Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belterra Park
Saturday - April 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-2   EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-6 $13.90 $7.90 132%
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-6-1 $31.55 $28.55 952%
BTP-3   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $5.80 $1.80 45%
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(1/4/6)-(6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00  5/6-4-5 $11.80 $2.80 31%
BTP-4   EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-1 $11.40 $5.40 90%
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-1-2 $11.25 $8.25 275%
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(6/5)-(4/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00  4-5-4 $12.50 $3.50 39%
    PK4 (6/5/2)-(1/4/6)-(6/5)-(4/2/1) 54 $0.50 $27.00  5/6-4-5-4 $34.30 $7.30 27%
BTP-6   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $5.20 $1.20 30%
BTP-7   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $37.80 $31.80 530%
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-4 $37.50 $31.50 525%

Simulator Race results

 
BTP-1   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:25
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAT THE DEALER 5 1 31 1nk   11 1hd (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 121 3.00 37% 1.70 0.80 W
JUST TAPIT IN 2 5 5 4   4 2hd (waltermire br)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 6.00 11% 8.50 2.60 P
STREAKY 3 3 2nk 3½   21 3½ (bennett c)MCKEE J 121 4.50 6.40  
THE PINK Z 1 4 1nk 2nk   32 46 (silva fernand)CANUTO THIAGO 121 4.00 3.10  
HEIDI'S SINATRA 4 2 4 56   5 57 (haehn terry )WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 10.00 31.90  
SCR  WORTHY OPPONENT               (miller )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 121 2.00 24% 3.10    
 
BTP-2   04/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
See original race card.
:223 :463       1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY LIVERMORE 4 4 5 4   37 1 (jordan rick)CANUTO THIAGO 125 2.50 19% 4.30 0.90 W
SOULSTONE 6 5 2 24   2 2 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 4.50 11% 7.90 10.70 P
HER TIME IS NOW 1 2 1 14   1 3 (baez sergio)OUZTS W 119 4.00 45% 1.20 2.40 S
STELLAR LEGACY 5 6 6 3   411 4 (delong ben)MAYTA J 119 3.50 4.40  
AUGURI (ARG) 2 3 35 611½   515 513 (cline rob)CORREA L 119 5.00 17.80  
TIZ BIZ 3 1 4 510½   617 618¼ (brafford miche)ELLIOTT JANE 125 6.00 10.20  
 
BTP-3   04/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
See original race card.
:261 :522 1:17 1:291   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED 5 1 21 31 2½ 1½ 1 (howard john )MARCANO Y 116 4.50 19% 4.30 1.90 W
BRONX 1 2 11 1½ 1½ 2½ 2 (adams l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 4.00 3.10  
Z U AT THE RACES 4 5 42 42 3 3 3 (vaughn terry)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.00 4.70 S
ELI 2 3 32 2½ 4 4 4 (macias adolfo)CRUZ JUAN 121 5.00 9.00  
ENGLISH CLASSIC 6 6 5 54 59 59 5 (wong jonathan)REYES R 121 2.50 43% 1.30 2.10  
KICK IT CHARLIE 3 4 6 65 614 614 616¾ (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 121 8.00 22.10  
 
BTP-4   04/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:133 1:26   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGHTVILLE 4 2 11 1 13 15 110¼ (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.00 23% 3.40 1.70 W
HIGH POWERED 1 1 21 2 34 25 210¼ (anderso)DE CRUZ 121 3.50 19% 4.20 3.80 P
KING'S MISCHIEF 2 4 3 33 23 3 316½ (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 2.00 19% 4.20 1.90 S
TORNADO BOY 3 6 66 5 48 411½ 419¼ (nocero carmino)FELIX E 121 12.00 14.10  
BIG FRANK 5 5 5 69 612 616 522½ (miller )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 121 4.50 8.30  
SUBDUED 6 3 4 4 510½ 514½ 623 (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 121 6.00 5.90  
 
BTP-5   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:22 :454 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GABE 5 1 2½ 2   1 1 (hiles a)MCKEE J 117 5.00 3.30  
BLUE NORTHER 3 5 5 33   3 2 (wells duane)OUZTS W 123 2.00 50% 1.00 1.90 P
MY GRASS IS BLUE 1 4 1½ 1   2 310¼ (pitts dan)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 3.50 1.60  
OVER CALENDARED 6 2 42 43   44 410¾ (hernandez ja)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 8.00 15.20  
SUPER BROTHER 2 7 7 6   56 512½ (skeens jeremy)MOJICA JR 123 4.50 12% 7.30 6.10  
OXWOOD 4 6 32 5   68 615½ (woodbury judy)AYALA ISAIAS 123 10.00 20.10  
WEAPON 7 3 6 7   710 718¼ (alessi james)REYES R 123 20.00 33.80  
SCR  TOM'S LAST GENERAL               (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 118 20.00 10% 8.80    
 
BTP-6   04/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:23 :464       1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST ROO 2 5 2½ 11   2½ 1 (sims ph)DE CRUZ 123 3.50 9% 9.80 1.60 W
BAYOU SHACK 3 4 4 3   1½ 2 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 123 4.00 3.60  
KOBE BEACH 4 7 7 711   45 3 (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 123 6.00 12.30 S
GOLDEN SURVIVOR 6 1 1½ 21   32 4 (wong jonathan)REYES R 123 2.00 60% 0.70 1.50  
REVERE NOTE 5 2 3 4   57 510¾ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 117 10.00 18.90  
READY TO SHAKE 7 3 64 59   69 613½ (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 118 8.00 10.20  
CONGRATS FOR GLORY 1 6 54 610   711½ 718¼ (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 10.00 32.50  
 
BTP-7   04/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:14 1:27   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUBINSTEIN 5 1 2½ 1nk 14 12 1 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 8.00 21% 3.70 17.90 W
WHISKEY ROAN 3 3 1½ 2nk 24 22 2 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 125 3.50 21% 3.70 0.90 P
FATHER PATRICK 2 4 43 42 37 36 3 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 123 5.00 5.30  
MONKEY ZONE 1 2 5 53 5 4 410¼ (curtsinger mar)LEZCANO ABEL 123 4.50 6.00  
TOP HAT BLITZ 4 5 3 31 47 512½ 515 (adams l)HESS SARA 118 3.00 1.80  
SCR  RAL COPPERHEADROAD               (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 2.50 26% 2.90    
 
BTP-8   04/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.5K) 3 F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:224 :464 :584     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OBRIGADA 3 1 2nk 11   13 1 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 123 12.00 1.40  
  (by ALTERNATION out of YOU'RE WELCOME by PULPIT)
MEET IN SECRET 6 4 31 32   23 2 (brafford miche)ELLIOTT JANE 123 4.50 3.20 P
  (by KARAKONTIE out of POLA'S PLACE by OUT OF PLACE)
LOVE MY CANDY 2 5 42 4   4 3 (reed r)FELIX E 123 2.50 4.50  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MARIA'S CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
IT FACTOR 1 2 1nk 21   3 4 (anderso)DE CRUZ 123 3.50 24% 3.10 3.90  
  (by THE FACTOR out of JUST A LITTLE HOPE by FLATTER)
THIS IS ANFIELD 4 3 53 610½   6 525½ (wells duane)OUZTS W 123 20.00 21.70  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of RUTHIT by PULPIT)
SWEET TORI PAT 5 6 66 5   57 627¾ (jackson jeffr)CANUTO THIAGO 123 15.00 23.60  
  (by MSHAWISH out of SWEET MAXINE by VALUE PLUS)
RUNAWAY WILLIE 7 7 77 718½   715½ 731¼ (ward dean)MOJICA JR 123 20.00 21% 3.80 7.60  
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of WILHELMINA by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SCR  LEAFLET               (drury jr)MCKEE J 123 4.00 28% 2.60    
  (by BLAME out of LONG LEAF by PROUD CITIZEN)
SCR  TWELVE SHARP               (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 123 12.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of EUPHORIA by AVENUE OF FLAGS)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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