The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Rillito
Sunday - March 19, 2023
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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RIL-4   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
1:16         1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LITTLEQUEENOFMEAN 2 1 1½ 11½   12½ 13½ (gilmour jim)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 4.50 27% 2.80 5.90 W
8  OJO FELIZ 7 4 63¾ 52½   42¾ 23½ (ortega monica)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50 ★ 2.70 P
3  CANDIED JOULE 3 5 4¾ 42   22½ 33¾ (wheeler travis)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 6.00 2.00  
4  MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE 4 3 3½ 31½   32½ 44¼ (lavanway dayson)ELLIS DEVON 121 15.00 21% 3.80 16.00  
6  LUCKY CHAMP 5 7 77¾ 74   65¾ 56½ (ortega joe)JENSEN P 126 8.00 ★ 5.70  
7  WITCHES DANCE 6 6 52¾ 63½   54¾ 69½ (torres-casas j)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 10.00 6.60  
1  IGO 1 2 2½ 21½   75¾ 714¼ (ortega monica)GAMEZ M 124 1.80 27% 2.70 4.70  
SCR  SIERRA SNOW STORM               (torres-casas jesu)ELLIS DEVON 126 12.00    
 
RIL-5   03/19/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:471         :471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRON AND THE BROW 1 6 1nk     1½ 1¼ (lavanway dayso)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.50 14% 6.10 0.60 W
6  MANY AMBITIONS 5 3 41½     31 2¼ (gilmour jim)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.50 23% 3.40 3.90 P
2  A BIT MUCH 2 5 2nk     2½ 3¾ (salas eliazar)DEONAUTH P 124 3.00 15% 5.50 3.10 S
3  KIND BUT SHE LIES 3 2 31     41½ 42½ (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 121 4.50 17% 5.00 8.40  
7  W. WHITEHOUSE 6 7 76½     65½ 55¾ (dominguez her)RIDER TBA 126 15.00 30.10  
8  TOSSAPENNYDOWN 7 1 64     76½ 611 (leon alexis)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 12.00 23.70  
4  MEXICAN DREAM 4 4 52½     53 711½ (ortega monica)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 20.00 27.10  
SCR  MUSICAL GEM               (torres-casas jesu)ELLIS DEVON 126 8.00 ★    
 
RIL-6   03/19/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($9.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
1:061         1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DRAW THE FOUL 3 2 1nk 1½   11 12½ (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 2.00 39% 1.60 1.60 W
1  TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY 1 1 54¼ 43½   43½ 22½ (rosales jor)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.50 11% 8.50 2.00 P
4  ROYAL JESTER 4 4 32 31½   21 33 (gilmour jim)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.50 5% 17.40 2.10 S
6  FIRST COUNT 6 3 2nk 2½   31 46¼ (warren kayla)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 10.00 16.00  
5  EL CHUMELITO 5 7 75¼ 65½   55½ 56½ (wheeler travis)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 8.00 13% 6.70 27.00  
2  FULL DRAW 2 8 86¼ 76½   66 68¼ (ortega monica)ELLIS DEVON 126 6.00 38.70  
8  CAPTAIN RED 8 6 65¼ 55½   76½ 79¾ (ortega joe)REYES-FRISBY D 126 12.00 18.40  
7  BLUE CHIP BETTY 7 5 44 87½   814½ 848½ (lavanway dayson)DEONAUTH P 121 15.00 ★ 17.40  
 
RIL-7   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST John Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
1:122         1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SPEEDING STYLE 4 5 44 55½   54 11¼ (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 6.00 13.80  
2  DEFENSE WINS 2 2 2nk 2nk   11 21¼ (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 3.00 16% 5.20 4.70 P
1  WE ALL AGREE 1 3 1nk 1nk   21 32½ (alcoverde ernesto)GAMEZ M 126 15.00 29.00  
3  SANTALUZ DREAMIN 3 1 32½ 44   33 42¾ (crotts e)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.50 33% 2.00 1.60  
8  FANTASTIC DAY 8 6 76¾ 68½   68 54½ (rosales jorge)DEONAUTH P 126 5.00 22% 3.50 8.00  
6  MINISTERSDON'TLIE 6 4 54¼ 33½   44 66¼ (lewis i)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.00 ★ 1.70  
7  BLUE AZUL 7 7 66¾ 79½   710 78 (torres-casas alex)ELLIS DEVON 126 20.00 17.30  
5  BOTERO 5 8 87¾ 811½   812 810½ (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 8.00 6% 16.20 14.60  
 
RIL-8   03/19/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
1:064         1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RINGS OF SATURN 2 1 1½ 1½   11½ 13¼ (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 1.60 69% 0.50 0.10 W
4  OMACHE KID 4 4 42 2½   21½ 23¼ (wheeler tra)JENSEN P 126 4.00 7% 13.70 7.50 P
1  BULLY RIDE 1 3 64½ 53½   45 36½ (ortega monica)GAMEZ M 126 10.00 ★ 18.40 S
3  BIGGER THAN YOU 3 2 2½ 31½   34 49½ (monteverde alva)BAZAN ANTONIO 121 8.00 34.40  
5  EPIC ADVENTURE 5 5 54 64   57½ 513¼ (warren kayl)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.50 ★ 12.60  
8  SASSY EDIE 8 7 31½ 42½   68 614¼ (ortega joe)ELLIS DEVON 121 6.00 19.50  
6  BAJA BRIDGE 6 8 86 87   79 716¾ (ortega monica)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 12.00 51.10  
7  CURRENTLY KRAZY 7 6 75 74½   89½ 817½ (crotts e)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 15.00 ★ 45.10  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.