Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Thursday - June 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-6   WIN (5/10/9/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  9 $41.72 $31.72 317%
    EXA (5/10/9/6/1)-(5/10/9/6/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00  9-5 $161.44 $121.44 304%
    TRI (5/10/9/6/1)-(5/10/9/6/1)-(5/10/9/6/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  9-5-6 $1532 $1502 5009%
ELP-7   WIN (6/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $11.18 $3.18 40%
    DD (5/10/9/6/1)-(6/3/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  9-7 $113.61 $93.61 468%
ELP-10   WIN (1/2/3/5/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $41.70 $31.70 317%
    EXA (1/2/3/5/12)-(1/2/3/5/12) 20 $2.00 $40.00  5-2 $206.70 $166.70 417%
    TRI (1/2/3/5/12)-(1/2/3/5/12)-(1/2/3/5/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-2-3 $261.78 $231.78 773%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :454 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PALACE KITTEN 5 2 52¼ 41½   3½ 12 (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 4.00 5.75  
3  SEVEN NATION ARMY 2 4 42¼ 3½   4¾ 22 (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 118 2.50 26% 2.90 1.32 P
5  DERBY DATE 4 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 33 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 9% 9.80 7.29 S
4  DARK TIMBER 3 3 1nk 2nk   2nk 43¼ (o'neill doug)COURT K 118 3.00 31% 2.20 2.69  
2  DRIVE FOR FUN 1 5 32 54   55¼ 527 (delacruz jo)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 3.12  
SCR  COLTONATOR               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
 
ELP-2   06/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :453 :57     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RHYME SCHEMES 2 1 1½ 11   13½ 19½ (casse no)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 8.16  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of KATHERINE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  PONCE DE LEON 3 7 52 32   23½ 29½ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 10.81  
  (by COPPER BULLET out of ST. JOHN'S RIVER by INCLUDE)
1  PASS THE HAT 1 4 31½ 52¼   34½ 314 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 19% 4.40 7.20 S
  (by COLLECTED out of VERONIQUE by MIZZEN MAST)
6  OMEX 5 6 75¼ 75¾   57 414¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 10.23  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  PHREDDIE MAC 9 5 87¾ 88¼   88¾ 514¾ (asmussen )TORRES A 119 12.00 27.07  
  (by HARD SPUN out of FINANCIAL RECOVERY by STREET CRY (IRE))
12  TIMBERLAKE 10 9 41½ 42   46½ 614¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 31% 2.20 1.02  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PIN UP by TAPIT)
7  BEAUDACIOUS COLTON 6 2 65 65¾   67 716¼ (hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 114 6.00 11% 8.10 11.46  
  (by RACE DAY out of BEAUDACIOUS LADY by BEAU GENIUS)
4  MI T CADEN 4 3 2½ 21   77¼ 820¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5.26  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of KATIE'S KISS by RUNNING STAG)
8  COWBOY CODE 7 10 911¼ 911¼   912¾ 921½ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 51.92  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of NOT IN JEST by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
10  RULEROFTHEUNIVERSE 8 8 1011¼ 1011½   1013¾ 1022½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 49.27  
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of BIRIBA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  BALTA               (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LAQUESTA by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  BAYTOWN PARFAIT               (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 119 10.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of QUEENOFTHECHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  EPIC BATTLE               (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SPEEDY WAR by WAR FRONT)
SCR  NORMANDY HERO               (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SWAN OF THE NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  TAKE CHARGE J J               (calhoun w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of ALL WOMAN by HALF OURS)
SCR  WOODCOURT               (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 119 15.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of WARRIORESS by POWERFUL VENUE)
 
ELP-3   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:214 :444 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD HEART 1 3 13 12   13 14 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 3.10  
4  JOKING WAY 3 2 33 22   23 24 (asmussen )TORRES A 118 2.50 13% 6.60 1.16 P
7  MONEY RUN 6 1 44½ 32   33 36¾ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 10% 9.10 8.85 S
5  ATKINS 4 5 69 68½   68 49¼ (wong jonat)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 7.47  
6  CACTUS 5 6 57 55½   56½ 511 (morse l)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 39% 1.50 11.70  
2  NULLARBOR 2 4 23 43½   45½ 611½ (ramirez m)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 3.78  
SCR  AL'S ROMEO               (stuart sh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
 
ELP-4   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:223 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ISOCLINE 5 4 2nk 21   11 11¾ (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 30% 2.30 3.12 W
4  PASS LINE 4 8 75¼ 55½   43 21¾ (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 9.39  
2  GUCCI BOY 2 2 32 32½   32 32 (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 25% 2.90 5.76 S
10  MR. COMMANDER 10 6 1nk 11   21 47 (king l)CASTANON L 118 10.00 17.24  
3  SAVAGE KISS 3 9 1011¼ 1011   88¼ 59 (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 64.72  
1  WHEN I GET PAID 1 10 85¾ 88½   57 610¾ (hamilton )TORRES A 118 15.00 13.08  
6  REDHILL 6 5 63¾ 76½   68 711¾ (pittman )RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00 5% 18.70 21.71  
7  HURRY ON OUT 7 7 98¼ 99   108¾ 812 (tooley jennifer)COURT K 124 6.00 7% 14.30 12.98  
9  FIGHTERTOWN 9 1 52¾ 66   98¾ 912¾ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 12% 7.10 1.59  
8  I NINETY FIVE 8 3 42½ 45   78 1016½ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 10.88  
 
ELP-5   06/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:46
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:10 1:223   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RALLY SQUIRREL 2 1 1nk 1½ 1½ 15 110 (vanden be)TORRES A 118 3.50 4.28  
6  ONE LAST HAND 6 2 2nk 2½ 2½ 25 210 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00 32.20 P
7  MOLIERE 7 9 813¼ 815½ 613 312 314¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 6.18  
9  CO CONSPIRATOR 9 8 66¼ 611 411 412 419¾ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 7.31  
1  MALIBU TIME 1 3 53¼ 56 512½ 617½ 527¾ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 13.36  
3  WARTIME HERO 3 4 32½ 33½ 37½ 515½ 628 (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 38% 1.60 1.40  
4  JINGLE 4 6 79¼ 711½ 815 719½ 729½ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 6% 14.50 6.10  
8  FERRYBOAT 8 7 42¾ 44½ 715 822½ 846¼ (miller jerome)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00 53.00  
5  GO FOR SHERRIE 5 5 914¾ 930½ 9100 9100 9100 (manley steve)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 30% 2.40 10.34  
 
ELP-6   06/15/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:214 :454 :57     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  PLAYLIST 8 1 31½ 2½   1½ 15¼ (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.50 10% 8.80 19.86 W
5  HIDEKI 5 2 74¾ 74½   54½ 25¼ (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 123 5.00 36% 1.80 3.22 P
6  SWEET ALYSSA 6 9 64¾ 64   76 35¼ (pessin ne)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 34.77 S
11  NUMERO SEIS 10 3 11½ 1½   2½ 45½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 2.21  
4  ERNA 4 8 107¾ 85½   87 55½ (matejka pavel)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 17.69  
3  MISS ARLINGTON 3 7 42½ 52½   33 67¾ (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 8.28  
10  ONLY KIDDING 9 6 21½ 31   44½ 78¼ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00 27% 2.70 3.48  
2  LADY IRENE 2 5 97¼ 106¼   65½ 88¾ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 8.00 7.33  
1  COMEDY ACT 1 10 86¼ 95¾   97¼ 99¾ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 123 15.00 5% 19.00 45.56  
8  SURE CAN 7 4 52¾ 42½   108¾ 1013 (lynch a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.50 14.92  
SCR  BOBBIE SOX               (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00    
SCR  DEVINE CHARGER               (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 123 5.00    
SCR  LITTLE MOMBO               (bauer philip)GEROUX FLORENT 123 5.00    
SCR  VINEGAR VEGGIES               (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 123 20.00    
 
ELP-7   06/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:111 1:24   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  RIVER BOY 6 1 11½ 11 13 15 13½ (claire ale)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 8% 11.90 4.59 W
8  ONEPARTICULRHARBOR 7 7 712½ 712 710½ 57¾ 23½ (glyshaw tim)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 12.00 5.67  
4  PAID IN FULL 4 4 33½ 33½ 34 35 36¾ (hartlage g)MICHEL MICKAELLE 124 3.00 1.55  
1  BEOCCA 1 6 67½ 67 57½ 47½ 49¾ (castanon jose )CASTANON L 124 10.00 10% 9.20 9.19  
2  DREAMFACTOR 2 2 21½ 21 23 25 59¾ (stinson wi)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 14.37  
3  INVASIVE 3 3 55½ 45½ 47½ 610¼ 616¼ (kendall elise)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 21% 3.70 10.76  
6  MOTOWN MISSILE 5 5 45½ 55½ 68 713¼ 723 (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 113 4.00 38% 1.60 3.09  
SCR  IZEONDEC               (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 124 6.00    
SCR  JACKS FIRE BALLS               (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 3.50    
 
ELP-8   06/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:11
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:102 1:23   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TREATY 3 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 1½ 1hd (hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 10.00 15.05  
6  KEEN HEIR 5 4 3½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 2hd (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.00 34% 1.90 1.17 P
2  FREEZE POP 1 2 54½ 55 46½ 36 37½ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.50 24% 3.20 2.12 S
3  BROOKLYN DIAMONDS 2 6 65½ 65½ 510½ 510½ 411¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.50 5.27  
9  TRIGGER HAPPY 6 5 41 3½ 35 49½ 517¼ (cano mun)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 5.00 5.64  
5  SOFT PANTS 4 1 2½ 43½ 612 617½ 646¼ (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 13% 6.50 15.62  
SCR  G T FIVE HUNDRED               (mason ing)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
SCR  MR CREED               (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00    
SCR  YONO               (hiles a)LANERIE J 124 15.00    
 
ELP-9   06/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:134 1:381   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  QUEROBIN DOURADA 7 4 53 53 51¾ 31 11¼ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 5.00 5.85  
4  CANDY LIGHT 4 5 75½ 75 62¾ 63¾ 21¼ (motion g)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 39% 1.50 2.41 P
1  COASTAL CHARM 1 1 11½ 11½ 1nk 11 32 (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00 13% 6.70 4.10 S
3  VALENTINA DAY 3 3 21½ 21½ 2nk 21 42¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 7.46  
5  VIBURNUM 5 8 87½ 87 85¾ 75¼ 52¾ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 7.71  
6  ARM CANDY (IRE) 6 6 63½ 64 73¼ 51¾ 63¼ (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 7.08  
2  POCA MUCHA 2 2 32 32 41½ 41½ 73¾ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 18% 4.50 6.58  
8  OMIXOCHITL 8 7 42½ 42½ 31 86¾ 89¼ (gutierrez)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
SCR  MISTY VEIL               (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50    
 
ELP-10   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MOTOWN MIKA 4 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 13 (o'connor robe)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 19.85 W
2  JACKIE'S SPIRIT 2 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 23 (vaccarezza ca)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 24% 3.10 2.63 P
3  WITCH OF NOVEMBER 3 8 85 64½   45 35 (mccarthy micha)CHUAN MARTIN 118 6.00 22% 3.50 8.11 S
10  CORNER KICK 8 7 74 53   55½ 45¼ (devaux ch)TORRES A 118 5.00 2.94  
1  GET BY 1 9 52¼ 31½   33 55½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 4.50 33% 2.10 3.57  
12  ISABEL DE CLARE 9 6 63¾ 74¾   711 616¼ (seglin e)COURT K 124 50.00 5% 19.00 42.29  
7  HURRICANE LASSIE 6 4 32 42½   68 716¼ (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 118 15.00 28.73  
8  DREAM TRAP 7 5 96 98¼   913½ 822½ (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 23.25  
6  MELINOE 5 3 42¼ 85¾   812½ 926 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 3.76  
SCR  GOOD TOHAVE AROUND               (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00    
SCR  MAMBA OUT               (hill f)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
SCR  PROMISEMEPARADISE               (baker jame)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.