The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Rillito
Sunday - April 02, 2023

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RIL-1   04/02/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
:464         :464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED HOT CAT 7 2 4     31¼ (hernandez dann)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.50 4.10  
BLUE CHIP BETTY 5 3 22     21 2¼ (lavanway da)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 8.00 5.20  
LIL' MISS MISCHIEF 6 1 12     11 3(ortega joe)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00 4.30  
CURRENTLY KRAZY 8 4 6     54(crotts jame)JENSEN P 126 20.00 25.60  
LOST THE MINISTER 1 7 8     77 5(crotts e)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.00 1.50  
CANT DO THE DANSE 4 8 32     46(alcoverde ernesto)ELLIS DEVON 126 6.00 17% 4.80 11.50  
MIDNIGHT DRAMA 2 6 5     67(warren kayla)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 15.00 11.10  
SWITCH BACK 3 5 7     88 8(cruz omar)BEVERLY JR 126 5.00 7.90  
SCR  GOOD OLD FAITHFUL               (ortega joe)MORALES ALLYSSA 126 6.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  RETURN TO HARBOR               (kern david)DEONAUTH P 121 10.00    
 
RIL-2   04/02/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
1:074         1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIND BUT SHE LIES 5 3 1nk 1nk   11 1¼ (gilmour jim)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.00 18% 4.60 1.30 W
LOVELY LOLA 2 7 7 54   42 2¼ (ortega joe)MORALES ALLYSSA 126 2.50 17% 4.70 1.70 P
LITTLEQUEENOFMEAN 6 4 2nk 2nk   21 3(gilmour jim)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 3.50 30% 2.30 7.60 S
YOU NEVER CALL 7 6 3½ 3½   31 4(kern david)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 6.00 13% 6.70 3.90  
ARCTIC FIRE 1 5 4 43   54 5(gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 15.00 22.60  
TOSSAPENNYDOWN 4 2 6 65   66 6(leon alexis)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 10.00 16.30  
AWESOME GALAXY 3 1 5 76   77 715¾ (ybarra rudy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 126 12.00 26.70  
SCR  DUKE CITY KITTY               (salazar michel)BEVERLY JR 126 20.00    
SCR  SHES A KILLA QUEEN               (rosales jor)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.50    
 
RIL-3   04/02/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($9.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
1:062         1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGER BY HIS TAIL 5 4 33 2   21 1¾ (alcoverde erne)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 4.50 11% 8.40 2.10 W
GOLD STAR STUDENT 1 1 1 1   11 2¾ (lavanway dayson)DEONAUTH P 126 12.00 17.80  
SAN GIORGIO 3 7 66 5   33 3(warren kayl)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00 15% 5.80 4.40 S
JUSTIN'S LADY 6 2 45 4   44 44 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 2.50 29% 2.40 2.40  
FIGHT ME 4 8 812 88   754 (figueroa juan)BEVERLY JR 126 8.00 10.20  
ECHO ALPHA SIX 8 6 77 74   56 66 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 126 3.00 5.30  
HUGHIE'S HOLIDAY 7 5 5 64   87 7(ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 15.00 22.10  
BUMPY CUP 2 3 2 32   66 89 (gilmour jim)MORALES ALLYSSA 126 5.00 23% 3.40 7.90  
SCR  ROMEO'S GLORY               (ybarra rudy)OSUNA JESUS 126 20.00    
 
RIL-4   04/02/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
1:123         1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DR. TROUTMAN 8 2 2½ 2nk   2½ 1¼ (silva pablo)NEGRON LUIS 126 2.50 14% 6.10 0.50 W
SHARK HARBOR 1 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 2¼ (magrady ron)JENSEN P 126 4.00 8.20  
TIZ TENACIOUS 4 5 43 3   332 (leon priscill)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00 9% 9.80 17.40 S
EMPEROR'S CHOICE 2 4 32 43   43 4(kern david)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00 7% 13.20 5.50  
ORATORY GLORY 3 8 6 55   55 55 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 3.00 12.10  
OUTLAW BY NATURE 6 6 8 6   66 6(crotts e)ELLIS DEVON 126 15.00 23.80  
BULLY RIDE 7 3 7 89   79 711¼ (ortega monica)GAMEZ M 126 8.00 5% 17.90 16.60  
TRACK BOUND 5 7 55 7   814 821¼ (alvarez sergio)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.00 39% 1.60 6.80  
SCR  BIGGER THAN YOU               (monteverde alva)BAZAN ANTONIO 121 12.00    
SCR  MORE ACTION               (lavanway dayso)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 20.00    
 
RIL-5   04/02/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
1:052         1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINISTERSDON'TLIE 1 2 3 31   3½ 1(lewis i)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.50 30% 2.30 0.40 W
ROYAL TAP 7 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 2(torres-casas j)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 10.00 22.50  
NORTH DAWN 4 1 1½ 2nk   1nk 3(metz jeffrey)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 20.00 24.10  
ALEX'S GIRL 3 4 4 42   41 4(metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 15.00 9.90  
WICKED BLUE 2 6 711 710½   56 511 (tate mary)NEGRON LUIS 126 4.00 16% 5.10 6.20  
HULA KING 5 5 67 6   6612 (metz jeffrey)DEONAUTH P 126 12.00 27.40  
ROCKY JACK 6 7 5 57   7718¾ (leon priscill)MORALES ALLYSSA 126 3.50 15% 5.50 4.10  
SCR  DRAW THE FOUL               (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 3.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  OUR EMPIRE               (rosales jorge)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 6.00    
SCR  SINGANDCRYINDUBAI               (warren kayla)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
RIL-9   04/02/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Budweiser Pima County Classic Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
1:451         1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEEDING STYLE 3 4 4 21 2nk 13 1(metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 8.00 5.90  
TWO GUNS 6 2 3 42 3 23 2(silv)DA FAUSTO 126 4.00 34% 1.90 1.30 P
10  TEXAS LONG BOW 8 1 21 31 4 33 36 (warren kayla)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 15.00 11% 8.30 18.90 S
BIG CITY BANE 2 5 6 5 5 636 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 6.00 19.10 S
TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY 1 6 7 6 6 559 (rosales jor)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 15.00 12.30  
HPNOTIQ RHYTHM 5 3 11 11 1nk 4610½ (silva pablo)NEGRON LUIS 126 12.00 9.10  
PEACE OF EKATI 4 8 8 8 7 7713¾ (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 126 3.50 2.60  
POLITICAL RIOT 7 7 5 7 8 810¾ 828¾ (metz jeffrey)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 4.50 6.70  
SCR  COURAGEOUS               (hop mike)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 10.00    
SCR  MIKE OPERATOR               (nelson amy)BUTTERFLY L 126 2.50 33% 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.