Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Rillito
Sunday - April 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
RIL-1   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/7/1/3)-(4/7/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4)-(6/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
RIL-2   WIN (6/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/2/7)-(6/2/3/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/7)-(6/2/3/5)-(6/10/5/2/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
RIL-3   WIN (6/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/5)-(6/2/3/5/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/5)-(6/2/3/5/8)-(6/2/3/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/2/3/5)-(6/10/5/2/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/5)-(6/10/5/2/8)-(1/2/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
RIL-4   WIN (6/10/5/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/5/2/8)-(6/10/5/2/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (6/10/5/2/8)-(6/10/5/2/8)-(6/10/5/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/10/5/2/8)-(1/2/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
RIL-5   WIN (1/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7)-(1/2/7)-(1/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
RIL-9   WIN (7/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/10)-(7/10/2/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/10)-(7/10/2/8)-(7/10/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
RIL-1   04/02/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOST THE MINISTER Mar11 Feb26 Feb11 Jan14 Dec26 (crotts james)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.00 ★    
2  MIDNIGHT DRAMA Mar11 Mar01 Feb12 Oct01 Sep11 (warren kayla)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 15.00    
3  SWITCH BACK Mar25 Mar11 Feb18 Feb12 Apr24 (cruz omar)BEVERLY JR 126 5.00 ★    
4  CANT DO THE DANSE Feb26 Feb11 Apr03 Mar19 Mar13 (alcoverde ernes)ELLIS DEVON 126 6.00 17% 4.80    
5  BLUE CHIP BETTY Mar19 Mar12 Feb19 Feb12 Feb05 (lavanway )KELLENBERGER KODY 121 8.00    
6  LIL' MISS MISCHIEF Mar05 Aug12 Jun26 May28 May07 (ortega joe)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00    
7  RED HOT CAT Mar11 Feb26 Feb18 Feb04 Jul18 (hernandez da)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.50 ★    
8  CURRENTLY KRAZY Mar19 Feb26 Feb18 Nov25 Nov09 (crotts ja)JENSEN P 126 20.00    
SCR  GOOD OLD FAITHFUL Mar25 Sep09 Aug27     (ortega joe)MORALES ALLYSSA 126 6.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  RETURN TO HARBOR Mar18 Mar05 Apr02 Mar26 Mar12 (kern david)DEONAUTH P 121 10.00    
 
RIL-2   04/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARCTIC FIRE Mar11 Feb26 Aug10     (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 15.00    
2  LOVELY LOLA Feb27 Feb12 Feb08 Jan30 Jan08 (ortega joe)MORALES ALLYSSA 126 2.50 17% 4.70    
3  AWESOME GALAXY Mar25 Mar05 Feb26 Feb18 Jan17 (ybarra rudy)CARBAJAL KEVIN 126 12.00    
4  TOSSAPENNYDOWN Mar19 Sep03 Aug19 Aug06 Jul30 (leon alexis)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 10.00    
5  KIND BUT SHE LIES Mar19 Mar11 Feb26 Feb11 Jan14 (gilmour jim)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.00 18% 4.60    
6  LITTLEQUEENOFMEAN Mar26 Mar19 Mar05 Feb26   (gilmour j)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 3.50 30% 2.30    
7  YOU NEVER CALL Mar26 Mar12 Mar27 Mar05 Feb27 (kern david)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 6.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  DUKE CITY KITTY Mar25 Mar12 Feb26 Feb18 Oct11 (salazar mich)BEVERLY JR 126 20.00    
SCR  SHES A KILLA QUEEN Mar18 Mar05 Feb04 Dec14 Oct15 (rosales j)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.50 ★    
 
RIL-3   04/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD STAR STUDENT Mar26 Feb25 Feb18 Aug31 Aug10 (lavanway dayso)DEONAUTH P 126 12.00    
2  BUMPY CUP Mar25 Mar12 Feb21 Feb02 Jan19 (gilmour jim)MORALES ALLYSSA 126 5.00 23% 3.40    
3  SAN GIORGIO Mar11 Feb26 Sep10 Jul31 Jul17 (warren ka)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00 15% 5.80    
4  FIGHT ME Mar25 Mar18 Feb25 Feb19 Feb05 (figueroa jua)BEVERLY JR 126 8.00    
5  TIGER BY HIS TAIL Mar26 Mar11 Feb25 Feb11 Feb04 (alcoverde er)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 4.50 11% 8.40    
6  JUSTIN'S LADY Mar26 Mar18 Feb25 Jan21 Dec18 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 2.50 29% 2.40    
7  HUGHIE'S HOLIDAY Mar18 Feb26 Feb11 Feb05 Jan17 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 15.00    
8  ECHO ALPHA SIX Mar13 Feb26 Feb18 Jan30 Dec26 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 126 3.00 ★    
SCR  ROMEO'S GLORY Feb25 Feb04 Dec19 Nov29 Nov08 (ybarra rudy)OSUNA JESUS 126 20.00    
 
RIL-4   04/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARK HARBOR Mar18 Mar11 Mar01 Feb07 Jan26 (magrady r)JENSEN P 126 4.00    
2  EMPEROR'S CHOICE Mar25 Mar04 Feb26 Apr24 Mar26 (kern davi)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00 7% 13.20    
3  ORATORY GLORY Mar26 Mar06 Feb19 Jan23 Apr24 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 3.00    
SCR  BIGGER THAN YOU Mar26 Mar19 Mar11 Feb25 Feb05 (monteverde al)BAZAN ANTONIO 121 12.00    
5  TIZ TENACIOUS Mar12 Feb27 Jan23 Jan03 Nov28 (leon prisci)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00 9% 9.80    
6  TRACK BOUND Mar11 Mar04 Feb14 Jan28 Dec13 (alvarez serg)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.00 39% 1.60    
7  OUTLAW BY NATURE Mar25 Mar11 Feb19 Dec10 Nov19 (crotts e)ELLIS DEVON 126 15.00    
8  BULLY RIDE Mar26 Mar19 Mar11 Feb21 Feb05 (ortega monica)GAMEZ M 126 8.00 5% 17.90    
SCR  MORE ACTION Mar26 Feb13 Jan24 Jan11 Jan03 (lavanway day)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 20.00    
10  DR. TROUTMAN Mar25 Mar13 Feb19 Jan25 Dec22 (si)DA FAUSTO 126 2.50 14% 6.10    
 
RIL-5   04/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINISTERSDON'TLIE Mar19 Mar11 Feb19 Feb05 Nov05 (lewis jim)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.50 30% 2.30    
2  WICKED BLUE Mar01 Feb19 Feb02 Jan02 Oct28 (tate mary)LEON A 126 4.00 16% 5.10    
3  ALEX'S GIRL Mar18 Mar05 Feb25 Feb11 Feb04 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 15.00    
4  NORTH DAWN Mar25 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 Jan08 (metz jeffrey)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 20.00    
5  HULA KING Mar11 Mar05 Feb19 Feb05 Jan16 (metz jeffrey)DEONAUTH P 126 12.00    
SCR  DRAW THE FOUL Mar19 Mar04 Feb19 Feb05 Jan24 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 3.00 15% 5.80    
7  ROCKY JACK Feb19 Feb13 Jan12 Dec27 Nov21 (leon prisci)MORALES ALLYSSA 126 3.50 15% 5.50    
8  ROYAL TAP Mar26 Mar18 Mar05 Feb19 Feb11 (torres-casas)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 10.00    
SCR  OUR EMPIRE Mar11 Mar05 Feb21 Feb02 Jan24 (rosales jorg)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 6.00    
SCR  SINGANDCRYINDUBAI Mar26 Mar13 Feb26 Feb11 Jan10 (warren kayla)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.50 5% 19.00    
 
RIL-9   04/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Budweiser Pima County Classic Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE CHARGE DEPUTY Mar19 Mar11 Feb26 Feb19 Dec19 (rosales j)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 15.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of PROMOTED DEPUTY by DEPUTY MINISTER)
2  BIG CITY BANE Mar25 Mar11 Feb11 Jan27 Jan07 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 6.00 ★    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SHEBANE by ALYSHEBA)
SCR  MIKE OPERATOR Mar11 Feb28 Feb06 Jan25 Jan05 (nelson a)BUTTERFLY L 126 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by SHANGHAI BOBBY out of ONE PACIFIC TOWER by CORONADO'S QUEST)
4  SPEEDING STYLE Mar19 Mar04 Feb19 Feb13 Jan26 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 8.00    
  (by CYCLOTRON out of ALWAYS IN STYLE by LUCAYAN PRINCE)
5  PEACE OF EKATI Mar25 Mar18 Dec14 Dec01 Nov08 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 126 3.50    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of LADY AT PEACE by LORD AT WAR (ARG))
6  HPNOTIQ RHYTHM Feb19 Jan26 Jan04 Dec22 Nov28 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 126 12.00    
  (by BAYERN out of BOURBON KITTY by DISCREET CAT)
7  TWO GUNS Mar04 Feb25 Feb15 Jan19 Nov16 (si)DA FAUSTO 126 4.00 34% 1.90    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of FACTFULL by THE FACTOR)
8  POLITICAL RIOT Mar07 Feb21 Feb05 Jan25 Jan02 (metz jeffrey)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 4.50 ★    
  (by TWO STEP SALSA out of POLITICAL MISS by IMPERIALISM)
SCR  COURAGEOUS Mar11 Feb07 Jan12 Dec19 Dec08 (hop mik)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 10.00    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of DYNA VISION by CITY ZIP)
10  TEXAS LONG BOW Mar18 Mar05 Feb18 Feb09 Jan14 (warren kayla)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 15.00 11% 8.30    
  (by CROSSBOW out of DETERMINED DARIA by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.