Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Rillito
Saturday - March 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
RIL-3   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3/2/4)-(7/6/3/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/6/3)-(2/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3)-(2/8)-(6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
RIL-4   WIN (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/8)-(2/8/7/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8)-(2/8/7/3)-(2/8/7/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/8)-(6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
RIL-5   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/4)-(8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(8/3)-(7/2/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
RIL-6   WIN (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/3)-(8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/3)-(8/3/2)-(8/3/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (8/3)-(7/2/5/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
RIL-7   WIN (7/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3/1)-(7/2/5/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/5/3)-(3/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/3)-(3/6/2)-(2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
RIL-8   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2/7/5)-(3/6/2/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
RIL-9   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/3/5)-(2/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
RIL-3   03/25/2023 1320ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EZ GUESS Mar12 Feb21 Aug26 Aug03 Jun25 (guerrero orl)BEVERLY JR 126 10.00    
2  AWESOME GALAXY Mar05 Feb26 Feb18 Jan17 Jan09 (ybarra rudy)SALAZAR TERESA 116 20.00 ★    
3  KEEPONROCKINMEBABY Mar12 Feb27 Feb16 Jan30 Jan09 (tate mary)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 2.50 5% 17.50    
4  WE MISS GENO Dec13 Nov21 Oct01 Sep19 Aug29 (figueroa )KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00 ★    
5  SHELBY R. Mar11 Feb26 Feb18 Feb04 Dec21 (metz jeffrey)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 8.00    
6  GOOD OLD FAITHFUL Sep09 Aug27       (ortega jo)JENSEN P 126 4.50 16% 5.20    
7  SONGOFTHEDESERT Mar12 Feb11 Feb05 Jan19 Dec26 (reyes norma)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 2.00 58% 0.70    
8  SASSY EDIE Mar19 Feb19 Sep17 Sep11 Sep03 (ortega joe)BAZAN ANTONIO 121 15.00    
 
RIL-4   03/25/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUFFUM'S BEAUTY Mar12 Mar05 Dec17 Dec03 Nov25 (warren kayla)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 6.00    
  (by BUFFUM out of SENORITA SIETE by SENOR SWINGER)
2  LOTSA LOU Mar07 Feb04 Jan17 Dec26 Nov30 (ortega jo)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.00 49% 1.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of MYRNA LOU by TOP HIT)
3  MOBILEAGILEHOSTILE Mar19 Mar07       (lavanway day)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 10.00 ★    
  (by CHAMP PEGASUS out of ANNIE RUTLEDGE by SILVER TRAIN)
4  DUKE CITY KITTY Mar12 Feb26 Feb18 Oct11 Aug17 (salazar mich)SALAZAR TERESA 121 15.00    
  (by ABSTRACTION (GB) out of MISS HENNESSY WHO by HENNESSY)
5  MISS MY MAMMA Mar05 Feb26 Mar26     (hernandez dan)BAZAN ANTONIO 126 12.00    
  (by DADDY NOSE BEST out of STONE JUSTICE by LIT DE JUSTICE)
6  MAGIC HUSSAR         (dominguez angel)ELLIS DEVON 126 20.00    
  (by FIGHTING HUSSAR out of MAGIC SPOT by PAPA CLEM)
7  SHISH KABOB Oct14 Sep23 Aug06     (silva p)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.50 ★    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of CHARRED RARE by MOMENTUM)
8  CLASSIC CALIFORNIA Mar12 Feb25 Feb11 Sep17 Aug27 (ortega monica)GAMEZ M 126 4.00 17% 4.80    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of KUKALUKA by COMIC STRIP)
SCR  WON SASSY RIDE         (wheeler trav)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 10.00 7% 12.90    
  (by SEA CANDY RIDE out of SASSY WON by CORSLEW)
 
RIL-5   03/25/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTLAW BY NATURE Mar11 Feb19 Dec10 Nov19 Sep12 (crotts e)ELLIS DEVON 126 15.00    
SCR  AMITY HARBOR Mar11 Feb12 Oct14 Aug26 Aug19 (tate mary)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 6.00 14% 6.20    
3  TRIPDOWNMEMORYLANE Mar05 Feb26 Feb19 Aug13 Jul23 (reyes norma)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 20.00 ★    
4  TELLER Mar12 Feb22 Feb05 Jan17 Nov29 (silva p)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 1.60 18% 4.60    
5  EMPEROR'S CHOICE Mar04 Feb26 Apr24 Mar26 Mar13 (kern davi)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.00 ★    
6  BAD KARMA Mar18 Oct30 Oct23 Oct10 Sep20 (silva pabl)OSUNA JESUS 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
 
RIL-6   03/25/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BAPTISM (GB) Mar18 Feb25 Feb19 Feb11 Dec27 (torres-casas)CARBAJAL KEVIN 126 4.00 18% 4.70    
2  SWITCH BACK Mar11 Feb18 Feb12 Apr24 Mar26 (cruz omar)BEVERLY JR 126 15.00 ★    
3  GENERAL THAYER Mar18 Mar07 Feb19 Jan31 Jan12 (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  NUMMY NUM Mar05 Feb25 Feb05 Jan07 Nov30 (warren kayla)FINN AISLINN 126 5.00    
5  BRON AND THE BROW Mar19 Feb18 Jan17 Dec22 Nov04 (lavanway day)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.50    
SCR  FLYUNDERTHEGRAYDAR Mar12 Mar01 Feb21 Feb14 Jan28 (silva p)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.00 10% 9.40    
7  FIGHT ME Mar18 Feb25 Feb19 Feb05 Jan05 (figueroa jua)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 10.00    
8  BUMPY CUP Mar12 Feb21 Feb02 Jan19 Jan05 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 6.00 44% 1.30    
 
RIL-7   03/25/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.45K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTHEMOONANDBACK Mar04 Feb09 Jan23 Jan11 Jan02 (lavanway )KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00 ★    
2  SCAT ATTACK Nov15 Nov09 Oct25 Oct17 Oct09 (silva p)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 1.80 20% 4.00    
3  SUE ETTAS GHOST Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 Dec10 Oct29 (tate mary)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 10.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  NIGHTHAWK SPECIAL Mar11 Mar04 Feb18 Feb05 Apr02 (cruz omar)BAZAN ANTONIO 126 15.00    
5  MULLIGAN Mar04 Feb09 Jan19 Dec26 Sep10 (villamar cande)DEONAUTH P 126 8.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  RETURN TO HARBOR Mar18 Mar05 Apr02 Mar26 Mar12 (kern david)BEVERLY JR 126 12.00    
7  NORTH DAWN Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 Jan08 Dec03 (metz jeffrey)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 1.40 25% 3.10    
 
RIL-8   03/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMA CARPE DIEM Mar05 Feb12 Feb02 Jan13 Nov27 (metz jeffrey)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of KEG STAND by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  LILY PAD LAKE Mar18 Mar11 Feb26 Feb20 Feb04 (gilmour j)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00 8% 10.90    
  (by DADS CAPS out of LEOPARD PRINT by EYE OF THE LEOPARD)
3  MY MAN BIGGIE Mar11 Feb18 Jan26 Dec20 Nov25 (simpson shan)SALAZAR TERESA 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by MR. BIG out of TWIN SPIRIT by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
4  HADLEES HONOR Feb14 Jan13 Dec09 Nov27 Nov04 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 124 4.50    
  (by HONOR CODE out of PROMENADE STAR by HAYNESFIELD)
5  JOHN'S KID Mar20 Mar07 Jan14 Dec20 Nov25 (silva p)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 5.00 ★    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of MEMO FROM PAT by GREY MEMO)
6  SUGAR SHANE Mar12 Feb28 Feb16 Jan18 Nov27 (torres-casas)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 12.00 21% 3.80    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of SCENERY CHANGE by ROYAL ACADEMY)
7  SANTIAGO'S CAT Nov21 Oct26 Oct16 Oct04 Sep07 (silva pabl)OSUNA JESUS 124 2.50 ★    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of SOUTHERN OAKS by VINDICATION)
 
RIL-9   03/25/2023 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG CITY BANE Mar11 Feb11 Jan27 Jan07 Dec04 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 4.50 11% 7.90    
2  DR. TROUTMAN Mar13 Feb19 Jan25 Dec22 Nov28 (silva p)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  PEACE OF EKATI Mar18 Dec14 Dec01 Nov08 Oct17 (silva pabl)OSUNA JESUS 126 3.00 ★    
4  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Mar12 Feb28 Feb11 Feb04 Jan25 (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00    
5  QUEEN OF LOVE Mar05 Feb12 Jan18 Dec28 Nov30 (metz jeffrey)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 10.00 ★    
6  BREXTON Mar12 Mar05 Feb25 Feb11 Feb05 (metz jeffrey)ELLIS DEVON 126 12.00    
SCR  CHEF Mar11 Feb22 Feb14 Jan25 Jan10 (tate mary)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 4.00 33% 2.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.