Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Thursday - July 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-2   TRI (6/5/7/1)-(6/5/7/1)-(6/5/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-6-5 $17.25 $5.25 44%
    DD (5/6/4)-(6/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-7 $14.90 $2.90 24%
SAR-4   EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-3 $17.90 $11.90 198%
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  5-3-6 $38.62 $35.62 1187%
SAR-6   WIN (4/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $8.80 $0.80 10%
    EXA (4/2/6/1)-(4/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-2 $18.60 $6.60 55%
    DD (2/6/9/3)-(4/2/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-6 $17.90 $1.90 12%
SAR-10   WIN (11/14/10/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  14 $18.00 $8.00 80%
    EXA (11/14/10/7/8)-(11/14/10/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00  14-7 $36.25 $16.25 81%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/13/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:13 1:393   1:54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BUSTIN BAY 4 3 21 2½ 2½ 21 11½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 2.50 29% 2.40 1.70 W
1  VIRTUAL REALITY 1 2 11 1½ 1½ 11 21½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 2.25  
2  MIA BEA STAR 2 4 53½ 54½ 56½ 32½ 31¾ (persaud rand)TORRES A 120 10.00 11.10  
6  SABRA TUFF 5 6 65½ 67 69 44½ 43¼ (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 22% 3.60 3.05  
7  OCEAN GATEWAY 6 5 43 43½ 45½ 59 520 (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 7.70  
4  HONEY MONEY 3 1 32½ 32½ 33 612½ 630¼ (pott)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 10.00 19% 4.30 13.20  
SCR  TONED UP               (atras ro)SANTANA JR 125 5.00    
 
SAR-2   07/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SUGAR HI 6 3 2½ 2½   1nk 16 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 2.15 W
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of LAUGHING MATTERS by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  LADY MOSCATO 5 1 1½ 1½   2nk 26 (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 43% 1.30 2.45 P
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of THEYCALLMELADYLUCK by DIXIE UNION)
5  LADY BLITZ 4 6 31½ 42   32½ 36½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 35% 1.90 4.00 S
  (by AUDIBLE out of PATSY'S KIM by DIXIE UNION)
3  CLEARLY A TEST 2 2 69 611½   513 49¾ (camejo m)ORTIZ L 119 10.00 12.10  
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of TESTING ONE TWO by STAR GUITAR)
9  HONEY DIJON 8 5 41½ 31½   47 512 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 10.30  
  (by GIRVIN out of ARCHANGELUS by EMPIRE MAKER)
1  CLASSY MISCHIEF 1 8 818 821   720½ 618 (contessa gar)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 15.50  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CLASSOFSIXTYTHREE by INCLUDE)
8  TAP THE KEG 7 4 53 56   618½ 726¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 34.75  
  (by TAPITURE out of KEY IS TO WIN by DIXIE UNION)
4  SOCA 3 7 710 713½   822½ 831½ (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 6.40  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of RATTATAPTAP by TAPIT)
SCR  EMPIRE ISLAND               (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 2.50    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of GULL ISLAND by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
SAR-3   07/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:214 :444 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DIVA READY 3 3 64¾ 65½   43 11½ (klesaris rob)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 7.90  
9  LINARITE 8 8 87¼ 98   64½ 21½ (donk david)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 23% 3.30 10.40 P
6  SARATOGA GAZE 5 4 21½ 2½   12½ 31½ (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50 8% 11.20 3.10 S
4  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY 4 7 54½ 54½   33 42 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 19% 4.30 3.85  
2  ROSEMARY POTATOES 2 6 75¾ 76½   75 53¾ (aren)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 30.00 5% 19.00 38.75  
10  LA AGUILILLA 9 5 43 43   22½ 64 (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 7.50  
1  FABULOUS FANNY 1 2 33 33   53½ 75½ (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 6.00 5.20  
7  DEVILLY 6 9 98¼ 87½   85½ 85¾ (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00 36.50  
8  LIANA B 7 1 11½ 1½   97 920¼ (kimmel c)SAEZ LUIS 124 5.00 21% 3.90 3.65  
SCR  MOSTLY HARMLESS               (martin carl)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 12.00    
 
SAR-4   07/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:13 1:362   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SALIMAH (IRE) 5 3 23½ 21½ 21½ 11 11½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60 40% 1.50 0.85 W
3  POCA MUCHA 2 6 610 610 44 32½ 21½ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 9% 10.30 9.50 P
6  KALIFORNIA QUEEN (GER) 6 5 45 45 54 54½ 32 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 14% 6.30 7.10 S
1A  MESSIDOR (IRE) 3 2 34½ 33½ 33 44½ 44¼ (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 122 2.50 5.80  
2  SISTER OTOOLE 1 4 59 59 66½ 65½ 55 (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 8.10  
4  STAR DEVINE (IRE) 4 1 13½ 11½ 11½ 21 66¼ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 4.50  
SCR  CANISY               (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50    
SCR  SIXTYTHREECALIBER               (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 0.40    
 
SAR-5   07/13/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:134 1:391   1:522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DUST DEVIL 2 5 66½ 67 53 2½ 1¾ (reynolds patri)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 54% 0.80 1.85 W
8  CUT THE CORD 7 2 24½ 24½ 21 41 2¾ (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00 20.60  
6  PORTOS 5 7 77 77½ 42½ 3½ 32 (morley thomas)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 16% 5.20 1.60 S
9  TWO THIRTY FIVE 8 1 14½ 14½ 11 1½ 42¾ (barrera oscar )ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 7% 13.10 5.40  
3  PIT BOSS 3 3 34½ 35½ 32 52 57¼ (bernardini j)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
1  BOLD VICTORY 1 8 89 89½ 76 65 69½ (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 13.50  
7  SILVER DUST 6 6 56 46 64 78 722½ (barkley )SANTANA JR 118 8.00 12.50  
5  MOUNT TRAVERS 4 4 45½ 56 89 815 837½ (chichakly ami)VELAZQUEZ R 118 30.00 24.50  
SCR  HAMMERIN AAMER               (falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
SCR  OLLIEMYBOY               (bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00    
SCR  STYNER               (englehart j)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00    
 
SAR-6   07/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:22 :45 :562     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  YARROW 6 2 41½ 31½   1½ 12 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 8% 12.10 3.40 W
2  RUNNINGWSCISSORS 2 7 63½ 52½   31 22 (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 126 1.60 17% 4.70 1.50 P
5  WINNERS LAUGH 5 4 1½ 1½   2½ 33¼ (de h)SANTANA JR 122 12.00 22.90  
7  PHANTOM SMOKE 7 1 2½ 2½   41½ 43¾ (miceli michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 4.60  
4  ROUGH DRAFT 4 5 52 63   55 56 (duggan p)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 46% 1.20 3.00  
3  BAR FOURTEEN 3 8 85 74½   68 68 (sells rachel)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 37.50  
9  ME 'N SAP 8 3 74½ 85½   710 79¼ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 30.00 35.25  
1  FOOLISH GHOST 1 6 31½ 42½   812 815¾ (barrera osca)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
SCR  AMUNDSON               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.80    
SCR  BRONX BOMBER               (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00    
SCR  NUEVA YORK               (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 122 30.00    
SCR  RADIO RED               (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00    
 
SAR-7   07/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:114     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTO HAPPINESS 1 8 1011¼ 1014¼   53¾ 13½ (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00 7.00  
5  SA FORADADA 5 3 73¼ 52¾   31 23½ (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 2.15  
8  MURSAL 7 2 31 3½   1nk 33¾ (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 19.60  
7  GRACEFUL ROSE 6 1 21 2nk   2nk 47¾ (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 120 30.00 5% 19.00 30.25  
11  NEED SOME MONEY 10 6 83¾ 87¼   85¾ 57¾ (amoss thom)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 5.70  
4  MY GIRL JAL 4 5 42 63¼   63¾ 68 (summers ch)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 30.00 5% 19.00 63.50  
9  CONDIMENT GIRL 8 4 11 1nk   43½ 79½ (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 3.50 4.00  
3  MISCREANT 3 9 96¾ 97¼   74¼ 810 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 124 20.00 5% 19.00 19.60  
2  CARBON 2 7 52¼ 76¾   106¾ 912½ (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00 36% 1.80 24.50  
10  OBRIGADA 9 10 62¾ 42½   96¼ 1021½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 37% 1.70 3.45  
SCR  ICY REPLY               (ferraro jame)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
 
SAR-8   07/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:13 1:241   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MY SEA COTTAGE (IRE) 4 2 11 11 1½ 11½ 12½ (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 16% 5.10 1.80 W
6  UNLEASH THE POWER 6 6 21 21 2½ 21½ 22½ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00 16% 5.20 3.35 P
5  KINGFISH STEVENS 5 5 32 31½ 41½ 33 33 (martin carlo)CASTELLANO J 118 5.00 28% 2.50 5.10 S
3  FRONT MAN 3 1 54½ 53 53 54½ 43¾ (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 10.00 16.10  
2  BORN A GAMBLER 2 3 43½ 42½ 31½ 43½ 53¾ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00 18% 4.60 5.20  
12  CHILENO 10 8 65 64 64½ 76½ 66¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 8.00 12.30  
9  FOLIAGE (NZ) 8 7 78½ 75 75 66½ 77 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 20.00 35.25  
8  AMERICAN GRANT 7 9 910½ 96 96½ 89 89 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00 54.25  
10  CONSULTANT 9 10 89½ 85 86 99½ 910¼ (klesaris rober)LEZCANO JOSE 123 12.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
1  THUNDERIAN 1 4 1012½ 107½ 109 1013½ 1014 (jacobson dav)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00 41.75  
SCR  BRICCO               (bond har)SANTANA JR 123 20.00    
SCR  DREAMING OF TOGA               (sacco gregor)GEROUX FLORENT 120 20.00    
SCR  DREAMPOINT               (sells rachel)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 15.00    
SCR  SONIC SPEED               (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 125 10.00    
 
SAR-9   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC12 FAST Schuylerville Purse ($175K) 2 F PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BECKY'S JOKER 2 7 41 31   11 13¼ (contessa gar)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 21.20  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BECKY'S BEST by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  SARATOGA SECRET 3 2 2nk 2½   21 23¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 33% 2.10 3.55 P
  (by ARROGATE out of SISTER by FORT LARNED)
6  CLOSING ACT 4 4 52 55   54 36¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 20% 4.00 5.00 S
  (by MUNNINGS out of EVENING SHOW by DEVONGATE)
7  WINE ON TAP 5 1 3½ 41½   43 46¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 21% 3.70 1.15  
  (by TAPIT out of PRINCESS LA QUINTA by QUALITY ROAD)
1  CARMELINA 1 3 1nk 1½   33 510¼ (reid e)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 5.10  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of COMPLETE ST. by ST AVERIL)
11  SUGAR TREAT 7 6 64 67   66 611 (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 5% 19.00 7.80  
  (by ENTICED out of BROWN GLAZE by WAR FRONT)
8  KISS FOR LUCK 6 5 74¼ 77½   76½ 711¼ (reid e)CARMOUCHE K 120 30.00 36.50  
  (by ACCELERATE out of VERO AMORE by MINESHAFT)
SCR  DANCING DIANA               (lawrence jame)VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of OH SCATTY OH by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  MILA JUNES               (sweezey )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of OVER THE ROCKS by OVERANALYZE)
SCR  STATUS SEEKER               (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00    
  (by UPSTART out of CASUAL COCKTAIL by MAGNA GRADUATE)
SCR  UNION SUIT               (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of OJAI by STRAWBERRY ROAD (AUS))
 
SAR-10   07/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:13 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  THUNDARA 12 9 84½ 74¼ 63¼ 2nk 11½ (antonacci phi)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 18% 4.60 8.00 W
7  ARISAEMA 6 12 1210 129¼ 105¾ 42½ 21½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 14% 6.20 1.45 P
12  JANNIE MAE 11 5 1½ 12 11½ 1nk 33¼ (nevin michel)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 19.10  
2  CHARISSE 2 1 74 84¾ 94¾ 63¾ 43½ (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 10.40  
4  STONE OF DESTINY 3 4 32 32 21½ 31½ 55¼ (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 3.90  
5  APRIL FIRST 4 3 95½ 95¼ 116¼ 74¼ 65¼ (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 29.75  
8  MARY KATHERINE 7 10 63 63¾ 74¼ 53½ 75½ (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 6% 14.60 60.50  
9  FOLLOW THE FED 8 8 108 107¾ 84¼ 85¼ 88 (rodriguez r)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 58.50  
1  POWER AND GLORY 1 2 42 53½ 53 95¾ 910¼ (thompson r)JUAREZ NIK 124 20.00 47.50  
6  SO ARE YOU 5 11 119 118¾ 127¼ 1110¼ 1013¼ (goodwin gabriel)USKE S 124 30.00 98.25  
11  PIMENOVA 10 7 52½ 42½ 32½ 109¾ 1115¼ (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 21% 3.70 12.10  
10  HERE WE GO AGAIN 9 6 2½ 22 43 1220¼ 1233¾ (falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 15% 5.60 5.00  
SCR  ALTERINA               (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
SCR  BELLA SONADORA               (figueroa carlos)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
SCR  BERNING HONOR               (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
SCR  SPERSS               (bond harold )TORRES A 113 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.