Handicappers' Racing Form
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Rillito
Sunday - March 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
RIL-4   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
RIL-5   Win (6/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
RIL-6   Win (3/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
RIL-7   Win (3/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
RIL-8   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
RIL-4   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IGO Mar05 Feb26 Feb11 Jan31 Dec20 (ortega monica)OSUNA JESUS 124 1.80 27% 2.70    
2  LITTLEQUEENOFMEAN Mar05 Feb26       (gilmour jim)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 4.50 27% 2.80    
3  CANDIED JOULE Feb04         (wheeler travis)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 6.00    
4  MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE Mar07         (lavanway dayson)FINN AISLINN 121 15.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  SIERRA SNOW STORM Nov28 Aug15 Jul02 May29 May07 (torres-casas jesu)ELLIS DEVON 126 12.00    
6  LUCKY CHAMP Sep17 Aug20 Aug12 Aug11 Jul22 (ortega joe)BEVERLY JR 126 8.00 ★    
7  WITCHES DANCE Mar12 Feb25 Feb18 Feb08 Jan17 (torres-casas j)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 10.00    
8  OJO FELIZ Feb18 Feb07 Jan08 Dec20 Dec06 (ortega monica)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 3.50 ★    
 
RIL-5   03/19/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRON AND THE BROW Feb18 Jan17 Dec22 Nov04 Oct09 (lavanway dayso)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.50 14% 6.10    
2  A BIT MUCH Mar12 Feb19 Feb05 Jan09 Nov06 (salas eliazar)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 3.00 15% 5.50    
3  KIND BUT SHE LIES Mar11 Feb26 Feb11 Jan14 Dec26 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 121 4.50 17% 5.00    
4  MEXICAN DREAM Feb18 Feb11 Apr26 Apr08 Mar19 (ortega monica)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 20.00    
SCR  MUSICAL GEM Feb18 Feb05 Jan17 Jan05 Dec08 (torres-casas jesu)ELLIS DEVON 126 8.00 ★    
6  MANY AMBITIONS Feb25 Feb18 Jan29 Jan20 Jan08 (gilmour jim)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.50 23% 3.40    
7  W. WHITEHOUSE Mar13 Feb26 Dec08 Nov29 Sep05 (dominguez ange)BEVERLY JR 126 15.00    
8  TOSSAPENNYDOWN Sep03 Aug19 Aug06 Jul30 Jul10 (leon alexis)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 12.00    
 
RIL-6   03/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY Mar11 Feb26 Feb19 Dec19 Nov28 (rosales jor)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.50 11% 8.50    
2  FULL DRAW Mar04 Feb19 Feb05 Jan03 Dec10 (ortega monica)ELLIS DEVON 126 6.00    
3  DRAW THE FOUL Mar04 Feb19 Feb05 Jan24 Dec26 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 2.00 39% 1.60    
4  ROYAL JESTER Mar04 Jan29 Jan14 Dec26 Dec11 (gilmour jim)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.50 5% 17.40    
5  EL CHUMELITO Mar05 Feb19 Feb04 Jan18 Dec19 (wheeler travis)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 8.00 13% 6.70    
6  FIRST COUNT Feb26 Feb11 Jan28 Jan01 Nov08 (warren kayla)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 10.00    
7  BLUE CHIP BETTY Mar12 Feb19 Feb12 Feb05 Oct01 (lavanway dayson)OSUNA JESUS 121 15.00 ★    
8  CAPTAIN RED Feb13 Jun03 May03 Apr25 Apr03 (ortega joe)BEVERLY JR 126 12.00    
 
RIL-7   03/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST John Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WE ALL AGREE Mar12 Feb25 Feb12 Dec17 Nov25 (alcoverde ernesto)GAMEZ M 126 15.00    
2  DEFENSE WINS Feb25 Feb04 Nov20 Oct30 Oct15 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 3.00 16% 5.20    
3  SANTALUZ DREAMIN Feb04 Jan17 Dec13 Nov21 Sep04 (crotts e)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  SPEEDING STYLE Mar04 Feb19 Feb13 Jan26 Jan11 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 6.00    
5  BOTERO Feb19 Jan18 Jan03 Dec14 Sep19 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 8.00 6% 16.20    
6  MINISTERSDON'TLIE Mar11 Feb19 Feb05 Nov05 Sep10 (lewis i)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.00 ★    
7  BLUE AZUL Mar13 Feb22 Feb13 Feb04 Jan23 (torres-casas alex)OSUNA JESUS 126 20.00    
8  FANTASTIC DAY Sep09 Aug28 Aug14 Jul24 Jul10 (rosales jorge)DEONAUTH P 126 5.00 22% 3.50    
 
RIL-8   03/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BULLY RIDE Mar11 Feb21 Feb05 Jan22 Dec14 (ortega monica)GAMEZ M 126 10.00 ★    
2  RINGS OF SATURN Mar08 Feb19 Feb04 Jan23 Jan12 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 1.60 69% 0.50    
3  BIGGER THAN YOU Mar11 Feb25 Feb05 Dec17 Nov14 (monteverde alvaro)ELLIS DEVON 121 8.00    
4  OMACHE KID Mar11 Feb26 Feb18 May15 May01 (wheeler tra)JENSEN P 126 4.00 7% 13.70    
5  EPIC ADVENTURE Feb26 Sep10 Jul31 Jul24 Jul17 (warren kayl)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.50 ★    
6  BAJA BRIDGE Mar05 Apr23 Apr03 Mar19 Mar06 (ortega monica)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 12.00    
7  CURRENTLY KRAZY Feb26 Feb18 Nov25 Nov09 Sep17 (crotts e)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 15.00 ★    
8  SASSY EDIE Feb19 Sep17 Sep11 Sep03 Aug21 (ortega joe)OSUNA JESUS 121 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.