Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Hawthorne
Thursday - May 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-2   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $5.40 $1.40 35%
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-7 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00  5-7-3 $14.35 $8.35 139%
HAW-4   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-7 $13.70 $4.70 52%
HAW-6   TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-4-6 $3.60 $0.60 20%
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PRANCIPANTS 5 4 43 31½   31½ 11½ (witthauer k)MOJICA O 124 4.00 3.10  
3  APOLLO U ANYWHERE 3 1 12 11   11 21½ (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.00 48% 1.10 0.90 P
5  COOKIN ROSES 4 2 22 21   21 33½ (quinonez )ULLOA JOAN 122 5.00 14% 6.10 5.50 S
1  RANK AND FILE 1 5 33 43   43 44½ (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00 10% 9.20 16.30  
2  FANCY EMPRESS 2 3 57 58   57 55¾ (campbell joel)COLON H 122 4.50 5.40  
SCR  SNOOTY               (sullivan ell)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 1.80    
 
HAW-2   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:23 :463 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PALACE MAGIC 5 6 52¼ 2½   1nk 1¼ (hernandez ar)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.00 47% 1.10 1.70 W
7  GHAALEB'S MAGIC 7 4 31 31   31½ 2¼ (witthauer john)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.50 ★ 2.30 P
3  ALL AMERICAN JEWEL 3 1 11 1½   2nk 32¾ (sullivan elliott)EMIGH A 122 3.00 ★ 4.00 S
4  KITTEN ROCKS 4 3 21 42   42½ 44½ (cook brian)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 10.00 18.00  
6  SHE'S XTREMELY HOT 6 7 77¾ 76½   54 54½ (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 122 3.50 21% 3.70 5.90  
1  LINDALOUIMAGE 1 2 42 54½   64½ 65½ (quinonez max)TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00 16.40  
2  WATCHIN THE WHEELS 2 5 64¾ 65½   78 712¾ (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00 43.60  
 
HAW-3   05/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:13 1:401   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR 3 1 55 55¾ 67¼ 32 12¾ (hernandez a)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.00 ★ 2.30  
6  BLOOMING GARDEN 6 5 33½ 35½ 46 42½ 22¾ (rodriguez g)MOJICA O 122 6.00 7% 13.10 8.50 P
4  CHOCOLATE BUNNY 4 2 12 13½ 13½ 11½ 32¾ (rodriguez j)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 15.00 24.90  
7  TRIPLE CHROME 7 4 45 45½ 23½ 21½ 44 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 1.60 54% 0.80 3.00  
1  EGOMANIAC 1 7 77¼ 77¼ 77¼ 54½ 56 (mason ingrid)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.50 11% 8.30 2.60  
2  PIRATE BIRD 2 6 67 67¼ 57 77½ 614¾ (dizeo dino)TAVARES JAVIER 122 10.00 5.50  
5  TEA AFTER BALLET 5 3 22 23½ 36 64½ 715 (zawitz joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00 43.70  
 
HAW-4   05/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:132 1:391   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAME SHIFTER 1 1 2nk 2nk 22 2nk 1¾ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 117 2.50 55% 0.80 2.50 W
  (by BLAME out of BLING ON THE MUSIC by TOO MUCH BLING)
7  MINNESOTA MOON 7 3 1nk 1nk 12 1nk 2¾ (goldfine mic)CENTENO ALEXIS 117 3.50 13% 6.60 5.60 P
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CHORAGUS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  ICE AXE 3 6 32½ 32½ 35 35 34¼ (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 124 15.00 38.20  
  (by BERNARDINI out of YOU GO WEST GIRL by MR. GREELEY)
4  GOING AT IT 4 4 64¾ 54½ 46½ 45½ 47¼ (berndt jo)ULLOA JOAN 117 5.00 9.40  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of CLARE VIEW by HARD SPUN)
2  GOLD SMOKE 2 2 42¾ 74¾ 710½ 510½ 512¼ (essenpreis )ARRIETA REYNIER 124 4.50 6% 15.50 4.10  
  (by MINESHAFT out of ALLUVIAL GOLD by DANEHILL DANCER)
6  ARMAVIR 6 7 53¼ 43 57 716 622½ (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 117 10.00 ★ 16.50  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SECRETS SHARED by STREET CRY (IRE))
5  BORDER SPIN 5 5 74¾ 64¾ 67 614½ 724¾ (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 117 4.00 2.00  
  (by HARD SPUN out of MAUDE S by JUMP START)
 
HAW-5   05/18/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:25 :483 1:141 1:394   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MODIFIER 2 8 88½ 89¾ 84¾ 51¼ 12½ (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 122 20.00 7.30  
3  STRIKE PRICE 3 1 55 55½ 62¾ 41¼ 22½ (shephard )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00 19.20  
8  KINGSBURRY ATTACK 8 5 65½ 66½ 41½ 1nk 32½ (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 122 10.00 5% 19.00 13.80 S
6  MODAZZLE 6 4 44 44½ 31½ 2nk 44 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 4.00 14% 6.00 9.60  
4  STORM'S REFLECTION 4 3 76½ 76¾ 52½ 62¾ 54¼ (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 122 6.00 19% 4.30 6.10  
1  OVER CALENDARED 1 9 913½ 915¾ 94¾ 73 64½ (hernandez j)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 12.00 15.10  
5  RIGHT ON RICHIE 5 2 33 33 2½ 3.2 75¼ (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 116 3.00 37% 1.70 1.50  
7  IZEONDEC 7 10 1014½ 1019¾ 107¾ 96 811 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 5.00 8.00  
9  MEATLOAF'S CHANCE 9 6 1nk 1nk 1½ 85 913 (gonzalez lilia)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 15.00 68.50  
10  STORM BORN 10 7 2nk 2nk 73¾ 1021 1045¼ (cook brian)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
 
HAW-6   05/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:122 1:374   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOMENT 1 1 12 11 12½ 15 15 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 124 1.80 45% 1.20 0.80 W
4  DANVILLE 3 3 55 54¾ 46 25 25 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 3.00 17% 4.90 1.60 P
6  JEFF THE LION 5 5 45 44½ 56 38 39¼ (boyce miche)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 14% 6.30 8.50 S
5  LAVENDER EARL 4 4 33 31 34 59½ 416¼ (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 8.00 11.80  
2  ASTI SKY 2 2 22 21 22½ 48 519½ (cristel mark)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00 19.70  
SCR  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE               (rodriguez hugo)EMIGH A 122 4.50    
SCR  WILD FOX               (watkins m)LOPEZ A 122 12.00    
 
HAW-7   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:214 :45 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PAPA ROCKET 2 7 710 67½   52¾ 1nk (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 2.00 39% 1.60 1.00 W
7  WEST WARPATH 7 2 34½ 34½   21½ 2nk (clay pat)MOJICA O 122 4.00 5.70  
5  SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY 5 6 56½ 56½   42½ 31¼ (reavis michael)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.50 7% 13.10 8.60 S
4  TEE BURNS 4 3 1nk 11   11½ 41½ (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 122 5.00 8% 12.10 5.70  
3  TWIRLING ROSES 3 5 45½ 45   32½ 53¼ (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 122 8.00 5.00  
1  FOLLOW THE SIGNS 1 4 67 78½   75¾ 66¾ (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 21% 3.70 20.20  
6  WINGING WAYS 6 1 2nk 21   65¼ 711½ (quinonez max)COLON H 122 15.00 28.30  
 
HAW-8   05/18/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:113     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MY LADY SLEW 7 2 11½ 12   11 11 (rodriguez g)MOJICA O 122 15.00 ★ 9.50  
6  WANDA STRONG 5 1 21½ 22   21 21 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00 18% 4.70 2.80 P
3  COMMAND POINT 2 5 77½ 76   44½ 32¼ (goldfine micke)COLON H 122 0.80 34% 1.90 1.00 S
5  CAIRO SUMMER 4 4 43 32   34½ 44¾ (witthauer)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 30.00 84.70  
2  GHAALEB'S DREAMS 1 7 89 97¾   66½ 55½ (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 4.50 19% 4.10 5.60  
7  SEQUAYA 6 3 33 43   55 67¾ (cook brian)TAVARES JAVIER 122 30.00 67.40  
9  RUNNERS HEAT 8 8 54½ 54   77½ 77¾ (wilson sharon)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00 66.00  
10  MORNING LINE NEWS 9 9 65½ 65   89 89¾ (hernandez javie)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 20.00 68.30  
4  CELESTIAL SPIN 3 6 912 87½   99½ 910½ (cristel mark)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00 8% 12.10 11.40  
SCR  TWELVE RED ROSES               (banks chris)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.