ 13 (ei)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 5.90  
2  VICTORY BOULEVARD 1 6 55½ 42 41¾ 41 23 (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 29% 2.40 1.00 P
6  IN THE MIDST 5 1 11 2nk 1nk 2½ 33¼ (person kennet)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 4.90  
3  TALKIN MALICE 2 4 21 1nk 2nk 3½ 47¾ (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 7.70  
5  DON'TTEASETHETIGER 4 2 31½ 3½ 53¼ 54½ 511¾ (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 ★ 9.40  
7  PASSED BY PAUL 6 5 66½ 64¾ 66¾ 66½ 612¼ (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 29% 2.50 3.10  
SCR  THEMANBEHINDTHEMAN               (vitali)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 2.50 18% 4.60    
 
TUP-7   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:29
See original race card.
:224 :452 :564     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PRAYER OF JABEZ 3 2 1nk 1nk   13 15¾ (kereluk edwar)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 14% 6.20 1.60 W
8  LINCHTOWN 5 1 41¾ 33½   35 25¾ (gutierrez jua)VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00 11.30  
7  FURY KAP 4 3 2nk 2nk   23 36 (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 2.50 42% 1.40 0.70 S
4  YOU SPLIT TENS 1 5 53¼ 45   47½ 48½ (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
5  PRECEDENT 2 4 31½ 58   511½ 515½ (martinez a)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00 14.50  
SCR  HI HO CHEERIO               (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50    
SCR  NUMEROLOGIST               (buechler si)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00    
SCR  RECKONING DAY               (wo)DA FAUSTO 124 4.50 14% 6.20    
 
TUP-8   04/15/2023 7260ft TURF RC11 FIRM Wildcat Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:59
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:111 1:363 2:023 2:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LUVLUV 4 714½ 715 711 63¾ 61¼ 1nk (kitchingman a)VALDIVIA JR 122 4.50 ★ 4.60  
  (by LAKERVILLE out of LUCERA (IRE) by FASLIYEV)
5  TARTINI 5 56½ 54 44 31½ 51¼ 2nk (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00 7.60  
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of VIGNETTE by DIESIS (GB))
2  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT 2 1017¾ 919¾ 812½ 74¾ 72¾ 3¼ (silva jose )MARTI ALEXANDER 122 20.00 36.80  
  (by PERFECT SOUL out of ELUSIVE SURPRISE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
1  NO SLO MO 1 817 819½ 912¾ 85¾ 4¾ 42 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 15.00 5.10  
  (by UNCLE MO out of STRIKING SCHOLAR by SMART STRIKE)
12  BIGFOOT CITY 11 12½ 11 11½ 1½ 1nk 52¼ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 29% 2.50 6.30  
  (by CITY ZIP out of FOREST LEGEND by WOODMAN)
8  STITZY 8 46½ 43½ 54 2½ 2nk 62½ (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 8.00 ★ 4.90  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MY BELONGING by BELONG TO ME)
3  SONNY SMACK 3 917¼ 1024¾ 1022¾ 1013¼ 85¼ 77 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 5.40  
  (by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL out of SMACK MADAM by VICTORY GALLOP)
10  CLUB MESQUITE 10 69½ 69 66 53½ 3½ 88¾ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 120 30.00 78.80  
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of MESQUITE by HUDDLE UP)
6  ZESTFUL 6 34 21 21½ 41½ 96¼ 910¾ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 33% 2.00 4.20  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SWEET RELISH by SMOKE GLACKEN)
7  MYOPIC 7 22½ 31 32½ 98¼ 1013¼ 1022½ (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00 16.90  
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of SPOKESWOMAN by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
9  SHINNY 9 1117¾ 1124¾ 1123¼ 1122¼ 1121¼ 1138¼ (chambers mike)CORBETT W 120 8.00 15% 5.50 15.50  
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of CRYPTIC by CIRCULATING)
SCR  BAROSSA               (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BOUQUET BOOTH by FLOWER ALLEY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.