Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Ellis Park
Saturday - June 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ELP-1   WIN (8/10/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $7.30 $1.30 22%
ELP-4   EXA (7/5/1/10)-(7/5/1/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-5 $77.96 $53.96 225%
ELP-5   EXA (7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-3 $26.28 $2.28 10%
    TRI (7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-3-5 $26.22 $14.22 119%
    DD (7/5/1/10)-(7/5/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-1 $18.67 $2.67 17%
ELP-8   EXA (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-3 $124.54 $100.54 419%
    TRI (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-3-1 $148.50 $136.50 1138%
    SFT (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 24 $0.10 $2.40  5-3-1-4 $126.20 $123.80 5158%
ELP-9   DD (4/5/1/3)-(5/1/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00  5-6 $23.01 $7.01 44%
ELP-10   EXA (4/3/7/8)-(4/3/7/8/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00  4-8 $75.60 $43.60 136%
    PK3 (4/5/1/3)-(5/1/6/9)-(4/3/7/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00  5-6-4 $56.54 $24.54 77%

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   06/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :454       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISS 6 2 1 1½   1nk 1¼ (alvarado )TORRES A 119 3.00 53% 0.90 2.65 W
  (by ARMY MULE out of NASTY NOOZIE by PARTNER'S HERO)
ZADORSKY 2 3 3 31   2nk 2¼ (catalano )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 2.42  
  (by TAPITURE out of FINGERPRINT by COMPETITIVE EDGE)
STAIRSTEP TOHEAVEN 1 6 53 42   4 3 (sims p)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 12.01  
  (by TAPITURE out of MISS GRIDLEY by STREET BOSS)
EDISTRUDIS 7 4 2 2½   33 4 (gutierrez fau)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 21.16  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HOME AGAIN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
CAT'S CAVE 4 5 8 65   6 510 (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 10.00 5% 19.00 21.51  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of AWESOME MANEUVER by AWESOME AGAIN)
14  WEE BIT O MISCHIEF 11 9 7 54   56 610½ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 7.07  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of LA CANELA by CONGRATS)
10  SHIMMERING ALLURE 8 11 10 77   7 711¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 24% 3.10 3.99  
  (by ENTICED out of SHIMMERING TALE by WILD AGAIN)
PARTAKE 3 1 64 8   810¼ 816½ (wojczynski j)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 15.00 46.34  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of MINCE by WAR FRONT)
13  DANCING PRINCESS 10 10 11 1111   1014¼ 919¾ (spicer jame)PETERSON FERRIN 119 8.00 16.93  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CASTINETTE DANCER by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
11  WORLD SHOWCASE 9 8 4 9   912¾ 1023½ (ortiz john)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 15.18  
  (by HONOR CODE out of JEREMIAH JEWEL by BODEMEISTER)
SEAU N'TAP 5 7 9 1010½   1114¼ 1127½ (caramori cai)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 54.78  
  (by TAPIZAR out of RED WHITE AND BLU by TIZNOW)
SCR  AFFECTIONATE               (caramori )TORRES A 119 10.00    
  (by TEN SOVEREIGNS out of DOROTHY B by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
SCR  BAYTOWN KITTY CAT               (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 3.50    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ELEMENTSOFHARMONY by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  CATTY CRUISE               (vance d)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of STOCKINGS by HENNESSY)
SCR  CLOSING PRAYER               (baker ja)RODRIGUEZ A 114 12.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of CLOSING STATEMENT by BLAME)
SCR  NAUGHTY MISS               (roberson )HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of INCLUDING by INCLUDE)
 
ELP-2   06/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:092     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAMUTANAATTY 5 1 1 11   12 1 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00 2.11  
RIDER'S SPECIAL 6 5 55 4   34 2 (asmussen )TORRES A 125 4.00 8.23  
MIDASWELLRUN 2 6 4 6   44 34 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 123 8.00 11.32  
SUPREMELY 1 3 2 21   22 4 (foley greg)LANERIE J 123 5.00 5.02  
AERONAUT 7 4 3 31   5 5 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00 5% 19.00 15.92  
LUPO'S LEGACY 3 7 66 53   6 610¼ (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 3.50 65% 0.50 3.14  
STAND FOR FREEDOM 4 2 7 7   7 711½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 4.00 3.25  
 
ELP-3   06/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:224 :451 1:10 1:222   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTRA ANEJO 5 4 24 24 11 14 1 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 0.60 51% 1.00 0.43 W
TALL BOY 3 3 4 4 21 24 2 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 9.19  
CLASSIC LEGACY 4 2 59 512½ 512½ 416½ 323¼ (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 2.00 28% 2.60 3.12 S
WESTERN GHENT 1 5 34 34 4 316 430¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 23.44  
TAKE THE CHARGE 2 1 14 14 34 517 552½ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 15.00 6.45  
SCR  AUTO GLIDE               (asmussen stev)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
 
ELP-4   06/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOUDIN 6 1 6 5   11 1 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.00 37% 1.70 1.80 W
SCOTCH NO ROCKS 4 3 5 4   21 2 (roberson )HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 23% 3.40 19.56 P
SECRET EDGE 5 9 911¼ 99   8 3 (hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00 12.26  
STAYINYOURLANE 7 7 7 74   4 4 (medina tomas)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 6.97  
11  SERGEANT COUNTZLER 9 4 8 6   66 5 (hiles ric)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 4.12  
10  HAIL ALLEN 8 2 3½ 2nk   3 6 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 5.09  
KVETCHING MAW 2 6 1½ 1nk   5 712 (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 35.84  
CLOSE KNIT 1 8 4 84   9 818 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 117 10.00 16% 5.20 7.14  
GARY'S FLYING LION 3 5 2½ 3.2   7 918¼ (o'connor r)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 10.00 9.09  
SCR  BEAU DAY               (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 12.00    
SCR  PERFECT THUNDER               (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
 
ELP-5   06/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:46
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:124 1:244   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWIN MISCHIEF 1 1 1nk 1nk 2½ 1nk 1¼ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 22% 3.60 2.98 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FRONT RANGE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
EXCELLENT QUESTION 3 2 42 5 5 3 2¼ (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 7% 14.40 4.30 P
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SWEET SUE by DESERT CLASSIC)
VANISHED 5 3 2nk 2nk 1½ 2nk 3¼ (pletcher a)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 25% 3.10 1.65 S
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ELUSIVE PEARL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
LACIE BE GOOD 4 4 5 4 41 4 4 (amoss tho)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 28.84  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LACIE SLEW by MINESHAFT)
COPPA GIRL 7 8 8 8 6 55 58 (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 2.50 27% 2.70 2.63  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HALLIE GAY by SUMMER BIRD)
CATHERINE BLAZE 8 7 7 7 8 78 611 (leonard )RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00 51.42  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CARRIE by GONE ASTRAY)
EVIE'S ENCORE 2 6 6 6 7 8 711¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 28.87  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of LANGTRY by STREET SENSE)
RAGGITY SAND 6 5 3½ 3½ 31 66 812¾ (pessin l)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 27.42  
  (by UNION RAGS out of ISLAND SAND by TABASCO CAT)
 
ELP-6   06/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:242 :472 1:113 1:24   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MUGSY MALONE 8 5 2½ 2½ 1½ 1 1 (contreras ciprian)EMIGH A 124 5.00 3.16  
MAD ADAM 4 1 55 5 54 44 2 (amoss m)LANERIE J 124 8.00 12% 7.30 9.82 P
HEY BOSS 3 7 67 64 4 2 3 (gutierrez faus)CASTANON L 124 8.00 5.42  
BRIT'S WIT 6 4 4 4 3 34 44 (ortiz joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 12.00 14% 6.30 8.50  
10  LEVEE PROUD 7 2 1½ 1½ 2½ 5 513¾ (michael brian)COURT K 124 12.00 17.11  
PRIMER DIMER 1 3 3 3 6 6 616½ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 23% 3.40 2.83  
NORDIC LIGHT 5 8 7 7 7 712¼ 718¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00 17% 4.80 2.67  
STUD PUPPY 2 6 812½ 811 812¼ 815¼ 821¾ (zito p)BEJARANO R 124 20.00 31.62  
SCR  EL FRANCO               (norris mike)NAVAS YOEL 117 12.00    
SCR  PICO D'ORO               (caramori)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50    
SCR  WESLEYAN               (vance tho)TORRES A 124 20.00    
 
ELP-7   06/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:222 :45 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OBRIGADA 7 2 21 21   2nk 1 (barkley ja)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00 14.66  
FAST GISELLE 5 1 11 11   1nk 2 (galindo-torres c)NAVAS YOEL 116 2.50 48% 1.10 2.70 P
LOVE OF MY LIFE 2 4 43 33   33 3 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 15.00 14.50  
PROUD FOOT 1 7 68 5   45 4 (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00 9% 10.00 5.40  
HOLIDAY DECISION 4 6 79 610½   5 512¾ (delacruz joe)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 13% 6.50 12.41  
JUST LIKE MAGIC 6 5 56 712   712½ 625½ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 1.60 0.91  
ELECTRIC SENSE 3 3 3 4   69 727 (delong ben)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00 15.70  
SCR  ALWAYS ANGELS               (ortiz joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00    
 
ELP-8   06/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:11
See original race card.
:22 :441 1:083     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLAM DUNK SERMON 5 3 3 4   2½ 1¼ (vance d)LANERIE J 120 4.00 28% 2.60 2.88 W
TILTED TOWERS 3 2 2nk 1½   1½ 2¼ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 10.00 8% 11.90 10.88 P
BLUE KENTUCKY 1 5 7 7   4 3 (sims matth)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50 11% 8.10 4.61 S
SOLIDIFY 4 9 9 9   66 44 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 113 6.00 29% 2.50 10.23  
SOARING BIRD 6 7 6 55   55 5 (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 5.33  
SHADY EMPIRE 2 1 1nk 2½   3 6 (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 3.00 2.54  
TIZ OF THEE 9 6 5 65   9 711 (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 8.00 24.62  
SPEND BENJAMINS 8 8 8 8   8 811 (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 11.16  
CAN'T HUSH THIS 7 4 43 32   76 912 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 22.59  
 
ELP-9   06/10/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:122 1:363   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIWANAKU 6 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 1nk 1hd (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 4.00 8% 11.60 2.51 W
SAQEEL 7 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 2nk 2hd (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 12.00 14.03  
THE PRINCE'S SPUR 1 6 3 3 32 32 3¾ (bauer phil)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.50 24% 3.10 4.03 S
JR'S GIFT 4 4 7 7 7 65 43 (andrade )RODRIGUEZ A 124 20.00 53.72  
EMPIRESTRIKESFAST 3 5 42 53 54 5 5 (mott william )GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.50 3.70  
PROVE WORTHY 5 8 86 85 8 7 6 (pletcher a)BEJARANO R 120 4.50 33% 2.00 3.59  
MY UNCLE LEON 8 3 52 4 42 4 7 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 28.81  
QUATERNION 2 9 9 9 9 8 8 (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00 14.11  
TEN GAUGE 9 7 6 6 6 9 96 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 8% 11.70 7.75  
 
ELP-10   06/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:22 :444 1:093     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TSHIEBWE 4 7 4 4   1 17 (pletcher t)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00 55% 0.80 1.29 W
ACTIVE DUTY (FR) 8 8 810¾ 9   55 27 (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM null   5% 19.00 21.33 P
CAFE RACER 5 6 6 5   34 3 (stall albert )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 41.85  
OWN THE FIELD 7 2 7 6   8 4 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.46  
ST. ELMO 6 10 1014¼ 1011½   7 59 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 10.86  
BOBWHITE BOBBY 1 11 910¾ 8   45 6 (von don)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 30.79  
ALILNALOT 3 5 3.2 1½   2 7 (catalano )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 20% 4.10 5.63  
BLOCKED 2 4 1nk 2½   6 812¾ (caramori )TORRES A 118 20.00 16.54  
11  FIGHTING BACK 11 9 1114½ 1111¾   912¼ 916 (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 15.74  
10  SHADY DAREDEVIL 10 1 2nk 31   1015¼ 1034¾ (casse norm)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00 7.47  
AZTECA STAR 9 3 5 7   1121¼ 1157¾ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 10.00 7.96  
SCR  SMOKE WAGON               (engler j)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.