Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Rillito
Sunday - March 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

RIL-4   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $13.80 $7.80 130%

Simulator Race results

 
RIL-4   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
1:16         1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLEQUEENOFMEAN 2 1 1½ 1   1 1 (gilmour j)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 4.50 27% 2.80 5.90 W
  (by COASTAL STORM out of QUEEN OF MEMPHIS by BAGSHOT)
OJO FELIZ 7 4 6 5   4 2 (ortega monic)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50 2.70 P
  (by HOLY LUTE out of I'M A TOO by BOLD COMMOTION)
CANDIED JOULE 3 5 4¾ 42   2 3 (wheeler trav)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 6.00 2.00  
  (by SEA CANDY RIDE out of CLEVER CADENCE by CRAFTY PROSPECTOR)
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE 4 3 3½ 3   3 4 (lavanway dayson)ELLIS DEVON 121 15.00 21% 3.80 16.00  
  (by CHAMP PEGASUS out of ANNIE RUTLEDGE by SILVER TRAIN)
LUCKY CHAMP 5 7 7 74   6 5 (ortega jo)JENSEN P 126 8.00 5.70  
  (by CHAMP PEGASUS out of LUCKY LASS by THE IRISH LORD)
WITCHES DANCE 6 6 5 6   5 6 (torres-casas)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 10.00 6.60  
  (by ELUSIVE WARNING out of LADY SORCERESS by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
IGO 1 2 2½ 2   7 714¼ (ortega monica)GAMEZ M 124 1.80 27% 2.70 4.70  
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of COCHINERO by COMIC STRIP)
SCR  SIERRA SNOW STORM               (torres-casas je)ELLIS DEVON 126 12.00    
  (by SIERRA SUNSET out of EL SIERRA TAHOE by ROYAL ANTHEM)
 
RIL-5   03/19/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:471         :471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRON AND THE BROW 1 6 1nk     1½ 1¼ (lavanway day)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.50 14% 6.10 0.60 W
MANY AMBITIONS 5 3 4     31 2¼ (gilmour jim)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.50 23% 3.40 3.90 P
A BIT MUCH 2 5 2nk     2½ 3¾ (salas eliazar)DEONAUTH P 124 3.00 15% 5.50 3.10 S
KIND BUT SHE LIES 3 2 31     4 4 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 121 4.50 17% 5.00 8.40  
W. WHITEHOUSE 6 7 7     6 5 (dominguez h)RIDER TBA 126 15.00 30.10  
TOSSAPENNYDOWN 7 1 64     7 611 (leon alex)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 12.00 23.70  
MEXICAN DREAM 4 4 5     53 711½ (ortega monic)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 20.00 27.10  
SCR  MUSICAL GEM               (torres-casas je)ELLIS DEVON 126 8.00    
 
RIL-6   03/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
See original race card.
1:061         1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRAW THE FOUL 3 2 1nk 1½   11 1 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 2.00 39% 1.60 1.60 W
TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY 1 1 5 4   4 2 (rosales j)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.50 11% 8.50 2.00 P
ROYAL JESTER 4 4 32 3   21 33 (gilmour jim)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.50 5% 17.40 2.10 S
FIRST COUNT 6 3 2nk 2½   31 4 (warren kayla)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 10.00 16.00  
EL CHUMELITO 5 7 7 6   5 5 (wheeler trav)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 8.00 13% 6.70 27.00  
FULL DRAW 2 8 8 7   66 6 (ortega monica)ELLIS DEVON 126 6.00 38.70  
CAPTAIN RED 8 6 6 5   7 7 (ortega joe)REYES-FRISBY D 126 12.00 18.40  
BLUE CHIP BETTY 7 5 44 8   814½ 848½ (lavanway dayso)DEONAUTH P 121 15.00 17.40  
 
RIL-7   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST John Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
1:122         1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEEDING STYLE 4 5 44 5   54 1 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 6.00 13.80  
  (by CYCLOTRON out of ALWAYS IN STYLE by LUCAYAN PRINCE)
DEFENSE WINS 2 2 2nk 2nk   11 2 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 3.00 16% 5.20 4.70 P
  (by FLATTER out of DEB'S CHARM by SILVER CHARM)
WE ALL AGREE 1 3 1nk 1nk   21 3 (alcoverde ernesto)GAMEZ M 126 15.00 29.00  
  (by UNIFIED out of MILES RULES by TRIBAL RULE)
SANTALUZ DREAMIN 3 1 3 44   33 4 (crotts james)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.50 33% 2.00 1.60  
  (by BIG BAD LEROYBROWN out of ALWAYS FASHIONABLE by BOLD BADGETT)
FANTASTIC DAY 8 6 7 6   68 5 (rosales jorge)DEONAUTH P 126 5.00 22% 3.50 8.00  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of INDESCRIBABLE by PLEASANT TAP)
MINISTERSDON'TLIE 6 4 5 3   44 6 (lewis jim)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.00 1.70  
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of LISA'S LION by LION HEART)
BLUE AZUL 7 7 6 7   710 78 (torres-casas al)ELLIS DEVON 126 20.00 17.30  
  (by TIZWAY out of LADYMEDAGLIA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
BOTERO 5 8 8 811½   812 810½ (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 8.00 6% 16.20 14.60  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of BURBAN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
RIL-8   03/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
1:064         1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RINGS OF SATURN 2 1 1½ 1½   1 1 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 1.60 69% 0.50 0.10 W
OMACHE KID 4 4 42 2½   2 2 (wheeler t)JENSEN P 126 4.00 7% 13.70 7.50 P
BULLY RIDE 1 3 6 5   45 3 (ortega monica)GAMEZ M 126 10.00 18.40 S
BIGGER THAN YOU 3 2 2½ 3   34 4 (monteverde al)BAZAN ANTONIO 121 8.00 34.40  
EPIC ADVENTURE 5 5 54 64   5 513¼ (warren ka)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.50 12.60  
SASSY EDIE 8 7 3 4   68 614¼ (ortega joe)ELLIS DEVON 121 6.00 19.50  
BAJA BRIDGE 6 8 86 87   79 716¾ (ortega monic)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 12.00 51.10  
CURRENTLY KRAZY 7 6 75 7   8 817½ (crotts james)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 15.00 45.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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