Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Ellis Park
Saturday - June 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   WIN (8/10/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/10/6)-(8/10/9/14/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/10/6)-(8/10/9/14/6)-(8/10/9/14/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/10/6)-(3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (8/10/6)-(3/7)-(6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ELP-2   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/1/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/1/7)-(3/1/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/7)-(6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/7)-(6/5)-(7/5/1/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ELP-3   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(7/5/1/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(7/5/1/10)-(7/5/1/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
ELP-4   WIN (7/5/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/10)-(7/5/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/10)-(7/5/1/10)-(7/5/1/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/1/10)-(7/5/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1/10)-(7/5/1/3)-(1/6/9/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
ELP-5   WIN (7/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/1/3)-(1/6/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1/3)-(1/6/9/5)-(6/5/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ELP-6   WIN (1/6/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/9/5)-(1/6/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/9/5)-(1/6/9/5)-(1/6/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/9/5)-(6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/9/5)-(6/5/1)-(4/5/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ELP-7   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(4/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(4/5/1/3)-(5/1/6/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ELP-8   WIN (4/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/3)-(5/1/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/3)-(5/1/6/9)-(4/3/7/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
ELP-9   WIN (5/1/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/9)-(5/1/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/9)-(5/1/6/9)-(5/1/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/6/9)-(4/3/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ELP-10   WIN (4/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/8)-(4/3/7/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/8)-(4/3/7/8/2)-(4/3/7/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELP-1   06/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NAUGHTY MISS         (roberson )HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of INCLUDING by INCLUDE)
2  STAIRSTEP TOHEAVEN Apr26         (sims p)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of MISS GRIDLEY by STREET BOSS)
SCR  CATTY CRUISE         (vance d)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of STOCKINGS by HENNESSY)
4  ZADORSKY         (catalano )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of FINGERPRINT by COMPETITIVE EDGE)
5  PARTAKE         (wojczynski j)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 15.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of MINCE by WAR FRONT)
6  CAT'S CAVE         (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of AWESOME MANEUVER by AWESOME AGAIN)
7  SEAU N'TAP         (caramori cai)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of RED WHITE AND BLU by TIZNOW)
8  KISS May13         (alvarado )TORRES A 119 3.00 53% 0.90    
  (by ARMY MULE out of NASTY NOOZIE by PARTNER'S HERO)
9  EDISTRUDIS         (gutierrez fau)MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 ★    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HOME AGAIN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  SHIMMERING ALLURE         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 24% 3.10    
  (by ENTICED out of SHIMMERING TALE by WILD AGAIN)
11  WORLD SHOWCASE         (ortiz john)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of JEREMIAH JEWEL by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  CLOSING PRAYER         (baker ja)RODRIGUEZ A 114 12.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of CLOSING STATEMENT by BLAME)
13  DANCING PRINCESS         (spicer jame)PETERSON FERRIN 119 8.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CASTINETTE DANCER by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
14  WEE BIT O MISCHIEF         (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 ★    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of LA CANELA by CONGRATS)
SCR  AFFECTIONATE         (caramori )TORRES A 119 10.00    
  (by TEN SOVEREIGNS out of DOROTHY B by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
SCR  BAYTOWN KITTY CAT May29 Apr12       (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 3.50    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ELEMENTSOFHARMONY by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
ELP-2   06/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPREMELY May19 Apr21 Mar22 Feb11 Dec19 (foley greg)LANERIE J 123 5.00 ★    
2  MIDASWELLRUN May19 Nov19 Oct19 Sep01 Apr28 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 123 8.00    
3  LUPO'S LEGACY Jun01 May13 Apr13 Mar12 Oct29 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 3.50 65% 0.50    
4  STAND FOR FREEDOM Apr21 Mar04 Jan25 Dec28 Nov23 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 4.00    
5  LAMUTANAATTY May06 Apr22 Apr02 Mar12 Mar04 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.00    
6  RIDER'S SPECIAL May21 Apr29 Apr01 Jun04 Apr30 (asmussen )TORRES A 125 4.00    
7  AERONAUT May19 Apr07 Mar15 Feb18 Jan21 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-3   06/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AUTO GLIDE May25 May06 Apr01 Jul24   (asmussen stev)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 15.00    
2  WESTERN GHENT May06 Mar30 Feb18 Jan28 Jan01 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00    
3  TAKE THE CHARGE Dec19 Nov20 Oct20 Sep07 Aug24 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
4  TALL BOY May06 Dec17 Nov26 Sep05 Aug13 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
5  CLASSIC LEGACY May06 Mar11 Feb11 Dec03 Oct22 (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 2.00 28% 2.60    
6  EXTRA ANEJO May06 Oct13       (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 0.60 51% 1.00    
 
ELP-4   06/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOSE KNIT Apr14 Mar11 Jan28 Dec29 Nov23 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 117 10.00 16% 5.20    
2  KVETCHING MAW Apr22         (leitch dan)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
3  GARY'S FLYING LION May21         (o'connor r)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 10.00    
SCR  PERFECT THUNDER May11 Apr23 Mar19     (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
5  SCOTCH NO ROCKS May21 Apr29 Feb17 Feb04 Dec30 (roberson )HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 23% 3.40    
6  SECRET EDGE Apr29 Aug27 Aug12     (hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00    
7  BOUDIN May18 Jan27 Nov17 Oct28 Sep30 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
8  STAYINYOURLANE May18 Apr29 Mar24     (medina tomas)GILLIGAN JACK 118 10.00    
SCR  BEAU DAY Feb24 Feb03 Oct30 Oct09   (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 12.00    
10  HAIL ALLEN May21 Apr29 Apr22 Mar10 Feb04 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  SERGEANT COUNTZLER May18 Feb04 Nov03 May12 Apr20 (hiles ric)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00    
 
ELP-5   06/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIN MISCHIEF May05 Mar25 Aug14     (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FRONT RANGE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  EVIE'S ENCORE May13         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of LANGTRY by STREET SENSE)
3  EXCELLENT QUESTION May05 Sep23 Aug07     (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 7% 14.40    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of SWEET SUE by DESERT CLASSIC)
4  LACIE BE GOOD May20 Oct02 Aug06     (amoss tho)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LACIE SLEW by MINESHAFT)
5  VANISHED May13         (pletcher a)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 25% 3.10    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ELUSIVE PEARL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  RAGGITY SAND Apr29 Mar25 Jan21     (pessin l)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of ISLAND SAND by TABASCO CAT)
7  COPPA GIRL May05         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HALLIE GAY by SUMMER BIRD)
8  CATHERINE BLAZE Apr28 Apr13 Mar24 Mar05 Feb18 (leonard )RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CARRIE by GONE ASTRAY)
 
ELP-6   06/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRIMER DIMER Apr14 Mar18 Mar02 Feb04 Jan13 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  PICO D'ORO May19 Feb18 Jan22 Nov21 Nov08 (caramori)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50    
3  STUD PUPPY Apr30 Apr14 Mar18 Mar02 Dec13 (zito p)BEJARANO R 124 20.00    
4  HEY BOSS Apr02 Feb17 Feb01 Nov27 Oct27 (gutierrez faus)CASTANON L 124 8.00    
5  MAD ADAM Mar22 Mar10 Jan12 Dec16 Oct05 (amoss thomas )GILLIGAN JACK 124 8.00 12% 7.30    
6  NORDIC LIGHT Apr29 Apr13 Mar15 Feb11 Jan05 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 6.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  EL FRANCO Apr01 Mar10 Feb18 Jan20 Dec30 (norris mike)NAVAS YOEL 117 12.00    
SCR  WESLEYAN Apr28 Apr14 Mar30 Mar11 Feb26 (vance tho)TORRES A 124 20.00    
9  BRIT'S WIT May11 Mar18 Feb18 Jan02 Nov27 (ortiz joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 12.00 14% 6.30    
10  LEVEE PROUD May08 Apr01 Jul29 Jun02 Apr30 (michael brian)COURT K 124 12.00    
11  MUGSY MALONE Jun02 May12 Mar11 Dec30 Nov18 (contreras ciprian)EMIGH A 124 5.00    
 
ELP-7   06/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROUD FOOT May20 May03 Apr08 Mar11 Feb26 (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00 9% 10.00    
2  LOVE OF MY LIFE May13 Mar23 Feb05 Dec14 Nov17 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 15.00    
SCR  ALWAYS ANGELS May05 Apr08 Mar25 Feb11 Jan15 (ortiz joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00    
4  ELECTRIC SENSE May02 Mar24 Feb10 Dec23 Nov20 (delong ben)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00    
5  HOLIDAY DECISION May19 Apr26 Mar29 Mar13 Jan26 (delacruz joe)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 13% 6.50    
6  FAST GISELLE May13 Apr26 Apr01 Mar09 Feb18 (galindo-torres c)NAVAS YOEL 116 2.50 48% 1.10    
7  JUST LIKE MAGIC May19 Apr07 Feb25 Dec26 Nov27 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 1.60    
8  OBRIGADA May20 Apr29 Mar30     (barkley ja)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00    
 
ELP-8   06/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE KENTUCKY May13 Apr20 Feb17 Jan18 Jan01 (sims matth)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.50 11% 8.10    
2  SHADY EMPIRE May06 Mar10 Feb05 Nov13 Oct28 (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 3.00    
3  TILTED TOWERS May25 Apr20 Mar16 Feb25 Jan27 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 10.00 8% 11.90    
4  SOLIDIFY May13 May04 Mar31 Mar10 Jan27 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 113 6.00 29% 2.50    
5  SLAM DUNK SERMON May13 Apr15 Mar23 Mar10 Jan14 (vance d)LANERIE J 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
6  SOARING BIRD May13 Apr19 Mar10 Feb09 Jan01 (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00    
7  CAN'T HUSH THIS Jan08 Dec11 Nov23 Oct27 Oct12 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00    
8  SPEND BENJAMINS May06 Apr22 Mar26 Mar10 Feb20 (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
9  TIZ OF THEE Mar17 Feb09 Jan07 Nov03 Mar25 (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 8.00    
 
ELP-9   06/10/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE PRINCE'S SPUR May11 Oct22 Oct01 Aug24 Jul22 (bauer phil)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.50 24% 3.10    
2  QUATERNION May06 Mar18 Feb18 Jan21   (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 120 12.00    
3  EMPIRESTRIKESFAST Apr15 Mar11       (mott william )GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.50    
4  JR'S GIFT May13 Apr12 Mar02 Feb17 Feb03 (andrade )RODRIGUEZ A 124 20.00    
5  PROVE WORTHY May02 Mar11 Jan21     (pletcher a)BEJARANO R 120 4.50 33% 2.00    
6  TIWANAKU May11 Mar26 Nov02 Oct01 Sep03 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124 4.00 8% 11.60    
7  SAQEEL Apr02 Mar19 Feb25 Feb10 Nov18 (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 12.00    
8  MY UNCLE LEON May14 Apr21 Mar25 Mar04 Oct07 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00    
9  TEN GAUGE Apr30 Apr16 Mar17 Feb24 Jan28 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 8% 11.70    
 
ELP-10   06/10/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOBWHITE BOBBY         (von don)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00    
2  BLOCKED Mar18 Aug26 Aug07 Jul02   (caramori )TORRES A 118 20.00 ★    
3  ALILNALOT May13 Mar24 Feb25     (catalano )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 20% 4.10    
4  TSHIEBWE May02 Apr14 Feb26 Feb01 Oct13 (pletcher t)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00 55% 0.80    
5  CAFE RACER Jan06 Nov27       (stall albert )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00    
6  ST. ELMO Apr14 Dec29       (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
7  OWN THE FIELD May13 Nov23 Aug31     (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  ACTIVE DUTY (FR) Jun18 May20       (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM null   5% 19.00    
9  AZTECA STAR         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
10  SHADY DAREDEVIL Apr29         (casse norm)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.00    
11  FIGHTING BACK         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00    
SCR  SMOKE WAGON May21         (engler j)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.