The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Rillito
Saturday - March 25, 2023

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RIL-3   03/25/2023 1320ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
:232         :232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONGOFTHEDESERT 7 1       1½ 1¼ (reyes norma)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 2.00 58% 0.70 0.40 W
WE MISS GENO 4 2       2½ 2¼ (figueroa ju)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00 5.50 P
EZ GUESS 1 4       42 3(guerrero orlan)BEVERLY JR 126 10.00 8.70  
GOOD OLD FAITHFUL 6 6       54(ortega joe)JENSEN P 126 4.50 16% 5.20 9.60  
KEEPONROCKINMEBABY 3 3       31 5(tate mary)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 2.50 5% 17.50 9.90  
SHELBY R. 5 5       664 (metz jeffrey)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 8.00 24.60  
AWESOME GALAXY 2 8       73 7(ybarra rudy)SALAZAR TERESA 116 20.00 45.50  
SASSY EDIE 8 7       84 8(ortega joe)BAZAN ANTONIO 121 15.00 26.10  
 
RIL-4   03/25/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
:47         :47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOTSA LOU 2 2 21     21 1¾ (ortega joe)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.00 49% 1.00 3.70 W
SHISH KABOB 7 1 11     11 2¾ (silva pab)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.50 0.40 P
CLASSIC CALIFORNIA 8 4 44     45 3(ortega monica)GAMEZ M 126 4.00 17% 4.80 6.40 S
BUFFUM'S BEAUTY 1 3 33     345 (warren kayla)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 6.00 22.30  
MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE 3 8 7     710½ 512¼ (lavanway dayso)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 10.00 20.30  
DUKE CITY KITTY 4 6 8     59 612½ (salazar michel)SALAZAR TERESA 121 15.00 35.10  
MISS MY MAMMA 5 5 5     610 713¼ (hernandez danny)BAZAN ANTONIO 126 12.00 19.70  
MAGIC HUSSAR 6 7 6     812½ 821¾ (dominguez angelad)ELLIS DEVON 126 20.00 20.90  
SCR  WON SASSY RIDE               (wheeler travis)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 10.00 7% 12.90    
 
RIL-5   03/25/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
1:244         1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TELLER 3 4 38 36   21 1(silva pab)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 1.60 18% 4.60 0.05 W
BAD KARMA 5 1 12 14   11 2(silva pablo)OSUNA JESUS 121 2.50 37% 1.70 5.20 P
EMPEROR'S CHOICE 4 2 22 24   32 3(kern david)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.00 9.00 S
OUTLAW BY NATURE 1 5 511½ 412   46 4(crotts e)ELLIS DEVON 126 15.00 40.40  
TRIPDOWNMEMORYLANE 2 3 4 516   516 543¾ (reyes norma)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 20.00 20.80  
SCR  AMITY HARBOR               (tate mary)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 6.00 14% 6.20    
 
RIL-6   03/25/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($9.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
:472         :472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENERAL THAYER 2 3 11     1nk 11 (wheeler tra)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 12.00 5% 19.00 10.30 W
FIGHT ME 5 1 31     2nk 21 (figueroa juan)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 10.00 5.60  
BRON AND THE BROW 4 2 21     3½ 3(lavanway dayso)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.50 2.00  
SWITCH BACK 1 4 5     43 4(cruz omar)BEVERLY JR 126 15.00 31.30  
NUMMY NUM 3 5 43     54 56 (warren kayla)FINN AISLINN 126 5.00 12.50  
BUMPY CUP 6 6 6     66 6(gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 6.00 44% 1.30 0.70  
SCR  BAPTISM               (torres-casas j)CARBAJAL KEVIN 126 4.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  FLYUNDERTHEGRAYDAR               (silva pab)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.00 10% 9.40    
 
RIL-7   03/25/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.45K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
:47         :47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTH DAWN 5 2 12     11½ (metz jeffrey)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 1.40 25% 3.10 1.30 W
TOTHEMOONANDBACK 1 5 22     22½ (lavanway da)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00 5.70 P
MULLIGAN 4 3 4     45 3(villamar candela)DEONAUTH P 126 8.00 14% 6.00 10.80 S
SUE ETTAS GHOST 3 4 5     57 4(tate mary)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 10.00 13% 6.60 8.30  
SCAT ATTACK 2 1 3     34 54 (silva pab)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 1.80 20% 4.00 1.00  
SCR  NIGHTHAWK SPECIAL               (cruz omar)BAZAN ANTONIO 126 15.00    
SCR  RETURN TO HARBOR               (kern david)BEVERLY JR 126 12.00    
 
RIL-8   03/25/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 7:30
1:064         1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMA CARPE DIEM 1 1 1½ 3.2   2nk 1nk (metz jeffrey)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 10.00  
LILY PAD LAKE 2 6 31 1nk   1nk 2nk (gilmour jim)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00 8% 10.90 12.60 P
MY MAN BIGGIE 3 7 710 6   43(simpson shanno)SALAZAR TERESA 124 2.00 42% 1.40 1.40 S
HADLEES HONOR 4 2 2½ 2nk   3½ 4(gilmour jim)JENSEN P 124 4.50 7.20  
JOHN'S KID 5 3 55 5   655 (silva pab)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 5.00 3.60  
SANTIAGO'S CAT 7 4 42 4   56(silva pablo)OSUNA JESUS 124 2.50 2.40  
SUGAR SHANE 6 5 6 7   77(torres-casas a)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 12.00 21% 3.80 19.20  
 
RIL-9   03/25/2023 4950ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
1:321         1:321   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACE OF EKATI 3 4 5 21   1½ 1¾ (silva pablo)OSUNA JESUS 126 3.00 1.60  
QUEEN OF LOVE 5 2 2 3   2½ 2¾ (metz jeffrey)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 10.00 5.90 P
BIG CITY BANE 1 3 45 4   31 3(gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 4.50 11% 7.90 10.70 S
NORTHERN QUEST 4 5 6 6   64 4(wheeler tra)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00 11.90  
BREXTON 6 1 34 5   55(metz jeffrey)ELLIS DEVON 126 12.00 28.30  
DR. TROUTMAN 2 6 1 11   46(silva pab)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.50 28% 2.60 0.80  
SCR  CHEF               (tate mary)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 4.00 33% 2.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.