Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Thursday - June 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $13.50  
ELP-2   Win (12/1/7/10/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $18.32  
ELP-3   Win (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $8.20  
ELP-4   Win (5/2/9/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $8.24 $8.24  
ELP-5   Win (3/5/4/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $10.56  
ELP-6   Win (5/10/9/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $41.72 $41.72 31.72
ELP-7   Win (6/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $11.18 $11.18 3.18
ELP-8   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $32.10  
ELP-9   Win (4/2/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $13.70  
ELP-10   Win (1/2/3/5/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $41.70 $41.70 31.70
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :454 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PALACE KITTEN 5 2 52¼ 41½   3½ 12 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 118 4.00 5.75  
3  SEVEN NATION ARMY 2 4 42¼ 3½   4¾ 22 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 118 2.50 26% 2.90 1.32 P
5  DERBY DATE 4 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 33 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 9% 9.80 7.29 S
4  DARK TIMBER 3 3 1nk 2nk   2nk 43¼ (o'neill doug)COURT K 118 3.00 31% 2.20 2.69  
2  DRIVE FOR FUN 1 5 32 54   55¼ 527 (delacruz joel)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 3.12  
SCR  COLTONATOR               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
 
ELP-2   06/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :453 :57     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RHYME SCHEMES 2 1 1½ 11   13½ 19½ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 8.16  
3  PONCE DE LEON 3 7 52 32   23½ 29½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 10.81  
1  PASS THE HAT 1 4 31½ 52¼   34½ 314 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 19% 4.40 7.20 S
6  OMEX 5 6 75¼ 75¾   57 414¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 10.23  
11  PHREDDIE MAC 9 5 87¾ 88¼   88¾ 514¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 12.00 27.07  
12  TIMBERLAKE 10 9 41½ 42   46½ 614¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 31% 2.20 1.02  
7  BEAUDACIOUS COLTON 6 2 65 65¾   67 716¼ (hancock ja)RODRIGUEZ A 114 6.00 11% 8.10 11.46  
4  MI T CADEN 4 3 2½ 21   77¼ 820¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 5.26  
8  COWBOY CODE 7 10 911¼ 911¼   912¾ 921½ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 51.92  
10  RULEROFTHEUNIVERSE 8 8 1011¼ 1011½   1013¾ 1022½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 49.27  
SCR  BALTA               (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN PARFAIT               (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 119 10.00    
SCR  EPIC BATTLE               (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00    
SCR  NORMANDY HERO               (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50    
SCR  TAKE CHARGE J J               (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
SCR  WOODCOURT               (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 119 15.00    
 
ELP-3   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:214 :444 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD HEART 1 3 13 12   13 14 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 3.10  
4  JOKING WAY 3 2 33 22   23 24 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 2.50 13% 6.60 1.16 P
7  MONEY RUN 6 1 44½ 32   33 36¾ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 10% 9.10 8.85 S
5  ATKINS 4 5 69 68½   68 49¼ (wong jonatha)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 7.47  
6  CACTUS 5 6 57 55½   56½ 511 (morse l)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 39% 1.50 11.70  
2  NULLARBOR 2 4 23 43½   45½ 611½ (ramirez m)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 3.78  
SCR  AL'S ROMEO               (stuart shea)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
 
ELP-4   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:223 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ISOCLINE 5 4 2nk 21   11 11¾ (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 30% 2.30 3.12 W
4  PASS LINE 4 8 75¼ 55½   43 21¾ (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 9.39  
2  GUCCI BOY 2 2 32 32½   32 32 (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 25% 2.90 5.76 S
10  MR. COMMANDER 10 6 1nk 11   21 47 (king l)CASTANON L 118 10.00 17.24  
3  SAVAGE KISS 3 9 1011¼ 1011   88¼ 59 (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 64.72  
1  WHEN I GET PAID 1 10 85¾ 88½   57 610¾ (hamilton sa)TORRES A 118 15.00 13.08  
6  REDHILL 6 5 63¾ 76½   68 711¾ (pittman bo)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00 5% 18.70 21.71  
7  HURRY ON OUT 7 7 98¼ 99   108¾ 812 (tooley jennifer)COURT K 124 6.00 7% 14.30 12.98  
9  FIGHTERTOWN 9 1 52¾ 66   98¾ 912¾ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 12% 7.10 1.59  
8  I NINETY FIVE 8 3 42½ 45   78 1016½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 10.88  
 
ELP-5   06/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:46
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:10 1:223   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RALLY SQUIRREL 2 1 1nk 1½ 1½ 15 110 (vanden berg)TORRES A 118 3.50 4.28  
6  ONE LAST HAND 6 2 2nk 2½ 2½ 25 210 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00 32.20 P
7  MOLIERE 7 9 813¼ 815½ 613 312 314¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 6.18  
9  CO CONSPIRATOR 9 8 66¼ 611 411 412 419¾ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 7.31  
1  MALIBU TIME 1 3 53¼ 56 512½ 617½ 527¾ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 13.36  
3  WARTIME HERO 3 4 32½ 33½ 37½ 515½ 628 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 38% 1.60 1.40  
4  JINGLE 4 6 79¼ 711½ 815 719½ 729½ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 6% 14.50 6.10  
8  FERRYBOAT 8 7 42¾ 44½ 715 822½ 846¼ (miller f)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00 53.00  
5  GO FOR SHERRIE 5 5 914¾ 930½ 9100 9100 9100 (manley steve)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 30% 2.40 10.34  
 
ELP-6   06/15/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:214 :454 :57     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  PLAYLIST 8 1 31½ 2½   1½ 15¼ (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.50 10% 8.80 19.86 W
5  HIDEKI 5 2 74¾ 74½   54½ 25¼ (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 123 5.00 36% 1.80 3.22 P
6  SWEET ALYSSA 6 9 64¾ 64   76 35¼ (pessin neil)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 34.77 S
11  NUMERO SEIS 10 3 11½ 1½   2½ 45½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 2.21  
4  ERNA 4 8 107¾ 85½   87 55½ (matejka pavel)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 17.69  
3  MISS ARLINGTON 3 7 42½ 52½   33 67¾ (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 8.28  
10  ONLY KIDDING 9 6 21½ 31   44½ 78¼ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00 27% 2.70 3.48  
2  LADY IRENE 2 5 97¼ 106¼   65½ 88¾ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 8.00 7.33  
1  COMEDY ACT 1 10 86¼ 95¾   97¼ 99¾ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 123 15.00 5% 19.00 45.56  
8  SURE CAN 7 4 52¾ 42½   108¾ 1013 (lynch a)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.50 14.92  
SCR  BOBBIE SOX               (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00    
SCR  DEVINE CHARGER               (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 123 5.00    
SCR  LITTLE MOMBO               (bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 123 5.00    
SCR  VINEGAR VEGGIES               (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 123 20.00    
 
ELP-7   06/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:111 1:24   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  RIVER BOY 6 1 11½ 11 13 15 13½ (claire alexi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 8% 11.90 4.59 W
8  ONEPARTICULRHARBOR 7 7 712½ 712 710½ 57¾ 23½ (glyshaw tim)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 12.00 5.67  
4  PAID IN FULL 4 4 33½ 33½ 34 35 36¾ (hartlage gar)MICHEL MICKAELLE 124 3.00 1.55  
1  BEOCCA 1 6 67½ 67 57½ 47½ 49¾ (castanon g)CASTANON L 124 10.00 10% 9.20 9.19  
2  DREAMFACTOR 2 2 21½ 21 23 25 59¾ (stinson will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 14.37  
3  INVASIVE 3 3 55½ 45½ 47½ 610¼ 616¼ (kendall elise)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 21% 3.70 10.76  
6  MOTOWN MISSILE 5 5 45½ 55½ 68 713¼ 723 (wong jonat)RODRIGUEZ A 113 4.00 38% 1.60 3.09  
SCR  IZEONDEC               (rodriguez ed)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 6.00    
SCR  JACKS FIRE BALLS               (diodoro rob)TORRES A 124 3.50    
 
ELP-8   06/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:11
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:102 1:23   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TREATY 3 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 1½ 1hd (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 10.00 15.05  
6  KEEN HEIR 5 4 3½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 2hd (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.00 34% 1.90 1.17 P
2  FREEZE POP 1 2 54½ 55 46½ 36 37½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.50 24% 3.20 2.12 S
3  BROOKLYN DIAMONDS 2 6 65½ 65½ 510½ 510½ 411¼ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.50 5.27  
9  TRIGGER HAPPY 6 5 41 3½ 35 49½ 517¼ (cano munoz)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 5.00 5.64  
5  SOFT PANTS 4 1 2½ 43½ 612 617½ 646¼ (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 13% 6.50 15.62  
SCR  G T FIVE HUNDRED               (mason ingri)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
SCR  MR CREED               (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00    
SCR  YONO               (hiles a)LANERIE J 124 15.00    
 
ELP-9   06/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:134 1:381   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  QUEROBIN DOURADA 7 4 53 53 51¾ 31 11¼ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 5.00 5.85  
4  CANDY LIGHT 4 5 75½ 75 62¾ 63¾ 21¼ (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 39% 1.50 2.41 P
1  COASTAL CHARM 1 1 11½ 11½ 1nk 11 32 (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00 13% 6.70 4.10 S
3  VALENTINA DAY 3 3 21½ 21½ 2nk 21 42¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 7.46  
5  VIBURNUM 5 8 87½ 87 85¾ 75¼ 52¾ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 7.71  
6  ARM CANDY (IRE) 6 6 63½ 64 73¼ 51¾ 63¼ (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 7.08  
2  POCA MUCHA 2 2 32 32 41½ 41½ 73¾ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 18% 4.50 6.58  
8  OMIXOCHITL 8 7 42½ 42½ 31 86¾ 89¼ (gutierrez f)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
SCR  MISTY VEIL               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50    
 
ELP-10   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MOTOWN MIKA 4 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 13 (o'connor robert)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 19.85 W
2  JACKIE'S SPIRIT 2 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 23 (vaccarezza carl)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 24% 3.10 2.63 P
3  WITCH OF NOVEMBER 3 8 85 64½   45 35 (mccarthy michael)CHUAN MARTIN 118 6.00 22% 3.50 8.11 S
10  CORNER KICK 8 7 74 53   55½ 45¼ (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 5.00 2.94  
1  GET BY 1 9 52¼ 31½   33 55½ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 4.50 33% 2.10 3.57  
12  ISABEL DE CLARE 9 6 63¾ 74¾   711 616¼ (seglin e)COURT K 124 50.00 5% 19.00 42.29  
7  HURRICANE LASSIE 6 4 32 42½   68 716¼ (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 118 15.00 28.73  
8  DREAM TRAP 7 5 96 98¼   913½ 822½ (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 23.25  
6  MELINOE 5 3 42¼ 85¾   812½ 926 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 3.76  
SCR  GOOD TOHAVE AROUND               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00    
SCR  MAMBA OUT               (hill f)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
SCR  PROMISEMEPARADISE               (baker james)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.