Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - April 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (7/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/2)-(7/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/2)-(7/5/1/2)-(7/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/1/2)-(1/5/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1/2)-(1/5/2/7)-(2/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-3   WIN (1/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/7)-(2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/7)-(2/6/4)-(7/6/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-4   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(7/6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(7/6/4/8)-(2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-5   WIN (7/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/8)-(7/6/4/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/8)-(7/6/4/8/5)-(7/6/4/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/4/8)-(2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/8)-(2/7)-(7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-6   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/7)-(7/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(7/6/4)-(6/12/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-7   WIN (7/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/4)-(7/6/4)-(7/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/4)-(6/12/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TUP-8   WIN (6/12/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/12/9)-(6/12/9/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/12/9)-(6/12/9/8/4)-(6/12/9/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   04/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20.4K) 2 ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG MOONIE         (villamar candel)VERGARA P 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of MOONIE by SQUARE EDDIE)
2  SHUDDER         (barraza rafael )LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of RYLEIGH RULER by ROMAN RULER)
3  ITS A CHEAP DATE         (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 4.50    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of AWARE (GB) by KENMARE (FR))
4  GONZAGA BAY         (rollins s)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of MISS SCATALICIOUS by SCAT DADDY)
5  SISTER COUSIN         (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 3.50 18% 4.60    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of CAL GAL by GENTLEMEN (ARG))
6  DON JUAN BUBBA         (rollins scott)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00    
  (by BOCEPHUS out of COMPLIMENTARY by PORTO VARAS)
7  HUSTO         (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of BOLD ASSURANCE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
 
TUP-3   04/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20.4K) 2 ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENERAL CROOK         (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 121 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by UNIFIED out of A P PEPPER by A. P. WARRIOR)
2  X RAY VISION         (rollins scott)ANAYA V 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of WINNING VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
3  ESCAPEFROMPARADISE         (rollins scott)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 4.50    
  (by OUTWORK out of DIAMONDS PLEASE by MINESHAFT)
4  ACES OVER DEUCES         (villamar cand)VALDES ALEXIS 118 5.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of A DROP DEAD DIVA by HENNY HUGHES)
5  DISCO GIRL         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 3.50 18% 4.60    
  (by DISCO PARTNER out of SUCHAPRETTYGIRL by MAZEL TRICK)
6  CALEBS LADY         (ei)DA FAUSTO 118 4.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of LADY OF HONOR by ALGORITHMS)
7  PERFECT MISCHIEF         (belvoi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of NO PROB LAMA by PAYNTER)
 
TUP-4   04/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LADY PHYLLIS Feb07 Jan24 Nov30 Nov14 Nov04 (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 26% 2.90    
2  DEL MAR FLASH Apr01 Mar13 Feb11 Jan06 Dec02 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 15% 5.70    
3  SUE ETTAS GHOST Mar25 Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 Dec10 (tate mary)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00    
4  PIRATES CROSS Mar13 Feb18 Jan31 Jan11 Dec19 (ra)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00 10% 9.20    
5  BIG CYN Apr01 Mar13 Feb27 Feb15 Jan31 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00    
6  RED PANTY NIGHT Apr01 Mar13 Feb26 Jan26 Dec17 (bullene mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 12% 7.60    
7  WORKIN NINETOFIVE Apr01 Mar05 Feb14 Jan26 Jan04 (gutierrez)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
 
TUP-5   04/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Mar25 Feb22 Feb13 Feb01 Jan12 (fales matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00    
2  ESTEEMED Mar28 Mar12 Jan22 Dec12 Nov30 (hernandez mi)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 15.00    
3  TELLER Mar25 Mar12 Feb22 Feb05 Jan17 (mooney bill)BEVERLY JR 122 12.00    
4  CHEST CANDY Mar25 Feb01 Aug21 Aug10 Jul09 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 7% 12.70    
5  TACOFLAVOREDKISSES Jan12 Dec22 Dec13 Nov05 Oct28 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 6.00 ★    
6  ARIZONA JEREMY Mar25 Feb13 Feb01 Apr25 Apr11 (laufenberg joyce)ZUNINO L 122 4.00 10% 9.20    
7  SANTALUZ DREAMIN Mar19 Feb04 Jan17 Dec13 Nov21 (valenzuel)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 54% 0.90    
8  RIVER ROSE Mar25 Mar01 Feb16 Feb02 Jan17 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.00 5% 19.00    
9  POLITICAL RIOT Apr02 Mar07 Feb21 Feb05 Jan25 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00    
 
TUP-6   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  THEMANBEHINDTHEMAN Mar27 Feb22 Feb04 Jan17 Jan05 (vitali)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 2.50 18% 4.60    
2  VICTORY BOULEVARD Mar27 Feb28 Feb04 Oct26 Oct07 (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
3  TALKIN MALICE Mar27 Mar06 Feb13 Jan25 Jan05 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
4  WILLTOBELUCKY Mar25 Feb27 Jan14 Dec21 Nov29 (ei)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00    
5  DON'TTEASETHETIGER Mar27 Mar13 Feb04 Jan10 Dec20 (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 ★    
6  IN THE MIDST Mar15 Feb27 Feb18 Feb04 Jan14 (person kennet)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00    
7  PASSED BY PAUL Mar27 Mar13 Feb22 Feb14 Feb01 (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
 
TUP-7   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NUMEROLOGIST Mar12 Feb28 Jan31 Jan10 Nov07 (buechler si)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00    
SCR  HI HO CHEERIO Mar27 Mar05 Feb19 Jan25 Jan09 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50    
SCR  RECKONING DAY Apr04 Mar18 Mar04 Feb19 Feb09 (wo)DA FAUSTO 124 4.50 14% 6.20    
4  YOU SPLIT TENS Mar26 Mar14 Feb15 Jan30 Jan19 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  PRECEDENT Mar19 Feb18 Jan30 Jan07 Dec26 (martinez a)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00    
6  PRAYER OF JABEZ Mar26 Mar08 Feb19 Jan07 Dec20 (kereluk edwar)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 14% 6.20    
7  FURY KAP Apr01 Mar21 Mar07 Jan15 Nov25 (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
8  LINCHTOWN Mar21 Mar08 Feb25 Feb02 Jan12 (gutierrez jua)VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00    
 
TUP-8   04/15/2023 7260ft TURF RC11 FIRM Wildcat Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO SLO MO Mar11 Feb11 Jan25 Jan07 Dec15 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 15.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of STRIKING SCHOLAR by SMART STRIKE)
2  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Mar28 Jan25 Dec27 Oct29 Oct15 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 20.00    
  (by PERFECT SOUL out of ELUSIVE SURPRISE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  SONNY SMACK Mar11 Feb11 Jan12 Dec19 Dec08 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 124 4.00    
  (by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL out of SMACK MADAM by VICTORY GALLOP)
4  LUVLUV Feb05 Jan07 Nov13 Oct23 Sep17 (kitchingman a)VALDIVIA JR 122 4.50 ★    
  (by LAKERVILLE out of LUCERA (IRE) by FASLIYEV)
5  TARTINI Mar11 Feb11 Jan23 Jan03 Dec19 (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00    
  (by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of VIGNETTE by DIESIS (GB))
6  ZESTFUL Apr02 Mar11 Feb27 Feb11 Jan23 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SWEET RELISH by SMOKE GLACKEN)
7  MYOPIC Mar25 Feb07 Jan23 Nov19 Nov08 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 10.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of SPOKESWOMAN by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
8  STITZY Mar11 Feb11 Jan12 Dec19 Nov26 (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 124 8.00 ★    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MY BELONGING by BELONG TO ME)
9  SHINNY Mar25 Feb27 Feb07 Jan12 Dec27 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 120 8.00 15% 5.50    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of CRYPTIC by CIRCULATING)
10  CLUB MESQUITE Mar29 Mar07 Feb16 Feb08 Jan19 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 120 30.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of MESQUITE by HUDDLE UP)
SCR  BAROSSA Mar25 Mar11 Feb20 Feb11 Jan23 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BOUQUET BOOTH by FLOWER ALLEY)
12  BIGFOOT CITY Mar25 Mar11 Feb08 Jan09 Dec27 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 29% 2.50    
  (by CITY ZIP out of FOREST LEGEND by WOODMAN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.