Handicappers' Racing Form

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Ellis Park
Thursday - June 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-2   Win (12/1/7/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-3   Win (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-4   Win (5/2/9/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-5   Win (3/5/4/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-6   Win (5/10/9/6/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-7   Win (6/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-8   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-9   Win (4/2/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-10   Win (1/2/3/5/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ELP-1   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COLTONATOR Feb12 Dec22 Nov26 Sep25 Jul03 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
DRIVE FOR FUN May14 Jan13 Dec16 Nov24 Nov09 (delacruz joel)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50    
SEVEN NATION ARMY Apr23 Mar09 Jan28 Jan06 Nov02 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 118 2.50 26% 2.90    
DARK TIMBER May04 Mar24 Mar12 Feb05 Dec17 (o'neill doug)COURT K 118 3.00 31% 2.20    
DERBY DATE Jul08 May27 Apr30 Mar18   (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 9% 9.80    
PALACE KITTEN May04 Mar30 Feb18 Jan13 Dec22 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 118 4.00    
 
ELP-2   06/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASS THE HAT         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 19% 4.40    
RHYME SCHEMES May18         (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
PONCE DE LEON         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
MI T CADEN         (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
SCR  TAKE CHARGE J J         (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
OMEX         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00    
BEAUDACIOUS COLTON May25 May03 Apr07     (hancock ja)RODRIGUEZ A 114 6.00 11% 8.10    
COWBOY CODE         (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WOODCOURT Apr20         (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 119 15.00    
10  RULEROFTHEUNIVERSE         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  PHREDDIE MAC         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 12.00    
12  TIMBERLAKE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  NORMANDY HERO         (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50    
SCR  BAYTOWN PARFAIT Jun04 Apr13       (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 119 10.00    
SCR  BALTA         (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
SCR  EPIC BATTLE         (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00    
 
ELP-3   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 2:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD HEART Apr28 Mar04 Nov26 Oct08 Sep10 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
NULLARBOR Apr09 Feb11 Jan06 Oct10 Aug20 (ramirez m)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00    
SCR  AL'S ROMEO May06 Apr21 Apr02 Mar24   (stuart shea)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
JOKING WAY Apr29 Mar05 Jan20 Nov26 Oct30 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 2.50 13% 6.60    
ATKINS May18 Mar19 Feb24 Feb03 Dec31 (wong jonatha)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50    
CACTUS Apr28 Apr01 Feb24 Feb04   (morse l)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 39% 1.50    
MONEY RUN Apr12 Mar16 Feb20 Jan28 Jan08 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 10% 9.10    
 
ELP-4   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHEN I GET PAID         (hamilton sa)TORRES A 118 15.00    
GUCCI BOY Apr08 Feb24 Jan28 Oct15 Sep01 (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 25% 2.90    
SAVAGE KISS May06 Mar24       (heitzman er)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
PASS LINE         (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
ISOCLINE May11 Apr18 Mar11 Feb17   (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
REDHILL Mar17         (pittman bo)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00 5% 18.70    
HURRY ON OUT Nov22 Oct26 Apr04 Feb19   (tooley jennifer)COURT K 124 6.00 7% 14.30    
I NINETY FIVE Oct05 Sep11       (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00    
FIGHTERTOWN May21 Feb26 Jan21 Dec24 Oct23 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 12% 7.10    
10  MR. COMMANDER May21 Apr27 Apr18 Jan13   (king l)CASTANON L 118 10.00    
 
ELP-5   06/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU TIME May14 Apr29 Mar18 Feb17 Jan27 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
RALLY SQUIRREL May24 Apr26 Mar16 Jan19 Dec08 (vanden berg)TORRES A 118 3.50    
WARTIME HERO May04 Mar26 Mar03 Jan08 Dec17 (contreras c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
JINGLE May16 Apr23 Apr14 Mar31 Mar16 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 6% 14.50    
GO FOR SHERRIE May27 May03 Nov16 Oct27 Sep26 (manley steve)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 30% 2.40    
ONE LAST HAND May05 Apr29 Apr20 Mar10 Feb11 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
MOLIERE May06 Apr23 Apr08 Sep21 Aug19 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
FERRYBOAT May20 Mar31 Jan06 Dec16 Dec08 (miller f)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
CO CONSPIRATOR May20 May03 Mar10 Feb21 Jan12 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00    
 
ELP-6   06/15/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMEDY ACT May21 Apr30 Mar16 Feb18 Jan21 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
LADY IRENE May20 Nov26       (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 8.00    
MISS ARLINGTON May20 May02 Apr15 Mar31 Mar01 (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
ERNA May17 Mar12 Jan07 Dec11 Oct22 (matejka pavel)BEJARANO R 118 5.00    
HIDEKI Apr20 Mar30 Mar09 Feb22 Dec14 (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 123 5.00 36% 1.80    
SWEET ALYSSA Apr27 Mar25 Feb17 Jan21   (pessin neil)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOBBIE SOX May27 Apr07 Mar10 Jan26 Jan05 (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00    
SURE CAN Mar25 Mar01 Jan27 Jan08 Nov24 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.50    
PLAYLIST Feb18 Jan22 Nov18 Aug25   (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 113 3.50 10% 8.80    
10  ONLY KIDDING Apr20 Mar30 Feb08 Jan11 Dec14 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.00 27% 2.70    
11  NUMERO SEIS May20 Oct09 Sep13 Sep01 Jul20 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
SCR  DEVINE CHARGER May20 Sep09 Jul31 Jul09 May14 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 123 5.00    
SCR  LITTLE MOMBO Jun12 May26 Apr07 Feb26 Jan23 (bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 123 5.00    
SCR  VINEGAR VEGGIES Mar30 Feb08 Jun15 May26 May06 (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 123 20.00    
 
ELP-7   06/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEOCCA May25 Apr13 Mar17 Feb24 Jan21 (castanon g)CASTANON L 124 10.00 10% 9.20    
DREAMFACTOR Mar24 Feb02 Jan13 Jul30 Jul16 (stinson will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
INVASIVE Apr29 Apr16 Mar17 Feb15 Jan19 (kendall elise)MACHADO LUAN 118 5.00 21% 3.70    
PAID IN FULL May25 May12 Mar25 Feb26 Feb17 (hartlage gar)MICHEL MICKAELLE 124 3.00    
SCR  IZEONDEC May18 Apr13 Feb24 Jan28 Jan13 (rodriguez ed)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 6.00    
MOTOWN MISSILE May12 Mar19 Feb24 Jan20 Nov24 (wong jonat)RODRIGUEZ A 113 4.00 38% 1.60    
RIVER BOY Apr13 Mar16 Jan29 Dec19 Nov25 (claire alex)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 8% 11.90    
ONEPARTICULRHARBOR May20 May04 Apr08 Jan23   (glyshaw tim)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 12.00    
SCR  JACKS FIRE BALLS Mar31 Jan08 Nov27 Nov06 Oct26 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 124 3.50    
 
ELP-8   06/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YONO May12 Apr20 Mar04 Feb11 Jan25 (hiles a)LANERIE J 124 15.00    
FREEZE POP May20 Jan25 Dec30 Nov27 Nov06 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
BROOKLYN DIAMONDS Apr30 Feb24 Feb12 Jan07 May21 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.50    
TREATY Mar19 Feb12 Jan14 Jul10 Jun08 (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 10.00    
SOFT PANTS May08 Apr12 Mar12 Feb12 Jan19 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 13% 6.50    
KEEN HEIR May11 Apr12 Feb26 Jun19 May19 (walden william)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  MR CREED May06 Apr15 Mar25 Feb12 Feb04 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00    
SCR  G T FIVE HUNDRED May28 May04 Apr16 Mar23 Feb24 (mason ingri)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
TRIGGER HAPPY Jun02 May12 Mar22 Mar10 Feb25 (cano munoz)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 5.00    
 
ELP-9   06/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTAL CHARM Apr29 Apr07 Mar12 Feb17 Nov18 (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00 13% 6.70    
POCA MUCHA Oct21 Sep14 Aug03 Jul10 Apr24 (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 18% 4.50    
VALENTINA DAY May21 Apr21 Mar24 Oct21 Sep24 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00    
CANDY LIGHT May21 Dec26 Nov13 Oct13 Sep06 (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 39% 1.50    
VIBURNUM May27 Apr01 Dec17 Sep13 Sep01 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00    
ARM CANDY (IRE) May21 Apr21 Apr01 Jan26 Dec15 (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00    
QUEROBIN DOURADA Apr15 Feb24 Dec30 Dec01 Oct16 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 5.00    
OMIXOCHITL Feb04 Dec26 Nov04 Oct13 Sep06 (gutierrez f)TORRES A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISTY VEIL May19 Apr07 Mar05 Feb12 Jan07 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50    
 
ELP-10   06/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET BY May19 Apr19 Mar31 Oct01 Aug27 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 4.50 33% 2.10    
JACKIE'S SPIRIT May12 Apr08 Mar26 Sep28   (vaccarezza carl)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 4.00 24% 3.10    
WITCH OF NOVEMBER May19 Apr01 Mar15     (mccarthy michael)CHUAN MARTIN 118 6.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  MAMBA OUT May02         (hill f)BEJARANO R 118 12.00    
MOTOWN MIKA Apr26 Mar31 Jan25 Dec03 Oct21 (o'connor robert)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
MELINOE Apr23 Feb16 Jan15     (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
HURRICANE LASSIE May02         (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 118 15.00    
DREAM TRAP May12         (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
SCR  GOOD TOHAVE AROUND May04 Apr15 Nov02     (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 6.00    
10  CORNER KICK May16 Feb26 Dec15 Nov16   (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 5.00    
SCR  PROMISEMEPARADISE May02 Mar02       (baker james)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
12  ISABEL DE CLARE Jun02 Feb04 Jan04 Dec14 Nov17 (seglin e)AYALA ISAIAS 124 50.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.