Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Thursday - July 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-2   Win (6/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (9/8/4/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-4   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (2/6/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (4/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (10/2/3/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-8   Win (5/2/4/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-9   Win (5/7/6/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (11/14/10/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   07/13/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIRTUAL REALITY May28         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00    
2  MIA BEA STAR Jul02 Jun01 May04 Apr21 Apr02 (persaud randi)TORRES A 120 10.00    
SCR  TONED UP May18 Apr21 Mar17 Feb24 Jan28 (atras rob)SANTANA JR 125 5.00    
4  HONEY MONEY Jun15 Apr16 Mar17 Feb12 Dec29 (potts )HUAYAS (JASON) 120 10.00 19% 4.30    
5  BUSTIN BAY Jun01 May04 Apr02 Mar03 Feb19 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 2.50 29% 2.40    
6  SABRA TUFF Jun17 May05 Nov04 Oct07 Sep04 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 22% 3.60    
7  OCEAN GATEWAY Jun02 Apr30 Mar26 Feb12   (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
 
SAR-2   07/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 F PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSY MISCHIEF         (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EMPIRE ISLAND         (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 2.50    
3  CLEARLY A TEST         (camejo m)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
4  SOCA         (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
5  LADY BLITZ Jun16         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 35% 1.90    
6  LADY MOSCATO Jun16         (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
7  SUGAR HI         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  TAP THE KEG         (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
9  HONEY DIJON         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
 
SAR-3   07/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABULOUS FANNY Apr15 Feb12 Jan14 Jul01 May06 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 124 6.00    
2  ROSEMARY POTATOES Jul02 May18 Apr28 Nov17 Nov06 (arenas)HUAYAS (JASON) 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  DIVA READY Nov24 Nov06 Aug19 Jul16 Jul03 (klesaris rober)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
4  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY Jun17 Apr28 Apr08 Nov19 Nov06 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  MOSTLY HARMLESS Jun17 May20 Apr29 Apr02 Jan26 (martin carlos)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 12.00    
6  SARATOGA GAZE May28 Apr22 Mar26 Oct23 Sep23 (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50 8% 11.20    
7  DEVILLY Jun17 May20 Apr28 Feb20 Jan28 (ferraro w)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00    
8  LIANA B Jun11 Apr16 Mar02 Feb02 Dec14 (kimmel c)SAEZ LUIS 124 5.00 21% 3.90    
9  LINARITE Jun24 Jun02 May13 Apr10 Feb26 (donk david)ORTIZ L 124 5.00 23% 3.30    
10  LA AGUILILLA Jun23 Jun16 May20 Apr28 Feb03 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
 
SAR-4   07/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MESSIDOR (IRE) Jun09 May07 Nov20 Oct22 Jul27 (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 122 2.50    
SCR  CANISY Jun16 May19 Apr21 Oct15 Sep17 (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50    
2  SISTER OTOOLE Nov24 Oct23 Aug19 Jul09 May07 (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
3  POCA MUCHA Jun15 Oct21 Sep14 Aug03 Jul10 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 9% 10.30    
4  STAR DEVINE (IRE) Jun16 May07 Apr15 Nov27 Oct16 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00    
5  SALIMAH (IRE) Dec26 Nov13 Sep30 Aug27 Jan22 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.60 40% 1.50    
6  KALIFORNIA QUEEN (GER) May28 Mar11 Nov25 Sep24   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  SIXTYTHREECALIBER Jun24 Jun03 May05 Jan28 Nov25 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 0.40    
 
SAR-5   07/13/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD VICTORY Jun13 Apr12 Feb26 Jan29 Jan05 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
SCR  STYNER Jun26 May10 Apr03 Jan15 Dec08 (englehart jef)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00    
2  DUST DEVIL Jun25 May27 Apr14 Mar25 Feb25 (reynolds patrick)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.00 54% 0.80    
3  PIT BOSS Jun25 May27 May04 Apr14 Mar30 (bernardini jua)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OLLIEMYBOY Jun02 Apr23 Mar02 Jun04 May01 (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00    
5  MOUNT TRAVERS Jun17 May14 Apr14 Mar25 Mar04 (chichakly amira)VELAZQUEZ R 118 30.00    
6  PORTOS Jun10 Apr01 Mar11 Jan28 Dec17 (morley thomas)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 16% 5.20    
7  SILVER DUST May26 May03 Mar26 Feb17 Jan07 (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 118 8.00    
8  CUT THE CORD May31 Mar11 Jul16 Jun27 Jun08 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00    
9  TWO THIRTY FIVE Jun25 May21 Apr29 Mar30 Feb09 (barrera s)ROSARIO JOEL 120 8.00 7% 13.10    
SCR  HAMMERIN AAMER May04 Apr14 Mar25 Feb25 Jan29 (falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
 
SAR-6   07/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOOLISH GHOST Jun22 May21 Apr30 Apr01 Mar12 (barrera oscar )CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  RUNNINGWSCISSORS Jun15 May04 Apr27 Apr01 Feb10 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 126 1.60 17% 4.70    
3  BAR FOURTEEN Jun17 May21 Apr27 Mar01 Jan27 (sells rachel)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00    
4  ROUGH DRAFT Jun17 Apr15 Nov18     (duggan p)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
5  WINNERS LAUGH Mar19 Feb05 Jan07 Apr16 Feb20 (de hor)SANTANA JR 122 12.00    
6  YARROW Jun17 Apr27 Nov20 Oct22 Aug21 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 8% 12.10    
7  PHANTOM SMOKE Jun17 Jan07 Nov18 Oct22 Sep17 (miceli michael)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
SCR  NUEVA YORK Jun13 May29 Nov17 Oct10 Sep20 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 122 30.00    
9  ME 'N SAP Jun17 Apr27 Sep22 Sep04 Aug13 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 30.00    
SCR  RADIO RED May29 May06 Mar04 Feb09 Jan07 (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.00    
SCR  BRONX BOMBER Jun03 Apr20 Apr01 Mar11 Feb02 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00    
SCR  AMUNDSON Jun09 Apr30 Mar05 Jan22 Jan01 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.80    
 
SAR-7   07/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTO HAPPINESS Jun23 Apr21 Apr08 Feb24 Jan12 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00    
2  CARBON Jun16 May20 May04 Apr02 Feb09 (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00 36% 1.80    
3  MISCREANT May11 Mar31 Mar01 Oct14 Aug21 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  MY GIRL JAL Jun16 May26 May14 Apr15 Mar17 (summers chad)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  SA FORADADA Jun01 Jan13 Dec10 Nov11 Aug29 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
SCR  ICY REPLY Jun16 May20 May04 Apr20 Mar25 (ferraro james )CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
7  GRACEFUL ROSE Jun22 May27 May04 Dec30 Nov19 (gorham e)CARMOUCHE K 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  MURSAL Jun04 May19 Mar24 Feb22 Feb01 (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
9  CONDIMENT GIRL Jun17 May04 Mar09 Nov18 Oct21 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 124 3.50    
10  OBRIGADA Jun10 May20 Apr29 Mar30   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
11  NEED SOME MONEY Jun01 May20 Apr28 Apr07 Feb04 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
 
SAR-8   07/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDERIAN Jun25 Jun09 May27 Apr27 Apr15 (jacobson david)GEROUX FLORENT 120 15.00    
2  BORN A GAMBLER Jun25 Jun04 May14 Apr22 Jul15 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00 18% 4.60    
3  FRONT MAN Jun17 Oct23 Sep30 Jul23 Jul01 (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 10.00    
4  MY SEA COTTAGE (IRE) Jun24 May11 Mar17 Jan29 Dec08 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 16% 5.10    
5  KINGFISH STEVENS Jul01 May20 Apr16 Apr02 Mar11 (martin carlos )CASTELLANO J 118 5.00 28% 2.50    
6  UNLEASH THE POWER Jun01 Apr29 Mar02 Feb04 Oct27 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  DREAMPOINT Jun01 May06 Jan12 Dec15 Nov18 (sells rachel)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 15.00    
8  AMERICAN GRANT Jun25 May14 Apr27 Mar31 Feb25 (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
9  FOLIAGE (NZ) Jun23 May26 Apr21 Mar30 May14 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 20.00    
10  CONSULTANT Jun17 Nov07 Oct23 Oct14 Sep09 (klesaris robert )LEZCANO JOSE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRICCO May28 May14 Apr16 Nov05 Jul22 (bond harol)SANTANA JR 123 20.00    
12  CHILENO May28 Apr19 Mar11 Feb10 Aug20 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 8.00    
SCR  SONIC SPEED Jun22 May28 Dec16 Oct29 Oct09 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 125 10.00    
SCR  DREAMING OF TOGA May27 Apr16 Mar15 Feb19   (sacco gregory )GEROUX FLORENT 120 20.00    
 
SAR-9   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC12 FAST Schuylerville Purse ($175K) 2 F PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARMELINA Jun18         (reid e)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
2  BECKY'S JOKER         (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
SCR  UNION SUIT Jun11 May10       (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00    
SCR  STATUS SEEKER Jun02         (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00    
5  SARATOGA SECRET Jun23         (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 33% 2.10    
6  CLOSING ACT Jun11 May11       (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 20% 4.00    
7  WINE ON TAP Jun18         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
8  KISS FOR LUCK May23         (reid e)CARMOUCHE K 120 30.00    
SCR  DANCING DIANA Jun17         (lawrence james )VELAZQUEZ R 120 6.00    
SCR  MILA JUNES Jun16         (sweezey j )GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
11  SUGAR TREAT Jun10         (casse mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-10   07/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWER AND GLORY Jun23 Jun01 May04 Oct13 Aug11 (thompson r)JUAREZ NIK 124 20.00    
2  CHARISSE Jun03 May05 Apr08 Mar11   (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
SCR  BELLA SONADORA Mar18         (figueroa carlos)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
4  STONE OF DESTINY Jun17         (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50    
5  APRIL FIRST Jun24 May18 Apr22 Dec02 Oct23 (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
6  SO ARE YOU Nov01 Aug31 Jul06 Jun15   (goodwin gabriel)USKE S 124 30.00    
7  ARISAEMA Jun01 Apr15 Feb12 Oct29 Jul16 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 14% 6.20    
8  MARY KATHERINE Jun24 May18 Apr22     (lynch nata)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 20.00 6% 14.60    
9  FOLLOW THE FED Jun15 May13 Mar03 Feb17 Jan14 (rodriguez rud)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
10  HERE WE GO AGAIN Nov06 Oct08 Sep15 Aug10   (falcone n)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 15% 5.60    
11  PIMENOVA Jun15 Apr22 Mar12 Jan14 Oct29 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 21% 3.70    
12  JANNIE MAE Jun23 Apr14 Oct22 Sep24 Aug12 (nevin michelle)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00    
SCR  ALTERINA Jun15         (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00    
14  THUNDARA         (antonacci phili)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  SPERSS Jun01 Apr14 Jan14     (bond ja)TORRES A 113 10.00    
SCR  BERNING HONOR Jun17 May05 Feb26 Jan19 Oct08 (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.